Hi I am a politics junkie. I follow them all avidly. The UK elections are fascinating. The basic is tone is 'Time for a change but no one attractive alternatives'.
The process is the 'overt' Liberal erosion of the Conservative base which may well allow Labour in The surprise for me is the complete disregard of the 'hidden factor' --the support for the extreme right wing. Often people will not admit their decision to vote right wing but do so. So the result is not predicted in the Opinion Polls. But this will harm Labour in their strongholds. In fact it may be a critical factor. Three basic things predict election results: 1. Which party set the agenda? IMO as an outsider, immigration was the issue. 2. Who will handle the economy best? 3. Who is most Prime Minister like? Surprisingly Brown comes out strongly. This is a reflection of IMO Cameron's abysmal failure. Cameron should have walked this. He has 'allowed' Brown to stay not only alive but relatively well. Clegg is another reflection of Cameron's failure. Clegg surfaced too fast & left too many potential supporters to look beyond him and consider the Liberals. A lot of them seemed to be put off by the Liberal platform. To sum it up I think that this election will be dictated by the extent of Cameron's failure & the extent of the extreme right support. Any way you will find yourselves in a very unpleasant situational. You will have a PM who is a failed leader [Brown or Cameron]. Possibly a hung parliament where the Liberal Party cannot make common purpose with the Conservatives and yet has declared animosity to Brown. In short a mess which with Greece and its implications plus the all the post election wake up calls that you have to deal with leaves you very unprepared. Michael Dr Michael Benjamin, Community Psychiatrist ------------------------------- myRay: On-line Self-Help CBT http://www.myRay.com ------------------------------ Mental Health: http//www.MyDoctorExplains.com -------------------------------- Auditing || Quality Control http://www.MyDoctorExplains.com/alamo/ -------------------------------- Blog: http://www.DrMichaelBenjamin.com On 30 April 2010 00:53, Damian Walsh <[email protected]> wrote: > ...so the list will do ;) > > I watched the last "leaders debate" and I think I pretty much shared the > opinions of the focus group who were giving their minute-by-minute > reactions > (broadly speaking Clegg came out best, followed by Brown with Cameron a > dismal third). Imagine my surprise to find all the commentators in the > press > seem to be giving the debate to Cameron. > > Now I admit I don't like the guy - to me he comes across as slimy, unctuous > and a hypocrite, Uriah Heep comes to mind.- but I don't think he actually > answered a single question, whether from the audience, the reminders from > Dimbleby or the direct & indrect questions from the other two. In fact > there > were times when his naked avoidance of a question was quite shameful, > papably dishonest even. How could he have "won"? > > Is it just that the the British are conforming to their evident history > over > the past 30 years or so where it seems dishonesty at the top is quite > acceptable? > > Damian - now where's that application form for French nationality ;) > _______________________________________________ > the Leeds List is an unmoderated mailing list and the list administrators > accept no liability for the personal views and opinions of contributors. > Leedslist mailing list > [email protected] > http://list.zetnet.co.uk/mailman/listinfo/leedslist > and the hardest time in a sailor's day is to watch the sun as it sails away > > _______________________________________________ the Leeds List is an unmoderated mailing list and the list administrators accept no liability for the personal views and opinions of contributors. Leedslist mailing list [email protected] http://list.zetnet.co.uk/mailman/listinfo/leedslist and the hardest time in a sailor's day is to watch the sun as it sails away
