On 20/10/17 20:20, Tony Breeds wrote:

Hi All,
     With the election behind us it's somewhat traditional to look at
some simple stats from the elections:

+----------+-----------------------+-------------------+-----------------------+
| Election | Electorate  (delta %) | Voted   (delta %) | Turnout %   (delta %) |
+----------+-----------------------+-------------------+-----------------------+
|  10/2013 |       1106  (    nan) |   342   (    nan) |     30.92   (    nan) |
|  04/2014 |       1510  (  36.53) |   448   (  30.99) |     29.67   (  -4.05) |
|  10/2014 |       1893  (  25.36) |   506   (  12.95) |     26.73   (  -9.91) |
|  04/2015 |       2169  (  14.58) |   548   (   8.30) |     25.27   (  -5.48) |
|  10/2015 |       2759  (  27.20) |   619   (  12.96) |     22.44   ( -11.20) |
|  04/2016 |       3284  (  19.03) |   652   (   5.33) |     19.85   ( -11.51) |
|  10/2016 |       3517  (   7.10) |   801   (  22.85) |     22.78   (  14.71) |
|  04/2017 |       3191  (  -9.27) |   427   ( -46.69) |     13.38   ( -41.25) |
|  10/2017 |       2430  ( -23.85) |   420   (  -1.64) |     17.28   (  29.16) |
+----------+-----------------------+-------------------+-----------------------+

Election CIVS links
  10/2014: http://civs.cs.cornell.edu/cgi-bin/results.pl?id=E_c105db929e6c11f4
  04/2015: http://civs.cs.cornell.edu/cgi-bin/results.pl?id=E_ef1379fee7b94688
  10/2015: http://civs.cs.cornell.edu/cgi-bin/results.pl?id=E_4ef58718618691a0
  04/2016: http://civs.cs.cornell.edu/cgi-bin/results.pl?id=E_fef5cc22eb3dc27a
  10/2016: http://civs.cs.cornell.edu/cgi-bin/results.pl?id=E_356e6c1b16904010
  04/2017: http://civs.cs.cornell.edu/cgi-bin/results.pl?id=E_072c4cd7ff0673b5
  10/2017: http://civs.cs.cornell.edu/cgi-bin/results.pl?id=E_ce86063991ef8aae

I don't have a feel for with the Pike electorate decreased but my gut
feel is that it was organic drop-off possibly in part to the shorter
Ocata development cycle.  The Queens drop-off was due to a new[1]
membership API being available that meant we could validate Foundation
membership instead of using gerrit permission as a proxy.

Can we maybe calculate the electorate size using the old method as well so that we can quantify how much of the dropoff (in theory it could be more than 100%) was due to the change in effective eligibility criteria vs. organic change in the number of contributors?

- ZB

I'd like to call out that with Pike we had a very dramatic decrease in
voter turnout both in absolute and relative terms.  As a community it's
worth trying to understand whether this is a problem and/or a trend that
needs to change.

Yours Tony.

[1] It wasn't that new it was also used during the PTL election[2]
[2] See:
     http://lists.openstack.org/pipermail/openstack-dev/2017-July/119786.html ; 
and
     http://lists.openstack.org/pipermail/openstack-dev/2017-August/120544.html



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