On Mon, 2011-05-09 at 08:47 -0700, Erik wrote:
> I agree with Steve.  All of my current bikes are steel now that I'm
> not racing anymore, however, I previously owned one of the original
> OCLV models.  Estimating conservatively, it probably had 30K miles on
> it (probably closer to 50K) when I traded it to a friend (who still
> rides it) for a vintage Dura-Ace crankset.  There are certainly horror
> stories of failed carbon forks and resulting injuries, but I wonder to
> what extent our global connectedness plays into our overall
> perception.  When a fork failed twenty years ago, the twenty people
> that were in that person's riding circle knew about it...not all of
> cyberspace.  I, for one, had an acquaintance whose steerer tube
> separated from his fork crown (on a steel fork), mid-race, causing
> substantial facial and dental injuries.  I don't know anyone whose
> carbon fork has led to similar circumstances.  Does this mean that
> carbon is safer? No...it's just a reminder that we can't rely on
> anecdotal evidence.
> 
> Yes, I agree that at least 80% of riders on carbon should be on a
> different bike, not necessarily because it's inherently unsafe, but
> because the design of the bikes is inappropriate.  If a carbon bike
> were designed sensibly, and slightly overbuilt, I might conceptually
> support it.  Likewise, there have been steel bikes that tried to push
> the technological envelope too far, and have failed unpredictably and
> spectacularly.  The steel bikes that are out there now, are typically
> quite conservative, and thus quite safe.  I get all of the stuff about
> how different materials fail in different ways, however, my many years
> as a rider and shop mechanic (former) have led me to believe that
> theory and reality not the same, regarding frame materials.  I think a
> more accurate generalization might be that well-maintained and
> regularly inspected bikes are less likely to have "sudden failures"
> than poorly maintained bikes that are never inspected for potential
> indicators--regardless of material.  The other generalization that I
> would make is that racing bikes have become unsafe for long-term use
> by recreational cyclists.  Companies seem much more willing to push
> the weight envelope on their racing frames, and the nature of carbon
> manufacturing and consumer (wannabe racers) demands, has put these
> same frames in the hands of everyday riders.  I am hesitant, however,
> too finger a frame material, when it has more to do with design and
> marketing decisions that have more tightly intertwined professional
> racing and consumer choice.


And I agree with every single one of your points!



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