USD 50 milyar dgn kurs 1dollar = Rp 10.000 dapat Rp 500 Trilyun.
Kalau harga tanah 10 juta dapat 50 juta m2, atau 50 Km2.
Luas Jakarta 650 km2., 1/13 luas Jakarta.
1/4 luas Manhattan City, USA.


--- On Mon, 10/27/08, jsx_consultant <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
From: jsx_consultant <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Dunia memang goblok...Re: How bad and how 
long?iceland goes bankrupt?
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Date: Monday, October 27, 2008, 2:11 AM










    
            Islandia bangkrut karena devisanya nol atau engga punya dollar

buat bayar import. Kalo devisa BI yg sekitar 50 miliar dollar

habis maka kita tidak bisa bayar utang luar negri karena kita

engga bisa bayar pake rupiah.



Jadi bangkrut disini adalah bangkrut dari segi valuta asing.

Tapi Amerika punya utang luar negri yang begitu gede ENGGA AKAN

pernah bangkrut karena dollar adalah mata uang negara Amerika,

tinggal nyetak doang...



Jadi untuk bayar utang, suatu negara harus mengexport barang,

menarik invetasi atau bikin pinjaman valas yg baru.



Coba kita bayangin devisa BI yg 50 miliar dollar itu senilai

ama apa ?.

- Kita ambil harga tanah dipusat kota = 10j/m2.

- 50 miliar dollar ini dapet berapa m2 ?

- 50 miliar x kurs 10.000/ 10 juta = 500.000 m2 = 

  atau tanah yg luasnya = 700m x 700m = 0,7km x 0,7km, tanah ini

  masih lebih kecil dari luas MONAS..



Jadi devisa BI masih JAUH lebih kecil dari harga tanah Monas,

karena tanah MONAS bisa laku 50j/m2. Jadi kalo Monas dijual ama

asing kita bakal dapet devisa mungkin 200 miliar dollar. (ini

cuman buat ilustrasi doang yah, jangan diprotes)



Jadi kalo devisa BI habis, kita dinyatain bangkrut padahal

tanah RI itu ada dari Sabang ampe Meroke, itu tanahnya doang

belum isinya. Tapi gara gara bayar import dan utang harus pake

USD, maka tiap negara diseluruh dunia harus berusaha mendapatkan

USD. 



Dunia memang maenan orang Amerika, udah kebawa sengsara akibat

ulah orang Amerika yg bikin krisis, masih mau nurut lagi ngumpulin

dollar... hehehe...



--- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com, Vincent Chase 

<chase.vincent@ ...> wrote:

>

> feeling sy bakal lama neh

> kemaren bangun tidur denger berita dr cnn,

> 

> ada berita kalo iceland bakrupt. dulu mulainya dr asian financial 

krisis, ini jgn sampe mo dimulai european financial crisis

> 

> Iceland goes bankrupt Posted by: Michael Mandel on October 

10        That's an amazing sentence: Iceland goes bankrupt. But 

that's exactly what happened yesterday (see BW piece here. See NY 

Times piece here). That's a clear sign that the global financial 

crisis is entering a new and vastly more dangerous phase, where we 

are paying the price of the lack of a global financial regulator and 

global central bank. 

>   What `bankrupt' means is just that: The country cannot pay back 

its external debts, and the Icelandic currency, the krona, has become 

essentially valueless in the rest of the world. That means the 

country can no longer pay for imports. 

>   The Icelandic problems have nothing to do directly with American 

real estate. As Kerry Capell of BW writes: 

>  

> 

>  With the privatization of the banking sector, completed in 2000, 

Iceland's banks used substantial wholesale funding to finance their 

entry into the local mortgage market and acquire foreign financial 

firms, mainly in Britain and Scandinavia…In just five years, the 

banks went from being almost entirely domestic lenders to becoming 

major international financial intermediaries. In 2000, says Richard 

Portes, a professor of economics at London Business School, two-

thirds of their financing came from domestic sources and one-third 

from abroad. More recently—until the crisis hit—that ratio was 

reversed. But as wholesale funding markets seized up, Iceland's banks 

started to collapse under a mountain of foreign debt.   What's worse, 

with Iceland sitting outside the major currency trading blocs, there 

may be no one with the incentive or ability to save it. The country 

is looking for loans from the IMF and from Russia. But the United 

Kingdom is actually threatening to sue Iceland to

>  get back money. 

>   Where does the crisis go next? Most exposed are countries with 

large amounts of external debt relative to the size of their economy. 

A quick calculation suggests that by this measure, the U.S. is 

relatively well off, with external debt about equal to GDP. Japan's 

external debt is about 40-50% of GDP, as is Canada's (these numbers 

may change as I refine my calculations) . Italy is at about 100%, and 

Germany and France are in the 140-150% range. 

>   From this perspective, the U.S.—with its external debt mostly in 

dollars—looks like a bastion of stability. The euro zone has some 

weaknesses—Belgium and the Netherlands have uncomfortably high debt 

levels, and Ireland is extremely high. But there is a political 

framework in place which should allow political leaders to take 

effective action if they want. 

>   The biggest dangers are for the UK and Switzerland. These 

countries, although much bigger than Iceland, are major financial 

intermediaries with big external debts. What's more, they are outside 

the major currency blocs, with debt denominated in foreign 

currencies. That means if their currency starts to devalue, their 

debts will become more and more onerous. 

>   And now we are in very tricky waters, which are looking 

uncomfortably like the Great Depression. The major players are the 

U.S., the Eurozone, Japan, and China. The question is: Will they act 

collectively, or will they engage beggar-thy neighbor policies? 

>   More later on this.?

> 

> 

> 

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