So 7 games left and a 6 pt gap over 7th place - mathematically 15 points get us promoted (subject to us keeping our superior goal difference) - Even better Fulham have to play both Sheff Wed and Huddersfield so Wednesday and Fulham cannot both get 21 points We have 3 winnable home games - Preston, Wolves and Norwich - all teams with no real chance of play offs or relegation- so IF we can keep our nerve in front of what should be sell out home games that gives us 9 of the 15 needed. So at a maximum we need to win two from Brentford, Newcastle, Burton and Wigan - not likely to win at Newcastle but the others are winnable - Brentford have nothing tangible to play for but no team is likely to just roll over, especially at home and especially in front of a full house. This makes tomorrow a massive game - 3 points and things will look very good. Burton and Wigan are both near the bottom for a reason , and Wigan will most likely be down by the time we play them ((and take over their ground) but how often does a relegated team suddenly start winning ? Burton will most likely fighting for their lives when we play them. Realistically I think we can win the 3 home games, lose at Newcastle and pick up between 2 (2 draws and a defeat) or 5 points in the other 3 games (win one and draw 2) - so we gain 11-14 points- this means Wednesday need to get at least 18 points from their last 7 games to overtake us and knock us out of play offs - I cannot see this happening All makes tomorrow night very important - us away at Brentford, Fulham away to Derby , and Sheff Wed away to relegated Rotherham - lets hope Rotherham do have that 'bounce' that relegated teams have - a win for us and a draw for Sheff would be a massive morale boost and put us 8 points above them with 6 games to go - fingers crossed ( a defeat for us and win for them and the gap is suddenly only 3 points with 6 to go) I love the fact that we have something to play for but all these 'ifs and buts' and maths just gets inside my head and dominates everything I do !
Dave _______________________________________________ Leedslist mailing list Info and options: http://mailman.greennet.org.uk/mailman/listinfo/leedslist To unsubscribe, email leedslist-unsubscr...@gn.apc.org MARCHING ON TOGETHER