Mike,

I think the term "peak" is ambiguous.  Does that mean the highest average 
utilization?

You can get an average and maximum for a given time interval from RMF.  Correct 
RMF interval size can be somewhat subjective, but the problem is not having the 
distribution of samples to plot the standard deviation and coefficient of 
variance.

If your workload is relatively stable, you should be able to chart the 
peak-to-average ratio which prevails during times of adequate system 
responsiveness.  You can then use the trended average as a rough gauge of when 
you expect to hit the existing capacity limit.  How rough?  Like the guy in the 
Meineke commercial says, "some rougher than others."

I agree with Adam Gerhard that what matters is how long dispatchable work has 
to wait in the queue.  How much queueing your loved ones can afford needs to be 
assessed.  However, sometimes you just need a quick answer for planning 
purposes and you have neither the time nor the audience for mathematical 
modeling and queueing theory.

Dave Barry
Sr. Performance & Capacity Planning Analyst
UPS 

-----Original Message-----
From: IBM Mainframe Discussion List [mailto:IBM-MAIN@bama.ua.edu] On Behalf Of 
Ward, Mike S
Sent: Friday, April 15, 2011 4:58 PM
To: IBM-MAIN@bama.ua.edu
Subject: CPU utilization/forecasting

Hello all, can someone tell me if it's better to use CPU peak or CPU average to 
project growth. My way of thinking is if you use peak then you're sure to show 
where you need extra horse power. In other words if you can't process during 
your peaks what good are the averages.

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