Hi Tom,

In an OLS regression, the residuals from both regressions (varA ~ varB and varB ~ varA) are different but their distributions are (more or less) symmetric. So, because the residuals are independent (ie, their covariance is null), the residual standard error will be the same (or very close in practice).

In GLS, the residuals are not independent, so this difference in the distribution of the residuals affects the estimation of the residual standard errors (because we need to estimate the covaraince of the residuals), and consequently the associated tests.

Best,

Emmanuel

Le 11/07/2013 11:03, Tom Schoenemann a écrit :
Hi all,

I ran a PGLS with two variables, call them VarA and VarB, using a phylogenetic 
tree and corPagel. When I try to predict VarA from VarB, I get a significant 
coefficient for VarB.  However, if I invert this and try to predict VarB from 
VarA, I do NOT get a significant coefficient for VarA. Shouldn't these be both 
significant, or both insignificant (the actual outputs and calls are pasted 
below)?

If I do a simple lm for these, I get the same significance level for the 
coefficients either way (i.e., lm(VarA ~ VarB) vs. lm(VarB ~ VarA), though the 
values of the coefficients of course differ.

Can someone help me understand why the PGLS would not necessarily be symmetric 
in this same way?

Thanks,

-Tom

outTree_group_by_brain_LambdaEst_redo1 <- gls(log_group_size_data ~ 
log_brain_weight_data, correlation = bm.t.100species_lamEst_redo1,data = 
DF.brain.repertoire.group, method= "ML")
summary(outTree_group_by_brain_LambdaEst_redo1)
Generalized least squares fit by maximum likelihood
   Model: log_group_size_data ~ log_brain_weight_data
   Data: DF.brain.repertoire.group
        AIC     BIC    logLik
   89.45152 99.8722 -40.72576
Correlation Structure: corPagel
  Formula: ~1
  Parameter estimate(s):
    lambda
0.7522738
Coefficients:
                            Value Std.Error   t-value p-value
(Intercept)           -0.0077276 0.2628264 -0.029402  0.9766
log_brain_weight_data  0.4636859 0.1355499  3.420778  0.0009

  Correlation:
                       (Intr)
log_brain_weight_data -0.637
Standardized residuals:
        Min         Q1        Med         Q3        Max
-1.7225003 -0.1696079  0.5753531  1.0705308  3.0685637
Residual standard error: 0.5250319
Degrees of freedom: 100 total; 98 residual


Here is the inverse:

outTree_brain_by_group_LambdaEst_redo1 <- gls(log_brain_weight_data ~ 
log_group_size_data, correlation = bm.t.100species_lamEst_redo1,data = 
DF.brain.repertoire.group, method= "ML")
summary(outTree_brain_by_group_LambdaEst_redo1)
Generalized least squares fit by maximum likelihood
   Model: log_brain_weight_data ~ log_group_size_data
   Data: DF.brain.repertoire.group
         AIC       BIC   logLik
   -39.45804 -29.03736 23.72902
Correlation Structure: corPagel
  Formula: ~1
  Parameter estimate(s):
   lambda
1.010277
Coefficients:
                          Value  Std.Error   t-value p-value
(Intercept)          1.2244133 0.20948634  5.844836  0.0000
log_group_size_data -0.0234525 0.03723828 -0.629796  0.5303
  Correlation:
                     (Intr)
log_group_size_data -0.095
Standardized residuals:
        Min         Q1        Med         Q3        Max
-2.0682836 -0.3859688  1.1515176  1.5908565  3.1163377
Residual standard error: 0.4830596
Degrees of freedom: 100 total; 98 residual

_________________________________________________
P. Thomas Schoenemann

Associate Professor
Department of Anthropology
Cognitive Science Program
Indiana University
Bloomington, IN  47405
Phone: 812-855-8800
E-mail: t...@indiana.edu

Open Research Scan Archive (ORSA) Co-Director
Consulting Scholar
Museum of Archaeology and Anthropology
University of Pennsylvania

http://www.indiana.edu/~brainevo











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