[AsburyPark] Fwd: Hurricane Irene - August 27th - 5am

2011-08-27 Thread asburysteve
steve herman, asbury tower
 
 
  

 From: r...@tristatestormwatch.com
To: asburyst...@aol.com
Sent:  8/27/2011 7:22:16 A.M. Eastern Daylight Time
Subj: Hurricane Irene - August  27th - 5am



  
  
 
   

  
   
 
Approaching  StormHURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES  FOR THE ENTIRE NEW JERSEY 
COAST

HURRICANE IRENE  TO IMPACT NEW JERSEY  TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY  MORNING

HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NORTH  CAROLINA THROUGH NEW ENGLAND











Membership Feedback 













  
 
   

AUGUST 27TH - 5:00  AM 
Hurricane Irene is  located about 90 miles south of the Outer Banks and  
about 440 miles south of New Jersey.  The  hurricane has continued to weaken 
as measured by  highest sustained winds, which are down to 90 mph,  however 
the central pressure has not risen meaning  Irene remains a very large 
hurricane with strong winds  over a huge area...but lacking a tight central 
core 
of  extreme winds. 
This does not change  the projected effects as outlined here over the last  
couple of days.   This does however eliminate the  threat of winds over 
80mph.   Irene is  looking more and more like a flooding threat and not a  
damaging wind threat.
It is interesting to  observe that Cape Hatteras just gusted to 83mph and  
Irene is about 110 miles from that location.  So,  to reiterate, the central 
core is weakening but the  large wind field remains in tact. 
Rain begins this  afternoon and ends by Noon on Sunday with 5 to 10  inches 
of rain expected and localized amounts  approaching 15 inches. 
Winds will increase  tonight out of the east...the worst of the winds will  
be between midnight and noon.  Although the winds  will shift to west after 
the center passes.  The  center will pass Atlantic City around 5:00am, Long 
 Beach Island between 6:00am and 7:00am and the Neptune  area around 
8:00am.  Many areas may experience a  calm period as the center of the storm 
moves 
 over.  Gusty west winds will then move in for a  period of several hours.  
Sunday afternoon is  looking more and more as if sunshine will return and  
winds begin to slacken. 
The Sunday morning 7am  high tide is of concerneast winds will have 
been  blowing for many hours and the tide is astronomically  high.  This tide 
is likely to be 4 or 5 above  normal which will be high enough to bring water 
over  the boardwalk is some areas and also flood areas  around back bays 
and lakes.  Also remember that  coastal lakes that drain into the ocean will 
not be  able to at high tide so flooding from rain around  these lakes is 
likely. 
To sum upthis will  be a very nasty storm but the potential for 
widespread  devastation and structural damage seems to be off the  table at 
this 
hour.  I dont want to downplay the  event and leave the impression that all is 
well, but I  have been hearing a lot of doomsday talk from media  outlets 
and I dont see that occurring with  Irene.
I will be putting quick  observations on the web site from time to time as 
we  watch Irene make her way towards us. 
AUGUST 26TH - 9:00  PM
Hurricane Irene is  about 200 miles south-southeast of the Outer Banks and  
about 550 miles south-southeast of the NJ  coast.   Highest sustained winds 
have  decreased to 100mph, however the radius of tropical  storm force and 
hurricane winds is massive.  The  cloud shield from Irene extends from Long 
Island to  central Florida.  The satellite imagery of Irene  was not overly 
impressive during the day but has  improved a bit over the last few hours.  
Irene  will make landfall late tonight over eastern North  Carolina and 
continue on a track near or just east of  Norfolk, VA tomorrow morning. 
Because the hurricane  is very large, it is important not to focus on the  
actual center of the storm because there is really no  chance that we escape 
the brunt of Irene. 
Tropical storm force  winds will arrive near or just before midnight  
tomorrow night and continue late morning on  Sunday. 
Six foot swells have  reached our waters and the high tide that just past  
around 6pm this evening reached about half way between  the standard high 
water mark and the dunes in Ocean  Grove.  This is a bit disconcerting because 
we  are still three high tide cycles from the highest tide  expected Sunday 
morning. 
The remaining aspects  of the morning forecast remain in effect including 
the  projected rainfall and winds. 
Next update will be  Saturday morning


AUGUST 26TH - 1:00  PM 
HURRICANE WARNING  CONTINUES 
Midday forecast  guidance reveals no changes in forecast track 
Highest winds are  105mph, no further strengthening is expected.   Irene is 
a very large hurricane and strong winds  extend well out from the center so 
this lack of  additional strengthening really does not impact the  expected 
conditions in our area. 
The eye of Irene will  likely be passing over the NJ coast between 5am and  
7am down near Cape May and between 8am and 10am in the  Neptune 

[AsburyPark] first set of pix of Hurricane...surfers in loch arbor

2011-08-27 Thread asburysteve
_Flickr: Your  Photostream_ (http://www.flickr.com/photos/asburysteve)  
 
steve herman
asbury tower

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]





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[AsburyPark] Re: Fwd: Hurricane Irene - August 26th - 5am

2011-08-27 Thread fancypaaantz
My feeling is, hopefully we do not get a storm surge and the flooding is not so 
bad. But... if it is a worse case scenario and you need to be rescued, then you 
are not only in danger but you put those who may need to rescue you in danger. 
For me, I removed my valuables to the extent I really have any, set the alarm 
and I hope for the best. (And I have insurance and took video of what the house 
looked like before leaving for the insurance) I have a young child and I would 
not want to put anyone in danger. I think the issue with this storm is how slow 
moving it is and how much rain and surge it could generate. I saw Deal Lake 
overflow from just heavy rain. The looting is hopefully what the curfew is 
meant to prevent.

--- In AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com, Claire Davids claire.davids@... wrote:

 That was one of my worries too - looting.  My husband is away, my sister
 is arriving today with her 14 month old, i have  5  yr old and a dog and a
 cat. my husband says leave but i just don't know - i also don't want
 to leave it too late.
 
 can't tell you how much i'm looking forward to a drive to newark and back
 this afternoon with all the evacuees on the road!!
 
 
 
 On Fri, Aug 26, 2011 at 9:04 AM, cbrianwatkins@... wrote:
 
  I am sending my fiance, mother in law, and my shihtzu's west, to east
  brunswick
 
  Myself and my big dog will be staying behind, ifI mean when we lose
  power, my alarm system will be down. I don't want to run the risk of someone
  breaking in and cleaning me out
 
  I'm fully supplied for 15days
 
 
 
 
  Sent from my Verizon Wireless BlackBerry
 
  -Original Message-
  From: Claire Davids claire.davids@...
  Sender: AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com
  Date: Fri, 26 Aug 2011 08:39:57
  To: AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com
  Reply-To: AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com
  Subject: Re: [AsburyPark] Fwd: Hurricane Irene - August 26th - 5am
 
  is anyone planning on jumping ship?  i'm torn, i don't want to be the
  melodramatic and go racing out of here  but also don't want to be the idiot
  who stays and has a problem... I on the 500 block (so 5 blocks back from
  the
  water) - curious what other people are doing??  my plan is to stay put but
  i
  could be swayed.
 
  On Fri, Aug 26, 2011 at 8:12 AM, asburysteve@... wrote:
 
   **
  
  
   steve herman, asbury tower
  
  
  
  
   From: rick@...
   To: asburysteve@...
   Sent: 8/26/2011 7:46:54 A.M. Eastern Daylight Time
   Subj: Hurricane Irene - August 26th - 5am
  
   Approaching StormTHE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
   WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE NEW JERSEY COAST
  
   HURRICANE IRENE TO IMPACT NEW JERSEY SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
   AFTERNOON
  
   HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH NEW JERSEY.
   HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NEW YORK CITY THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
  
   Membership Feedback
  
   AUGUST 26TH - 5:00 AM
   HURRICANE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE NJ COAST. PREPARATIONS TO
   PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION
   At 5:00 am Hurricane Irene was located about 700 miles south of the NJ
   coast with maximum sustained winds of 110 mph. The hurricane has deepened
   overnight as evidenced by a drop in central pressure (943mb) however this
   deepening has translated into a more expansive wind field rather than
   higher
   winds around the center. Hurricane force winds now extend outward from
   the center by almost 100 miles and tropical storm force winds extend
   outward
   about 300 miles.
   Forecast guidance overnight has changed very little as far as the track
   is concerned and Irene is still forecast to track over or just east of
  the
   NJ coast. At this point there should be little focus on the track since
   Irene is such a large storm, there will be major effects from the storm
   regardless.
   One important trend overnight is to accelerate Irene just a bit. This
   has a significant impact in that it is going to bring the worst of
  Irene's
   wrath closer to that all important Sunday 7am high tide. Irene's closest
   passage looks to NJ looks to be between 8am and 11am and any further
   acceleration is going to bring that window right into the high tide
  period.
  
   Rain will begin Saturday afternoon. Rain and increasing wind will begin
   around or just after midnight Saturday night. The worst of the hurricane
   will occur between 4am and Noon on Sunday when wind gusts of 80mph may
   occur.
   Winds will back to the west after Irene passes our latitude and remain
   gusty Sunday afternoon but skies will likely begin to clear.
   Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches, with isolated amounts approaching 15
   inches, are expected throughout the state.
   A storm surge of 3 to 6 feet is forecast by the National Weather Service
   which will result in dangerous coastal flooding, complete washover of
   beaches and the potential for damage to boardwalks, piers and other
   beachfront
   

[AsburyPark] Re: Fwd: Hurricane Irene - August 26th - 5am

2011-08-27 Thread fancypaaantz
My outside furniture is really heavy iron furniture that is has holes, and my 
house has a little narrow area on the side and the back that is protected with 
high, solid fencing, so I shoved it all on the back and side of the house, 
laying it all down and tied it together. The low heavy iron table I tied to the 
deck post. Anything light I brought in. 

--- In AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com, dfsavgny dfsavgny@... wrote:

 furniture in and what cant come in is tied down. Had to do this at staten 
 island and here
 
 --- In AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com, cbrianwatkins@ wrote:
 
  I'm putting everything in my yard as close to my house as possible
  
  I'm afraid my new Willow tree is going to get uprooted
  
  Sent from my Verizon Wireless BlackBerry
  
  -Original Message-
  From: Claire Davids claire.davids@
  Sender: AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com
  Date: Fri, 26 Aug 2011 09:09:34 
  To: AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com
  Reply-To: AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com
  Subject: Re: [AsburyPark] Fwd: Hurricane Irene - August 26th - 5am
  
  oh - and what about furniture - is everyone bringing it in - i'm looking up
  and down the road and none of my neighbours have yet.
  
  On Fri, Aug 26, 2011 at 9:08 AM, Claire Davids
  claire.davids@wrote:
  
   That was one of my worries too - looting.  My husband is away, my
   sister is arriving today with her 14 month old, i have  5  yr old and a 
   dog
   and a cat. my husband says leave but i just don't know - i also
   don't want to leave it too late.
  
   can't tell you how much i'm looking forward to a drive to newark and back
   this afternoon with all the evacuees on the road!!
  
  
  
   On Fri, Aug 26, 2011 at 9:04 AM, cbrianwatkins@ wrote:
  
   I am sending my fiance, mother in law, and my shihtzu's west, to east
   brunswick
  
   Myself and my big dog will be staying behind, ifI mean when we lose
   power, my alarm system will be down. I don't want to run the risk of 
   someone
   breaking in and cleaning me out
  
   I'm fully supplied for 15days
  
  
  
  
   Sent from my Verizon Wireless BlackBerry
  
   -Original Message-
   From: Claire Davids claire.davids@
   Sender: AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com
   Date: Fri, 26 Aug 2011 08:39:57
   To: AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com
   Reply-To: AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com
   Subject: Re: [AsburyPark] Fwd: Hurricane Irene - August 26th - 5am
  
   is anyone planning on jumping ship?  i'm torn, i don't want to be the
   melodramatic and go racing out of here  but also don't want to be the
   idiot
   who stays and has a problem... I on the 500 block (so 5 blocks back from
   the
   water) - curious what other people are doing??  my plan is to stay put 
   but
   i
   could be swayed.
  
   On Fri, Aug 26, 2011 at 8:12 AM, asburysteve@ wrote:
  
**
   
   
steve herman, asbury tower
   
   
   
   
From: rick@
To: asburysteve@
Sent: 8/26/2011 7:46:54 A.M. Eastern Daylight Time
Subj: Hurricane Irene - August 26th - 5am
   
Approaching StormTHE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE NEW JERSEY COAST
   
HURRICANE IRENE TO IMPACT NEW JERSEY SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY 
SUNDAY
AFTERNOON
   
HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH NEW JERSEY.
HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NEW YORK CITY THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW
   ENGLAND
   
Membership Feedback
   
AUGUST 26TH - 5:00 AM
HURRICANE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE NJ COAST. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION
At 5:00 am Hurricane Irene was located about 700 miles south of the NJ
coast with maximum sustained winds of 110 mph. The hurricane has
   deepened
overnight as evidenced by a drop in central pressure (943mb) however
   this
deepening has translated into a more expansive wind field rather than
higher
winds around the center. Hurricane force winds now extend outward from
the center by almost 100 miles and tropical storm force winds extend
outward
about 300 miles.
Forecast guidance overnight has changed very little as far as the track
is concerned and Irene is still forecast to track over or just east of
   the
NJ coast. At this point there should be little focus on the track since
Irene is such a large storm, there will be major effects from the storm
regardless.
One important trend overnight is to accelerate Irene just a bit. This
has a significant impact in that it is going to bring the worst of
   Irene's
wrath closer to that all important Sunday 7am high tide. Irene's 
closest
passage looks to NJ looks to be between 8am and 11am and any further
acceleration is going to bring that window right into the high tide
   period.
   
Rain will begin Saturday afternoon. Rain and increasing wind will begin
around or just after midnight Saturday night. The worst of the 
hurricane
will 

Re: [AsburyPark] Re: Fwd: Hurricane Irene - August 26th - 5am

2011-08-27 Thread Claire Davids
We did the same, we just left. I have ny 5 yr old and my sisters 14
month old and we figured they're not replaceable!  Better safe than
sorry good luck everyone!

Claire Davids
iParcel / ITS
+16464316239 - mobile
+12015492502 - direct
On Aug 27, 2011 11:33 AM, fancypaaantz fancypaaa...@yahoo.com wrote:
 My feeling is, hopefully we do not get a storm surge and the flooding is
not so bad. But... if it is a worse case scenario and you need to be
rescued, then you are not only in danger but you put those who may need to
rescue you in danger. For me, I removed my valuables to the extent I
really have any, set the alarm and I hope for the best. (And I have
insurance and took video of what the house looked like before leaving for
the insurance) I have a young child and I would not want to put anyone in
danger. I think the issue with this storm is how slow moving it is and how
much rain and surge it could generate. I saw Deal Lake overflow from just
heavy rain. The looting is hopefully what the curfew is meant to prevent.

 --- In AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com, Claire Davids claire.davids@...
wrote:

 That was one of my worries too - looting. My husband is away, my
sister
 is arriving today with her 14 month old, i have 5 yr old and a dog and a
 cat. my husband says leave but i just don't know - i also don't want
 to leave it too late.

 can't tell you how much i'm looking forward to a drive to newark and back
 this afternoon with all the evacuees on the road!!



 On Fri, Aug 26, 2011 at 9:04 AM, cbrianwatkins@... wrote:

  I am sending my fiance, mother in law, and my shihtzu's west, to east
  brunswick
 
  Myself and my big dog will be staying behind, ifI mean when we lose
  power, my alarm system will be down. I don't want to run the risk of
someone
  breaking in and cleaning me out
 
  I'm fully supplied for 15days
 
 
 
 
  Sent from my Verizon Wireless BlackBerry
 
  -Original Message-
  From: Claire Davids claire.davids@...
  Sender: AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com
  Date: Fri, 26 Aug 2011 08:39:57
  To: AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com
  Reply-To: AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com
  Subject: Re: [AsburyPark] Fwd: Hurricane Irene - August 26th - 5am
 
  is anyone planning on jumping ship? i'm torn, i don't want to be the
  melodramatic and go racing out of here but also don't want to be the
idiot
  who stays and has a problem... I on the 500 block (so 5 blocks back
from
  the
  water) - curious what other people are doing?? my plan is to stay put
but
  i
  could be swayed.
 
  On Fri, Aug 26, 2011 at 8:12 AM, asburysteve@... wrote:
 
   **
  
  
   steve herman, asbury tower
  
  
  
  
   From: rick@...
   To: asburysteve@...
   Sent: 8/26/2011 7:46:54 A.M. Eastern Daylight Time
   Subj: Hurricane Irene - August 26th - 5am
  
   Approaching StormTHE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
   WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE NEW JERSEY COAST
  
   HURRICANE IRENE TO IMPACT NEW JERSEY SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY
   AFTERNOON
  
   HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH NEW JERSEY.
   HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NEW YORK CITY THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND
  
   Membership Feedback
  
   AUGUST 26TH - 5:00 AM
   HURRICANE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE NJ COAST. PREPARATIONS TO
   PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION
   At 5:00 am Hurricane Irene was located about 700 miles south of the
NJ
   coast with maximum sustained winds of 110 mph. The hurricane has
deepened
   overnight as evidenced by a drop in central pressure (943mb) however
this
   deepening has translated into a more expansive wind field rather than
   higher
   winds around the center. Hurricane force winds now extend outward
from
   the center by almost 100 miles and tropical storm force winds extend
   outward
   about 300 miles.
   Forecast guidance overnight has changed very little as far as the
track
   is concerned and Irene is still forecast to track over or just east
of
  the
   NJ coast. At this point there should be little focus on the track
since
   Irene is such a large storm, there will be major effects from the
storm
   regardless.
   One important trend overnight is to accelerate Irene just a bit. This
   has a significant impact in that it is going to bring the worst of
  Irene's
   wrath closer to that all important Sunday 7am high tide. Irene's
closest
   passage looks to NJ looks to be between 8am and 11am and any further
   acceleration is going to bring that window right into the high tide
  period.
  
   Rain will begin Saturday afternoon. Rain and increasing wind will
begin
   around or just after midnight Saturday night. The worst of the
hurricane
   will occur between 4am and Noon on Sunday when wind gusts of 80mph
may
   occur.
   Winds will back to the west after Irene passes our latitude and
remain
   gusty Sunday afternoon but skies will likely begin to clear.
   Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches, with isolated amounts approaching

Re: [AsburyPark] Re: Fwd: Hurricane Irene - August 26th - 5am

2011-08-27 Thread Claire Davids
Claire Davids
iParcel / ITS
+16464316239 - mobile
+12015492502 - direct
On Aug 27, 2011 11:33 AM, fancypaaantz fancypaaa...@yahoo.com wrote:
 My feeling is, hopefully we do not get a storm surge and the flooding is
not so bad. But... if it is a worse case scenario and you need to be
rescued, then you are not only in danger but you put those who may need to
rescue you in danger. For me, I removed my valuables to the extent I
really have any, set the alarm and I hope for the best. (And I have
insurance and took video of what the house looked like before leaving for
the insurance) I have a young child and I would not want to put anyone in
danger. I think the issue with this storm is how slow moving it is and how
much rain and surge it could generate. I saw Deal Lake overflow from just
heavy rain. The looting is hopefully what the curfew is meant to prevent.

 --- In AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com, Claire Davids claire.davids@...
wrote:

 That was one of my worries too - looting. My husband is away, my
sister
 is arriving today with her 14 month old, i have 5 yr old and a dog and a
 cat. my husband says leave but i just don't know - i also don't want
 to leave it too late.

 can't tell you how much i'm looking forward to a drive to newark and back
 this afternoon with all the evacuees on the road!!



 On Fri, Aug 26, 2011 at 9:04 AM, cbrianwatkins@... wrote:

  I am sending my fiance, mother in law, and my shihtzu's west, to east
  brunswick
 
  Myself and my big dog will be staying behind, ifI mean when we lose
  power, my alarm system will be down. I don't want to run the risk of
someone
  breaking in and cleaning me out
 
  I'm fully supplied for 15days
 
 
 
 
  Sent from my Verizon Wireless BlackBerry
 
  -Original Message-
  From: Claire Davids claire.davids@...
  Sender: AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com
  Date: Fri, 26 Aug 2011 08:39:57
  To: AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com
  Reply-To: AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com
  Subject: Re: [AsburyPark] Fwd: Hurricane Irene - August 26th - 5am
 
  is anyone planning on jumping ship? i'm torn, i don't want to be the
  melodramatic and go racing out of here but also don't want to be the
idiot
  who stays and has a problem... I on the 500 block (so 5 blocks back
from
  the
  water) - curious what other people are doing?? my plan is to stay put
but
  i
  could be swayed.
 
  On Fri, Aug 26, 2011 at 8:12 AM, asburysteve@... wrote:
 
   **
  
  
   steve herman, asbury tower
  
  
  
  
   From: rick@...
   To: asburysteve@...
   Sent: 8/26/2011 7:46:54 A.M. Eastern Daylight Time
   Subj: Hurricane Irene - August 26th - 5am
  
   Approaching StormTHE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
   WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE NEW JERSEY COAST
  
   HURRICANE IRENE TO IMPACT NEW JERSEY SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY
   AFTERNOON
  
   HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH NEW JERSEY.
   HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NEW YORK CITY THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND
  
   Membership Feedback
  
   AUGUST 26TH - 5:00 AM
   HURRICANE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE NJ COAST. PREPARATIONS TO
   PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION
   At 5:00 am Hurricane Irene was located about 700 miles south of the
NJ
   coast with maximum sustained winds of 110 mph. The hurricane has
deepened
   overnight as evidenced by a drop in central pressure (943mb) however
this
   deepening has translated into a more expansive wind field rather than
   higher
   winds around the center. Hurricane force winds now extend outward
from
   the center by almost 100 miles and tropical storm force winds extend
   outward
   about 300 miles.
   Forecast guidance overnight has changed very little as far as the
track
   is concerned and Irene is still forecast to track over or just east
of
  the
   NJ coast. At this point there should be little focus on the track
since
   Irene is such a large storm, there will be major effects from the
storm
   regardless.
   One important trend overnight is to accelerate Irene just a bit. This
   has a significant impact in that it is going to bring the worst of
  Irene's
   wrath closer to that all important Sunday 7am high tide. Irene's
closest
   passage looks to NJ looks to be between 8am and 11am and any further
   acceleration is going to bring that window right into the high tide
  period.
  
   Rain will begin Saturday afternoon. Rain and increasing wind will
begin
   around or just after midnight Saturday night. The worst of the
hurricane
   will occur between 4am and Noon on Sunday when wind gusts of 80mph
may
   occur.
   Winds will back to the west after Irene passes our latitude and
remain
   gusty Sunday afternoon but skies will likely begin to clear.
   Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches, with isolated amounts approaching
15
   inches, are expected throughout the state.
   A storm surge of 3 to 6 feet is forecast by the National Weather
Service
   which will result in dangerous coastal 

Re: [AsburyPark] Re: Fwd: Hurricane Irene - August 26th - 5am

2011-08-27 Thread Mike Hemeon
Good luck to all that stayed! Maybe we can have more heated discussions after 
the storm.
 
Mike

From: Claire Davids claire.dav...@its-ship.com
To: AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Saturday, August 27, 2011 12:09 PM
Subject: Re: [AsburyPark] Re: Fwd: Hurricane Irene - August 26th - 5am


  
We did the same, we just left. I have ny 5 yr old and my sisters 14
month old and we figured they're not replaceable! Better safe than
sorry good luck everyone!

Claire Davids
iParcel / ITS
+16464316239 - mobile
+12015492502 - direct
On Aug 27, 2011 11:33 AM, fancypaaantz fancypaaa...@yahoo.com wrote:
 My feeling is, hopefully we do not get a storm surge and the flooding is
not so bad. But... if it is a worse case scenario and you need to be
rescued, then you are not only in danger but you put those who may need to
rescue you in danger. For me, I removed my valuables to the extent I
really have any, set the alarm and I hope for the best. (And I have
insurance and took video of what the house looked like before leaving for
the insurance) I have a young child and I would not want to put anyone in
danger. I think the issue with this storm is how slow moving it is and how
much rain and surge it could generate. I saw Deal Lake overflow from just
heavy rain. The looting is hopefully what the curfew is meant to prevent.

 --- In AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com, Claire Davids claire.davids@...
wrote:

 That was one of my worries too - looting. My husband is away, my
sister
 is arriving today with her 14 month old, i have 5 yr old and a dog and a
 cat. my husband says leave but i just don't know - i also don't want
 to leave it too late.

 can't tell you how much i'm looking forward to a drive to newark and back
 this afternoon with all the evacuees on the road!!



 On Fri, Aug 26, 2011 at 9:04 AM, cbrianwatkins@... wrote:

  I am sending my fiance, mother in law, and my shihtzu's west, to east
  brunswick
 
  Myself and my big dog will be staying behind, ifI mean when we lose
  power, my alarm system will be down. I don't want to run the risk of
someone
  breaking in and cleaning me out
 
  I'm fully supplied for 15days
 
 
 
 
  Sent from my Verizon Wireless BlackBerry
 
  -Original Message-
  From: Claire Davids claire.davids@...
  Sender: AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com
  Date: Fri, 26 Aug 2011 08:39:57
  To: AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com
  Reply-To: AsburyPark@yahoogroups.com
  Subject: Re: [AsburyPark] Fwd: Hurricane Irene - August 26th - 5am
 
  is anyone planning on jumping ship? i'm torn, i don't want to be the
  melodramatic and go racing out of here but also don't want to be the
idiot
  who stays and has a problem... I on the 500 block (so 5 blocks back
from
  the
  water) - curious what other people are doing?? my plan is to stay put
but
  i
  could be swayed.
 
  On Fri, Aug 26, 2011 at 8:12 AM, asburysteve@... wrote:
 
   **
  
  
   steve herman, asbury tower
  
  
  
  
   From: rick@...
   To: asburysteve@...
   Sent: 8/26/2011 7:46:54 A.M. Eastern Daylight Time
   Subj: Hurricane Irene - August 26th - 5am
  
   Approaching StormTHE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
   WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE NEW JERSEY COAST
  
   HURRICANE IRENE TO IMPACT NEW JERSEY SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY
   AFTERNOON
  
   HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH NEW JERSEY.
   HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NEW YORK CITY THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND
  
   Membership Feedback
  
   AUGUST 26TH - 5:00 AM
   HURRICANE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE NJ COAST. PREPARATIONS TO
   PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION
   At 5:00 am Hurricane Irene was located about 700 miles south of the
NJ
   coast with maximum sustained winds of 110 mph. The hurricane has
deepened
   overnight as evidenced by a drop in central pressure (943mb) however
this
   deepening has translated into a more expansive wind field rather than
   higher
   winds around the center. Hurricane force winds now extend outward
from
   the center by almost 100 miles and tropical storm force winds extend
   outward
   about 300 miles.
   Forecast guidance overnight has changed very little as far as the
track
   is concerned and Irene is still forecast to track over or just east
of
  the
   NJ coast. At this point there should be little focus on the track
since
   Irene is such a large storm, there will be major effects from the
storm
   regardless.
   One important trend overnight is to accelerate Irene just a bit. This
   has a significant impact in that it is going to bring the worst of
  Irene's
   wrath closer to that all important Sunday 7am high tide. Irene's
closest
   passage looks to NJ looks to be between 8am and 11am and any further
   acceleration is going to bring that window right into the high tide
  period.
  
   Rain will begin Saturday afternoon. Rain and increasing wind will
begin
   around or just after midnight Saturday night. The worst of the
hurricane
  

[AsburyPark] Status Report

2011-08-27 Thread wernerapnj
Midnight Saturday

Gusts of wind and waves of rain assault the 5th Ave command post...

The facility creaks and shutters under the strain.

Access roads appear impassible.

Provisions adequate.

Utilities functioning.

We shall return.

Over and out

Werner








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