Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-16 Thread Robert Seeberger

- Original Message - 
From: Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Friday, October 15, 2004 10:37 PM
Subject: Re: brin: My big salvo


 --- Robert Seeberger [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 wrote:
  I think that could also be explained by his
  relationship with Bandar
  (among others).
  I'm sure he wants to curry favor with a longtime
  family business
  partner.
 
 
  xponent
  Alternate Maru
  rob

 Why?  He's _President of the United States_ - in Bill
 Clinton's remarkably crass phrase, he has high
 earning potential after he leaves office.  Apart from
 which, the extent to which the Bushes and the Saudis
 have a business relationship basically works out to
 they both invest with the Carlyle Group.  I thought
 about getting a job at Carlyle, it doesn't mean I'm in
 the pay of the Saudis...

In the sense that Bandar is a close family *friend* (as opposed to
just a business partner). Would you alienate a close friend by
insulting his religion publicly?

To the contrary, I would think that it would be beneficial to his
friendship and business dealings if he were to stand up for American
Islam publicly.
Then too, it is beneficial for him politically  with the domestic
opposition to publicly defend Islamics. He does have a responsibility
(as POTUS) to maintain lawfulness.

My point being, that being a wonderful human being is not the only
explanation for Bush defending domestic Islam. On that account he may
well be, but this event does little to prove so.

xponent
Not The Only Contrarian On The ListG Maru
rob


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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-15 Thread Erik Reuter
On Thu, Oct 14, 2004 at 08:23:18PM -0700, Gautam Mukunda wrote:

 If he couldn't even bring himself to support the Gulf War in 1991,
 then the next time somebody kills a few thousand Americans (and it
 will happen) what is he going to do when France, Russia, and China
 doesn't give a response their seal of approval (and they won't)?

Wouldn't Kerry's opinion on Afghanistan be a better test of this
question than his opinion on Iraq?

I think whether one supports intervening to promote global freedom and
democracy is a very different question than whether one supports a war
to directly protect (avenge, deter future taking of, etc.) the lives of
Americans


-- 
Erik Reuter   http://www.erikreuter.net/
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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-15 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Erik Reuter [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Wouldn't Kerry's opinion on Afghanistan be a better
 test of this
 question than his opinion on Iraq?
 
 I think whether one supports intervening to promote
 global freedom and
 democracy is a very different question than whether
 one supports a war
 to directly protect (avenge, deter future taking of,
 etc.) the lives of
 Americans
 
 Erik Reuter   http://www.erikreuter.net/

Sure, but Gulf War I was somewhere between those two,
right, it was a war to directly protect and defend US
interests (i.e. a harder call than your second example
and an easier one than your first). So what we know is
that Kerry didn't support that one, and that was not a
hard choice to make.  

As for Afghanistan - the problem is we don't really
know what Kerry would have done there, because as far
as I can tell, every major act in Kerry's political
career can be explained by asking the question What
could he do that will best advance his short term
ambitions?  The greatest power of the Presidency is
framing the debate, and President Bush framed the
debate in a way that made not invading Afghanistan out
of the question.  It didn't have to be that way.  I
watched a panel discussion at the Kennedy School soon
after 9/11 conducted by four senior Clinton advisors -
and all any of them thought we should do is reevaluate
our position with regards to the Arab world, rethink
our support of Israel, and so on.  None of them even
mentioned what was, to me, overwhelmingly the most
important thing, which was finding the people
responsible and killing them.  Note, I'm not saying
that a Democratic President wouldn't have attacked.  I
think most Democrats would have - but there's a
powerful strain in the Democratic Party that would not
have, and Kerry, to the extent he has any principles
whatsoever, appears to be a representative of that
part of the party.

=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com



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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-15 Thread David Brin

 as I can tell, every major act in Kerry's political
 career can be explained by asking the question What
 could he do that will best advance his short term
 ambitions?

Like his leadership in pushing to find answers about
our Vietnam MIAs, back when the nation wanted to just
forget it all ever happened.  Uh huh.

Find one brave or selfless act ever performed by W,
beyond allowing his dad's friends to buy him fighter
jet lessons and then to buy him a baseball team.
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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-15 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message - 
From: David Brin [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Friday, October 15, 2004 10:40 AM
Subject: Re: brin: My big salvo



  as I can tell, every major act in Kerry's political
  career can be explained by asking the question What
  could he do that will best advance his short term
  ambitions?

 Like his leadership in pushing to find answers about
 our Vietnam MIAs, back when the nation wanted to just
 forget it all ever happened.  Uh huh.

IIRC, Kerry got a decent amount of favorable press on that. In fact, once I
associated him instead of Bob Kerry with that action, I realized it was the
main that brought him to my attention at the time...(getting him mixed up
with Bob doesn't help my case, thought, does it?).

  Many in the nation did want to forget Viet Nam.  But, I can remember
seeing a decent number of small POW-MIA flags flying under the US flag
during that period...from various flag polls.  It was still an issue for a
large number of people, and Kerry did something to address it.

Now, I wouldn't argue that it wasn't, also, a sincere effort from someone
who wanted to bring resolution to the families of those who lost
sons/brothers/fathers/husbands under uncertain circumstances.  My guess is
that it was.  But, it did help him politically, so I don't think it
qualifies as an action that is absolutely inconsistent with political
motivations.


Dan M.


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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-15 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message - 
From: David Brin [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Friday, October 15, 2004 10:40 AM
Subject: Re: brin: My big salvo



 Find one brave or selfless act ever performed by W,
 beyond allowing his dad's friends to buy him fighter
 jet lessons and then to buy him a baseball team.

After 9-11 he went out of his way  to ensure that American Muslims would
not feel the brunt of the public's anger.  He surprised me with how
strongly he reacted to those who attacked Muslims in the US, calling them
as bad as the terrorists.  His record after that, supporting Ashcroft, is
more suspect, but at the time he did a great deal to forestall the chances
of a lynch mob mentality taking over the US.

It may not seem like much to you, but in the Evangelical community, where
Islam is considered by many a false religion, his actions would be
controversial.  Indeed, we lost a good fraction of the conservatives
members of our church for hosting a multi-faith Thanksgiving observation at
our church, because it included religions other than Christianity and
Judaism.  He did something that I think a significant fraction of
Evangelicals thought was wrong in order to show his support of American
Muslims.

There are plenty of areas in which I think GWB is just wrong.  I think his
administration is incompetent.  But, like Paul Begala, I have a mostly
positive personal view of him.  (Paul said...and this is from memory...
George Bush is a very likeable guy..._I_ like him, and I'm opposed to most
of his policies...I think he is a genuinely nice guy)

I agree with you that his tax policy is very wrong.  But, unlike you, I
think he is just a true believer in Reaganomics.  Listen to him in the
debate...by cutting taxes you put money in the hands of the people who
create jobs.  Sure it involves the suspension of  disbelief, but no more
so than some of the ideas my Libertarian and leftist friends have floated.

Unfortunately, while I have a better view of Kerry's potential than Gautam
(I think his is from F to C- and mine is from D- to C), I am not happy with
our choices.  It appears that we now have a choice between people who
believe what they will in the face of all facts, and people without much
convictionthat's not just left/right, BTW.  Its that the centrists seem
to have left conviction to the unreasonable true believers of all stripes.
To twist a Yeats poem, its as if:


Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;
Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,
...
The competent lack all conviction, while the incompetent
Are full of passionate intensity.

Dan M.


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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-15 Thread David Brin

--- Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 I agree with you that his tax policy is very wrong. 
 But, unlike you, I
 think he is just a true believer in Reaganomics. 

Yes, even though it has been decisively repudiated by
economists, has failed all experimental evidence in
the real world, and is obviously a rationalization for
relentlessly favoring an aristocratic elite that do
NOT re-invest their windfall in plants and equipment.

The true experiment was Clintonomics.  Any 
examination of theory and results would have won over
honest people to seeing what simply works.

No, this is about character.  Bullheaded aristocratic
superiority and assumption of God-given rightness,
over-ruling evidence.

No wonder he makes waffling the principal issue
against Kerry.  As a pragmatist, JFK may seem
insufficiently passionate a centrist.  Certainly he
seems less passionate a centrist than I am at 
http://www.davidbrin.com/neocons.html

But by their very nature AS centrists, the people
AROUND him will be willing to perceive new evidence
and plan new plans.


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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-15 Thread Gary Denton
On Fri, 15 Oct 2004 06:22:44 -0700 (PDT), Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 --- Erik Reuter [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Wouldn't Kerry's opinion on Afghanistan be a better
  test of this
  question than his opinion on Iraq?
 
  I think whether one supports intervening to promote
  global freedom and
  democracy is a very different question than whether
  one supports a war
  to directly protect (avenge, deter future taking of,
  etc.) the lives of
  Americans

The Senate was closely divided on Gulf War 1, the opposition,
including Kerry, felt that Bush 1 was ignoring opportunities to end it
without military conflict.  I supported that War but did see Bush and
Powell often misleading the public to rush to war.


Gary Denton
-- 
#2 on google for liberal news
http://elemming2.blogspot.com
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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-15 Thread Damon Agretto
 I supported that War but
 did see Bush and
 Powell often misleading the public to rush to war.

Just curious, but if GW1 ended up being a disaster,
with 10K American and allied soldiers coming home in
body bags, would you have still supported the war?

Damon.


=

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[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Qui desiderat pacem, praeparet bellum.
http://www.geocities.com/garrand.geo/index.html
Now Building: Legends Aussie Centurion Mk.5/1




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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-15 Thread Alberto Monteiro
Dan Minette wrote:

 It may not seem like much to you, but in the Evangelical community, where
 Islam is considered by many a false religion, (...)

What nonsense! Every Evangelical leader should place Muhammad
among the precursors of the Reform, a minor reformism before
Luther did the right thing! :-)

Alberto Monteiro

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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-15 Thread Robert Seeberger
Dan Minette wrote:
 - Original Message -
 From: David Brin [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Sent: Friday, October 15, 2004 10:40 AM
 Subject: Re: brin: My big salvo



 Find one brave or selfless act ever performed by W,
 beyond allowing his dad's friends to buy him fighter
 jet lessons and then to buy him a baseball team.

 After 9-11 he went out of his way  to ensure that American Muslims
 would not feel the brunt of the public's anger.  He surprised me
with
 how strongly he reacted to those who attacked Muslims in the US,
 calling them as bad as the terrorists.  His record after that,
 supporting Ashcroft, is more suspect, but at the time he did a great
 deal to forestall the chances of a lynch mob mentality taking over
 the US.

I think that could also be explained by his relationship with Bandar
(among others).
I'm sure he wants to curry favor with a longtime family business
partner.


xponent
Alternate Maru
rob


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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-15 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Robert Seeberger [EMAIL PROTECTED]
wrote:
 I think that could also be explained by his
 relationship with Bandar
 (among others).
 I'm sure he wants to curry favor with a longtime
 family business
 partner.
 
 
 xponent
 Alternate Maru
 rob

Why?  He's _President of the United States_ - in Bill
Clinton's remarkably crass phrase, he has high
earning potential after he leaves office.  Apart from
which, the extent to which the Bushes and the Saudis
have a business relationship basically works out to
they both invest with the Carlyle Group.  I thought
about getting a job at Carlyle, it doesn't mean I'm in
the pay of the Saudis...

=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com



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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-15 Thread David Brin

  I'm sure he wants to curry favor with a longtime
  family business
  partner.

 Why?  He's _President of the United States_ - in
 Bill
 Clinton's remarkably crass phrase, he has high
 earning potential after he leaves office.  Apart
 from
 which, the extent to which the Bushes and the Saudis
 have a business relationship basically works out to
 they both invest with the Carlyle Group.  I thought
 about getting a job at Carlyle, it doesn't mean I'm
 in
 the pay of the Saudis...

Now here's what I mean about the futility of these
conversations.  I long ago put out a challenge to show
any evidence that the Bushes are not the lickspittle
personal slaves of the Saudi Royal House.  

Their absolute and total willingness to spreadeagle
the US national interest to Riyadh ranges from
sabotage of our energy policy to turning a blind eye
to utter international Jihad.

At first I wondered if W slipped the leash somehow in
ordering the spasm attack on Saddam, since Riyadh had
ordered the shameful stain, our betrayal of the Shiite
rebels in 91, laving Saddam in power.  But now it's
clear that this reversal, too, utterly serves Saudi
self interest.

By embroiling us in a Vietnam in the Middle East, the
Saudis are getting everything they could want. Each
day we provide grist for Al Jazeera's campaign to
unite all of Islam, from Morocco to Java, for the 1st
time in 1,000 years.  Our finest troops are mired and
our reserves used up.  The economy is taking a hit AND
American society is riven with division.

The Arab shiites puzzled me a little, since the Saudis
ordered the shameful stain in 91 in order to stop free
shiite arabs from thriving near their own minority. 
But now I see.  They saw IRANIAN influence rising
among the Iraqi shiites.  They had to act.

We are their tool.
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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-14 Thread JDG
At 05:07 PM 10/11/2004 -0500 Gary Denton wrote:
Typically meaningless - Clinton had by far the highest percentage of
vote of the candidates.  Clinton governed centrist, 

One thing I love about liberals is their modesty.Apparently propsing a
government take-over of the national health care industry is centrism in
the minds of liberals.

Oh yeah,  and Clinton's first major initiative was passed without a single
Republican vote.

Clinton only became a centrist after getting smacked in 1994 for his
liberalism, and the Democrats losing both Houses of Congress for the first
time in generations.   

JDG


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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-14 Thread JDG
At 02:36 PM 10/11/2004 -0700 David Brin wrote:

--- John D. Giorgis [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 At 01:46 PM 10/11/2004 -0700 David Brin wrote:
  And the point is,a higher percentage of Americans
  were happy with the
  outcome of the 2000 elections than the 1992
  elections.
 
 Typically and utterly and diametrically opposite to
 the truth.
 
 In what way?
 
 Bush 2000 - 47.87%
 
 Clinton 1992 - 43.01% 

Dan and I have already dealt with the Perot/Nader comparison.

I don't know what Nader has to do with anything?

You stated your objection to Bush being elected without a plurality.   

I stated that I find being elected without a plurality to be no more
objectionable than being elected with a mere 43.01% of the vote.

JDG

P.S. In paticular, I do not agree that Gore won the popular vote in 2000,
since no popular vote was taken or counted.   Suffice to say, that if the
popular vote meant anything, turnout patterns would likely have been much
different - and could easily have produced a 0.5% difference.

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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-14 Thread JDG
At 01:12 PM 10/11/2004 -0700 David Brin wrote:
W ENTERED OFFICE WITH A CLEAR MAJORITY HAVING VOTED
AGAINST HIS PROGRAM.  Yet, he proceeded NOT to reach
out, but to declare a MANDATE.  Never ever meeting
with opponents.

This is a lie.   Bush very famously had Ted Kennedy over to watch a movie
and discuss education policy to name just one example.

JDG
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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-14 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 08:07 PM 10/11/2004 EDT [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
John  Kerry, of course, meant by global test that America must not just
lay out  its causes, but that we must get some form of international
approval -  beyond the approval of getting at least 21 out of 30 formal US
Allies to  support the Iraq War as Bush did, and apparently beyond getting
UN Security  Council approval as we did during the first Gulf War (which
Kerry voted  against.)

He meant that we must test our actions in the arena of international  
politics. That does not mean that we must require intenational  approval but
 we must 
interact with othe nations of the world in a way  that keeps them and us 
involved with each other. As never before we live in  close conjunction
with the 
rest of the world. What we do affects everyone else  but it is important to 
realize that we need the rest of the world for  economy and way of life to
thrive. 
Military might is not enough anymore. We  need the rest of the world to deal 
with us without  resentment. 

O.k. Bob, but if your interpretation of what Kerry said is more accurate -
then what do you believe would be required to pass this global test just
as John Kerry said.

After all, this most recent war had the support of at *least* 21 out of 30
formal US allies, by my count, and was taken to the international community
for a period of 15 months before hostilities began, and after 12+ years of
sanctions and non-cooperation with UN sanctions and resolutions.I
presume John Kerry, however, considers that as failing the global test.

Then again, John Kerry also opposed the first Gulf War - the war that had
the largest coalition of allies since at least World War II, if not ever,
and which had a gold-plated endorsement from the United Nations Security
Council.

So, Bob, how do you imagine that John Kerry envisions passing this global
test' of his based on his record?

JDG
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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-14 Thread David Brin


JDG [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
At 01:12 PM 10/11/2004 -0700 David Brin wrote:
W ENTERED OFFICE WITH A CLEAR MAJORITY HAVING VOTED
AGAINST HIS PROGRAM. Yet, he proceeded NOT to reach
out, but to declare a MANDATE. Never ever meeting
with opponents.

This is a lie. Bush very famously had Ted Kennedy over to watch a movie
and discuss education policy to name just one example.

 

for you to quibble over the fact that he is deliberately and proudly self-isolated ... 
THAT is the lie.

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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-14 Thread Dave Land
On Oct 14, 2004, at 4:03 PM, JDG wrote:
At 05:07 PM 10/11/2004 -0500 Gary Denton wrote:
Typically meaningless - Clinton had by far the highest percentage of
vote of the candidates.  Clinton governed centrist,
One thing I love about liberals is their modesty.Apparently 
propsing a
government take-over of the national health care industry is 
centrism in
the minds of liberals.
But continuing the corporate hegemony of the health care industry, with
the attendant and well-documented loss of service and rise in costs is
just fine with conservatives.
Dave
Conserving what, exactly? Maru
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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-14 Thread David Brin

--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 
 On Oct 14, 2004, at 4:03 PM, JDG wrote:
 
  At 05:07 PM 10/11/2004 -0500 Gary Denton wrote:
  Typically meaningless - Clinton had by far the
 highest percentage of
  vote of the candidates.  Clinton governed
 centrist,
 
  One thing I love about liberals is their modesty. 
   Apparently 
  propsing a
  government take-over of the national health care
 industry is 
  centrism in
  the minds of liberals.
 
 But continuing the corporate hegemony of the health
 care industry, with
 the attendant and well-documented loss of service
 and rise in costs is
 just fine with conservatives.


I blame Hillary, of course, for trying to bite off the
whole loaf when Americans are incrementalists.  But a
close look at her plan shows it really did try to get
all americans into alliances that would then dicker
using market forces with insurance companies.  Only
the poor would have been govt subsidized.

In fact, her plan was far less socialistic than the
proposal made by RICHARD NIXON (caps = emphasis not
shouting) and foolishly turned down by Melvin Laird.



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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-14 Thread Bemmzim
In a message dated 10/14/2004 7:17:33 PM Eastern Standard Time,  
[EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

O.k.  Bob, but if your interpretation of what Kerry said is more accurate -
then  what do you believe would be required to pass this global test just
as  John Kerry said.

After all, this most recent war had the support of at  *least* 21 out of 30
formal US allies, by my count, and was taken to the  international community
for a period of 15 months before hostilities began,  and after 12+ years of
sanctions and non-cooperation with UN sanctions and  resolutions.I
presume John Kerry, however, considers that as  failing the global test.
It means building consensus before going to war (as his father did) if  
possible. Of course if things are urgent then we do what we have to do. But we  
have to be sure that have our facts right in order to maintain our credibility  
in the abscence of support. We have to evaluate our intelligence with more  
skeptism. Some actions require more stringent proof then others. By the way  
sanctions were working, Sadaam's military strength was markedly degraded. The  
supporf of ourf allies is deceptive. The 21 include some small regimes beholding  
to us (some for quite noble reasons - we helped free them from Russia). 



So, Bob, how do you imagine that John Kerry envisions passing  this global
test' of his based on his record?
Engaging the international community in real dialogues and real  
negotiations. Reestablising our reputation for fairness and restraint. Being a  good 
neighbor not a swaggering bully 
 






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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-14 Thread David Brin

--- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 In a message dated 10/14/2004 7:17:33 PM Eastern
 Standard Time,  
 [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:
 
 O.k.  Bob, but if your interpretation of what Kerry
 said is more accurate -
 then  what do you believe would be required to pass
 this global test ...


SImple.

Start by showing up in front of the international
community and NOT lying through your teeth.

Or while lying, DON'T sneer endlessly at others for
being dupes and fools, just because they express
skepticism over your faked and trumped up evidence.

Then recall the jerks who are all over the world
sneering at furriners for their impotence.

Try counting support in terms that matter.  A few of
our allies are on the ground in Iraq, yes, out of
gratitude for what we did in the past.  Ask the people
in Spain  Britain what THEY think of taking part in
Iraq.  Public opinion polls show extreme unpopularity.

Why do I bother.  Go to my Salvo.  Compare the Balkans
to this fiasco.  They were diametrically opposite in
all ways except One Dictator Toppled.

The Balkans showed EXACTLY how a global test can
work well.  It answers your question in great detail. 
It worked, we became MORE respected and powerful, and
we did not ...lose...a... single...american.
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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-14 Thread Julia Thompson
JDG wrote:
 
 At 01:12 PM 10/11/2004 -0700 David Brin wrote:
 W ENTERED OFFICE WITH A CLEAR MAJORITY HAVING VOTED
 AGAINST HIS PROGRAM.  Yet, he proceeded NOT to reach
 out, but to declare a MANDATE.  Never ever meeting
 with opponents.
 
 This is a lie.   Bush very famously had Ted Kennedy over to watch a movie
 and discuss education policy to name just one example.

Which was a continuation of his reaching across the aisle that he
started between the election and taking the office of Governor of the
State of Texas -- he went to the Lieutenant Governor, Bob Bullock, a
Democrat who was rather annoyed that Bush had won, and he told Bullock
something to the effect of, hey, I've never done this before, but you've
had your job for awhile, and I'm going to need your help, let's do the
best we can together for the people of Texas.

Whatever else may have happened *since* Bush took office as President,
he went in wanting to act without partisanship.  Him *sticking* to that
can be taken up in another discussion.  (As can whether or not being
governor of Texas is a reasonable preparation for being President of the
United States, due to the odd distribution of powers between the
Governor and Lieutenant Governor in Texas)

Julia

and don't anyone get me started on DeLay, OK?  Rob doesn't need to hear
me yelling from Hutto clear to Houston
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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-14 Thread David Brin

 And why is it that the first Gulf War, with a
 gold-plated UN Security
 Council endorsement and a vast coalition did not
 pass this global test?

False distraction.  If Kerry opposed the 91 campaign,
I have yet to see evidence for that.  In any event, if
he did, that is but one strike against him.  I'll take
note.  It brings his list up to W's toes.

91 was totally justified.  So?  It is the prequel of
Cheney's relentless support for Saddam... and the
aftermath (see: http://www.davidbrin.com/shame.html)
that concern me.

These monsters heaped upon our nation the worst stain
upon its honor that I can ever recall.  Then they have
the nerve to call themselves strong against Saddam.
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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-14 Thread David Brin

--- Julia
 Whatever else may have happened *since* Bush took
 office as President,
 he went in wanting to act without partisanship.

This is a subjective impression and I am glad you show
such optimistic interpretations.  I saw nothing but
bellicosity from day one.  Starting with appointing
enemies of renwable energy in charge of RE programs,
enemies of conservation in charge of conservation
programs, loggers in charge of forest protection...
and a hundred other examples.
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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-14 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- David Brin [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 False distraction.  If Kerry opposed the 91
 campaign,
 I have yet to see evidence for that.  In any event,
 if
 he did, that is but one strike against him.  I'll
 take
 note.  It brings his list up to W's toes.

He absolutely did oppose it - he voted against the
first Gulf War and his grounds, IIRC, were that there
was an insufficient international coalition in favor
of it.  Which is, of course, absurd.  This is the
criticism that people have to address about Kerry, Dr.
Brin, and I don't see you doing it.  I think it's
entirely fair.  What does bring our allies in mean
_other than France_?  The British supported us.  The
Italians supported us.  The Spanish supported us
(although they do not now support us, of course).  The
Japanese supported us.  The Australians supported us. 
The South Koreans supported us.  As soon as Angela
Merkle wins the next German election (and she will)
the Germans will support us.  The Danish supported us.
 The Netherlands supported us.  So what does it mean
to say that we didn't have international support? 
Does it mean Russia and China?  If it does, then you
can't possibly favorably compare Kosovo to Iraq,
because Russia and China were every bit as opposed to
Kosovo as they were to Iraq.  So, other than a cheap
bit of dishonest rhetoric on Kerry's part about
allies, what the hell is that supposed to mean, and
what is he going to do when he finds out on his first
day in office that Jacques Chirac is giving him the
finger from across the Atlantic?  Furthermore, given
France's behavior over the last 10 years, shouldn't we
be _proud_ that France is opposed to us?  Do we want
to be on the same side as the country that aided and
abetted the Rwandan genocide?  This does not seem to
me a place of honor.  If the criticism of the Bush
Administration is that it is inept (and I think it is)
surely it's fair to ask Kerry what the hell he means
by statements that are far more clearly a lie than
anything you've ever criticized Bush about.  If he
couldn't even bring himself to support the Gulf War in
1991, then the next time somebody kills a few thousand
Americans (and it will happen) what is he going to do
when France, Russia, and China doesn't give a response
their seal of approval (and they won't)?


=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com



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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-14 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 08:06 PM 10/14/2004 -0700 David Brin wrote:
Starting with appointing
enemies of renwable energy in charge of RE programs,
enemies of conservation in charge of conservation
programs, loggers in charge of forest protection...
and a hundred other examples.

I presume that you are referring to that noted anti-conservationist
Christie Todd Whitman being appointed to head the EPA?

JDG
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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-14 Thread David Brin
This is a valid and interesting criticism of Kerry.

I confess, that his standing as a mainstream DLC
democrat has made me lazy about scrutinizing him very
closely.  His overall values and intelligence and
willingness to bring a pan-spectrum coalition of DC
professionals to replace the monstrous cult now
controlling the republic... these things are adequate
for me.

But I am willing to begin accumulating and listing
suspicions, demerits and deficits.  What you describe
below, if accurate, reflects perhaps a too strong
aversion to war sometimes seen in combat veterans.  Or
perhaps too strong a reflex aversion to Bush Sr.  Or
perhaps a strong sense that the sheiks are not our
friends, never were, and that our sons should not be
spent for their sake... or

I will keep my eyes open.  Thanks.

May (God willing) John Kerry be a topic of major
conversation on Brin-L for the next four years.  I
have had enough talking about fanatical shrubs.


--- Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- David Brin [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  False distraction.  If Kerry opposed the 91
  campaign,
  I have yet to see evidence for that.  In any
 event,
  if
  he did, that is but one strike against him.  I'll
  take
  note.  It brings his list up to W's toes.
 
 He absolutely did oppose it - he voted against the
 first Gulf War and his grounds, IIRC, were that
 there
 was an insufficient international coalition in favor
 of it.  Which is, of course, absurd.  This is the
 criticism that people have to address about Kerry,
 Dr.
 Brin, and I don't see you doing it.  I think it's
 entirely fair.  What does bring our allies in mean
 _other than France_?  The British supported us.  The
 Italians supported us.  The Spanish supported us
 (although they do not now support us, of course). 
 The
 Japanese supported us.  The Australians supported
 us. 
 The South Koreans supported us.  As soon as Angela
 Merkle wins the next German election (and she will)
 the Germans will support us.  The Danish supported
 us.
  The Netherlands supported us.  So what does it mean
 to say that we didn't have international support? 
 Does it mean Russia and China?  If it does, then you
 can't possibly favorably compare Kosovo to Iraq,
 because Russia and China were every bit as opposed
 to
 Kosovo as they were to Iraq.  So, other than a cheap
 bit of dishonest rhetoric on Kerry's part about
 allies, what the hell is that supposed to mean, and
 what is he going to do when he finds out on his
 first
 day in office that Jacques Chirac is giving him the
 finger from across the Atlantic?  Furthermore, given
 France's behavior over the last 10 years, shouldn't
 we
 be _proud_ that France is opposed to us?  Do we want
 to be on the same side as the country that aided and
 abetted the Rwandan genocide?  This does not seem to
 me a place of honor.  If the criticism of the Bush
 Administration is that it is inept (and I think it
 is)
 surely it's fair to ask Kerry what the hell he means
 by statements that are far more clearly a lie than
 anything you've ever criticized Bush about.  If he
 couldn't even bring himself to support the Gulf War
 in
 1991, then the next time somebody kills a few
 thousand
 Americans (and it will happen) what is he going to
 do
 when France, Russia, and China doesn't give a
 response
 their seal of approval (and they won't)?
 
 
 =
 Gautam Mukunda
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Freedom is not free
 http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com
 
 
   
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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-14 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- David Brin [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 This is a valid and interesting criticism of Kerry.

I appreciate your saying that, Dr. Brin.  This is
actually helping me think through my own decision. 
Here, perhaps is where we disagree (and please,
correct me if I'm misinterpreting you - I'm trying to
lay out your opinions as fairly as I can).  

On days when I'm likely to support President Bush, my
argument goes like this.  President Bush, for all of
his many flaws, understands that the world is not
filled with friends of ours.  France, Russia, and
China, for example, are not our friends.  Given that,
a President who runs his entire campaign based on the
premise that a policy carried through without the
support of these countries (and that seems to me to be
what Kerry is saying) is saying that American foreign
policy is subject to the veto of three countries that
can plausibly be described as our enemies.  President
Bush is not willing to do that.  For all of his flaws
(massive) he will make his own decisions in pursuit of
the interests of the United States, and he will at
least try to move in the right direction, instead of
allowing our policies to be shaped by those who have
our worst interests at heart.  This strikes me as a
reasonable position.

Now, on the days I'm a Kerry supporter, I say, yes,
all of the above is true, actually (note that I didn't
say I'm an _enthusiastic Kerry supporter).  But Kerry
is (in Winston Churchill's wonderful phrase) the
boneless wonder, and the public will not allow him to
bow down to the French, Russians, and Germans and
sacrifice the interests of the US in search of a
purely hallucinatory international popularity.  But
Kerry will have better domestic and economic policies,
and in foreign policy there's at least a chance that
what he decides to do will at least be executed
properly.  This strikes me as a reasonable position as
well.

Now it seems to me that your position is that the
first of these two views is _not_ a reasonable
position, because George Bush is basically a bad guy
who is in hock to Saudi interests, or something like
that.  Am I interpreting you correctly?  Now, suppose
someone doesn't believe that (and I don't, as you
know).  Do you understand what I mean that this isn't
a very helpful argument for people like me?  In fact,
in a sense it seems that the opposite argument almost
has more power - that _Kerry_, not Bush, is in hock to
interests that are fundamentally antagonistic to the
welfare of the US.  So if the most important thing is
who has influence over your actions, them I'm not sure
whose side that should bring me or any other undecided
voter down on.

=
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[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com



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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-14 Thread David Brin

You are trying to be fair, Gautam.  Alas, I cannot
accept your dichotomy for many reasons.

It is simply absurd to call this about enslaving our
foreign policy to others.  Under Clinton we were
leaders of the planet.  We were assertive.  We did it
naively/badly in Somalia.  Then we did it with
excruciating patience and maturity and diplomacy in
the Balkans.  Then BC laid the groundwork for what
should have been seen as a triumph of bipartisanship,
afghanistan.  In the latter two cases, we got the
world behind us.

KEEPING them behind us is paramount.  If we remain the
unipolar leader - not resented but respected and liked
- then we may get to set the agenda of talks over WCN.
 (Whatever Comes Next).  I am terrified that the
Eurasian Confederation will take over leadership of
that discussion, basing it on European bureaucratism,
Russian unaccountability and Chinese contempt for the
individual.

My reasons for hating Bush include the fact that he is
empowering our enemies in the struggle over WCN, every
day that he destroys the moral authority of Pax
Americana.

Mopreover, his criminal destruction of our military
readiness is staggering.  We have no reserves left. 
Our best units are embroiled in a mess that we cannot
possibly extricate them from in less than six months
at best.  We are naked and spreadeagled for the next
surprise... when we could have off'd Saddam (these
guys former best friends)... far more easily a
thousand other ways.

Meanwhile, we have called in all the chips in order to
get Britain and Spain and such to go along, offering a
fig leaf coalition while we pay all the blood and
money.  We needed those chips.  We had earned them,
saving civilization in the Balkans and elsewhere.

It chaps my hide seeing all this portrayed as
strength when it is utter and calamitous weakness
and incompetence and venality.  We are almost
crippled... and that's ALL measuring events on the
litmus test of what's good for Pax Americana!  I have
mentioned NONE of the left's complaints.  (And a great
many of those are valid, too.)

The incredible nastiness of an aristocratic class
insisting on US paying for guns while they slather
butter, unwilling to pay for a war they foisted on our
sons... that is unprecedented in American history.

(Not ALL of the aristocrats... just the klepto
ungrateful would-be feudalists.  MAny of the rich can
see that what's good for a decent, diamond-shaped
America is good for them, and they are willing to fork
over help to stanch the flow of red ink injuring our
childrens' tomorrow.)

Gautam, by your own standards, there can be no basis
for tradeoffs and alternating days.  There are NO
upsides to these monsters.  None at all.

As for Kerry, you point out things we need to watch. 
If a time comes when you see his spine needing
stiffening, well maybe I'll be right there with you.

But our boys will be home and rested, the reserves
back in reserve, and the alliances re-forged.


--- Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 --- David Brin [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  This is a valid and interesting criticism of
 Kerry.
 
 I appreciate your saying that, Dr. Brin.  This is
 actually helping me think through my own decision. 
 Here, perhaps is where we disagree (and please,
 correct me if I'm misinterpreting you - I'm trying
 to
 lay out your opinions as fairly as I can).  
 
 On days when I'm likely to support President Bush,
 my
 argument goes like this.  President Bush, for all of
 his many flaws, understands that the world is not
 filled with friends of ours.  France, Russia, and
 China, for example, are not our friends.  Given
 that,
 a President who runs his entire campaign based on
 the
 premise that a policy carried through without the
 support of these countries (and that seems to me to
 be
 what Kerry is saying) is saying that American
 foreign
 policy is subject to the veto of three countries
 that
 can plausibly be described as our enemies. 
 President
 Bush is not willing to do that.  For all of his
 flaws
 (massive) he will make his own decisions in pursuit
 of
 the interests of the United States, and he will at
 least try to move in the right direction, instead of
 allowing our policies to be shaped by those who have
 our worst interests at heart.  This strikes me as a
 reasonable position.
 
 Now, on the days I'm a Kerry supporter, I say, yes,
 all of the above is true, actually (note that I
 didn't
 say I'm an _enthusiastic Kerry supporter).  But
 Kerry
 is (in Winston Churchill's wonderful phrase) the
 boneless wonder, and the public will not allow him
 to
 bow down to the French, Russians, and Germans and
 sacrifice the interests of the US in search of a
 purely hallucinatory international popularity.  But
 Kerry will have better domestic and economic
 policies,
 and in foreign policy there's at least a chance that
 what he decides to do will at least be executed
 properly.  This strikes me as a reasonable position
 as
 well.
 
 Now it seems to me that your position is 

re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread d.brin
Hello gang.  Well here it is.  My big salvo of the political campaign.
It is intended to analyze the present administration by CONSERVATIVE 
standards and especially with an eye to what it takes to win 
strategic struggles - even war - in the 21st Century.

It involves HTML a lot in the use of sidebars and popouts, since I 
wanted the main linear argument to be short and undaunting.  So it 
cannot easily be emailed.  But you'll find it at:

http://www.davidbrin.com/neocons.html
I will happily take brickbats and/or criticism about it and/or 
suggestions for more material.  Just kindly do not quote me except 
when citing words and opinions that I actually say.

If you find it persuasive, please share it with undecideds - and 
decided conservatives who have at least an open mind - in 
battleground states.

Oh, and here's an item below.

Last week, the Bush-Cheney campaign launched TV ads, and Bush in his 
political stump speech has been, attacking Kerry for proposing a 
Kerry Doctrine that would consist of a global test before launch 
a pre-emptive war.  That line of attack is based on this comment from 
Kerry in the first debate:

No president, through all of American history, has ever ceded -- and 
nor would I -- the right to preempt in any way necessary, to protect 
the United States of America.  But if and when you do it, Jim, you've 
got to do it in a way that passes the, the test, that passes the 
global test where your countrymen, your people, understand fully why 
you're doing what you're doing, and you can prove to the world that 
you did it for legitimate reasons.

It struck me that I had heard of that global test before.  Imagine 
the attack ads the Bush-Cheney could come up with based on this line:

When in the Course of human events it becomes necessary for one 
people to dissolve the political bands which have connected them with 
another and to assume among the powers of the earth, the separate and 
equal station to which the Laws of Nature and of Nature's God entitle 
them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they 
should declare the causes which impel them to the separation.

http://www.ushistory.org/declaration/document/
What a bunch of wusses those Founding Fathers were!  ... a decent 
respect for the opinions REQUIRES that they declare the causes which 
impel them...  [snort]  Dubya wouldn't feel required to seek out 
the opinions of the French and other foreign America-haters, I can 
tell you that!

=
The monsters have a huge advantage going in, folks.  With home bases 
in Confederate and rural states, they get up to 30 extra electoral 
votes.  The same ones that (by a margin of just one, plus Floridian 
shenanigans) made W the first president in a century without a 
plurality.

It's going to take some lifting by all of us...
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re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 12:03 PM 10/11/2004 -0700 d.brin wrote:
I will happily take brickbats and/or criticism about it and/or 
suggestions for more material.  Just kindly do not quote me except 
when citing words and opinions that I actually say.

A low blow.   The only word I quoted before was officially.   The point
of the quote was to draw attention to the fact that the sort of
millenialist movement you were describing is far too decentralized to be
accurate described as having official positions.   

Never mind the fact that the passage in question of yours was found to be
demonstrably false.   As even Nick Arnett, noted, George Bush has *not*,
quote, openly espoused the millenialism you described.

As I noted in follow-ups this egregious error on your part led to some
mistaken interpretations, in my case it was my mistaken - albeit perfectly
honest - interpretation that you were criticizing Christianity, since
Chrisitianity is a far better match for an ideologoy openly espoused by
President Bush than millenialism.

Last week, the Bush-Cheney campaign launched TV ads, and Bush in his 
political stump speech has been, attacking Kerry for proposing a 
Kerry Doctrine that would consist of a global test before launch 
a pre-emptive war.  That line of attack is based on this comment from 
Kerry in the first debate:

No president, through all of American history, has ever ceded -- and 
nor would I -- the right to preempt in any way necessary, to protect 
the United States of America.  But if and when you do it, Jim, you've 
got to do it in a way that passes the, the test, that passes the 
global test where your countrymen, your people, understand fully why 
you're doing what you're doing, and you can prove to the world that 
you did it for legitimate reasons.

It struck me that I had heard of that global test before.  Imagine 
the attack ads the Bush-Cheney could come up with based on this line:

When in the Course of human events it becomes necessary for one 
people to dissolve the political bands which have connected them with 
another and to assume among the powers of the earth, the separate and 
equal station to which the Laws of Nature and of Nature's God entitle 
them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they 
should declare the causes which impel them to the separation.

http://www.ushistory.org/declaration/document/

What a bunch of wusses those Founding Fathers were!  ... a decent 
respect for the opinions REQUIRES that they declare the causes which 
impel them...  [snort]  Dubya wouldn't feel required to seek out 
the opinions of the French and other foreign America-haters, I can 
tell you that!

This is pretty pathetic, even by your standards.   John  Kerry did not mean
by global test that America must simply make a declaration of causes.
 Hell, even George Bush agreed we should do that - that's why Bush wanted
FIFTEEN MONTHS after the axis of evil speech before attacking Iraq, which
is why he sought unanimous passage at the United Nations of Security
Council resolution 1441,  and why he sent Colin Powell to the United
Nations to lay out the causes that were leading the US to take its actions.

John Kerry, of course, meant by global test that America must not just
lay out its causes, but that we must get some form of international
approval - beyond the approval of getting at least 21 out of 30 formal US
Allies to support the Iraq War as Bush did, and apparently beyond getting
UN Security Council approval as we did during the first Gulf War (which
Kerry voted against.)

=

The monsters have a huge advantage going in, folks.  With home bases 
in Confederate and rural states, they get up to 30 extra electoral 
votes.  

30 Extra?

The same ones that (by a margin of just one, plus Floridian 
shenanigans) made W the first president in a century without a 
plurality.

So?Bush got a higher percentage than Clinton did in 1992.

It's going to take some lifting by all of us...

Ahem not *all* of us.   Some of us believe that removing Saddam Hussein
from power was a right and good thing.

JDG
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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message - 
From: John D. Giorgis [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Monday, October 11, 2004 2:26 PM
Subject: re: brin: My big salvo


 At 12:03 PM 10/11/2004 -0700 d.brin wrote:
 I will happily take brickbats and/or criticism about it and/or
 suggestions for more material.  Just kindly do not quote me except
 when citing words and opinions that I actually say.

 A low blow.   The only word I quoted before was officially.   The point
 of the quote was to draw attention to the fact that the sort of
 millenialist movement you were describing is far too decentralized to be
 accurate described as having official positions.

 Never mind the fact that the passage in question of yours was found to be
 demonstrably false.   As even Nick Arnett, noted, George Bush has *not*,
 quote, openly espoused the millenialism you described.

 As I noted in follow-ups this egregious error on your part led to some
 mistaken interpretations, in my case it was my mistaken - albeit
perfectly
 honest - interpretation that you were criticizing Christianity, since
 Chrisitianity is a far better match for an ideologoy openly espoused
by
 President Bush than millenialism.

 Last week, the Bush-Cheney campaign launched TV ads, and Bush in his
 political stump speech has been, attacking Kerry for proposing a
 Kerry Doctrine that would consist of a global test before launch
 a pre-emptive war.  That line of attack is based on this comment from
 Kerry in the first debate:
 
 No president, through all of American history, has ever ceded -- and
 nor would I -- the right to preempt in any way necessary, to protect
 the United States of America.  But if and when you do it, Jim, you've
 got to do it in a way that passes the, the test, that passes the
 global test where your countrymen, your people, understand fully why
 you're doing what you're doing, and you can prove to the world that
 you did it for legitimate reasons.
 
 It struck me that I had heard of that global test before.  Imagine
 the attack ads the Bush-Cheney could come up with based on this line:
 
 When in the Course of human events it becomes necessary for one
 people to dissolve the political bands which have connected them with
 another and to assume among the powers of the earth, the separate and
 equal station to which the Laws of Nature and of Nature's God entitle
 them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they
 should declare the causes which impel them to the separation.
 
 http://www.ushistory.org/declaration/document/
 
 What a bunch of wusses those Founding Fathers were!  ... a decent
 respect for the opinions REQUIRES that they declare the causes which
 impel them...  [snort]  Dubya wouldn't feel required to seek out
 the opinions of the French and other foreign America-haters, I can
 tell you that!

 This is pretty pathetic, even by your standards.   John  Kerry did not
mean
 by global test that America must simply make a declaration of causes.
  Hell, even George Bush agreed we should do that - that's why Bush wanted
 FIFTEEN MONTHS after the axis of evil speech before attacking Iraq,
which
 is why he sought unanimous passage at the United Nations of Security
 Council resolution 1441,  and why he sent Colin Powell to the United
 Nations to lay out the causes that were leading the US to take its
actions.

 John Kerry, of course, meant by global test that America must not just
 lay out its causes, but that we must get some form of international
 approval - beyond the approval of getting at least 21 out of 30 formal US
 Allies to support the Iraq War as Bush did, and apparently beyond getting
 UN Security Council approval as we did during the first Gulf War (which
 Kerry voted against.)

 =
 
 The monsters have a huge advantage going in, folks.  With home bases
 in Confederate and rural states, they get up to 30 extra electoral
 votes.

 30 Extra?

I'm not sure it is 30, but Bush has the advantage that his voters, on
average, have higher weighed votes than Kerry voters.

 So?Bush got a higher percentage than Clinton did in 1992.

The point is that he got less than Gore did in 2000. More people wanted
Clinton than wanted either Bush or Perot.  Fewer people wanted Bush than
wanted Gore.

Dan M.



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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message - 
From: John D. Giorgis [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Monday, October 11, 2004 2:26 PM
Subject: re: brin: My big salvo


 At 12:03 PM 10/11/2004 -0700 d.brin wrote:
 I will happily take brickbats and/or criticism about it and/or
 suggestions for more material.  Just kindly do not quote me except
 when citing words and opinions that I actually say.

 A low blow.   The only word I quoted before was officially.   The point
 of the quote was to draw attention to the fact that the sort of
 millenialist movement you were describing is far too decentralized to be
 accurate described as having official positions.

I probably should have taken brin out of the last reply, but I think it
belongs in this one.  I found it rather difficult parsing the meaning of
your comments, because the most obvious meaning of a straight reading of
the text , was Bush was a Jehovah's Witness..since they are the only body
that I know of that takes the 144k literally.  I'm almost certain you
didn't think that, but I had to guess at the real meaning.

In other words, a bit more precision and a bit less steam would go a long
way in helping us obtain your meaning.  Misunderstanding is not the same as
twisting. I go toe to toe with John on a lot of topics, as my last few
posts show, but I can certainly see how he mistakenly parsed that meaning
from your text.

Dan M.

Dan M.


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re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread David Brin


 A low blow.   The only word I quoted before was
 officially.   The point
 of the quote was to draw attention to the fact that
 the sort of
 millenialist movement you were describing is far too
 decentralized to be
 accurate described as having official positions. 

This is utter sophistry.  You QUOTED ME! ANd the
quotations were false.



 This is pretty pathetic, even by your standards.  

Yes, your insults are customary and shrugged off.

 John  Kerry did not mean
 by global test that America must simply make a
 declaration of causes.

Ah, so you are the grand mystical interpreter of what
an opponent means, never considering that this is what
you WANT HIM TO MEAN  in order to justify hating him. 
A lack of skepticism toward one's own motives is the
sure fire sign of a romantic.

I will repeat what he SAID below.  Moreover, if you
HAD READ my salvo at
http://www.davidbrin.com/neocons.html
you would see that I never once mention asking for
permission in describing the long list of successes
and failures of Pax Americana interventions.

INDEED I DO THE OPPOSITE.  Showing balance I lay
claim to Pax Americana freedom of action that makes
many liberals AND old fashioned conservatives shiver!



  Hell, even George Bush agreed we should do that -
 that's why Bush wanted
 FIFTEEN MONTHS after the axis of evil speech
 before attacking Iraq, which
 is why he sought unanimous passage at the United
 Nations of Security
 Council resolution 1441,  and why he sent Colin
 Powell to the United
 Nations to lay out the causes that were leading the
 US to take its actions.


Excuse me.  But EXPLAINING  to the world does not mean
telling relentless lies and then bullying and bribing
to get your way.  Then interpreting resolutions as
they were never meant.

The above all amount to a Second Tonkin Gulf
Resolution, with a repetition of every monstrous
mistake of Vietnam, including dividing the USA down
the middle. THE STUPIDEST AND MOST DESTRUCTIVE THING
ANY PRESIDENT CAN DO IN A WAR.

 
 John Kerry, of course, meant

I have had enough of this.  Here are his actual words.

No president, through all of American history, has
ever ceded -- and nor would I -- the right to preempt
in any way necessary, to protect the United States of
America.  But if and when you do it, Jim, you've got
to do it in a way that passes the, the test, that
passes the global test where your countrymen, your
people, understand fully why you're doing what you're
doing, and you can prove to the world that you did it
for legitimate reasons.
 

The one person I know will not actually read or absorb
ot study my salvo is you, John.  So please, unless
you do so, opt out of this.  Go follow this mad
alliance of kleptocrats, apocalypts and neocon
Imperialists.  

Any concerned American conservatives are welcome to
drop by 

http://www.davidbrin.com/neocons.html

and argue pros and cons sensibly.

With cordial regards,

David Brin 
www.davidbrin.com



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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread David Brin

--- Dan Minette answered:
  So?Bush got a higher percentage than Clinton
 did in 1992.

with:

 The point is that he got less than Gore did in 2000.
 More people wanted
 Clinton than wanted either Bush or Perot.  Fewer
 people wanted Bush than
 wanted Gore.

ALSO ! Perot's voters split pretty evenly as to who
would be their second choice, if we had a sensible
preferential ballot.

But nearly ALL of Naders' voters polled as utterly
despising all Bush policies while merely thinking Gore
too compromising with business interests.  ALL would
have second choiced Gore.

W ENTERED OFFICE WITH A CLEAR MAJORITY HAVING VOTED
AGAINST HIS PROGRAM.  Yet, he proceeded NOT to reach
out, but to declare a MANDATE.  Never ever meeting
with opponents.  Never reading any news but what's
pre-digested by his handlers.  Never reading books. 
Holding 1/10 as many news conferences as ANY other president
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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 02:37 PM 10/11/2004 -0500 Dan Minette wrote:
 The monsters have a huge advantage going in, folks.  With home bases
 in Confederate and rural states, they get up to 30 extra electoral
 votes.

 30 Extra?

I'm not sure it is 30, but Bush has the advantage that his voters, on
average, have higher weighed votes than Kerry voters.

As I pointed out in my Electoral College Analysis reply to Byron, this is a
popular misconception that just plain isn't true.This is because,
Democrats get 3 charity EV's from DC, DE, and VT (somewhat offsetting AK,
MT, ND, SD, WY)and dominate the lower end of the 4 EV tier with HI, RI, ME
and somewhat Democrat-trending NH.

For example, if one assigns all of the States on the basis of the 2000
Presidential vote, and divides 2003 population by 2004 electoral votes, you
get:
461,913 Blue Staters per Electoral Vote
453,567 Red Staters per Electoral Vote

Not as big a difference as you might expect.   

JDG
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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread David Brin

 And the point is,a higher percentage of Americans
 were happy with the
 outcome of the 2000 elections than the 1992
 elections.

Typically and utterly and diametrically opposite to
the truth.

I showed how in my last message.  What utter sophistry.
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RE: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread Horn, John
 Behalf Of d.brin

 What a bunch of wusses those Founding Fathers were!  ... a decent

 respect for the opinions REQUIRES that they declare the causes
which 
 impel them...  [snort]  Dubya wouldn't feel required to seek
out 
 the opinions of the French and other foreign America-haters, I
can 
 tell you that!

Let's face it, in today's terms the Founding Fathers were a bunch of
Liberal, Extremist Wackos!  And look what happened once THEY got
into power.

Sheesh.

 - jmh
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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread David Brin
Let's see the full list, John.

Giving the dems ME and NH bodes ill for this being
untendentious, given a scan of voting history.
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re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread JDG
At 01:07 PM 10/11/2004 -0700 David Brin wrote:
 A low blow.   The only word I quoted before was
 officially.   The point
 of the quote was to draw attention to the fact that
 the sort of
 millenialist movement you were describing is far too
 decentralized to be
 accurate described as having official positions. 

This is utter sophistry.  You QUOTED ME! ANd the
quotations were false.

For the record, I reprint the relevant section of my post.   You will note
that the only quotation marks appear around the word officially.

As for lecturing me about schaedenfreude. again, it is
your fearless leader who openly supports an idological
movement that officially looks forward to 150,000
people getting a special pass to heaven, then millions
suffering in a pre-ordained stage show battle, and the
BILLIONS being cast down to roast in hell.

The above is a gross caricature of Christianity, and instead reflects the
view of only a narrow sect.  It is ludicrous to call it a, quote,
official viewpoint of Christianity   This caricature reflects neither my
views, nor those of the President, nor those of the majority of Christians
in this country.   And please don't try to tell me that everyone who has
ever bought a Left Behind book subscribes to the above viewpoint.  

As Nick Arnett has noted, your above quoted passage is demonstrably false.
 Bush has openly support[ed] Christianity, but has not openly supported
any of the millennialist thinking you have described.

As Dan Minette has noted, this error on your part left you open to many
honest misinterpretations.   Now that your intent has been explained by
others, I have conceded that I was mistaken to conclude that you were
talking about Christianity.  It was, however, my honest reading of that
passage at the time.   As he said, a bit more precision and a bit less
steam would go a long way in helping us obtain your meaning.

JDG

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re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread JDG
At 01:07 PM 10/11/2004 -0700 David Brin wrote:
 This is pretty pathetic, even by your standards.  

Yes, your insults are customary and shrugged off.

This would be as opposed to your usual polite and reasoned discussion on
this List? For example, the following?:
The one person I know will not actually read or absorb
ot study my salvo is you, John.  So please, unless
you do so, opt out of this.  Go follow this mad
alliance of kleptocrats, apocalypts and neocon
Imperialists.  
[snip]
A lack of skepticism toward one's own motives is the
sure fire sign of a romantic.

I would mention your susceptibility to chain mail about hurricanes here, to
name just one example, but that would be too easy

I will repeat what he SAID below.  Moreover, if you
HAD READ my salvo at
http://www.davidbrin.com/neocons.html
you would see that I never once mention asking for
permission in describing the long list of successes
and failures of Pax Americana interventions.

Its not my fault that your salvo is hardly an endorsement of John Kerry.
 Remember, John Kerry voted *AGAINST* the First Gulf War - the one
supported by the largest allied coalition since at least World War II, if
not ever, and the one with a gold-plated United Nations Security Council
endorsement.   John Kerry is hardly the flag-bearer for the Pax Americana
movement of you describe.   

That probably explains why you spend so little time in your salvo,
ostensibly on the upcoming election, talking about John Kerry and his
policies.   In fact, you mention Kerry just once in its entire length -
and at that in the final paragraph and at that only in passing.   You have
clearly damned Kerry with your faint praise.   How else can we interpret
your grand salvo on the upcoming election where you can only lambaste
your opponents, and can't find a single word to say in favor of your side?   

  Hell, even George Bush agreed we should do that -
 that's why Bush wanted
 FIFTEEN MONTHS after the axis of evil speech
 before attacking Iraq, which
 is why he sought unanimous passage at the United
 Nations of Security
 Council resolution 1441,  and why he sent Colin
 Powell to the United
 Nations to lay out the causes that were leading the
 US to take its actions.

Excuse me.  But EXPLAINING  to the world does not mean
telling relentless lies 

They aren't lies if you sincerely believe them to be true.   Aren't you the
one who just noted that everyone is susceptible to evidence that reconfirms
what they already want to believe?

and then bullying and bribing
to get your way.  Then interpreting resolutions as
they were never meant.

Never meant?   

UNSC Resolution 678 (1990): The Situation Between Iraq and Kuwait
..
2. Authorizes Member States co-operating with the government of Kuwait,
to use all necessary means to uphold and implement resolution 660
(1990) and all subsequent relevant resolutions and to restore international
peace and security in the area.



UNSC Resolution 1441: The Situation Between Iraq and Kuwait
...
The Security Council, recalling all its previous relevant resolutions, in
particular its resolutions 678 (1990) of 29 November 1990

The legal justification for this war was open-and-shut by a plain reading
of the text.   UNSC 1441 was passed unanimously by the UNSC (including
*Syria*, China France, and Russian Federation), Iraq clearly did not comply
with UNSC 1441, and UNSC 1441 was clearly subsequent to UNSC 678.

 John Kerry, of course, meant

I have had enough of this.  Here are his actual words.

No president, through all of American history, has
ever ceded -- and nor would I -- the right to preempt
in any way necessary, to protect the United States of
America.  But if and when you do it, Jim, you've got
to do it in a way that passes the, the test, that
passes the global test where your countrymen, your
people, understand fully why you're doing what you're
doing, and you can prove to the world that you did it
for legitimate reasons.

This global test hardly sounds like making a simple open declaration.

21 of 30 US allies supported the Iraq War.   Colin Powell went to the
United Nations.   The Bush Administration spent 15 months presenting their
case.If this is failure under John Kerry's global test, if Gulf War I
is failure under John Kerry's global test - then what is a passing
grade?

The world may never know.

JDG



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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message - 
From: JDG [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Monday, October 11, 2004 3:08 PM
Subject: Re: brin: My big salvo


 At 02:37 PM 10/11/2004 -0500 Dan Minette wrote:
  So?Bush got a higher percentage than Clinton did in 1992.
 
 The point is that he got less than Gore did in 2000. More people wanted
 Clinton than wanted either Bush or Perot.  Fewer people wanted Bush than
 wanted Gore.

 And the point is,a higher percentage of Americans were happy with the
 outcome of the 2000 elections than the 1992 elections.

If Perot were a far right wing politician, like Nader is far left wing, you
might have had a point.  But, he wasn't.  He was a maverick centralist a
plague on both your houses option.  I remember vividly the polls at the
time that show him getting roughly a third of the votes before he dropped
out for a while (in June I think), and Clinton and Bush I being roughly
equal after he dropped out.  Nader voters in 2000, on the other hand,
condemned Gore for being too much like Bush II.

Even so, if Bush II got more votes than Gore, but less than Gore+Nader, I
would have groused at the Nader voters, not the system.  The point is Bush
II got fewer voters than Gore, but won because the natural bias of the
electoral college favors the Republicans...at least according to your
analysis. :-)

BTW, the population of DC is higher than Wyoming.

Dan M.


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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 01:46 PM 10/11/2004 -0700 David Brin wrote:
 And the point is,a higher percentage of Americans
 were happy with the
 outcome of the 2000 elections than the 1992
 elections.

Typically and utterly and diametrically opposite to
the truth.

In what way?

Bush 2000 - 47.87%

Clinton 1992 - 43.01% 

JDG

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re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread David Brin
The quoted passage has nothing to do with the two
places where you openly stated you were quoting me. 
Not paraphrasing but quoting.

Go visit the apocalypts' web sites to see whether THEY
think W agress with them.  Just as Black americans
called Bill Clinton the first black US president the
apocalypts call W one of us.


--- JDG [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 At 01:07 PM 10/11/2004 -0700 David Brin wrote:
  A low blow.   The only word I quoted before was
  officially.   The point
  of the quote was to draw attention to the fact
 that
  the sort of
  millenialist movement you were describing is far
 too
  decentralized to be
  accurate described as having official
 positions. 
 
 This is utter sophistry.  You QUOTED ME! ANd the
 quotations were false.
 
 For the record, I reprint the relevant section of my
 post.   You will note
 that the only quotation marks appear around the word
 officially.
 
 As for lecturing me about schaedenfreude. again,
 it is
 your fearless leader who openly supports an
 idological
 movement that officially looks forward to 150,000
 people getting a special pass to heaven, then
 millions
 suffering in a pre-ordained stage show battle, and
 the
 BILLIONS being cast down to roast in hell.
 
 The above is a gross caricature of Christianity,
 and instead reflects the
 view of only a narrow sect.  It is ludicrous to
 call it a, quote,
 official viewpoint of Christianity   This
 caricature reflects neither my
 views, nor those of the President, nor those of the
 majority of Christians
 in this country.   And please don't try to tell me
 that everyone who has
 ever bought a Left Behind book subscribes to the
 above viewpoint.  
 
 As Nick Arnett has noted, your above quoted passage
 is demonstrably false.
  Bush has openly support[ed] Christianity, but has
 not openly supported
 any of the millennialist thinking you have
 described.
 
 As Dan Minette has noted, this error on your part
 left you open to many
 honest misinterpretations.   Now that your intent
 has been explained by
 others, I have conceded that I was mistaken to
 conclude that you were
 talking about Christianity.  It was, however, my
 honest reading of that
 passage at the time.   As he said, a bit more
 precision and a bit less
 steam would go a long way in helping us obtain your
 meaning.
 
 JDG
 
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re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread David Brin

 They aren't lies if you sincerely believe them to be
 true. 

Far, far, far worse.  To be led into war by men who
believed such fantasies.

History shows they are following the Tonkin Gulf
script to the letter.

And now imaginary blueprints for brave South
Vietnamese... er... Iraqi local forces to very soon
take over and let our boys go home...
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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread David Brin

--- John D. Giorgis [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 At 01:46 PM 10/11/2004 -0700 David Brin wrote:
  And the point is,a higher percentage of Americans
  were happy with the
  outcome of the 2000 elections than the 1992
  elections.
 
 Typically and utterly and diametrically opposite to
 the truth.
 
 In what way?
 
 Bush 2000 - 47.87%
 
 Clinton 1992 - 43.01% 

Dan and I have already dealt with the Perot/Nader comparison.
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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread Dan Minette

- Original Message - 
From: John D. Giorgis [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Monday, October 11, 2004 3:41 PM
Subject: Re: brin: My big salvo


 At 02:37 PM 10/11/2004 -0500 Dan Minette wrote:
  The monsters have a huge advantage going in, folks.  With home bases
  in Confederate and rural states, they get up to 30 extra electoral
  votes.
 
  30 Extra?
 
 I'm not sure it is 30, but Bush has the advantage that his voters, on
 average, have higher weighed votes than Kerry voters.

 As I pointed out in my Electoral College Analysis reply to Byron, this is
a
 popular misconception that just plain isn't true.This is because,
 Democrats get 3 charity EV's from DC, DE, and VT (somewhat offsetting
AK,
 MT, ND, SD, WY)and dominate the lower end of the 4 EV tier with HI, RI,
ME
 and somewhat Democrat-trending NH.

 For example, if one assigns all of the States on the basis of the 2000
 Presidential vote, and divides 2003 population by 2004 electoral votes,
you
 get:
 461,913 Blue Staters per Electoral Vote
 453,567 Red Staters per Electoral Vote

If one does something just slightly different, one sees a more significant
difference.  Look at the states where the difference in the popular vote is
 5%.  There are 20 states with 200 electoral votes for Bush, and 15 states
with 200 electoral votes for Gore.  This leaves 141 votes in the swing
states.

In the Bush states, there are 494k voters per electoral vote, while in the
Gore states, there are 550k.  This is a much more significant difference.

I didn't cherry pick 5% either.  I tried 10%, but that left too many swing
state votes.  Even so, the same trend was there.

Again, using your analysis for 2004, one gets similar results.

Dan M.




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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread Gary Denton
On Mon, 11 Oct 2004 17:15:09 -0400, John D. Giorgis
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 At 01:46 PM 10/11/2004 -0700 David Brin wrote:
  And the point is,a higher percentage of Americans
  were happy with the
  outcome of the 2000 elections than the 1992
  elections.
 
 Typically and utterly and diametrically opposite to
 the truth.
 
 In what way?
 
 Bush 2000 - 47.87%
 
 Clinton 1992 - 43.01%
 
Typically meaningless - Clinton had by far the highest percentage of
vote of the candidates.  Clinton governed centrist, a major criticism
of the GOP was that he kept stealing their programs,  and Perot
supporters were split on which of the two major candidates was their
second choice.  - Gore had the highest percentage of the vote but was
not elected President.  Bush after promising to govern in a modest
bi-partisan manner governed hard-right and supported the GOP back room
deals that have removed any input from the Democratic party.

Doesn't matter, as voters see the two candidates side by side they are
making their decisions.  My Christian GOP-leaning upper-income sister
after watching the two debates has decided to vote for Kerry rather
than the angry elitist candidate who can't admit he has made mistakes.
.
Of course, she is probably basing this on Kerry being taller and looks
more presidential.

Gary Denton
-- 
#2 on google for liberal news
I don't try harder
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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 05:04 PM 10/11/2004 -0500 Dan Minette wrote:
 For example, if one assigns all of the States on the basis of the 2000
 Presidential vote, and divides 2003 population by 2004 electoral votes,
you
 get:
 461,913 Blue Staters per Electoral Vote
 453,567 Red Staters per Electoral Vote

If one does something just slightly different, one sees a more significant
difference.  Look at the states where the difference in the popular vote is
 5%.  There are 20 states with 200 electoral votes for Bush, and 15 states
with 200 electoral votes for Gore.  This leaves 141 votes in the swing
states.

In the Bush states, there are 494k voters per electoral vote, while in the
Gore states, there are 550k.  This is a much more significant difference.

I didn't cherry pick 5% either.  I tried 10%, but that left too many swing
state votes.  Even so, the same trend was there.

Again, using your analysis for 2004, one gets similar results.

Actually, if you use my analysis for 2004, and only exclude the final group
of swing States, you get:

456,997 per EV in Democratic States, and
447,490 per EV in Republican States.

So, does that mean you were cherry-picking my 2004 analysis? ;-)

Even better, if you allocate those battlegrounds as follows: PA and NH to
the Democrats, and FL, OH, WI, IA, NV, and NM to the Republicans - an
extremely possible outcome, you get:

456,809 per EV in Democratic States, and
457,120 per EV in Republican States

Overall, I find it very difficult to believe that the Electoral College is
atrociously weighted towards the Republicans.

JDG

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re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread JDG
At 02:34 PM 10/11/2004 -0700 David Brin wrote:

 They aren't lies if you sincerely believe them to be
 true. 

Far, far, far worse.  To be led into war by men who
believed such fantasies.

History shows they are following the Tonkin Gulf
script to the letter.

And now imaginary blueprints for brave South
Vietnamese... er... Iraqi local forces to very soon
take over and let our boys go home...
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re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread JDG
At 02:29 PM 10/11/2004 -0700 David Brin wrote:
The quoted passage has nothing to do with the two
places where you openly stated you were quoting me. 
Not paraphrasing but quoting.

Not true:

At 08:06 PM 10/2/2004 -0700 David Brin wrote:
[snip]
 It is ludicrous to call
 it a, quote,
 official viewpoint of Christianity 

Your use of quotes here is dishonest to a degree that
borders on despicable..


Go visit the apocalypts' web sites to see whether THEY
think W agress with them.  Just as Black americans
called Bill Clinton the first black US president the
apocalypts call W one of us.

Out of curiosity, which websites would these be?

JDG
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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread The Fool
 From: JDG [EMAIL PROTECTED]

 At 02:29 PM 10/11/2004 -0700 David Brin wrote:
 The quoted passage has nothing to do with the two
 places where you openly stated you were quoting me. 
 Not paraphrasing but quoting.
 
 Not true:
 
 At 08:06 PM 10/2/2004 -0700 David Brin wrote:
 [snip]
  It is ludicrous to call
  it a, quote,
  official viewpoint of Christianity 
 
 Your use of quotes here is dishonest to a degree that
 borders on despicable..
 
 
 Go visit the apocalypts' web sites to see whether THEY
 think W agress with them.  Just as Black americans
 called Bill Clinton the first black US president the
 apocalypts call W one of us.
 
 Out of curiosity, which websites would these be?

Tom Delay.  Bill Frist.  Zell Miller.  Trent Lott.  Rick Santourum. 
Antonin (more orgies) Scalia.  All Christian Reconstructionist AKA
Dominionists. AKA 'apocalypts'.

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re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread Travis Edmunds

From: David Brin [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Reply-To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: re: brin: My big salvo
Date: Mon, 11 Oct 2004 13:07:51 -0700 (PDT)

A lack of skepticism toward one's own motives is the
sure fire sign of a romantic.
Allow me but a moment to interject, and to offer a digressive thought 
followed by it's own requisite question:

That's great! Pure gold in words. Can I quote ya?
As you may know, a Brin is much more quotable than an Edmunds.
-Travis Edmunds Edmunds
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Re: brin: My big salvo

2004-10-11 Thread Bemmzim
 
In a message dated 10/11/2004 3:26:27 PM Eastern Standard Time,  
[EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

John  Kerry, of course, meant by global test that America must not just
lay out  its causes, but that we must get some form of international
approval -  beyond the approval of getting at least 21 out of 30 formal US
Allies to  support the Iraq War as Bush did, and apparently beyond getting
UN Security  Council approval as we did during the first Gulf War (which
Kerry voted  against.)



He meant that we must test our actions in the arena of international  
politics. That does not mean that we must require intenational  approval but we must 
interact with othe nations of the world in a way  that keeps them and us 
involved with each other. As never before we live in  close conjunction with the 
rest of the world. What we do affects everyone else  but it is important to 
realize that we need the rest of the world for  economy and way of life to thrive. 
Military might is not enough anymore. We  need the rest of the world to deal 
with us without  resentment. 
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