Michael A. writes: > Ah, the old underestimate your enemy approach. As I remember Ms. Colvin Roy > won by a very small margin.
8.7 percentage points, according to the city's website (54.2 to 45.5). "Very small" is a relative term, but it probably applies better to Ward 5 (Johnson Lee over Cherryhomes by 1.5 percentage points) or Ward 2 (Zerby over Gordon by 2.1). To allow you to make your own relative judgments, Colvin Roy's victory was the fourth-smallest of the 13 wards. It's surprising in retrospect how many blow-outs there were. For context, here are the rankings, narrowest to widest margins. 1. Ward 5, 1.5 2. Ward 2, 2.1 3. Ward 6 (Zimmerman over Kallenbach), 52.1-47, or 5.1 4. Ward 12, 8.7 5. Ward 10 (Niziolek over Kress) 53.8-44.1, or 9.7 6. Ward 13 (Lane over Abbott) 54.9-44.9, or 10 7. Ward 11 (Benson over Casserly), 17-point difference 8. Ward 1 (Ostrow over Ramstad), 24-point diff. 9. Ward 8 (Lilligren over Brock), 26 points 10. Ward 3 (Biernat over Price), 28 points 11. Ward 4 (Johnson over Belmore), 48 points 12. Ward 9 (Schiff over Lucky), 64 points 13. Ward 7 (Goodman over Flynn), 65 points If you look at the list, the Greens would be defending seats in the first- and third-closest wards, while the DFL would be defending in the second- and fourth-closest wards. In every other ward, no Green came within 28 points of a DFLer, though one Independent triumphed by 10 points over a DFLer (Ward 13). While I might not agree with Michael's numerical interpretation, I do agree that Sandy would be relatively more vulnerable - because of all the, er, attention given by her vote in the leadership fight. David Brauer King Field - Ward 10 _________________________________________________________ Do You Yahoo!? Get your free @yahoo.com address at http://mail.yahoo.com _______________________________________ Minneapolis Issues Forum - A Civil City Civic Discussion - Mn E-Democracy Post messages to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subscribe, Unsubscribe, Digest option, and more: http://e-democracy.org/mpls
