Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2015-01-26 Thread Marcus G. Daniels
Glen writes:

but Harris, having authored so many books, should be much better at it
than he seems to be.

It may not be such a bad approach, depending on his goals.  Does he want
to persuade anyone or just a certain type of person?
Wrong approach for a politician, but adequate for tenured faculty or a
cult leader. 

Marcus



FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com


Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2015-01-25 Thread Marcus G. Daniels
Glen writes:

I feel the same way about Charlie Hebdo and the opinions of Sam Harris 
(http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2015/01/sam-harris-liberals-like-greenwald-aslan-support-thuggish-ultimatum-of-islamic-terrorists/).

 “This ‘respect’ we’re all urged to show for ‘religious sensitivity,’ is 
actually a demand that the blasphemy laws of Islam be followed by non-Muslims 
and secular liberals in the West are defending this thuggish ultimatum,” he 
said.  

I don't think he means to say the secular liberals are making that demand, but 
rather that they are surrendering to it.   And elsewhere in the podcast he 
mentions some of them he doesn't find readable.  So I don't think he means 
all of them.  

An analogy might be a parent that beats his or her kids so furiously that the 
screams can be heard around the neighborhood.  At some point being `sensitive' 
to that has a dubious moral foundation.  And if one doesn't work from a moral 
foundation, then what is the motive for tolerance of the disruptive behavior?   
Just go along, get along?  

Marcus




FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2015-01-23 Thread glen

On 01/20/2015 10:20 AM, Marcus G. Daniels wrote:

On Tue, 2015-01-20 at 09:18 -0700, Roger Critchlow wrote:


   http://pnis.co/vol2/s1.html Neural correlates of people waiting to
get into Heaven



They joke that The eventual results of this experiment (which are not
yet available) have been accepted “in principle”, and will be published
when made available by the author(s).

It seems to me there is a fixation on positive results.  To get funding,
it is usually necessary to pre-register a set of questions, at least, if
not the scientific methods. So wouldn't it be better if funding requests
and submission of academic papers were the same process, and double
blind?


The problem with intricate jokes is they rely on an intricate audience. 
 The joke would be far funnier if they'd included a poes-law-like 
description of the aims and methods ... but fewer people would be 
willing to play the game.  So, although it would be funnier, fewer 
people would find it funny ... humor economics?


I feel the same way about Charlie Hebdo and the opinions of Sam Harris 
(http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2015/01/sam-harris-liberals-like-greenwald-aslan-support-thuggish-ultimatum-of-islamic-terrorists/).


--
⇔ glen


FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2015-01-20 Thread Roger Critchlow
And a month later, though actually submitted two months in anticipation,
scientific research responds with:

  http://pnis.co/vol2/s1.html Neural correlates of people waiting to get
into Heaven

It should be noted that PNIS is a mock scientific journal.

-- rec --

On Thu, Dec 18, 2014 at 4:28 PM, glen g...@ropella.name wrote:


 These articles popped up on my radar today:

 http://www.science20.com/writer_on_the_edge/blog/scientists_discover_that_
 atheists_might_not_exist_and_thats_not_a_joke-139982

 http://whyevolutionistrue.wordpress.com/2014/07/13/
 confused-science-writer-claims-that-atheists-might-not-exist/

 http://www.evolutionnews.org/2014/08/evolutionary_st088461.html

 What makes me care is that my friends constantly accuse me of being an
 atheist, despite my claim that I'm agnostic, a word they seem incapable of
 parsing. So for about 5 years, now, spurred on in part by Nick's posts to
 this list, I've been passively looking out for any hint of an objective way
 to diagnose whether someone's a[n] [a]theist.  I use diagnose for
 provocation since I think all claims about metaphysical truth, including
 both atheism and theism, are delusional. 8^)

 Does anyone here have or know of any diagnostic algorithms that do NOT
 rely on self-reporting?

 I can easily imagine someone saying they do or don't believe in some thing
 but behaving otherwise.  So I'd love to find more objective measures of
 it... even if they're only informal or N=1.  One answer I've thought of
 myself is the way we react to particular types of fiction. For example, I
 really enjoy horror movies, witches, zombies, demon possessions,
 telekinetics who can explode other people's minds --
 http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0081455/ -- and of course the axe murderers
 that lurk behind every corner and die over and over again only to come back
 to life for the next installment.  (But I can't stand those silly TV shows
 about serial killers.)  Would an atheist enjoy such things that rely
 fundamentally on the supernatural?  Similarly, I know lots of self-reported
 theists who don't enjoy any fiction that relies on supernatural beings or
 mechanisms.

 Where is the actual line between belief and suspension of disbelief? (cf
 http://vimeo.com/12403866)

 --
 ⇔ glen

 
 FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
 Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
 to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2015-01-20 Thread Marcus G. Daniels
On Tue, 2015-01-20 at 09:18 -0700, Roger Critchlow wrote:
 And a month later, though actually submitted two months in
 anticipation, scientific research responds with:
 
 
   http://pnis.co/vol2/s1.html Neural correlates of people waiting to
 get into Heaven


They joke that The eventual results of this experiment (which are not
yet available) have been accepted “in principle”, and will be published
when made available by the author(s).

It seems to me there is a fixation on positive results.  To get funding,
it is usually necessary to pre-register a set of questions, at least, if
not the scientific methods. So wouldn't it be better if funding requests
and submission of academic papers were the same process, and double
blind?

Marcus



FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2015-01-20 Thread glen

On 01/20/2015 08:18 AM, Roger Critchlow wrote:

And a month later, though actually submitted two months in anticipation,
scientific research responds with:

http://pnis.co/vol2/s1.html Neural correlates of people waiting to get
into Heaven


Ha! Told ya so!  I knew EEG granularity was good enough!

--
⇔ glen


FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2014-12-30 Thread glen

On 12/29/2014 03:53 PM, Marcus G. Daniels wrote:

Insisting on experiments that are strictly boolean valued is too harsh if there 
are other variables that are hard to measure, but don't completely destroy the 
correlation between things that can be measured.


I agree completely.  My hope isn't actually for a binary test.  I was 
initially more interested in a spectrum of willingness to play the game, 
where [a]theists would be on one end (won't play the game at all) and 
agnostics are on the other end (willing to play any game for an extended 
period).  But based on our conversation, here, I found this:


  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bartle_Test

which has 4 categories: achievers, killers, socializers, and explorers. 
 (I mostly fall into the explorer camp.)  And the expanded categories 
down at the bottom are interesting, too.


Anyway, now I'm thinking [a]theists would show up as relatively small, 
relatively well defined, subsets of the 4 (8 or whatever) dimensional 
space, whereas agnostics would show up as larger, nebulous subsets. 
E.g. I know I dislike FPS and crosswords (though games with mixed play 
type are much better... an FPS with an occasional crossword would be way 
better ... the only reason I still play GTA, in fact.)  But every so 
often (perhaps thrice a year), I'll play one just to see if I still 
dislike them ... and I almost always have to finish once I start.  The 
same is true of bad fiction.  I often start a novel, get to about page 
100 and say to myself, This book really sucks.  I should stop reading 
now.  But I very rarely do.  Sometimes a bad novel will sit on my 
nightstand and loom over me until I force my way through it.  (The last 
novel I quit reading was Atlas Shrugged.  I just couldn't take it anymore.)


My guess is that (ardent) [a]theists are quite efficient at a) knowing 
the games for which they'll be rewarded and b) avoiding games for which 
they won't.  (Reward being various and often intangible.)  Of course, 
their [a]theism is probably only one of many effects of [a] deeper 
cause[s].  And I care much more about the cause[s] than the effect[s].


--
⇔ glen


FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2014-12-29 Thread Alfredo Covaleda Vélez
Maybe some people is prone to the magical thinking more than others. Maybe
is physic, maybe it is cultural. Maybe it is really related to mental
processes biochemically mediated. Maybe there is a kind of enzyme of the
faith. I lack of it, of course. Anyhow, God bless you.

2014-12-27 14:03 GMT-05:00 Gillian Densmore gil.densm...@gmail.com:

 Someone has to ask it:

 Anyone else read the thread tittle as What's the diagnosis for asthma?

 On Fri, Dec 26, 2014 at 5:57 PM, Nick Thompson nickthomp...@earthlink.net
  wrote:

 Glen thinks that atheists and theists are delusional.  My claim is that
 agnostics are non-existent.   From which it follows, I guess that all
 humans
 are delusional.

 I am ok with that.

 N

 Nicholas S. Thompson
 Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Biology
 Clark University
 http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/

 -Original Message-
 From: Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] On Behalf Of Marcus G.
 Daniels
 Sent: Friday, December 26, 2014 4:57 PM
 To: 'The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group'
 Subject: Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

 Glen writes:

 ``Well, my specific problem is that I think atheists and theists are
 delusional.  They think they know things they cannot know.  So, if Nick's
 point is that the concept of theist (or atheist) is too muddy to
 define
 validatable[*] tests for, then, as an agnostic, I would completely
 agree.''

 Let's say I have a program and it does something that I don't expect.
 Someone says it is the witchcraft from a particular gal that works on the
 HVAC system.
 I ask Is it because the computer got too hot?   Did she fail to keep the
 air conditioning running properly?   They respond, No, it's not the
 temperature, it's the witchcraft.   I look in the index of the
 instruction
 set under W and under remote access protocols, interrupt mechanisms, etc.
 Nothing.   I keep removing degrees of freedom from the code and
 environment
 and all of my suggestions are rejected by my peer as Not an instance of
 witchcraft.   I ask for suggestions on how to prove that witchcraft is at
 work and they just show me pictures of their witch suspects and give me a
 pamphlet on building big fires.   Meanwhile, I discover a simple,
 mechanical, explanation for why the program isn't doing what I expect, fix
 it, and tell the growing mob of witch burners about what I discovered.
  (Of
 course, their explanation is that they were successful in intimidating the
 witch and she was forced to release me from her spell.)

 It should be possible to associate with any proposition a probability
 function that takes as arguments other routines that describe how to
 perform
 an experiment and the result of that experiment.   The details of the
 experiment routines should be provided and should not include call a
 friend or reference anything that is already known or obvious.All
 functions and routines should be written down before doing the experiment.
 It should be possible that by sweeping over the space of unknowns
 (potential
 inputs) in the experiment routines to get some probabilities near zero and
 some near one.

 The refusal or inability to write these functions and routines is an
 indicator that the speaker is full of it and would rather talk about
 witches.
 When cornered on a question, can the believer justify or change their
 belief?

 Marcus


 
 FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
 Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College to unsubscribe
 http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com


 
 FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
 Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
 to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com



 
 FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
 Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
 to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com




-- 
Agrónomo, IT, Candidato a MSc en Desarrollo Sostenible y Medio Ambiente
+57 3154531383

FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2014-12-29 Thread glen


I think probability is a red herring, as is high pop variation of any 
kind.  It's more appropriate to consider serial experimentation.  If I 
change the concept I'm testing for to, say, gullibility, I can practice 
evaluating people without a high N trial. I can simply try to trick one 
individual after another and, over time, even if my tests are somewhat 
dynamic, I can evolve a collection of tricks that distinguish the 
gullible from the ... risk averse.  Being gullible myself, I'm familiar 
with the process ... I am serially foolish.  Sure, reduction to the 
smallest possible set of traits that lead to gullibility would require 
high N trials.  But that's not necessary for approaching the gist.


I can't help but think there is an equivalent method for [a]theism. 
There must be gurus and evangelicals, especially those busted for 
something but that then recover and start another congregation, who have 
honed the craft.  Or, perhaps better examples would be people like Jack 
Abramoff, Edward Snowden, or even ex-addict drug counselors.  These are 
people who, I think, are in their situations because of _systemic_ 
pressures rather than some hypothetical internal mechanisms that 
motivated them.  Or, perhaps it's analogous to the false dichotomy 
between pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics.


It may well be a mistake to hunt for [a]theism in individual humans 
(behavior- or molecule-based).  Perhaps it's actually a property of the 
system in which the humans live, or, more likely, a result of the 
coupling of the individual to the society.



On December 26, 2014 3:56:58 PM PST, Marcus G. Daniels 
mar...@snoutfarm.com wrote:

The refusal or inability to write these functions and routines is an
indicator that the speaker is full of it and would rather talk about
witches.


Or the refusal or inability to write the functions is a result of the 
witch-hypothesizer's embeddedness in his culture?  This is something 
many high N trials will not discover unless explicitly designed to 
discover them.  And that can be very difficult.  How do we design a 
trial across cultures that involve witch-hypotheses?  Is the bruja a 
good analog for the voodoo priestess?  Is vishnu a good analog for 
yaweh?  Can we really believe the alcoholics anonymous advocates that 
you can adopt _whatever_ something larger than yourself is a synonym 
for God?



When cornered on a question, can the believer justify or change their belief?


Justification is always possible.  (Perhaps we could correlate 
justificationism with the rise and fall of conspiracy theories, which 
are simply tortuous justifications.)  And we can't quite rely on 
tracking changes in belief, at least not directly.  We could rely 
(somewhat) on changes to the self-reports of belief.  But, again, when 
and in what context is the self-report trustworthy?


--
⇔ glen


FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2014-12-29 Thread Marcus G. Daniels
Glen writes:

I think probability is a red herring, as is high pop variation of any kind.

I suppose so.   But there are situations, especially in biology, where some 
aspect of an experiment can be reproduced but only to put a confidence interval 
on a correlation.   Insisting on experiments that are strictly boolean valued 
is too harsh if there are other variables that are hard to measure, but don't 
completely destroy the correlation between things that can be measured.   

Marcus 



FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com


Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2014-12-27 Thread Gillian Densmore
Someone has to ask it:

Anyone else read the thread tittle as What's the diagnosis for asthma?

On Fri, Dec 26, 2014 at 5:57 PM, Nick Thompson nickthomp...@earthlink.net
wrote:

 Glen thinks that atheists and theists are delusional.  My claim is that
 agnostics are non-existent.   From which it follows, I guess that all
 humans
 are delusional.

 I am ok with that.

 N

 Nicholas S. Thompson
 Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Biology
 Clark University
 http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/

 -Original Message-
 From: Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] On Behalf Of Marcus G.
 Daniels
 Sent: Friday, December 26, 2014 4:57 PM
 To: 'The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group'
 Subject: Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

 Glen writes:

 ``Well, my specific problem is that I think atheists and theists are
 delusional.  They think they know things they cannot know.  So, if Nick's
 point is that the concept of theist (or atheist) is too muddy to define
 validatable[*] tests for, then, as an agnostic, I would completely agree.''

 Let's say I have a program and it does something that I don't expect.
 Someone says it is the witchcraft from a particular gal that works on the
 HVAC system.
 I ask Is it because the computer got too hot?   Did she fail to keep the
 air conditioning running properly?   They respond, No, it's not the
 temperature, it's the witchcraft.   I look in the index of the instruction
 set under W and under remote access protocols, interrupt mechanisms, etc.
 Nothing.   I keep removing degrees of freedom from the code and environment
 and all of my suggestions are rejected by my peer as Not an instance of
 witchcraft.   I ask for suggestions on how to prove that witchcraft is at
 work and they just show me pictures of their witch suspects and give me a
 pamphlet on building big fires.   Meanwhile, I discover a simple,
 mechanical, explanation for why the program isn't doing what I expect, fix
 it, and tell the growing mob of witch burners about what I discovered.
  (Of
 course, their explanation is that they were successful in intimidating the
 witch and she was forced to release me from her spell.)

 It should be possible to associate with any proposition a probability
 function that takes as arguments other routines that describe how to
 perform
 an experiment and the result of that experiment.   The details of the
 experiment routines should be provided and should not include call a
 friend or reference anything that is already known or obvious.All
 functions and routines should be written down before doing the experiment.
 It should be possible that by sweeping over the space of unknowns
 (potential
 inputs) in the experiment routines to get some probabilities near zero and
 some near one.

 The refusal or inability to write these functions and routines is an
 indicator that the speaker is full of it and would rather talk about
 witches.
 When cornered on a question, can the believer justify or change their
 belief?

 Marcus


 
 FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
 Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College to unsubscribe
 http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com


 
 FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
 Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
 to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com


FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2014-12-26 Thread Marcus G. Daniels
General relativity predicts gravitational waves.  A result of that
prediction, elaborate measurement techniques have been devised like
computational filtering of observatory data (Einstein @ Home) or
superconducting devices to detect polarization of the cosmic microwave
background (POLARBEAR 2).  It's not a single thing to measure , but also
other measurements of related phenomena, like the perihelion precession of
Mercury.   

What sort of things does it make sense for [a]theists to say and do, and
does these things occur (instead of the opposite) in a statistically
significant way?

-Original Message-
From: Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] On Behalf Of glen ep ropella
Sent: Tuesday, December 23, 2014 9:56 AM
To: Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: [FRIAM] RE: clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?


I don't understand that concept of validator at all. For glucose, you talk
about multiple measures.  It sounds like you're saying a more accurate
measure is the validator for a less accurate measure. These are all concrete
things: urine, blood, etc. But then you go on to say a conceptual notion is
the best validator.  Is a conceptual notion a more accurate measure than a
concrete measure?  I don't get it.

 



FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com


Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2014-12-26 Thread glen


So, did Nick mean this: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Construct_validity ?

On 12/26/2014 11:35 AM, Marcus G. Daniels wrote:

General relativity predicts gravitational waves.  A result of that
prediction, elaborate measurement techniques have been devised like
computational filtering of observatory data (Einstein @ Home) or
superconducting devices to detect polarization of the cosmic microwave
background (POLARBEAR 2).  It's not a single thing to measure , but also
other measurements of related phenomena, like the perihelion precession of
Mercury.


It sounds like you're describing parallax, the idea of approaching 
something with many many meaures.  Or perhaps robustness analysis, in 
the sense that if a concept is modeled in many different ways and stays 
consistent across models, then it's a robust concept.  I'm familiar with 
those methods ... though I have some issues with the latter.


But none of this seems to fit with what Nick seemed to describe, the 
idea that an experiment is validated by a (validator) concept.  That 
just seems backwards to me... like some form of insidious 
justificationism.  It would lead a researcher to conclude that if a test 
(any test) failed, it would _not_ falsify the concept.  It would just 
mean you didn't know the trait/person/species well enough.



What sort of things does it make sense for [a]theists to say and do, and
does these things occur (instead of the opposite) in a statistically
significant way?


Well, my specific problem is that I think atheists and theists are 
delusional.  They think they know things they cannot know.  So, if 
Nick's point is that the concept of theist (or atheist) is too muddy 
to define validatable[*] tests for, then, as an agnostic, I would 
completely agree.  In fact, such a result would bring me quite a bit of 
joy!  In other words, there can be no test for [a]theism because it's an 
incoherent concept.  In fact, we're all agnostics, we just don't realize it.



[*] I would just say valid ... but too few people read broad words 
like that and work to find the submeaning appropriate to the context.


--
⇔ glen


FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2014-12-26 Thread Marcus G. Daniels
Glen writes:

``Well, my specific problem is that I think atheists and theists are 
delusional.  They think they know things they cannot know.  So, if Nick's point 
is that the concept of theist (or atheist) is too muddy to define 
validatable[*] tests for, then, as an agnostic, I would completely agree.''

Let's say I have a program and it does something that I don't expect.   Someone 
says it is the witchcraft from a particular gal that works on the HVAC system.
I ask Is it because the computer got too hot?   Did she fail to keep the air 
conditioning running properly?   They respond, No, it's not the temperature, 
it's the witchcraft.   I look in the index of the instruction set under W and 
under remote access protocols, interrupt mechanisms, etc.   Nothing.   I keep 
removing degrees of freedom from the code and environment and all of my 
suggestions are rejected by my peer as Not an instance of witchcraft.   I ask 
for suggestions on how to prove that witchcraft is at work and they just show 
me pictures of their witch suspects and give me a pamphlet on building big 
fires.   Meanwhile, I discover a simple, mechanical, explanation for why the 
program isn't doing what I expect, fix it, and tell the growing mob of witch 
burners about what I discovered.   (Of course, their explanation is that they 
were successful in intimidating the witch and she was forced to release me from 
her spell.)

It should be possible to associate with any proposition a probability function 
that takes as arguments other routines that describe how to perform an 
experiment and the result of that experiment.   The details of the experiment 
routines should be provided and should not include call a friend or reference 
anything that is already known or obvious.All functions and routines should 
be written down before doing the experiment.  It should be possible that by 
sweeping over the space of unknowns (potential inputs) in the experiment 
routines to get some probabilities near zero and some near one.   

The refusal or inability to write these functions and routines is an indicator 
that the speaker is full of it and would rather talk about witches.
When cornered on a question, can the believer justify or change their belief?

Marcus



FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com


Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2014-12-26 Thread Nick Thompson
Glen, 

Nice Wikipedia entry.  If that is not what I meant, it certainly is what I 
SHOULD have meant.  

I have been sufficiently distracted by family over the last two weeks that I 
don't know what is what with this discussion To recap: if I remember, I first 
tried to find out if we are talking about theism, or the wider category of 
metaphysical belief.  Somebody helped me clarify that.  But now, you, Glen, 
seem to be confusing them.  Or perhaps it's me that WANTS to confuse them.  
Induction requires metaphysics.  There are some things  that you have to 
believe before you can start believing in FACTS.   So, if you think one can 
survive without metaphysics, I think you are wrong.

But does the metaphysics have to be theistic, in any sense.  Here is where my 
confusion begins.  In order to put my feet out of bed every morning, I have to 
believe there is still a floor under the bed.  That belief is clearly empirical 
but it is also based on a healthy dose of metaphysics that tells me that the 
world is not the sort of place where floors disappear without some sort of 
provocation.  Having no indications of such a provocation, I am justified in 
believing that the floor is there.  That belief takes the form of my 
unhesitatingly putting my feet out.  

So, I would say, I don't have to believe in God to get up every morning, but I 
do have to belief in The Floor.  Now, is my Belief in Floor a religious belief? 
 Speaking for myself:  I think my belief in Floor is religious.  It's hard for 
me to think of a belief in God as anything but a belief in that which endures, 
despite any reason to believe that it endures, and my Faith in Floor is an 
example of such a belief.  

Clear as mud, 

Nick 



Nicholas S. Thompson
Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Biology
Clark University
http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/

-Original Message-
From: Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] On Behalf Of glen
Sent: Friday, December 26, 2014 1:28 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?


So, did Nick mean this: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Construct_validity ?

On 12/26/2014 11:35 AM, Marcus G. Daniels wrote:
 General relativity predicts gravitational waves.  A result of that 
 prediction, elaborate measurement techniques have been devised like 
 computational filtering of observatory data (Einstein @ Home) or 
 superconducting devices to detect polarization of the cosmic microwave
 background (POLARBEAR 2).  It's not a single thing to measure , but also
 other measurements of related phenomena, like the perihelion 
 precession of Mercury.

It sounds like you're describing parallax, the idea of approaching something 
with many many meaures.  Or perhaps robustness analysis, in the sense that if 
a concept is modeled in many different ways and stays consistent across models, 
then it's a robust concept.  I'm familiar with those methods ... though I have 
some issues with the latter.

But none of this seems to fit with what Nick seemed to describe, the idea that 
an experiment is validated by a (validator) concept.  That just seems backwards 
to me... like some form of insidious justificationism.  It would lead a 
researcher to conclude that if a test (any test) failed, it would _not_ falsify 
the concept.  It would just mean you didn't know the trait/person/species well 
enough.

 What sort of things does it make sense for [a]theists to say and do, 
 and does these things occur (instead of the opposite) in a 
 statistically significant way?

Well, my specific problem is that I think atheists and theists are delusional.  
They think they know things they cannot know.  So, if Nick's point is that the 
concept of theist (or atheist) is too muddy to define validatable[*] tests 
for, then, as an agnostic, I would completely agree.  In fact, such a result 
would bring me quite a bit of joy!  In other words, there can be no test for 
[a]theism because it's an incoherent concept.  In fact, we're all agnostics, we 
just don't realize it.


[*] I would just say valid ... but too few people read broad words like that 
and work to find the submeaning appropriate to the context.

--
⇔ glen


FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College to unsubscribe 
http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com



FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2014-12-26 Thread Nick Thompson
Glen thinks that atheists and theists are delusional.  My claim is that
agnostics are non-existent.   From which it follows, I guess that all humans
are delusional.  

I am ok with that.  

N

Nicholas S. Thompson
Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Biology
Clark University
http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/

-Original Message-
From: Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] On Behalf Of Marcus G.
Daniels
Sent: Friday, December 26, 2014 4:57 PM
To: 'The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group'
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

Glen writes:

``Well, my specific problem is that I think atheists and theists are
delusional.  They think they know things they cannot know.  So, if Nick's
point is that the concept of theist (or atheist) is too muddy to define
validatable[*] tests for, then, as an agnostic, I would completely agree.''

Let's say I have a program and it does something that I don't expect.
Someone says it is the witchcraft from a particular gal that works on the
HVAC system.
I ask Is it because the computer got too hot?   Did she fail to keep the
air conditioning running properly?   They respond, No, it's not the
temperature, it's the witchcraft.   I look in the index of the instruction
set under W and under remote access protocols, interrupt mechanisms, etc.
Nothing.   I keep removing degrees of freedom from the code and environment
and all of my suggestions are rejected by my peer as Not an instance of
witchcraft.   I ask for suggestions on how to prove that witchcraft is at
work and they just show me pictures of their witch suspects and give me a
pamphlet on building big fires.   Meanwhile, I discover a simple,
mechanical, explanation for why the program isn't doing what I expect, fix
it, and tell the growing mob of witch burners about what I discovered.   (Of
course, their explanation is that they were successful in intimidating the
witch and she was forced to release me from her spell.)

It should be possible to associate with any proposition a probability
function that takes as arguments other routines that describe how to perform
an experiment and the result of that experiment.   The details of the
experiment routines should be provided and should not include call a
friend or reference anything that is already known or obvious.All
functions and routines should be written down before doing the experiment.
It should be possible that by sweeping over the space of unknowns (potential
inputs) in the experiment routines to get some probabilities near zero and
some near one.   

The refusal or inability to write these functions and routines is an
indicator that the speaker is full of it and would rather talk about
witches.
When cornered on a question, can the believer justify or change their
belief?

Marcus



FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College to unsubscribe
http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com



FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com


Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2014-12-23 Thread glen


Very Nice!  So, the gods become reflective projections, much like 
empathy or the (over hyped) mirror neurons.  I'd argue that's a 
statement about both your 1st point (thinking about ourselves) and your 
2nd (understanding our environment).  I'll read the Brague book.  But it 
reminds me of the persistent anthropomorphized physics like that of 
Smolin or even the consciousness-centric physics.


RE: re-ligiere -- Would it be appropriate to argue against Marcus's 
alleged independence from his entertainment by asserting that things 
like Harry Potter or Eat, Pray, Love are little religions?  Perhaps even 
something like Dr. Oz or Oprah Winfrey ... or perhapse even the evening 
news are little religions.  Obviously, something like futbol or football 
fits even better.  These smaller coherences of thought/behavior tie 
their subcultures together in much the same way as something like a 
small Xtian denomination.


Science, I'd argue is a different beast, though, depending on whose 
definition you use.  I try to be a critical rationalist and assume that 
actual science (as opposed to any concept of science inside any 
people's heads) doesn't tie us together at all.  It's an 
observer-independent set of methods that could be carried out by someone 
with 3 arms as well as someone made of pure energy (whatever that means) 
as well as someone with hooks isntead of hands.  There need be no 
relation between the doers of science, whereas there must be some 
relation between the doers of religion.



circa Tue Dec 23 13:26:17 EST 2014 doug wrote:

The theory that early humans projected their own powers on to events like 
lightening, war and such and called them gods seems compelling. What is less 
well known is that in our interaction with those gods, say through ritual and 
prayer, we learn about ourselves. In fact dealing with the projected gods may 
have been necessary for human enlightenment about its own powers.

Also the very idea of god or gods may be important in telling us something 
about the awesome coherence of the universe. Are the gods necessary for this? 
Don’t know. We are on the edge of human cognition as it explores the very idea 
of uni-verse. A very interesting book on the long history of humanity getting 
to the concept and words for “world.” is Remi Brague’s The Wisdom of the World: 
the human experience of the universe in western thought.

In the background of the god talk of course is the idea of religion. I prefer 
to take it at its root, re-ligiere, to re-tie together. Religion is a way of 
tying things together. In this sense science too is a religion, a way of tying 
things together. It appears to be different because of its stress on matter and 
to a slightly lesser degree mathematics. But that is a selection of out of 
experience of some aspects while leaving behind others. - that is, science is 
much more focused on stuff than on say love, passions, or the subtleties of 
human and animal  interactions. The things of novels are not the things of 
science (yet). The standard religions are just tying together a different set 
of experiences than science does, but all are motivated in part by explorations 
in understanding (and by careers, power, etc.) f aspects of our experience.





--
⇔ glen


FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2014-12-22 Thread glen

On 12/22/2014 12:18 PM, Gillian Densmore wrote:

@Glen before diving to deep into it with numbers- do you have a
working defination of Agnostic vs Atheist?


Well, the standard definitions suffice, I think.  This one works just 
fine for agnostic: a person who believes that nothing is known or can 
be known of the existence or nature of God or of anything beyond 
material phenomena; a person who claims neither faith nor disbelief in 
God.


And this one works for atheist: a person who disbelieves or lacks 
belief in the existence of God or gods.


Having argued about this sort of thing for decades, now, I find the 
primary denotational sticking point to be the difference between 
belief and knowledge.  The primary connotational sticking points are 
usually dogma and the ontological status of supernatural phenomena. 
Agnostics and atheists align almost perfectly regarding the supernatural 
stuff.  An atheist claims the supernatural does not exist, whereas an 
agnostic claims that supernatural stuff is completely irrelevant. 
Dogma, however, becomes very important.  Atheists tend to be more 
dogmatic, particularly about the structure and interpretation of 
evidence, whereas agnostics tend to be more willing to let the data lay 
around without curating or interpreting it.


So, whether you consider the standard definitions working or not 
depends on the actionable differences between a) knowledge vs. 
belief and b) the tendency (or not) to triage data into evidence.


Re (a) I find it useful to ask questions like Can you know something 
you don't believe? And Can you believe something you don't know?  Re 
(b) it can be interesting to see how badly the social network mangles 
scientific research results.  For whatever reason, despite most research 
being published with lots of caveats and hedges, most people read it as 
scientific knowledge or proof.  The same can be said about the 
gossip game, where a statement at one end gets modified as it's 
whispered from one person to the next.  There is a biological limit to 
iterative depth.  You can't just wrap a statement inside 
he-said(she-said(he-said(she-said(... forever.  At some point you 
have to put in a hard stop, a triage.


--
⇔ glen


FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2014-12-22 Thread Steve Smith

Glen -

Great wordsmithery as usual!

My first instinct was to hairsplit argumentatively and ask for more 
fine-structure in the definition of god or gods... to start, we are 
all progressive feminists here I am sure, so god or gods should be 
taken as gender neutral such that the goddess or goddesses is entirely 
implied here.  Then we might question if said god(ess)(es) need be fully 
anthropomorphised (gendered humanoids) or if merely ascribing sentient 
beingness is enough?


So I would contend that what is needed is NOT an athiest detector but 
rather a religious belief classifier system designed around these other 
finer structures.   Even more interesting would be a type of learning 
classifier that could maybe be applied to individuals first by asking 
their self-reporting on these matters, then perhaps based on various 
behaviours (frequency and nature of prayer, attendance to other rituals, 
adherence to golden and other rules or commandments, etc.), and finally 
to the physiometric (brain only, or should the entire body be 
included... on the off chance that belief in god(ess(es)) occurs in the 
pancreas or in lymphatic system?


   I don't know how valuable it is to hairsplit to another level... but 
the question of belief.


As far as physiometrics go, I suppose we could start as the Nazis did 
and maybe the most fundamentalist Islamists do and check one's (male in 
the first place, female in the second) circumcision status.   And for 
Catholics, maybe the salivary response when presented with a communion 
wafer?   Perhaps something equally obvious could be offered up for 
members of the LDS church, or the Zoroastrians...


hmmm... interesting questions to contemplate on the first day of the 
rest of the solar year!


Merry Solstice everyone!

 Dogma, however, becomes very important.  Atheists tend to be more 
dogmatic, particularly about the structure and interpretation of 
evidence, whereas agnostics tend to be more willing to let the data 
lay around without curating or interpreting it.


So, whether you consider the standard definitions working or not 
depends on the actionable differences between a) knowledge vs. 
belief and b) the tendency (or not) to triage data into evidence.


Re (a) I find it useful to ask questions like Can you know something 
you don't believe? And Can you believe something you don't know?  
Re (b) it can be interesting to see how badly the social network 
mangles scientific research results.  For whatever reason, despite 
most research being published with lots of caveats and hedges, most 
people read it as scientific knowledge or proof.  The same can be 
said about the gossip game, where a statement at one end gets 
modified as it's whispered from one person to the next.  There is a 
biological limit to iterative depth.  You can't just wrap a statement 
inside he-said(she-said(he-said(she-said(... forever.  At some 
point you have to put in a hard stop, a triage.






FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com


Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2014-12-22 Thread glen


Ha!  I am immune to your sarcasm! 8^)

It is _precisely_ agnostic to assert that the gender of the gods is 
completely irrelevant, as is their hair color.  So, your hair splitting 
simply provides us with, dare I say it, CERTAIN convincing evidence that 
you are a paternalist!  And that you rely so heavily on rules like 
adding -ess to names for females (e.g. actress) when the straightforward 
word (e.g. actor) perfectly describes those of either gender, clearly 
and unambiguously identifies you as a dogmatist.


Personally, I'm betting belief in the supernatural lies in the pineal 
gland, the homunculus clock.  And what's this about an LSD church?  I 
need to find one of those.



On 12/22/2014 02:24 PM, Steve Smith wrote:

My first instinct was to hairsplit argumentatively and ask for more
fine-structure in the definition of god or gods... to start, we are
all progressive feminists here I am sure, so god or gods should be
taken as gender neutral such that the goddess or goddesses is entirely
implied here.  Then we might question if said god(ess)(es) need be fully
anthropomorphised (gendered humanoids) or if merely ascribing sentient
beingness is enough?

So I would contend that what is needed is NOT an athiest detector but
rather a religious belief classifier system designed around these other
finer structures.   Even more interesting would be a type of learning
classifier that could maybe be applied to individuals first by asking
their self-reporting on these matters, then perhaps based on various
behaviours (frequency and nature of prayer, attendance to other rituals,
adherence to golden and other rules or commandments, etc.), and finally
to the physiometric (brain only, or should the entire body be
included... on the off chance that belief in god(ess(es)) occurs in the
pancreas or in lymphatic system?

I don't know how valuable it is to hairsplit to another level... but
the question of belief.

As far as physiometrics go, I suppose we could start as the Nazis did
and maybe the most fundamentalist Islamists do and check one's (male in
the first place, female in the second) circumcision status.   And for
Catholics, maybe the salivary response when presented with a communion
wafer?   Perhaps something equally obvious could be offered up for
members of the LDS church, or the Zoroastrians...

hmmm... interesting questions to contemplate on the first day of the
rest of the solar year!

Merry Solstice everyone!


 Dogma, however, becomes very important.  Atheists tend to be more
dogmatic, particularly about the structure and interpretation of
evidence, whereas agnostics tend to be more willing to let the data
lay around without curating or interpreting it.

So, whether you consider the standard definitions working or not
depends on the actionable differences between a) knowledge vs.
belief and b) the tendency (or not) to triage data into evidence.

Re (a) I find it useful to ask questions like Can you know something
you don't believe? And Can you believe something you don't know? Re
(b) it can be interesting to see how badly the social network mangles
scientific research results.  For whatever reason, despite most
research being published with lots of caveats and hedges, most people
read it as scientific knowledge or proof.  The same can be said
about the gossip game, where a statement at one end gets modified as
it's whispered from one person to the next.  There is a biological
limit to iterative depth.  You can't just wrap a statement inside
he-said(she-said(he-said(she-said(... forever.  At some point you
have to put in a hard stop, a triage.





FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com


--
⇔ glen


FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2014-12-22 Thread glen

circa Mon Dec 22 18:10:45 EST 2014, mgd wrote:

As I see it, the significant attention in that case in that example is putting 
together the joke.   For True Blood or Walking Dead, it's the screenwriters, 
actors, directors, consultants, and other creative individuals involved in 
making the shows.For a video game, it's the artists and coders.

I suppose I could say by paying my cable bill, I'm somehow a participant.
But that would be like saying because I voted I'm a leader.I think that is 
absurd.   Maybe in the gaming example, there is a more overlap because 
experienced players would be able to give useful feedback to the game 
developers.

If there is any point to our consumer culture, it's as a clumsy and inefficient 
tax to sustain the people that create.


Ahh, but you're forgetting that your payment includes not only your 
money but also your eyeballs.  Thankfully, we're evolving away from the 
more one-way transactions of content.  Network shows, including 
nonalacart cable services, rely on more than how much money you pay for 
each individual episode.  The continued existence of True Blood depends 
on extrapolations into eyeballs.  By watching it you are participating. 
 Even further, if you talk about it at the water cooler... if you 
reference it in mailing list posts, if you wear costumes at halloween 
parties based on it, etc, you are participating.  The same is true for 
most video games, now, which track interest via varous trophies as 
well as tracking social games (where people play together over the 
internet), not to mention MMO games where the boundary between real 
assets and game assets is blurred.


Even your oversimplification to I voted, therefore I'm a leader isn't 
as absurd as you intend.  Voting isn't merely a purely private ink mark 
on an anonymous ballot.  It's an identity for many people.  Do you split 
your ticket?  Do you vote for candidates?  Do you talk about voting... 
even in the abstract?  Hell, even non-voters like Russell Brand are 
participants in our voting system.


--
⇔ glen


FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2014-12-22 Thread Owen Densmore
Being a Buddheo-Christian, I can say I believe in the Pythagorean Theorem
and have faith in something some call God.

And I ponder why there is Something rather than Nothing.  Maybe quantum
mechanics?  It's getting pretty close.

My bet is my brain is so beat up at this point that an EKG would not likely
find a hint of much.

   -- Owen


On Mon, Dec 22, 2014 at 6:09 PM, glen g...@ropella.name wrote:

 circa Mon Dec 22 18:10:45 EST 2014, mgd wrote:

 As I see it, the significant attention in that case in that example is
 putting together the joke.   For True Blood or Walking Dead, it's the
 screenwriters, actors, directors, consultants, and other creative
 individuals involved in making the shows.For a video game, it's the
 artists and coders.

 I suppose I could say by paying my cable bill, I'm somehow a
 participant.But that would be like saying because I voted I'm a
 leader.I think that is absurd.   Maybe in the gaming example, there is
 a more overlap because experienced players would be able to give useful
 feedback to the game developers.

 If there is any point to our consumer culture, it's as a clumsy and
 inefficient tax to sustain the people that create.


 Ahh, but you're forgetting that your payment includes not only your money
 but also your eyeballs.  Thankfully, we're evolving away from the more
 one-way transactions of content.  Network shows, including nonalacart cable
 services, rely on more than how much money you pay for each individual
 episode.  The continued existence of True Blood depends on extrapolations
 into eyeballs.  By watching it you are participating.  Even further, if you
 talk about it at the water cooler... if you reference it in mailing list
 posts, if you wear costumes at halloween parties based on it, etc, you are
 participating.  The same is true for most video games, now, which track
 interest via varous trophies as well as tracking social games (where
 people play together over the internet), not to mention MMO games where the
 boundary between real assets and game assets is blurred.

 Even your oversimplification to I voted, therefore I'm a leader isn't as
 absurd as you intend.  Voting isn't merely a purely private ink mark on an
 anonymous ballot.  It's an identity for many people.  Do you split your
 ticket?  Do you vote for candidates?  Do you talk about voting... even in
 the abstract?  Hell, even non-voters like Russell Brand are participants in
 our voting system.

 --
 ⇔ glen


 
 FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
 Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
 to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com


FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2014-12-21 Thread glen

Calibration and validation of an extant _device_, based on extant theory is 
very different from the calibration or validation of the theory upon which a 
device might be built.  Russ' question was intended to assume the validation of 
the theory and go on from there.


On 12/20/2014 12:15 PM, Steve Smith wrote:
 On 12/20/14 11:35 AM, glen wrote:
 On 12/20/2014 06:15 AM, Steve Smith wrote:
 And how would this device be calibrated?  It's measurements validated?
 I have in mind a device that comes with a decent body of mechanistic theory. 
  If it didn't have such, and calibration and validation were mysterious... 
 metaphysical... then it would not be solving any of the problems I have for 
 it.  So, the calibration of it would probably work much like that of an MRI 
 or CT scanner.
 
 I guess my argument about validation is as simple as this:   The only 
 validation I can imagine would be against self-reporting.   One could find a 
 mechanistic brain-imaging (or measureable neurochemical) system which could 
 be *correlated* with self-reported (a)theist claims.   But what of those who 
 remain?  Those who *claim* to be theists whose brains light up much more like 
 a-theists and vice-versa?   Would the machine's measurements take precedence 
 over the self-reported claim.
 
 This fits too well with the known-to-be-flawed lie detectors of forensic 
 science.   If you were wired to a lie detector and asked if you believed in 
 god and it lit up (or not) when you said yes (or not), what would you 
 know?  That lie detectors measure something besides truth/lie?   That YOU 
 don't know your own mind?   I suppose if you deliberately lied and the 
 machine lit up... then you might surmise that it works, but if you 
 truthfully said I do not believe in god and it lit up, then would it mean 
 that you don't know your own mind on the subject?
 
 Maybe the Solstice tomorrow night will return me to the sanity of not getting 
 caught in such cogitations as this one


p.s. I'm still not receiving any of Nick's messages, though they show up in the 
archive, e.g.  
http://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/2014-December/045222.html  And 
some of my messages don't seem to be getting through either.

-- 
⇒⇐ glen e. p. ropella
It's long past due that we begin



FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2014-12-21 Thread glen

Well, returning to the (somewhat silly) ideas presented in the following 
articles:

http://www.science20.com/writer_on_the_edge/blog/scientists_discover_that_atheists_might_not_exist_and_thats_not_a_joke-139982
http://whyevolutionistrue.wordpress.com/2014/07/13/confused-science-writer-claims-that-atheists-might-not-exist/
http://www.evolutionnews.org/2014/08/evolutionary_st088461.html

the point is to find a non-self-reported biomarker for the belief in 
unexplained phenomena.  The ideas of invisible friends, internal monologues, 
feelings of interconnectedness or higher powers, could easily be caused by 
biochemical or neuronal mechanisms.  And the behavior they manifest could be 
much broader than talking about god or thanking god.

Marcus' proposal is for _finding_ the correlates to come up with a functional 
neuronal biomarker, which might include binding patters across the entire 
cortex (eg eeg), which I'd prefer.  But if we did do one based on behavior, it 
could be much broader than just references to gods or particular types of god.  
A good example popped up just today:

Drug Unlocks Malleable, Fast-Learning, Child-LIke State In Adult Brain

http://www.neomatica.com/2014/11/04/drug-unlocks-malleable-fast-learning-child-like-state-adult-brain/?utm_content=buffer7f0b7utm_medium=socialutm_source=plus.google.comutm_campaign=buffer

Professor Carla Shatz of Stanford University and her colleagues have 
discovered a way to revert an adult brain to the “plastic”, child-like state 
that is more able to form new connections quickly.  The technical term 
“plastic” implies the ability to adapt or shape itself to new conditions.  The 
striking results were revealed through experiments on a protein expressed in 
brain cells known as PirB (this is the name of the protein in the animal model, 
in humans it is called “LilrB2″), which seems to stabilize neural connections.

Many spiritual pagan types include psychoactive drugs as part of their 
religious practice.  And many people cite particular drugs as having helped 
them commune with various deities, including nature.  And it's relatively 
common for atheists to claim that part of what makes them an atheist is their 
ability to (or desire to) change their opinions when presented with new 
evidence... a kind of neural plasticity.

Aside from the biomarkers (proteins or neural patterns), we could design 
behavioral studies to test for, say, the tendency to talk to yourself (talk to 
your invisible friends).  Or the tendency to refer to others' feelings.  
Systems thinking atheists might well be more theistic than their more 
reductionist counterparts.  Etc.

Tests for the following would be interesting:

http://www.inquisitr.com/1692212/atheists-rewrite-ten-commandments-mythbusters-adam-savage-judged-new-commands/
 1. Be open-minded and be willing to alter your beliefs with new evidence.
 2. Strive to understand what is most likely to be true, not to believe what 
 you wish to be true.
 3. The scientific method is the most reliable way of understanding the 
 natural world.
 4. Every person has the right to control over their body.
 5. God is not necessary to be a good person or to live a full and meaningful 
 life.
 6. Be mindful of the consequences of all your actions and recognize that you 
 must take responsibility for them.
 7. Treat others as you would want them to treat you, and can reasonably 
 expect them to want to be treated. Think about their perspective.
 8. We have the responsibility to consider others, including future 
 generations.
 9. There is no one right way to live.
 10. Leave the world a better place than you found it.


p.s. I'm still not receiving Nick's posts.  Had to get the quoted content from 
the archive.


Circa Sun Dec 21 12:32:00 EST 2014 Nick wrote:
 I think what Steve (and perhaps others) have sunk their teeth into here is
 not whether such research is possible, or even whether it is interesting, if
 what one seeks is an understanding of how the brain works;  they are (I am?)
 wondering in what sense this constitutes a diagnosis of atheism.  What is
 the validator here, and against what is it validated.  I think theism (or
 atheism) are lodged in higher order patterns of behavior.  So the state of
 being an atheist cannot be diagnosed EITHER by identifying a particular
 neuron OR by asking a person, but only by a careful - ethological, if you
 will - long-term study of that person's behavior. When that study is done on
 many people, I suspect, you will find a very complex multi dimensional
 pattern of variation . a family ressemblence, if you will, among people with
 respect to the notion of a personal god. 
 
  
 
 I have a friend who is currently living a heroic life while being battered
 by one circumstance after another, pretty much out of her control.  I found
 myself writing to her, I pray that you have a better year.   Now, I think
 I am as atheist as one can get in a person who does not see himself a
 professing or 

Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2014-12-20 Thread glen
 On 12/20/14 6:14 AM, Russ Abbott wrote:
 Suppose you had a device that could read brain waves and determine whether 
 someone believed in [a]theism. Since this wouldn't be a diagnosis based on 
 behavior would it get at what you want?

Yes, that would be very nice.  I'd first use it on myself to see if my friends 
are right.  I've often found that others have insight into my personality that 
I simply don't have.  Next, I'd use it on them to see if they were right about 
themselves.  Then I'd probably use it on my mom ... but I probably wouldn't 
tell her the result... or I might have to lie.

After going through all that, I'd probably try it out on my cats.  I get the 
distinct feeling they're more rational than I'll ever be.

On 12/20/2014 06:15 AM, Steve Smith wrote:
 And how would this device be calibrated?  It's measurements validated? 

I have in mind a device that comes with a decent body of mechanistic theory.  
If it didn't have such, and calibration and validation were mysterious... 
metaphysical... then it would not be solving any of the problems I have for it. 
 So, the calibration of it would probably work much like that of an MRI or CT 
scanner.  The diagnosis wouldn't be all that magical.  However, having had 2 
PETs and something like 6 CTs in the past 2 years, I can say that the 
radiologists are engaged in some mystical hermeneutics!  I love the little 
details they deem fit to jot down or fit to ignore.

p.s. What's with all the accusations of [SPAM]?
-- 
⇒⇐ glen e. p. ropella
Throw the switches, prime the charge,



FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2014-12-20 Thread Steve Smith

On 12/20/14 11:35 AM, glen wrote:

On 12/20/14 6:14 AM, Russ Abbott wrote:

Suppose you had a device that could read brain waves and determine whether 
someone believed in [a]theism. Since this wouldn't be a diagnosis based on 
behavior would it get at what you want?

Yes, that would be very nice.  I'd first use it on myself to see if my friends 
are right.  I've often found that others have insight into my personality that 
I simply don't have.  Next, I'd use it on them to see if they were right about 
themselves.  Then I'd probably use it on my mom ... but I probably wouldn't 
tell her the result... or I might have to lie.

After going through all that, I'd probably try it out on my cats.  I get the 
distinct feeling they're more rational than I'll ever be.

I like this response... it fits what I know of you and it entertains me...


On 12/20/2014 06:15 AM, Steve Smith wrote:

And how would this device be calibrated?  It's measurements validated?

I have in mind a device that comes with a decent body of mechanistic theory.  
If it didn't have such, and calibration and validation were mysterious... 
metaphysical... then it would not be solving any of the problems I have for it. 
 So, the calibration of it would probably work much like that of an MRI or CT 
scanner.
I guess my argument about validation is as simple as this:   The only 
validation I can imagine would be against self-reporting.   One could 
find a mechanistic brain-imaging (or measureable neurochemical) system 
which could be *correlated* with self-reported (a)theist claims.   But 
what of those who remain?  Those who *claim* to be theists whose brains 
light up much more like a-theists and vice-versa?   Would the machine's 
measurements take precedence over the self-reported claim.


This fits too well with the known-to-be-flawed lie detectors of 
forensic science.   If you were wired to a lie detector and asked if you 
believed in god and it lit up (or not) when you said yes (or not), 
what would you know?  That lie detectors measure something besides 
truth/lie?   That YOU don't know your own mind?   I suppose if you 
deliberately lied and the machine lit up... then you might surmise that 
it works, but if you truthfully said I do not believe in god and it 
lit up, then would it mean that you don't know your own mind on the subject?


Maybe the Solstice tomorrow night will return me to the sanity of not 
getting caught in such cogitations as this one


Merry Solstice everyone!

- Steve

   The diagnosis wouldn't be all that magical.  However, having had 2 PETs and 
something like 6 CTs in the past 2 years, I can say that the radiologists are 
engaged in some mystical hermeneutics!  I love the little details they deem fit 
to jot down or fit to ignore.

p.s. What's with all the accusations of [SPAM]?




FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com


Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2014-12-18 Thread Marcus G. Daniels

On 12/18/2014 4:28 PM, glen wrote:
I've been passively looking out for any hint of an objective way to 
diagnose whether someone's a[n] [a]theist.
The article referenced in the other thread sums it up. But if you think 
that you can’t test it, you shouldn’t put money into the theory either.


The agnostic just lets untestable theory development carry on, whereas 
the atheist would cut off the money, and direct it elsewhere.


Marcus


FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com

Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

2014-12-18 Thread Nick Thompson
Oh, God, I know I shouldn't touch this topic.  But , I can't help myself.

First I need to know how to distinguish metaphysics from theism.  Once I know 
that, I think I can answer your question.  

N



Nicholas S. Thompson
Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Biology
Clark University
http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/

-Original Message-
From: Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] On Behalf Of Marcus G. Daniels
Sent: Thursday, December 18, 2014 9:15 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

On 12/18/2014 4:28 PM, glen wrote:
 I've been passively looking out for any hint of an objective way to 
 diagnose whether someone's a[n] [a]theist.
The article referenced in the other thread sums it up. But if you think that 
you can’t test it, you shouldn’t put money into the theory either.

The agnostic just lets untestable theory development carry on, whereas the 
atheist would cut off the money, and direct it elsewhere.

Marcus


FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College to unsubscribe 
http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com



FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com