On Wed, Oct 25, 2017 at 12:18:59PM -0400, Zane Bitter wrote:
> On 20/10/17 20:20, Tony Breeds wrote:
> > 
> > Hi All,
> >      With the election behind us it's somewhat traditional to look at
> > some simple stats from the elections:
> > 
> > +----------+-----------------------+-------------------+-----------------------+
> > | Election | Electorate  (delta %) | Voted   (delta %) | Turnout %   (delta 
> > %) |
> > +----------+-----------------------+-------------------+-----------------------+
> > |  10/2013 |       1106  (    nan) |   342   (    nan) |     30.92   (    
> > nan) |
> > |  04/2014 |       1510  (  36.53) |   448   (  30.99) |     29.67   (  
> > -4.05) |
> > |  10/2014 |       1893  (  25.36) |   506   (  12.95) |     26.73   (  
> > -9.91) |
> > |  04/2015 |       2169  (  14.58) |   548   (   8.30) |     25.27   (  
> > -5.48) |
> > |  10/2015 |       2759  (  27.20) |   619   (  12.96) |     22.44   ( 
> > -11.20) |
> > |  04/2016 |       3284  (  19.03) |   652   (   5.33) |     19.85   ( 
> > -11.51) |
> > |  10/2016 |       3517  (   7.10) |   801   (  22.85) |     22.78   (  
> > 14.71) |
> > |  04/2017 |       3191  (  -9.27) |   427   ( -46.69) |     13.38   ( 
> > -41.25) |
> > |  10/2017 |       2430  ( -23.85) |   420   (  -1.64) |     17.28   (  
> > 29.16) |
> > +----------+-----------------------+-------------------+-----------------------+
> > 
> > Election CIVS links
> >   10/2014: 
> > http://civs.cs.cornell.edu/cgi-bin/results.pl?id=E_c105db929e6c11f4
> >   04/2015: 
> > http://civs.cs.cornell.edu/cgi-bin/results.pl?id=E_ef1379fee7b94688
> >   10/2015: 
> > http://civs.cs.cornell.edu/cgi-bin/results.pl?id=E_4ef58718618691a0
> >   04/2016: 
> > http://civs.cs.cornell.edu/cgi-bin/results.pl?id=E_fef5cc22eb3dc27a
> >   10/2016: 
> > http://civs.cs.cornell.edu/cgi-bin/results.pl?id=E_356e6c1b16904010
> >   04/2017: 
> > http://civs.cs.cornell.edu/cgi-bin/results.pl?id=E_072c4cd7ff0673b5
> >   10/2017: 
> > http://civs.cs.cornell.edu/cgi-bin/results.pl?id=E_ce86063991ef8aae
> > 
> > I don't have a feel for with the Pike electorate decreased but my gut
> > feel is that it was organic drop-off possibly in part to the shorter
> > Ocata development cycle.  The Queens drop-off was due to a new[1]
> > membership API being available that meant we could validate Foundation
> > membership instead of using gerrit permission as a proxy.
> 
> Can we maybe calculate the electorate size using the old method as well so
> that we can quantify how much of the dropoff (in theory it could be more
> than 100%) was due to the change in effective eligibility criteria vs.
> organic change in the number of contributors?

You can insert this line into the table above to replace the official
10/2017 election.

|    10/2017  |       2696  ( -15.51) |   420   (  -1.64) |     15.58   (  
16.42) |

So ~10% of all change owners were excluded due to not being Foundation
members.

Yours Tony.

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