Maksudnya ML apa nih. Net income ANTM 2009 diestimasi cuma 8% dari estimasi
net income 2008? Enggak kira2 ya. Sekalian saja diestimasi rugi dan
bangkrut, kayak ML-nya sendiri. Kalo harga saham emang bisa saja turun ke
900, kayak ML guyur bumi ke 4xx-5xx. Tapi kalo laba emitennya yang diguyur
tinggal 8% itu gimana caranya? Begitu parahnya kah ANTM???

2009/2/16 Cumi Goreng Tepung <cumie...@gmail.com>

>   ati-ati aja, kali aja ada ML's Daisy Suryo strikes back!
>
>
> Salam,
> Korban BUMI? Makan cumi saja!
>
>
> On Mon, Feb 16, 2009 at 3:55 PM, Yudizz <y_d...@mail2web.com> wrote:
>
>> Si ML ini belum tahu ya kalo embernya Pak Rei gede banget. Bukan ember
>> lagi, udah kaya waduk malah. Kekekek...
>>
>> Canda Bos...
>>
>> Regards,
>> Yudizz
>>
>> Send from My Nokia Nseries
>> supported by Mail for Exchange 2.0
>>
>>
>> --- original message ---
>> From: "Rei" <highwaysta...@gmail.com>
>> Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] ANTM (TP Rp900) - Merrill Lynch: Potential
>> difficulties offset attractive price
>> Date: 16th February 2009
>> Time: 1:09:35 pm
>>
>> Sht....let it be...if they give us 900, we would be very happy!!!
>>
>> On Mon, Feb 16, 2009 at 1:07 PM, SyIFA Fund <syifa.f...@yahoo.com> wrote:
>>
>> >     Ohh...ML just CAUTIOUS like usual. Underground mining is
>> > difficult?come on...ML analyst should go to Aceh and Kalimantan and
>> should
>> > see that underground mining is no longer difficult...just hire the
>> > Australian to do that.
>> > And IF you guys carefully read this ML analyst report, you can see too
>> many
>> > conflicts in her writing. That make me CAUTIOUS also..hehe...PEACE.
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> > Regards,
>> >
>> >
>> > SF FM
>> > Where you can trust your fund
>> >
>> > --- On *Mon, 2/16/09, simon bolenang <simon_bolen...@yahoo.com>* wrote:
>> >
>> > From: simon bolenang <simon_bolen...@yahoo.com>
>> > Subject: [obrolan-bandar] ANTM (TP Rp900) - Merrill Lynch: Potential
>> > difficulties offset attractive price
>> > To: "obrolan-bandar yahoogroups" <obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com>,
>> "saham
>> > yahoogroups" <sa...@yahoogroups.com>
>> > Date: Monday, February 16, 2009, 5:46 AM
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >   *Muted reaction to recent gold asset acquisition*
>> > ANTM has signed a Heads of Agreement to transfer ownership of PT
>> Cibaliung
>> > Sumber Daya (CSD) from Arc Exploration to ANTM. ANTM will settle Arc's
>> > US$8mn debt to ANZ. The move should effectively make ANTM the sole owner
>> of
>> > the undeveloped Cibaliung gold mine, in which CSD has a 95% stake. While
>> we
>> > think the price is attractive, our reaction is muted given past project
>> > delays and
>> > mining difficulty. Mining is by underground cut-and-fill stoping with
>> > decline access.
>> > *Cibaliung mining not straightforward, in our view*
>> > True, ANTM might get Cibaliung for a cheap price: US$8mn for a 95% stake
>> in
>> > Cibaliung, which has 412,000 oz reserves (US$20.4/oz) . And we
>> understand
>> > Arc
>> > has spent a substantial amount to develop the mine. However, considering
>> > project
>> > commissioning has been delayed for around two years on capex overrun,
>> some
>> > financing difficulty and some development phase delays, we are now at
>> the
>> > "wait
>> > and see" stage. ANTM is targeting to spend an additional US$35-40mn to
>> > bring it
>> > into operation in 2H10.
>> > *ANTM still largely a nickel company after the acquisition*
>> > We view Cibaliung more as a replacement for ANTM's Pongkor gold mine
>> rather
>> > than a significant addition. As of December 2007, Pongkor gold reserve
>> was
>> > 742,750 oz, which we estimate can last for another 3-4 years based on
>> > historical
>> > peak production. By 2011 we expect ANTM to still be largely a nickel
>> > producer,
>> > with nickel contributing about 70% of total revenue.
>> > *Our stance: still cautious near term*
>> > We have yet to see a rebound in nickel price with LME inventory still
>> > creeping up
>> > and the global economy yet to recover. We await FY08 results to get
>> fuller
>> > details,
>> > and indicators to what lies ahead. ANTM has warned of a potential
>> > derivative loss,
>> > which we believe could negatively impact its cash position. As of Sep
>> 2008,
>> > its net
>> > cash was ~US$260mn.
>> >
>> > This message and any attachment are confidential and may be privileged
>> or
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>> > a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities or related
>> financial
>> > instruments.
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>>
>>
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>  
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-- 
Salam ARRAYARRA

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