Dan, that's why I say Wins are luck.

I don't believe in the "play better behind a guy" theory.

BTW.  Lackey is receiving the second best run support of his career. The Sox
are scoring 5.2 runs per 9 innings of his pitching.

All this comes down to one question in my mind: Am I excited to go see the
guy pitch?

Lester -- sure
Dice-K-- No.  Will actually avoid his games
Wake--Always fun
Buchholtz--Yup
Lackey--Saw him.  It was OK

But there are no pitchers like Pedro or Clemens on this team where I feel
lucky to get to a game with them pitching.

On Wed, Jul 21, 2010 at 7:26 AM, Dan DiBiase <[email protected]> wrote:

> I agree that Wins are important, but I don't think they are always a
> measure of just the pitcher's effectiveness. Sometimes
> a team just plays better behind a guy. Maybe it's because he's a fast
> worker and keeps the defense on their toes. Or maybe
> a ground-ball pitcher and the team has an excellent 'ground ball' defense.
> Or maybe they just seem to hit better when a
> particular guy is pitching.... Lackey is a good example this year. I don't
> think anyone would say he has pitched great, and
> he has an ERA of 4.65, yet he is 9-5, which is certainly a good record
> (although it can certainly be debated whether it is
> good enough for a supposed #1 making over $18 million this year...).
>
>
> Dan D
> Central NJ USA
>
>
>
> ------------------------------
> *From:* "Beaudoin, John" <[email protected]>
> *To:* [email protected]
> *Sent:* Tue, July 20, 2010 11:32:16 PM
> *Subject:* Re: Sheesh!
>
>  ERA can be one horrendous game or a season of terrible middle relief.
>
> I think the data just provided (referring to Dice K) shows how an outlier
> datapoint game throws his ERA out of whack.
>
> W's are the most important thing.
>
> Hey, are you going to the game tomorrow?
>
> ------------------------------
>  *From*: [email protected] <[email protected]>
>
> *To*: [email protected] <[email protected]>
> *Sent*: Tue Jul 20 20:03:03 2010
> *Subject*: Re: Sheesh!
>
> W&L is just a measure of run support or luck.
>
> It's meaningless.
>
> On Tue, Jul 20, 2010 at 10:20 PM, Beaudoin, John <[email protected]
> > wrote:
>
>>  W's and L's mean more than ERA, don't you think? ERA is a very very very
>> very good 2nd stat to look at.
>>
>> ------------------------------
>>  *From*: [email protected] <[email protected]>
>>
>> *To*: [email protected] <[email protected]>
>> *Sent*: Tue Jul 20 17:53:02 2010
>> *Subject*: Re: Sheesh!
>>
>> This is why God gave us states.
>>
>> Dice-K ERA: 4.29
>>
>> 4.29 = Meh
>>
>> And that sums up his season.
>>
>> Dice-K has a long way to go before I'll get excited about seeing him
>> pitch.
>>
>> Ray
>>
>>
>> On Tue, Jul 20, 2010 at 7:45 PM, Steve Ouellette <[email protected]
>> > wrote:
>>
>>> That's just not true. Dice K's perceived sins far outweigh the truth.
>>>
>>> On June 7, he threw eight shutout innings.
>>>
>>> That was followed by ...
>>>
>>> 2 runs in 5 IP
>>> 3 runs in 6 IP
>>> 4 runs in 5 IP (an ugly 8 hits and 4 bb)
>>> 2 runs in 6 IP
>>> and last night, 1 run in 6.7 IP
>>>
>>> Prior to the eight shutout innings on June 7, he had given up ...
>>>
>>> 3 runs in 6.7 IP (no walks!)
>>> 3 runs in 4.7 IP (2 hits, but 8 walks!)
>>> 0 runs in 8 IP (1 hit)
>>>
>>> He can still be excruciating to watch, he doesn't go deep into most games
>>> and his first innings have been nightmares, but he hasn't had four straight
>>> pitiful starts (though three of his first four were bad). In his last nine
>>> starts, he's only given up more than three earned runs once (and that was
>>> four). Six of them were "quality" starts.
>>>
>>> Steve O
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Tue, Jul 20, 2010 at 1:01 PM, Larry Rupp <[email protected]> wrote:
>>>
>>>> I'm normally the optimist here but last time he had a good game he
>>>> followed that with 4 straight pitiful ones so until I see some consistency
>>>> from him he's not getting out of the penalty box with me.  It's nice to see
>>>> Beckett back which leaves Lackey, Wake, and Dice to fight for the 2 
>>>> starting
>>>> spots in a 5 man rotation.
>>>>
>>>> Sent from Larry's mobile device
>>>>
>>>> On Jul 20, 2010, at 12:11 PM, Dan DiBiase <[email protected]> wrote:
>>>>
>>>> Having basically discounted him this season, preferring to depend on
>>>> Lester, Bucky and Lackey, if Dice-K could get
>>>> on a nice streak like this, what a benefit that would be.
>>>>
>>>> Dan D
>>>> Central NJ USA
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> ------------------------------
>>>> *From:* "Beaudoin, John" <[email protected]>
>>>> *To:* <[email protected]>[email protected]
>>>> *Sent:* Tue, July 20, 2010 11:57:09 AM
>>>> *Subject:* Re: Sheesh!
>>>>
>>>>  He didn't want to pitch to them. Smart move on his part probably.
>>>>
>>>> He was brilliant.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> ------------------------------
>>>>  *From*: [email protected] <
>>>> [email protected]>
>>>> *To*: [email protected] <[email protected]>
>>>>
>>>> *Sent*: Tue Jul 20 08:54:10 2010
>>>> *Subject*: RE: Sheesh!
>>>>
>>>> OK - Admit it.  Dice-K was almost enjoyable to watch last night.  I have
>>>> never seen him more efficient.  I actually stayed awake through 7 because I
>>>> was enjoying the show.
>>>>
>>>> Funny thing is that he walked only two batters, and both of them were on
>>>> 4 straight balls.  How do you figure?
>>>>
>>>> Steve G
>>>>
>>>>
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>>
>>
>>
>> --
>> Author of "FPGA Simulation: A Complete Step-by-Step Guide"
>> www.fpgasimulation.com
>>
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