On Wed, 3 Oct 2012 19:48:27 -0400, Scott Ford wrote: > >I understand, but someone is going to have support all the Banking legacy >mainframes apps etc. >There are a serious numerous with serious bucks invested. There at or time and >the numbers probably are larger, we're 8000+ z/os installation, not sure how >many licenses , Lpars, etc. > Do you believe the costs will reach a plateau (in uninflated dollars) or climb indefinitely? If the latter, what happens? Federal bailout, like the auto companies? Other (specify)?
>On Oct 3, 2012, at 5:08 PM, "Roberts, John J" wrote: >> >> Another thing to keep in mind, that as a product line declines, the costs to >> support that product line must also decrease, or the remaining customers >> must bear an ever increasing burden until a breaking point is reached and >> even the most conservative customers conclude they need to jump ship. >> >> If for example, the number of customers for CICS licenses starts to decline, >> you can expect changes at Hursley Park. Some of the greybeards will be >> shown the door, replaced with younger people at half the cost. At some >> point, more and more support and development work will be shipped to cheaper >> locations (India, China, etc.). And of course, customers will be asked to >> pay more. And enhancements will slow down. Eventually there will be a >> death spiral when customers are leaving the platform at such a rate that IBM >> can't squeeze their people or their customers any more. It is then that >> they will put the plug, like HP did with the 3000 product line. Or they >> might be convinced to make it open source like Linux and thereby gain >> community support. >> This becomes a fringe preoccupation, like the people who salvage, repair, and use Curtas. And even that fringe can't be attracted unless IBM were to make core z/OS available on inexpensive hardware platforms such as I've heard of. -- gil ---------------------------------------------------------------------- For IBM-MAIN subscribe / signoff / archive access instructions, send email to lists...@listserv.ua.edu with the message: INFO IBM-MAIN
