I am so glad you did the maths, cos the whole thing is doing my head in too!
Thanks for putting it into perspective Dave!

OzPete

-----Original Message-----
From: Leedslist [mailto:leedslist-boun...@gn.apc.org] On Behalf Of
nat...@sky.com
Sent: Monday, 3 April 2017 7:52 PM
To: leeds list
Subject: Re: [LU] 7 matches left

So 7 games left and a 6 pt gap over 7th place - mathematically 15 points get
us promoted (subject to us keeping our superior goal difference) - Even
better Fulham have to play both Sheff Wed and Huddersfield so Wednesday and
Fulham cannot both get 21 points 
We have 3 winnable home games - Preston, Wolves and Norwich - all teams with
no real chance of play offs or relegation- so IF we can keep our nerve in
front of what should be sell out home games that gives us 9 of the 15
needed.
So at a maximum we need to win two from Brentford, Newcastle, Burton and
Wigan - not likely to win at Newcastle but the others are winnable -
Brentford have nothing tangible to play for but no team is likely to just
roll over, especially at home and especially in front of a full house. This
makes tomorrow a massive game - 3 points and things will look very good.
Burton and Wigan are both near the bottom for a reason , and Wigan will most
likely be down by the time we play them ((and take over their ground) but
how often does a relegated team suddenly start winning ? Burton will most
likely fighting for their lives when we play them.
Realistically I think we can win the 3 home games, lose at Newcastle and
pick up between 2 (2 draws and a defeat) or 5 points in the other 3 games
(win one and draw 2) - so we gain 11-14 points- this means Wednesday need to
get at least 18 points from their last 7 games to overtake us and knock us
out of play offs - I cannot see this happening
All makes tomorrow night very important - us away at Brentford, Fulham away
to Derby , and Sheff Wed away to relegated Rotherham - lets hope Rotherham
do have that 'bounce' that relegated teams have - a win for us and a draw
for Sheff would be a massive morale boost and put us 8 points above them
with 6 games to go - fingers crossed ( a defeat for us and win for them and
the gap is suddenly only 3 points with 6 to go)
I love the fact that we have something to play for but all these 'ifs and
buts' and maths just gets inside my head and dominates everything I do !

Dave

     
  
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