kayaknya neng daisy mengasumsikan harga nikel 2009 tinggal separo dari harga 2008, terus penjualan juga tinggal separo karena FeNi3 rusak lagi. separo kali separo sama dengan seperempat. seperempat masih jauh yah dari 8%? ga tau deh!
kalo di-offset dengan 15% pendapatan dari emas yang harganya naik terus, harusnya bisa menahan penurunan pendapatan dari nikel. bisa-bisanya analis ajalah. Lha wong kemaren aja ada riset soal hexa yang bilang biarin aja sales alat berat turun, yang penting sales spare part naik. On Mon, Feb 16, 2009 at 4:28 PM, ARRAY27 <arra...@gmail.com> wrote: > Maksudnya ML apa nih. Net income ANTM 2009 diestimasi cuma 8% dari estimasi > net income 2008? Enggak kira2 ya. Sekalian saja diestimasi rugi dan > bangkrut, kayak ML-nya sendiri. Kalo harga saham emang bisa saja turun ke > 900, kayak ML guyur bumi ke 4xx-5xx. Tapi kalo laba emitennya yang diguyur > tinggal 8% itu gimana caranya? Begitu parahnya kah ANTM??? > > 2009/2/16 Cumi Goreng Tepung <cumie...@gmail.com> > > ati-ati aja, kali aja ada ML's Daisy Suryo strikes back! >> >> >> Salam, >> Korban BUMI? Makan cumi saja! >> >> >> On Mon, Feb 16, 2009 at 3:55 PM, Yudizz <y_d...@mail2web.com> wrote: >> >>> Si ML ini belum tahu ya kalo embernya Pak Rei gede banget. Bukan ember >>> lagi, udah kaya waduk malah. Kekekek... >>> >>> Canda Bos... >>> >>> Regards, >>> Yudizz >>> >>> Send from My Nokia Nseries >>> supported by Mail for Exchange 2.0 >>> >>> >>> --- original message --- >>> From: "Rei" <highwaysta...@gmail.com> >>> Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] ANTM (TP Rp900) - Merrill Lynch: Potential >>> difficulties offset attractive price >>> Date: 16th February 2009 >>> Time: 1:09:35 pm >>> >>> Sht....let it be...if they give us 900, we would be very happy!!! >>> >>> On Mon, Feb 16, 2009 at 1:07 PM, SyIFA Fund <syifa.f...@yahoo.com> >>> wrote: >>> >>> > Ohh...ML just CAUTIOUS like usual. Underground mining is >>> > difficult?come on...ML analyst should go to Aceh and Kalimantan and >>> should >>> > see that underground mining is no longer difficult...just hire the >>> > Australian to do that. >>> > And IF you guys carefully read this ML analyst report, you can see too >>> many >>> > conflicts in her writing. That make me CAUTIOUS also..hehe...PEACE. >>> > >>> > >>> > >>> > Regards, >>> > >>> > >>> > SF FM >>> > Where you can trust your fund >>> > >>> > --- On *Mon, 2/16/09, simon bolenang <simon_bolen...@yahoo.com>* >>> wrote: >>> > >>> > From: simon bolenang <simon_bolen...@yahoo.com> >>> > Subject: [obrolan-bandar] ANTM (TP Rp900) - Merrill Lynch: Potential >>> > difficulties offset attractive price >>> > To: "obrolan-bandar yahoogroups" <obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com>, >>> "saham >>> > yahoogroups" <sa...@yahoogroups.com> >>> > Date: Monday, February 16, 2009, 5:46 AM >>> > >>> > >>> > >>> > >>> > *Muted reaction to recent gold asset acquisition* >>> > ANTM has signed a Heads of Agreement to transfer ownership of PT >>> Cibaliung >>> > Sumber Daya (CSD) from Arc Exploration to ANTM. ANTM will settle Arc's >>> > US$8mn debt to ANZ. The move should effectively make ANTM the sole >>> owner of >>> > the undeveloped Cibaliung gold mine, in which CSD has a 95% stake. >>> While we >>> > think the price is attractive, our reaction is muted given past project >>> > delays and >>> > mining difficulty. Mining is by underground cut-and-fill stoping with >>> > decline access. >>> > *Cibaliung mining not straightforward, in our view* >>> > True, ANTM might get Cibaliung for a cheap price: US$8mn for a 95% >>> stake in >>> > Cibaliung, which has 412,000 oz reserves (US$20.4/oz) . And we >>> understand >>> > Arc >>> > has spent a substantial amount to develop the mine. However, >>> considering >>> > project >>> > commissioning has been delayed for around two years on capex overrun, >>> some >>> > financing difficulty and some development phase delays, we are now at >>> the >>> > "wait >>> > and see" stage. ANTM is targeting to spend an additional US$35-40mn to >>> > bring it >>> > into operation in 2H10. >>> > *ANTM still largely a nickel company after the acquisition* >>> > We view Cibaliung more as a replacement for ANTM's Pongkor gold mine >>> rather >>> > than a significant addition. As of December 2007, Pongkor gold reserve >>> was >>> > 742,750 oz, which we estimate can last for another 3-4 years based on >>> > historical >>> > peak production. By 2011 we expect ANTM to still be largely a nickel >>> > producer, >>> > with nickel contributing about 70% of total revenue. >>> > *Our stance: still cautious near term* >>> > We have yet to see a rebound in nickel price with LME inventory still >>> > creeping up >>> > and the global economy yet to recover. We await FY08 results to get >>> fuller >>> > details, >>> > and indicators to what lies ahead. ANTM has warned of a potential >>> > derivative loss, >>> > which we believe could negatively impact its cash position. As of Sep >>> 2008, >>> > its net >>> > cash was ~US$260mn. >>> > >>> > This message and any attachment are confidential and may be privileged >>> or >>> > otherwise protected from disclosure. If you are not the intended >>> recipient >>> > please telephone or e-mail the sender and delete this message and >>> > all attachments from your system. If you are not the intended recipient >>> you >>> > must not copy this message or any attachment or disclose the contents >>> to any >>> > other person. >>> > >>> > E-mail transmission cannot be guaranteed to be secure, error-free or >>> > virus-free. The sender therefore does not accept liability for any >>> errors, >>> > omissions or consequences which arise as a result of e-mail >>> transmission. >>> > This message is provided for informational purposes and is not intended >>> to >>> > nor will it create any binding legal relations. If verification is >>> required >>> > please request a hard-copy version. This message should not be >>> construed as >>> > a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities or related >>> financial >>> > instruments. >>> > >>> > >>> > >>> > >>> > >>> > >>> > >>> >>> >>> ------------------------------------ >>> >>> + + >>> + + + + + >>> Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus >>> kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas. >>> + + + + + >>> + +Yahoo! Groups Links >>> >>> >>> >>> >> > > > -- > Salam ARRAYARRA > > > > -- Salam, Korban BUMI? Makan cumi saja!
