Warner Losh wrote:

> It is a lot easier to adjust by an hour for local time than it is to have a 
> leap second every month, or more often. 

You assert this position.  I dispute it.

"Adjust *what* by an hour"?  PHK's position is that hundreds of local 
governments (that he appears to consider beneath contempt) would have to act 
separately or severally during each adjustment.  By comparison, a leap second 
is introduced by a central authority and is ignored by microwave ovens and 
set-top boxes and in general most clocks worldwide.  Even if one-a-day is 
introduced this would be the case.  A leap-hour-by-whatever-name cannot be 
ignored even by a microwave oven and no central authority would exist.

>> The current leap second policies are constrained to twice per year - this 
>> would correspond to a timezone do-se-do of 1800 years.  The actual standard, 
>> though, is 12 per year - that brings it down to 300 years, which seems 
>> similar in level of intrusiveness.  Larger interruptions must occur less 
>> frequently to be tolerated.
> 
> I'm not sure I follow this point...

Timezone "pressure" would have to be released when 3600 leap seconds 
accumulate.  Consider earthquakes.  The longer the period of quiescence, the 
larger the quake when it happens.  Since it is a tenet of the rubber timezone 
notion that there would be no central authority, each timezone quake would have 
technical, historical, legal and economic aftershocks lasting possibly decades 
as one locality after another shifted.

> The US changes its timezone rules  on average every 10 years (DST has been 
> uniform for 45 years or so and has changed 5 times).  Tweaks to the US 
> timezone rules happen annually for different parts of the country (this 
> country moves from this timezone to that, etc).

Now you are comparing rubber timezones to daylight savings.  Compare also with:

On Feb 9, 2011, at 1:40 AM, Clive D.W. Feather wrote:

>> <falls about laughing>
>> 
>> I was involved in a murder case where the police investigated the wrong
>> person because they hadn't realized the difference between UTC and BST.
>> What makes you think that financial lawyers will think of it.

Is this something we want more of in the world?

Continuing, I said:

>> Leap seconds would be much more robustly tolerated into the far distant 
>> future than rubber timezones.

Warner said:

> what are rubber timezones that you talk about?  I don't think we're talking 
> about the same thing.

Folks have talked about rubber seconds around here for a long time.  This 
notion that zero planning is needed because timezones are deemed infinitely 
compliant could thus be called "rubber timezones".  I find the notion silly, 
but more than that I find it silly that we're pretending that this is the ITU 
position.  The ITU position is to ignore the whole thing and fail to plan for 
the inevitable eventualities of ceasing leap seconds.

> The idea that's been put forth is that the transition would be made all at 
> once.  Eastern Time zone would go from TI-5 to TI-4, most likely by failing 
> to fallback one year in the fall.

Exercise for the class:  Which is it?  Will the governments act separately or 
together?  How will governments north and south of the equator coordinate given 
that daylight saving time occurs in the local summertime during opposing 
seasons?  Etc and so forth.

The folks on this list appear to have reached consensus that some mechanism 
(whatever it is) is required for managing leap-second-equivalents.  The ITU 
draft includes no planning for such.  Do they disagree with all the diverse 
voices on this list?  Or do they merely find it more expedient to ignore the 
whole thing - for a season or a day or a century - and to leave their mess for 
their grandchildren to clean up?  (Current astronomers, etc., would of course 
have to deal with the consequences immediately since it will break all our 
software.)

Is it really controversial that the ITU should be expected to plan for the 
consequences of their actions?

Rob

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