Radoslav: 
 
An interesting take on the meeting that we outsiders don't get from
other sources. I don't set much store by the German commitment: it is
easy talk but means almost nothing until they translate that into real
action. Given the recent implementation cock-ups in the EU on related
policies including the distribution of carbon credits - a stupid idea in
itself - I'm not going to hold my breath that they will reach the target
or even make a good start on necessary economic and behavioral changes. 
 
Cheers, 
 
Neil 

-----Original Message-----
From: Radoslav Dimitrov [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Wednesday, December 12, 2007 5:08 AM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; Global Environmental Education;
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Cc: Chris WODSKOU; David Matthew Brock; Raphael Lencucha; rafael chichek
Subject: update from Bali


Dear colleagues, 

Cheers from Bali! 

A few minutes ago, Germany's Minister received a two-minute ovation
after announcing Germany's unilateral commitment to reduce emissions by
40 percent by 2050, and said that the motto of this conference should be
changed from "You first" to "Me, too."   I am writing from Plenary. New
Zealand's  Minister for Climate Change Issues just stated that New
Zealand would like to see a new annex to the Kyoto Protocol that deals
with deforestation. Here there is a strong push on reduced emissions
from deforestation and forest degradation (REDD). The meeting is
unusually hectic and of stunning complexity. There are thirty different
contact groups and informal consultations on various issues: tech
transfer, adaptation, the three different post-2012 processes, etc etc.
Even large delegations complain of overload and inability to follow all
discussions.

Some substantive updates: One success yesterday was agreement on the
long awaited Adaptation Fund. 2) Failure of the talks on technology
transfer (under the SBI). Many are really angry about it. 3) Still
complete stalemate on key elements of the Bali Roadmap. Bitter
disagreement on whether to include text on the 25-40 percent range of
emission reductions by 2020. The Bali Roadmap is supposed to be on
purely procedural issues of launching and organizing the post-2012
negotiations. Instead, the Europeans are fighting hard to include in the
text substantive elements such as the the 25-40 % cuts. My personal view
is the EU is shooting themselves in the foot: generating long fights
over substance is putting the horse before the cart and poses the risk
of preventing the launch of the negotiations in the first place.     

Canada is in a really tough spot. They cornered themselves in a very
difficult negotiating position when they demanded binding commitments
from developing countries AND at the same time requested special
treatment and "differentiation" based on national circumstances. A lot
of hype about this. People here are saying "Canada simply isn't powerful
enough to be able to maintain such strong positions." The NGOs just
won't let go, making Canada the laughing stock. 

These are only a few of the overwhelming number of issues here. 

Regards, 


Radoslav S. Dimitrov, Ph.D.
Assistant Professor
Department of Political Science
University of Western Ontario
Social Science Centre
London, Ontario
Canada N6A 5C2
Tel. +1(519) 661-2111 ext. 85023
Fax +1(519) 661-3904
Email: [EMAIL PROTECTED]





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