> On Feb 28, 2025, at 09:00, Ed George via groups.io
> <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> Mark: "I thought BSW recently underperformed ..."
>
> Me: I thought 5% was quite a lot, given it's her first time out. AfD + BSW
> means 1 in 4 Germans on an 80+% turnout voting for deportations. That's
> worrying.
marxmail will hopefully have a forum on the German elections sometime in the
near future. I don't know really understand them. But I read that BSW did not
break the 5% threshold nor did they win three direct constituency seats, so
they lost representation in the Bundestag that they previously had from the Die
Linke split. Die Linke reportedly received 8.8% of the vote and have recovered
from the split. The Left Party is opposed to mass deportation, if I understand
correctly.
This makes me wonder if the arithmetic of AfD + BSW gains might give us the
wrong sum: Rather than an electorate shift to a deportations frame of mind,
parts of the electorate might be polarizing towards the right and left with a
large mass in the middle. The CDU, I understand, flirted with an alliance with
the AfD not that long ago and touched a hot stove.
Mark
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