This is an interesting thread. One aspect not yet discussed concerns the economics of being an early adapter. For example, I bought a first-generation Atlantis when the frame was about $900. I rode it hard and was able to sell it later for about what I paid, not so much because the frame had appreciated but because a new frame had about doubled in price. I went on to buy a Bombadil when the pre-release price was $1400. The current price is now $2500. (This example is perhaps not as parallel because my 60 cm frame has the double tube whereas the current models have the diagonal tube). As others have pointed out, interest in the Quickbeam remains high, so one imagines that those who bought the SimpleOne at its introductory price will find that those frames hold their value well.
David Sprunger Fargo, ND Bikes: http://www.cord.edu/faculty/sprunger/bikes/ On Wed, Jun 15, 2011 at 4:53 PM, Joe Bernard <joerem...@gmail.com> wrote: > > I'd love to score a Bleriot, for completely shallow reasons: It's my > favorite Riv name/graphics package. I don't know the story of them > being pulled from the market, and didn't realize they disappeared > quickly (I was in recumbent world the last three years). > > About the mythical Legolas: I was at Rivendell a few years ago, cash > in hand, staring at one in my size. I was *this* close to buying...and > bailed out. They only made 80!? Oh my heart.. > > On Jun 15, 4:06 am, islaysteve <alkire...@verizon.net> wrote: > > Leslie, No offense taken by me at all! I understand what you're > > saying about some people overpaying for nice-looking restored car, > > while more knowledgable folks know that there is an upper limit to > > reasonable prices for any given model. This may be similar to the > > pricing on the Ram we are discussing, but of course the final sale > > price will determine that (if we ever find out.) I'm also amazed by > > the high asking prices for some older bikes on CL. It may seem > > reasonable to the seller that if a $700 (when new) bike is like new, > > it should be worth $400 now. They don't realize that the technology > > has moved on so much in 10, 15 or 20 years, that their bike is pretty > > much obsolete to most buyers. I guess the fixed-gear/single-speed > > trend has been a boon to those selling older steel bikes. I'm just > > glad that I bought my Bleriot when I did, for what I paid. Steve > > > > On Jun 14, 9:45 pm, Leslie <leslie.bri...@gmail.com> wrote: > > > > > > > > > On Jun 14, 7:08 am, islaysteve <alkire...@verizon.net> wrote: > > > > > > In view of the other thread about the nice Rambo for sale on CList, I > > > > thought I'd start a general discussion of used Riv prices. Just > > > > because it's kind of interesting. Someone on the other thread implied > > > > that it's not reasonable to compare the asking price of a used frame > > > > to the price of a new frame, esp. if it's a different model. I > > > > disagree. Long ago I had a job processing claims. The principles > > > > apply, I argue. To use my own example, you can't buy a new Bleriot. > > > > If you want a new Riv frame that's close to a Bleriot in geometry and > > > > function, you buy a Sam. Back when they were sold, Bleriots cost $750 > > > > (such a deal!). Today new Sams cost $1100 (?) or $1500, and that is a > > > > whole other discussion in itself. In my size (small), they cost > > > > $1500. So when I paid more than the original cost for my pristine > > > > Bleriot frame/fork, was I foolish? I don't think so. Riv frames in > > > > my size on the used market are not available all that often. So the > > > > other part of this equation is depreciation: the word that insurance > > > > companies love and claimants hate. I think you have to agree that > > > > most things, Riv frames included, depreciate. If you'd rather have a > > > > new frame out of the box from Walnut Creek than a used frame from Joe > > > > on eBay, that's depreciation. If the used frame has some paint > > > > chipping around the dropouts, that's.....you get the picture. We can > > > > argue about how much to depreciate a Riv frame, or anything else. I > > > > wouldn't depreciate it down to 25% after say 10 years, like some > > > > claims payers might. So to wrap this up, my point is that it's > > > > reasonable to look at the price of a comparable new frame (bike), > > > > decide what kind of depreciation to apply to the used bike in > > > > question, and go from there. And of course the buyers emotions and > > > > wants play into this a good bit. I would have rather had an orange > > > > Sam with Hillborne graphics than the blue Bleriot. But it just wasn't > > > > worth nearly double the price to me. Cheers, Steve > > > > > I suppose I should reply here, as it might very well be me that was > > > implying that it's not quite appropriate to do a direct price > > > comparison between a discontinued used model and a new current model. > > > > > And, I should go ahead and say, anything I say isn't meant to offend, > > > is simply my perspective, YMMV..... > > > > > I will agree, if you want to have insurance replace a bike with a very > > > comparable brand/model, then sure, you can insure it for a declared > > > amount to make sure that if stolen, you could go and replace it (ie, > > > replace a Rambouillet with a Roadeo). That would be a $1600 frame, > > > being replaced with a $2000 frame. > > > > > And, I love my Rambouillet, it's an awesome bike. I really would like > > > to think that, it'd be reasonable to expect that an insurance company > > > would replace it with a brand new Roadeo if anything ever happened to > > > it. And if I had an Atlantis that was a year or two old, maybe it'd > > > not be too unreasonable to argue with insurance that they could just > > > buy a new one to replace it. > > > > > But, realistically, as soon as you drive a car off a lot, it's a used > > > car. A few years later, once a company has replaced it with a new > > > model, if I went to sell it, I wouldn't expect to set its price > > > directly compared to a new car, I have to look at the price for which > > > used ones of its same year are selling, regardless of the new model > > > being the one that's most like it. > > > > > I had a Subaru, a month old, 2nd payment not-yet-made on it, and it > > > was rear-ended. Shouldn't have been totaled, but, as it was a new > > > model that had just came out, the parts weren't available to repair > > > it, they were all going into making new ones, so insurance decided to > > > total it out instead. And I couldn't even get them to do a > > > replacement on it with another. It had less miles on it than some new > > > cars that have been test-driven a lot, and they still wouldn't. > > > > > There is a lot of truth in that old statement, tho', that it's worth > > > what someone will pay for it. I deal with old Land Rovers (have a '72 > > > and a '60), and all the time, see people pricing them ridiculously > > > high, thinking they're overly collectable. (Orvis had a nice > > > 'restoration' done that was recently priced at $80k). And, often, > > > someone with one to sell gets lucky: someone with disposable income > > > sees one, catches a fancy, and can drop a lot of money on one. But > > > the long and short of it is, it's an old Rover, even if nicely done, > > > even if like new, shouldn't really ever go for more than $20k, and > > > really, $10k is high for one in even pretty good daily driver > > > condition. But, if someone's willing to $30k for one, who am I to > > > say that it 'shouldn't' sell for that? > > > > > Bikes aren't cars. And, I understand that, perhaps, someone is willing > > > to pay a premium because it's got a Joe Bell paintjob, because it's a > > > great paint. But for me, if I was buying a used bike, the fact it > > > has a JB paint job or not wouldn't influence me to want to offer more; > > > IMO, that's something that was worth more to the original buyer who > > > had it painted, but not the average buyer. Sure, maybe it happens to > > > be a JB paintjob in the 'exact' custom color that you would repaint > > > the frame in anyway, then you're actually saving money by not having > > > to repaint it. But, maybe, someone who knows what a JB paintjob is, is > > > probably a different kind of bicyclist, eh? > > > > > Maybe I'm too pessimistic. I usually think of myself as being overly > > > optimistic, but, I really wouldn't see paying 'more' for a frame than > > > what it originally cost. It'd be nice to think that I am wrong on > > > that, maybe my Ram is worth more than what I think, but, I don't see > > > it as an investment, it's simply a great ride. > > > > > As I said, not trying to step on toes, I'm not meaning to offend, but, > > > that's my perspective.... FWIW.....- Hide quoted text - > > > > > - Show quoted text -- Hide quoted text - > > > > - Show quoted text - > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "RBW Owners Bunch" group. > To post to this group, send email to rbw-owners-bunch@googlegroups.com. > To unsubscribe from this group, send email to > rbw-owners-bunch+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. > For more options, visit this group at > http://groups.google.com/group/rbw-owners-bunch?hl=en. > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "RBW Owners Bunch" group. To post to this group, send email to rbw-owners-bunch@googlegroups.com. To unsubscribe from this group, send email to rbw-owners-bunch+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/rbw-owners-bunch?hl=en.
