He has much less of a chance if people that share his beleifs do not
support him.

On 1/17/07, Douglas Friedman <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
Frank Reichert wrote:

Ron Paul has as much chance of winning the Republican nomination as I do. I
looked at one of the postings on the group site, a link to an article by
James Ostrowski, who was going to be the LP gubernatorial nominee in New
York in 1994 until he got derailed by Howard Stern.

Ostrowski's analysis is amusing, I suppose, but rather out of touch with
reality. I'm not sure why he's so dismissive of Giuliani or Gingrich as GOP
nominees. He doesn't explain; he just says "Call Dr. Laura" to dismiss those
two as he writes the usual "stuff" about McCain being the presumptive
nominee before Paul. McCain has virtually no chance of getting the GOP nod;
he's being pushed by the "mainstream" left-wing media because I guess he's
the kind of Republican they like, precisely why he can't win the primary.

As for Ron Paul, being anti-war is not a plus with the GOP faithful,
especially with those who vote in primaries. Paul's hostility towards Israel
will also hurt him in the Southern primaries, where support for Israel is
stronger than among the Jewish community in New York. (That may be more a
comment on how the Jewish community has changed, but it's true.) Paul also
has no money, no name recognition, and being pro-drug legalization will
probably not help him win many primaries either. If Paul actually runs, he
might win a delegate or two in some states with rules making that easier,
but I'd say Arnold Schwarzenegger has more of a chance and he isn't
eligible.

FWIW, the GOP usually goes with the frontrunner, and as of now, that is
Giuliani.

Doug

>
> Good evening, Travis!
>
> Travis Pahl wrote to everyone...
>
> > In case you all have not heard... Ron Paul is running for President in
> > 2008!!! If you are interested there is a new Yahoogroup to help his
> > campaign and keep up on the latest developments.
> > http://groups.yahoo.com/group/paul-2008/
>
> Thanks. I heard something about this a week or so ago on one of
> the evening news reports. I'll ck out the link.
>
> Frank


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