[e-gold-list] 7-11 Internet payment cards

2001-05-04 Thread Vincent Youngs

Are there any market makers who accept the 7-11 / Amex Internet payment
cards in payment for e-gold?  I read the FAQ on these cards, but it is not
clear to me from the FAQ whether these cards are hard money or soft money.

http://www.7-eleven.com/about/news/news_internetcardfaq.html

--
Vincent



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[e-gold-list] Gold Lease Rates

2001-04-04 Thread Vincent Youngs

Looks like gold lease rates are up again.  Why are the rates that Kitco
derives from market data so different from the ones provided by the London
Bullion market?

http://www.kitco.com/market/LFrate.html

~ Vincent

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[e-gold-list] seeking historical data

2001-04-04 Thread Vincent Youngs

Does anybody know where I could find historical daily quotes of the gold
lease rate going back several years?  Preferably as ascii data, not in
chart form.

Another type of historical data I'd like to find would be the premium for
silver bullion coins vs. silver rounds, as this is supposed to be a
leading indicator for the price of silver according to this article I
recently read.  I'd like to test that assertion by checking it out on
historical data.
http://www.the-moneychanger.com/money/1000swap.htm

~ Vincent


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[e-gold-list] Re: Yada yada yada

2001-03-30 Thread Vincent Youngs

  If all of the gold
 currencies are compatible with each other, they all have access to the total
 market.  If they are not compatible, as is the case today, and each try to
 build their own global market, none of them will be as successful because
 the market will be fragmented.

 
 looks to me like there is some oportunity here for some young prodigy to create a 
system that integrates all the gold currencies.
 
Khurram Khan

Some young prodigy is already doing just that.  His name is Ian Grigg, and
his company is named Systemics, and the thing that will integrate all the
disparate currencies are Systemics' Ricardo Issuance Server, and Ricardo
Exchange Server.
http://www.systemics.com
All currencies will be easily convertible into all other currencies, via
trading exchanges (Richardo Exchange Server).  There is no need to worry
about how many currencies there are, nor to try to organize the different
currency issuers into a common system.  There is nobody even close to
providing a solution as good as Systemics', and once Systemics' system
gains critical mass (which it will - I give 99% odds on that), all the
different currency issuers will set up Ricardo Issuance Servers, and then
setting up Ricardo Exchange Servers for trading these currencies with
other currencies will be easy.

~ Vincent Youngs


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[e-gold-list] Re: Hansa Dollars

2001-03-25 Thread Vincent Youngs

Actually, I overlooked point c. in the contract.  I guess there will be a 
percentage premium charged by Hansa bank when purchasing Hansa 
dollars.

~ Vincent

conditions_purchase= *
{
  a) All Purchase requests must be accompanied by a WebFunds account
  number.  Purchase requests should be delivered by secure means,
  and insecure information may be rejected.  Purchases must be
  accepted and authorised in advance by the Bank, before funds are
  sent, as per b) below.

  b) Issuance of Hansa Bank US dollars will be on strict payment
  of equivalent amount of dollars, and applicable fees, using one
  of the following methods:

1.  transfer from bearer's USD account held with Hansa Bank,
at no additional charge

2.  cheque written on bearer's USD account held with any retail
bank in Anguilla, at nominal charge, and within 24 business hours,

3.  Wire or SWIFT to Hansa Bank's trading account,
bearer to pay all incurred fees, bearer to provide full and
acceptable identification details, and transaction to occur
within 24 business hours of clear and settled funds being
made available within Hansa Bank's trading account.

4.  any other method suitable to banking probity as acceptable
to the Hansa Bank and its Anguillan authorities, and as
agreed by the Bank and bearer.

  c) Purchase will attract a percentage fee that changes from time
  to time and is published on the Contract Publication Page.

  d) Purchase limits will be set from time to time as published on
  the Contract Publication Page.  Third-party market makers are
  encouraged to deal in lesser amounts.
}


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[e-gold-list] Re: Hansa Dollars

2001-03-25 Thread Vincent Youngs

 Perhaps you could trade Hansa dollars vs. e-gold (I am not certain just
 how much of the Systemics Trader actually works).  But I don't think that
 would really solve your problem.  It would just relocate the problem: how are
 you going to get Hansa dollars?  You would now need a market trading dollars
 (the ones you have) for Hansa dollars.  Does anyone have them? Is anyone
 selling them?  Is buying them any easier or cheaper than buying e-gold?
 
 CCS 


I have to admit I had not considered the possiblity of obtaining Hansa 
dollars to be a problem.  I figured it would be like a normal bank where just 
anybody could open an account.  After checking out Hansa bank, I see 
that isn't the case.  They have stringent requirements to open an account.  
However, Hansa dollars should be obtainable from market makers for a flat 
service charge.  The ricardian contract for Hansa dollars specifies the ways 
that Hansa dollars will be obtainable:

conditions_purchase= *
{
  a) All Purchase requests must be accompanied by a WebFunds account
  number.  Purchase requests should be delivered by secure means,
  and insecure information may be rejected.  Purchases must be
  accepted and authorised in advance by the Bank, before funds are
  sent, as per b) below.

  b) Issuance of Hansa Bank US dollars will be on strict payment
  of equivalent amount of dollars, and applicable fees, using one
  of the following methods:

1.  transfer from bearer's USD account held with Hansa Bank,
at no additional charge

2.  cheque written on bearer's USD account held with any retail
bank in Anguilla, at nominal charge, and within 24 business hours,

3.  Wire or SWIFT to Hansa Bank's trading account,
bearer to pay all incurred fees, bearer to provide full and
acceptable identification details, and transaction to occur
within 24 business hours of clear and settled funds being
made available within Hansa Bank's trading account.

4.  any other method suitable to banking probity as acceptable
to the Hansa Bank and its Anguillan authorities, and as
agreed by the Bank and bearer.

  c) Purchase will attract a percentage fee that changes from time
  to time and is published on the Contract Publication Page.

  d) Purchase limits will be set from time to time as published on
  the Contract Publication Page.  Third-party market makers are
  encouraged to deal in lesser amounts.
}

From the contract, it is clear that the best thing a market maker could do 
is open an account with Hansa bank, which would enable them to buy 
Hansa dollars for an equivalent amount of U.S. dollars without even paying 
any service charge.  Surely some market makers will be able to meet 
Hansa Bank's qualifications to open an account.  So long as there are a 
few such market makers, competition between them will most likely bring 
the cost of purchasing Hansa dollars down to a flat service charge without 
any percentage premium.

~ Vincent

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[e-gold-list] Re: Hansa Dollars

2001-03-25 Thread Vincent Youngs

 I doubt that the market maker fees for Hansa-dollars would go down,
 as you envisage, below those for e-gold.  The reason, in both cases, 
 is the same: the risk taken by the market makers in selling hard
 money (Hansa-dollars or e-gold) for soft money.  The crooks would
 prey on the Hansa-dollar market makers too.
 
 CCS

Market makers charge an extra risk premium when you buy with soft money,
but when you buy with hard money they do not charge the risk premium. 
That would apply to Hansa dollars also.

There are two factors that will cause Hansa dollars to have a much
narrower bid/ask spread as quoted by market makers, than e-gold.

1. No volatility risk in the price.
The volatility in the price of gold is a risk that is factored into the
e-gold premium.  Market makers expose themselves to risk when they hold a
gold inventory, and a higher premium is necessary to make that risk
profitable.  The risk can be hedged somewhat in the futures markets, but
the hedging induces its own costs.  There is no volatility risk and no
hedging cost for dealing in Hansa dollars.

2.  Much narrower bid/ask spread set by issuer.
Omnipay sets the outside bid/ask spread for e-gold, with the bid at spot
gold, and the ask at spot plus a hefty premium.  Omnipay's bid/ask spread
is pretty wide.  Market makers narrow that spread by buying from existing
e-gold holders instead of buying from omnipay.  Hansa Bank will most
certainly set a much narrower bid/ask spread for Hansabux than omnipay
sets for e-gold, (with the bid being $1 to redeem, and the ask being $1
plus whatever percentage premium they charge, which can't be too high or
they won't get many customers.)

~ Vincent

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[e-gold-list] Re: e-gold flaws Previously: PECUNIX INCORPORATED Share Offer

2001-03-23 Thread Vincent Youngs

 You can get GSR's e-gold account frozen the same way you can get any other
 account frozen -- get a court order. When dealing with ANY third-party, like
 GSR or E-Gold, you have to trust the third-party. GSR created the e-gold
 system, and the only way to challenge them is through the courts. Let's say
 that e-gold and GSR were separate, and you had a problem with E-Gold LTD.
 If this occurred, you would need to go to the courts. With any type of
 business set-up, like E-Gold / Omnipay, you're going to find certain
 alliances which you're going to have little control over. This isn't a
 problem. Indeed, it's an asset in most cases. Look at the alliance between
 GoldMoney and FideliTrade. You're not going to get GoldMoney to freeze
 FideliTrade's account under any circumstances. This would be a serious
 breech of trust, and would have to be resolved in the courts.

This is very poor policy to have no dispute resolution mechanism in place
other than the court system.  Here is a very good report on B2B dispute
resolution that makes it clear why, for an online business to earn trust,
it should establish a dispute resolution mechanism that makes the court
system the absolute last resort.

http://www.nmm.com/documents/wired_conflict.pdf

~ Vincent


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[e-gold-list] Re: Exchange development

2001-03-13 Thread Vincent Youngs

For anybody interested in exchange development, I've been doing a little
research.  Here are a few links that may or may not be of some minimal
value.

Here is an article about hiring open source programmers to do a job at a
fraction of the cost.  This would most likely be the cheapest way to get
exchange software developed (though the result would be open source).
http://www.computerworld.com/cwi/story/0,1199,NAV47_STO43930,00.html

Here is an article about banking system software that has been released as
open source.  Might be useful for an exchange.
http://www.sdtimes.com/news/025/story13.htm

Here is an article about B2B exchanges.  There are many categories of
exchanges discussed, but one category is "many to many" Nasdaq style
exchanges, as well as the current vendors offering software for B2B
exchanges of that type.  Perhaps one of these vendors' many to many type
exchange software could be adapted for an e-gold exchange.
http://www.nmm.com/documents/B2BExch.pdf

Here is another article about B2B exchanges, even less directly relevant
to an e-gold exchange, but of interest is the predictions about the
proliferation and consolidation of exchanges, and the lowering of
transaction fees as a result of competition between exchanges and increase
in trading volume.  That would apply to competing e-gold exchanges also. 
The first exchange can charge high transaction fees, but when there are a
few competing exchanges, the transaction fees will come down.
http://www.nmm.com/documents/B2B_White_Paper_no_photo.pdf

~ Vincent


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[e-gold-list] Re: A recipe for stagflation

2001-03-10 Thread Vincent Youngs

 If (USD) inflation fears and inflation are ignighted, say between March
 and May 2001, the price level in the USA might rise say 4%. But if this
 inflation is expected to persist, the price of gold will rise a hell of
 a lot more than 4%! Perhaps 30%. Thus the real price of gold in terms of
 US perchasing power has increased by more than one quarter, as has the
 real effective exchange rate of the gold for money SOE. Like the stock
 market, the price of gold is determined by *expected* events, the
 outlook for the future, which can change drastically in a matter of
 months given a few political events, a few statistics, a few
 bankruptcies and a speech by the Fed chairman. The price level, however
 takes a few years (at least) to adjust to an economic shock when the
 nominal exchange rate is fixed, requiring a price level adjustment. The
 cause of this difference is price rigidities particularly in the labour
 market, property rental market and supply contracts. (By contrast stock
 and commodity prices are perfectly flexible.) 
 

This is a good point you make about price rigidities in labour markets,
rental markets and supply contracts.  If the price rigidities in these
markets were loosened, the purchasing power of gold in these other markets
would be less volatile.  These price rigidities are mostly the result of
State interference with a free market.


   Yes, deflation and inflation, when the nominal interest rate is fixed at
   the world interest rate or a large economy currency interest rate, has
   very large effects on asset prices. If the demand for fixed assets is
   expected to grow in nominal terms by 5% p.a. along with inflation and
   replacement costs, and the nominal interest rate is 5%, the that is the
   same as a zero discount rate with price stability. An asset expected to
   last 20 years will be worth 20 times the current annual hire. If the
   interest rate stays at 5% but price stability is expected, the asset
   falls to 13.09 years hire. If the price level is expected to fall 5%
   p.a., the asset falls to 9.08 years hire. I guarantee that the property
   market will crash in Ireland when the inflation ends and the deflation
   starts and the nominal interest rate is about the same. Inflation and
   deflation have consequences.
  
  
  What do you mean by "annual hire"?  How do you arrive at these figures of
  20, 13.09, and 9.08 years hire?
 
 annual hire is just the 'rental' value of the building, which is the
 'rent' of the property less the ground rent of the land. 
 
 The figures are calculates as follows:
 P=sum{n=1 to 20):(((H1*(1+g)^(n-1))/((1+d)^(n-1)))
 where P is the market price of the asset, n is the year, H1 is the Hire
 vaue in year 1, g is the Hire growth rate, and d is the discound rate.
 
 This simplifies to 
 P=sum{n=1 to 20):(H1*((1+g)/(1+d))^(n-1))
 
 where d=g=0.05 the answer is simply: 
 P=sum{n=1 to 20):(H1)
  =20
 
 Where d=0.05 and g=0 the answer is:
 P=sum{n=1 to 20):(H1*(1/1.05)^(n-1))
  =13.09
 
 where d=0.05 and g=-0.05 the answer is
 P=sum{n=1 to 20):(H1*(0.95/1.05)^(n-1))
  =9.08
 
 The easiest way to calculate these values is to use a spreadsheet.


Thank you for explaining the method of calculation of asset values.  The
discount rate is the interest rate, I assume.  Interest rates are higher
for higher risk investments.  If the price of gold denominated assets is
seen as volatile, then lenders will charge a higher interest rate to
compensate themselves for the risk of default.  The higher interest rate
should lower the price of the assets, and the volatility in their price as
well.  You suggested that a high property tax would stabilize property
prices.  The higher interest that lenders would charge achieves the same
thing by a free market mechanism without the use of State coercion.


 Its less costly to change the clocks and time one hour than it is to
 reschedule every activity by an hour. The nominal exchange rate is the
 clock, the activities scheduled are the prices in the domestic economy.
 Changing one commodity price is much less than changing the price of
 every good, service, wage and property rental. However, nominal exchange
 rate volitility has its own cost. 

Is it really lest costly?  The enforced time change is a big disruption to
a lot of people and businesses that have no need to synchronize their
working hours with the availability of sunlight.  Why should the State be
involved in the setting of clocks at all?  If time standards were left to
a free market, a standard would evolve without State coercion that would
work at least as well as the State's solution, but probably much better.

The same applies to money.  The coercive State should get out of the money
business altogether and leave it to the free market.  In any case, unless
the use of e-gold is prevented coercively, e-gold or a variant will
replace all fiat money.  In the absense of coercion, Gresham's law is
reversed.  Good money will drive out bad.

~ Vincent

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[e-gold-list] Exchange development

2001-03-05 Thread Vincent Youngs

I haven't done any kind of research into how to create an exchange, but I came 
across some info that could be useful to somebody who wants to.  This article 
about software completion bonds for open source software gives a suggestion for 
hwo to create the bond trading exchange.
http://www.openknowledge.org/writing/open-source/scb/

Quote:
Technically, there are several software platforms which could be used to create the 
market. I'm biased toward the ArsDigita Community System. It's an open source 
(GPL) toolkit designed and maintained by the 250+ software engineers at 
ArsDigita. Extensive documentation is freely available online, and several 
universities (MIT, Stanford, Caltech, Carnegie Mellon, among others) train students 
to build web sites using the ACS. ArsDigita also offers free 1 - 3 week training 
courses almost every month, at one of number of locations in the U.S. and 
internationally. Although ACS "Classic" (the primary version supported by 
ArsDigita) is built on top of the proprietary Oracle database, it has been ported to 
PostgreSQL by the OpenACS team. Finally, the ACS has already been used to 
create a working bond market, (www.muniversal.com), a web site for municipal 
bond traders. 
End Quote

Here is arsdigita's case study about the muniversal exchange:
http://www.arsdigita.com/customers/casestudies/muniversal090700.adp

Ideally, the exchange should allow trading not just of e-gold vs. dollars, but should 
allow trading of the various e-metals, standard reserve's currency, goldmoney's gold 
grams, and perhaps a few major fiat currencies besides dollars.  The exchange 
should probably be located offshore in some country that doesn't regulate 
exchanges, so as not to have to deal with the CFTC.

One thing that occured to me is that if an exchange allows trading the various gold 
based currencies against each other, it will defeat artificial obstacles that the 
issuers set up against redemption.  For instance, standard reserve charges a 1.5% 
fee to convert their currency to e-gold, but nothing to convert from e-gold to their 
currency.  If their currency were traded against e-gold on an exchange, it would 
trade at a discount to e-gold.  Nobody would transfer directly to or from standard 
reserve's website, they would use the exchange.  If somebody wanted to convert 
from e-gold to standard reserve, they could find somebody else who wants to 
convert from standard reserve to e-gold.  Buyer and seller could meet in the middle, 
with the standard reserve converting to e-gold with a .75% discount instead of 
1.5%, and the person moving e-gold into standard reserve getting .75% more than if 
they transfered their e-gold directly to standard reserve.  Bypassing artificial 
barriers to redemption will keep all of these organizations more honest.

~ Vincent

http://two-cents-worth.com/?263239[EMAIL PROTECTED]




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[e-gold-list] need an e-gold central exchange

2001-03-04 Thread Vincent Youngs

Hello,

I just joined this list a couple of days ago, so apologies in advance if I repeat 
something that has already been discussed.  I'm pretty new to e-gold (haven't even 
got any gold in my account yet).  There is an idea that has just occured to me for 
how to narrow the bid/ask spread for e-gold.  There needs to be a central exchange 
which works like a stock exchange, where all market maker bids and asks are 
represented in the same place.  As it is now, if I want to find the best bid and ask, 
I 
have to do hours or even days of research.  This is like buying stocks in the days 
before stock exchanges existed.  The stock exchange, by representing all bids and 
asks in the same place, makes price discovery much more efficient, improves 
liquidity, and narrows the spread.  

To narrow the spread even further, users should be able to have orders represented 
directly on the exchange, just as the Island ECN does for stocks.  Thus, if one user 
wants to buy e-gold and another wants to sell, they can make their own markets 
and bypass the market makers entirely, just as the Island ECN allows individual 
users to buy and sell stock directly to each other without a market maker getting 
between.  The market makers would always be there with the outside spread for 
when there weren't enough small buyers or sellers in the inside spread.

Users could have an account with a broker in order to have access to the 
exchange, just like with stocks.  The user would have to fund the account with 
cash, just like stock broker accounts are funded.  The cash account could have 
banking services associated with it.  Thus, users would have accounts with both e-
gold and cash, and converting between e-gold and cash would be cheap and easy 
because of the narrow spread that the exchange would generate.

~ Vincent

http://two-cents-worth.com/?263239[EMAIL PROTECTED]






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[e-gold-list] Electronic E-Gold Exchange Suggestion

2001-03-04 Thread Vincent Youngs
 SPREAD
In the stock and futures markets, there are many factors that affect the
width of the bid / ask spread, but the two biggest factors are volume and
risk (or volatility).  One way to think of it is that the spread is
determined by risk per turnover period, turnover period being the length
of time it takes a market maker to turnover their inventory.  Volatility
increases the risk per turnover period, and so market makers widen the
spread to protect themselves.  High volume reduces the length of time per
turnover period, so the risk per turnover period is reduced, so market
makers can narrow their spread during a time of high volume.  How would an
e-gold exchange affect this equation?  It would drastically reduce the
turnover period, thus reducing risk per turnover period, thus allowing
market makers to make a narrower spread.  Also by allowing
non-professional users to make their own markets, it would bypass market
makers in many cases making the spread zero.  For others who would like to
be amateur market makers, it would eliminate the barrier to entry and
allow amateurs to compete with the pros with minimal start up costs.  The
vastly increased competition between professional and amateur market
makers would drive the spread to become very narrow.

ADVANTAGE OF BEING FIRST
The nature of an exchange like this is that dominance in the field will be
self-reinforcing once it is established: similar to the way that the
eBay.com auction site's dominance is self-reinforcing.  After eBay, many
others tried to imitate them, but buyers go to eBay because that is where
the sellers are, and sellers go to eBay because that is where the buyers
are.  Competitive exchanges may spring up, and people may perform
arbitrage between them, but whoever is first has a huge advantage.  The
market will prefer to have only one place to go to find price information,
so it will be a major uphill battle for any competitor once the initial
exchange has popular acceptance.

PROFITS
The exchange could charge commission on each trade.  The exchange could
recognize professional market makers by giving them a lower commission. 
Banking service fees could be charged on the cash accounts when they are
used for such things as writing checks or drawn on with a debit card. 
Large account holders and commercial accounts could be given special
discounts on the banking fees as well as the commissions.

WHAT IT WOULD DO FOR E-GOLD
It should be obvious.  Standard Reserve has been touting the benefits of
their combined account, trying to sell it to large commercial customers. 
An exchange with broker accounts such as I described would essentially
have all the benefits that standard reserve has been touting with regards
to convenience, but it would also offer an extremely narrow spread for
changing e-gold and $$ back and forth.

WHO WILL DO IT?
Standard Reserve may presently in the best position to create such an
exchange, because they already have combined $$ / SR accounts.  However, I
haven't heard anything about them about creating an exchange.  Anybody
could do it at this stage of the game, with sufficient venture capital. 
I'd prefer to see it done with a 100% gold backed currency, rather than
SR.  Another issue is that it might have to be registered with the CFTC if
it is done in the U.S. and comply with all their regulations.  An offshore
server might be a regulation free place to create an exchange, although
the broker accounts might not be able to offer as much banking convenience
from an offshore server.

~ Vincent Youngs

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