[PEN-L:8040] Re: RE: Good critiques of MAI, Tobin tax/alternatives

1999-06-17 Thread Sam Pawlett

There is a critical book called MAI by Maude Barlow and Bruce Cameron, 2
Canadian activists and writers.It focusses mostly on the MAI as it is
applied to Canada but you mind find it useful, though it is too
nationalistic and social democratic for me. The Canadian Centre for
Policy Alternatives has a number of papers on the Tobin tax including a
speech and QA by Tobin himself.

Sam Pawlett






[PEN-L:8041] BLS Daily Report

1999-06-17 Thread Richardson_D

BLS DAILY REPORT, WEDNESDAY, JUNE 16, 1999

RELEASED TODAY:  
CPI -- On a seasonally adjusted basis, the CPI-U was unchanged in May,
following a 0.7 percent rise in April.  Energy costs declined 1.3 percent in
May, reflecting a sharp turnaround in the index for gasoline. ...  The food
index, which increased 0.1 percent in April, rose 0.4 percent in May. ...
Excluding food and energy, the CPI-U increased 0.1 percent in May, following
a 0.4 percent rise in April.  The deceleration in May reflects downturns in
the indexes for apparel, for tobacco and smoking products, and for airline
fares, coupled with a smaller increase in shelter costs. ...  
REAL EARNINGS -- Real average weekly earnings increased by 0.7 percent from
April to May after seasonal adjustment, according to preliminary data.  This
was due to a 0.3 percent increase in average weekly hours and a 0.4 percent
gain in average hourly earnings.  The CPI-W was unchanged. ...  Real average
weekly earnings grew by 0.9 percent over the year. ...   

The Commerce Department has officially pulled out of an Internet partnership
with a private company after the project raised concerns about fee-based
access to government documents.  The service, which was designed to let
paying customers find government information on the Internet quickly and
easily, was officially started today, but as a strictly private venture.
.Critics had questioned whether the joint service contradicted the
administration's pledge to make the Internet and government information more
accessible.  So while top-level Commerce officials who had been unaware of
the partnership investigated the matter, the private company, Northern
Light, began offering free trials of the search service. ...  (New York
Times, June 15, page C2).

DUE OUT FRIDAY:  Regional and State Employment and Unemployment:  May 1999


 application/ms-tnef


[PEN-L:8042] China Rebuffs Clinton Envoy On Bombing

1999-06-17 Thread Henry C.K. Liu

China Rebuffs Clinton Envoy On Bombing

BEIJING, Jun 17, 1999 -- (Reuters) China
rejected on Thursday U.S. envoy Thomas Pickering's explanation of a series
of intelligence blunders that led to NATO bombing Beijing's embassy in
Belgrade.

"The Chinese side refuted this report and so
far the explanations by the U.S. side are not convincing," Foreign
Ministry spokeswoman Zhang Qiyue said in a statement.

She repeated a demand for punishment of those
responsible for the May 7 bombing, which killed three Chinese journalists
and sparked nationwide anti-U.S. protests, and said Beijing wanted
compensation.

Foreign Minister Tang Jiaxuan on Wednesday
rebuffed Pickering's explanation of an attack which the Chinese state
media have said repeatedly was deliberate.

On Thursday, the official Xinhua published an
account of the meeting. It said Pickering admitted there were three basic
errors which led to the embassy becoming a target in NATO's air war
against Yugoslavia.

The intended target was a Yugoslav military
procurement office, but two Yugoslav and one American map misplaced the
Chinese embassy, it quoted Pickering as saying.

U.S. military databases had not been updated
with the mission's location and the target review system failed to turn up
the error, he said.

Pickering stopped short of promising
punishment,
 Xinhua said, but did not rule it out.

He said the Central Intelligence Agency and
U.S. Department of Defense were still interviewing people involved and "it
will be determined whether any disciplinary action will be taken".

Xinhua also detailed China's rebuttal.

It said China believed it was "impossible" for
NATO not to know where Beijing's mission was and that the precision with
which the embassy was destroyed proved "the U.S. side had a very detailed
knowledge of the building structure".

China has specifically linked its willingness
to resume negotiations on its entry to the World Trade Organization to the
outcome of Pickering's mission.

It broke off WTO talks, and froze military
exchanges and a human rights dialogue, after the bombing.

Analysts were divided on whether the rebuff of
Pickering's explanation dealt a fatal blow to China's chance of entering
the WTO this year, which U.S.
President Bill Clinton said was his aim.

Failure to gain membership before a new global
round of trade talks begins in November could mean a delay to Chinese
membership of several years.

Pickering, in a statement before heading back
to Washington, gave no insight into his meetings, but he said: "We look
forward to further productive discussions with China in the mutual
interests of the two countries."

But Xinhua's story of Pickering's meetings was
broadly in line with an account offered by a State Department official
responsible for China to selected U.S. reporters.

"It may be in the end that we have to
essentially agree to disagree," the U.S. official was quoted as saying.
But, the United States was "hopeful that after a period of time, we will
get back more or less to normal relations with China".

The White House on Thursday said it hoped
Beijing would eventually understand the bombing was an accident.

"It's our hope that once China has had a
chance to review and absorb the information that they'll understand that
this was a tragic accident," White House spokesman Joe Lockhart, in Paris
with Clinton, said.

Zhang said the ball was in the U.S. court.

"It is up to the one who ties the knot to
untie it. Whoever started the trouble should end it," the spokeswoman
said.

"The Chinese government has always attached
importance to the development of Sino-U.S. ties," Zhang said. "But
principles must be topmost in developments in relations, especially on
principles of respect for sovereignty and territorial integrity."

The embassy bombing sparked three days of
violent protests outside the U.S. and British missions in Beijing. Tens of
thousands of demonstrators took to the streets of other major cities. The
U.S. consul's residence in Chengdu was torched.

Diplomats had predicted Beijing would reject
any explanation of the bombing as an error, partly because public opinion
would not allow it.

However, one Western diplomat said China's
rebuff to Pickering did not necessarily 

[PEN-L:8043] Re: Tobacco advertising to end in UK

1999-06-17 Thread Henry C.K. Liu

The tobacco industry, a state monopoly, is very powerful in China.  China is
the biggest market for international tobaco. On this issue, China is among the
most backward nation in the world, although smoking has recently been banned in
public places in major cities.   The reason for this backwardness can be traced
to the use of tabacco by veteran revolutionaries to help them withstand the
hardship of their early struggles underground.  And after the revolution, by
the time tobacco smoking is universally recognized as generally not benign, the
leadership was unable to deal objectively with the problem.  When elders do,
youth follows.  Instead of bogus human rights issues, it would be more
constructive for progressives of the world to pressure China to face its
tobbacco curse.

Henry C.K. Liu

Chris Burford wrote:

 The UK government is to issue regulations today which will end tobacco
 advertising on hoardings and in magazines by the end of the year. This is 2
 years earlier than the EU deadline.

 There are embarrassments for Blair in this, because there will be
 extensions for certain sports including motor racing. Ecclestone, a racing
 capitalist, gave New Labour 1 million pounds.

 But hypocrisy is hypocrisy, and cannot be eliminated from politics, only
 made bare.  What do we expect?

 The good news is that this is further progress for what Marx called "social
 production controlled by social foresight".

 Perhaps I will quote the wider passage from his inaugural address to the
 First International 1964.

 A word of caution: in this context "middle class" means the capitalist
 class, not, as today, the educated layer of the working class who are
 "class conscious" in the negative sense of the term.

 "The struggle about the legal restriction of the hours of labour raged the
 more fiercely since, apart from frightened avarice, it told indeed upon the
 great contest between the blind rule of supply and demand laws which form
 the political economy of the middle class, and social production controlled
 by social foresight, which from the political economy of the working class.
 Hence the Ten Hours' Bill was not only a great practical success; it was
 the victory of the middle class succumbed to the political economy of the
 working class."

 Chris Burford

 London






[PEN-L:8046] RE: Good critiques of MAI, Tobin tax/alternatives

1999-06-17 Thread Robert Naiman

There's quite a bit of stuff on the web, depending on what you are looking for.

I believe Rob Weissman has written in Mulitinational Monitor on the Tobacco/MAI/WTO 
nexus. You can search back issues of the Monitor on their web site at 
www.essential.org.

for other MAI stuff, what better place to start that www.preamble.org and 
www.tradewatch.org (my present and former employers.)

There's a lot of stuff on the Tobin Tax now, Halifax Initiative did a big campaign in 
Canada, and they developed a lot of popular education materials. Here in the U.S. 
there is the Tobin Tax Initiative in California, headed by Ruthann Cecil. There's 
plenty of academic writing in support of transaction taxes, including by the Treasury 
Secretary-designate, before he worked for the Administration.

Corporation for Enterprise Development did a big study on MAI impacts, I can't 
remember if it touched on the tobacco issue specifically.

The WTO does have a public health exemption, and my memory is that part of Thailand's 
anti-tobacco law was upheld by the WTO under this exemption -- part was struck down. 
The proposed MAI (now considered dead at the OECD, but resurfacing in other forms in 
FTAA, TEP, and possibly the threatened Seattle WTO round) had no such exemption.

-bob


At 09:49 AM 6/16/99 -0400, you wrote:
I am examing provisions of the proposed Multilateral Agreement on Investment
(MAI) for their potential impact on the ability of governments to conduct
tobacco control activities. I have been away from the Intl trade and finance
arena for about three years, and would like to get any input from the list
on good critical assessments of MAI (and trade-investment agreements like
NAFTA), the Tobin tax, and any alternatives to the Tobin tax. Any
suggestions? 

Jeff


---
Robert Naiman [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Preamble Center
1737 21st NW
Washington, DC 20009
phone: 202-265-3263
fax:   202-265-3647
http://www.preamble.org/
---






[PEN-L:8048] Re: Re: RE: Good critiques of MAI, Tobin tax/alternatives

1999-06-17 Thread ts99u-1.cc.umanitoba.ca [130.179.154.224]

By far, a better critique from a Canadian perspective of MAI is 
Andrew Jackson and Matthew Sanger (eds.) *DISMANTLING 
DEMOCRACY*, (CCPA/Lorimer, 1998).  It is a superb collection of 
critiques by various experts on many aspects of the MAI -- e.g. the 
MAI and the Environment byMichell Swenarchuk or The MAI and 
the World Economy, by Greg Albo.

Paul
Paul Phillips,
Economics,
University of Manitoba

Date sent:  Wed, 16 Jun 1999 23:45:28 -0700
From:   Sam Pawlett [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Copies to:  "'POST-KEYNESIAN THOUGHT'" [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:[PEN-L:8040] Re: RE: Good critiques of MAI, Tobin 
tax/alternatives
Send reply to:  [EMAIL PROTECTED]

 There is a critical book called MAI by Maude Barlow and Bruce Cameron, 2
 Canadian activists and writers.It focusses mostly on the MAI as it is
 applied to Canada but you mind find it useful, though it is too
 nationalistic and social democratic for me. The Canadian Centre for
 Policy Alternatives has a number of papers on the Tobin tax including a
 speech and QA by Tobin himself.
 
 Sam Pawlett
 






[PEN-L:8049] chomsky on Kosova/o settlement

1999-06-17 Thread Jim Devine

   Kosovo Peace Accord  (Z, July '99)

  By Noam Chomsky

On March 24, U.S.-led NATO air forces began to pound the Federal Republic
of Yugoslavia (FRY, Serbia and Montenegro), including Kosovo, which NATO
regards as a province of Serbia. On June 3, NATO and Serbia reached a Peace
Accord. The U.S. declared victory, having successfully concluded its
"10-week struggle to compel Mr. Milosevic to say uncle," Blaine Harden
reported in the New York Times. It would therefore be unnecessary to use
ground forces to "cleanse Serbia" as Harden had recommended in a lead story
headlined "How to Cleanse Serbia." The recommendation was natural in the
light of American history, which is dominated by the theme of ethnic
cleansing from its origins and to the present day, achievements celebrated
in the names given to military attack helicopters and other weapons of
destruction. A qualification is in order, however: the term ethnic
cleansing" is not really appropriate: U.S. cleansing operations have been
ecumenical; Indochina and Central America are two recent illustrations.

While declaring victory, Washington did not yet declare peace: the bombing
continues until the victors determine that their interpretation of the
Kosovo Accord has been imposed.

From the outset, the bombing had been cast as a matter of cosmic
significance, a test of a New Humanism, in which the "enlightened states"
(Foreign Affairs) open a new era of human history guided by "a new
internationalism where the brutal repression of whole ethnic groups will no
longer be tolerated" (Tony Blair).  The enlightened states are the United
States and its British associate, perhaps also others who enlist in their
crusades for justice.

Apparently the rank of "enlightened states" is conferred by definition. One
finds no attempt to provide evidence or argument, surely not from their
history. The latter is in any event deemed irrelevant by the familiar
doctrine of "change of course," invoked regularly in the ideological
institutions to dispatch the past into the deepest recesses of the memory
hole, thus deterring the threat that some might ask the most obvious
questions: with institutional structures and distribution of power
essentially unchanged, why should one expect a radical shift in policy --
or any at all, apart from tactical adjustments?

But such questions are off the agenda. "From the start the Kosovo problem
has been about how we should react when bad things happen in unimportant
places," global analyst Thomas Friedman explained in the New York Times as
the Accord was announced. He proceeds to laud the enlightened states for
pursuing his moral principle that "once the refugee evictions began,
ignoring Kosovo would be wrong...and therefore using a huge air war for a
limited objective was the only thing that made sense."

A minor difficulty is that concern over the "refugee evictions" could not
have been the motive for the "huge air war." The United Nations
Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) reported its first registered refugees
outside of Kosovo on March 27 (4000), three days after the bombings began.
The toll increased until June 4, reaching a reported total of 670,000 in
the neighboring countries (Albania, Macedonia), along with an estimated
70,000 in Montenegro (within the FRY), and 75,000 who had left for other
countries. The figures, which are unfortunately all too familiar, do not
include the unknown numbers who have been displaced within Kosovo, some
2-300,000 in the year before the bombing according to NATO, a great many
more afterwards.

Uncontroversially, the "huge air war" precipitated a sharp escalation of
ethnic cleansing and other atrocities. That much has been reported
consistently by correspondents on the scene and in retrospective analyses
in the press. The same picture is presented in the two major documents that
seek to portray the bombing as a reaction to the humanitarian crisis in
Kosovo. The most extensive one, provided by the State Department in May, is
suitably entitled "Erasing History: Ethnic Cleansing in Kosovo"; the second
is the indictment of Milosevic and associates by the International Tribunal
on War Crimes in Yugoslavia after the U.S. and Britain "opened the way for
what amounted to a remarkably fast indictment by giving [prosecutor Louise]
Arbour access to intelligence and other information long denied to her by
Western governments," the New York Times reported, with two full pages
devoted to the Indictment. Both documents hold that the atrocities began
"on or about January 1"; in both, however, the detailed chronology reveals
that atrocities continued about as before until the bombing led to a very
sharp escalation. That surely came as no surprise. Commanding General
Wesley Clark at once described these consequences as "entirely predictable"
-- an exaggeration of course; nothing in human affairs is that predictable,
though ample evidence is now available revealing that the 

[PEN-L:8051] Re: Minimum Wage, Taxes, Politics

1999-06-17 Thread Peter Dorman

Max, I think there are arguments for both average wages and CPI as
indexing options, but I would offer this argument for average wages: it
has the potential to become an international standard.  In thinking
about labor standards that might be pushed internationally, minimum
wages are central.  It is difficult to write a standard that would be
applicable in all countries -- even the standard of "meets minimum
subsistence needs" is difficult to define and measure.  But pegging the
minimum at, say, half the average is perfectly feasible, and low-wage
countries can't complain that it has a differential impact on them. 
Putting our own minimum wage system on this type of automatic pilot
would be a small step towards attaining a global minimum.

Peter

Max Sawicky wrote:
 
 Apologies for interrupting the anti-imperialist struggle,
 but I'd like to know if there are any thoughts here on
 how to best index the minimum wage.  Possibilities
 include the CPI, average wages, productivity, etc.
 
 Another issue is progressive tax cuts, to contrast
 with the proposed 15% across-the-board rate cuts
 being pushed by the GOP.
 
 (I'm writing economics resolutions for the ADA
 convention this week.)
 
 mbs






[PEN-L:8053] Re: gay pride month

1999-06-17 Thread frances bolton

Hi Jim,

Well, he is one of "those Hormels" (old canned pork money, heh.) I don't
know if Hormel is owned by the family anymore, though. he's mostly a
philanthropist, funded a very lovely g/l/b/t reading  research room at the
new San Fran library and is very active in Democratic Party fundraising
(obviously--are there any other qualifications for being ambassador to a
country like Luxembourg?)

In today's St. Pete Times I read that the Southern Baptists have called upon
Clinton to recall Hormel.

BTW, there was/is a flap about Clinton's appointment of James Hormel, an
open gay, as US ambassador to Luxemburg (or is it Liechetenstein?) I ask:
does he have any connection with the Hormel corporation?

frances






[PEN-L:8056] US Official Admits US Public Skeptical re mistake Embassy Bombings

1999-06-17 Thread Henry C.K. Liu

U.S. Details Embassy Bombing for Chinese
Beijing Officials Remain 'Skeptical' at Washington's Explanation of
Accidental Attack

  By Michael Laris
  Washington Post Foreign Service
  Thursday, June 17, 1999; Page A30

  BEIJING, June 17 (Thursday)—After 5 1/2 hours of meetings
detailing how the United States came to bomb the Chinese Embassy in
Belgrade, Chinese government officials remained "skeptical" that the
attack was an accident, according to a member of the U.S. presidential
delegation that offered the explanation.

  The delegation of diplomats and intelligence officials, led
by Undersecretary of State Thomas R. Pickering, also delivered a  letter
from President Clinton to his Chinese counterpart Jiang Zemin offering to
pay compensation to the families of those killed and injured in the May 7
bombing. The United States has also agreed to discuss the issue of the
damage done to the embassy.

  The Pickering delegation held discussions with Foreign
Minister Tang Jiaxuan and Yang Jiechi, the ministry's chief diplomat
responsible for American affairs, as well as a number of Chinese military
officers. U.S. officials presented the most complete account yet of the
attack, saying that a series of mistakes over an extended period of time
was to blame. Their Chinese counterparts said they were not convinced.

  "They said it was hard to believe so many things could go
wrong at the same time, and I think the American public is going to feel
the same way," said the U.S. official.

  The U.S. side presented the Chinese with a report detailing
the errors, and will release the information publicly in the United States
within days, according to a U.S. official. The official emphasized that it
was not merely a faulty map that led the United States to mistakenly
target the embassy and hit it repeatedly with precision bombs. U.S.
officials first pointed to an outdated map as a key explanation for the
attack last month. Today, officials said that explanation is much too
narrow.

  "It's a more complicated series of mistakes, rather than one
mistake," said the U.S. official, who spoke on background.
  "It's not a faulty map. It's a more complicated set of
mistakes."

  Chinese relations have taken a steep downturn following the
bombing, with China suspending a series of important military and arms
control contacts.

  The U.S. delegation sought to make a clear distinction
between its efforts to explain and compensate for the bombing in an
"appropriate" fashion, and its overall relationship with China.

  "We certainly don't intend to make amends for the accident
through policy concessions," said a member of the U.S. delegation. The
official added that the Chinese have not asked  them for such concessions.
But in recent weeks, Chinese officials have tied a number of important
bilateral issues to the bombing.

  The U.S. Embassy noted that China has agreed to discuss the
issue of damage done to U.S. property in China during four days of raucous
demonstrations following the bombing.
  Regarding China's public demands that the "perpetrators" of
 the bombing be held responsible, the delegation told the Chinese that the
"issue of accountability" will be addressed.
  The Chinese did not ask the delegation "to come up with any
specific names or groups or institutions now," said a U.S. official.

  On the fundamental question of whether Chinese leaders will
ever completely accept the U.S. explanation on the bombing, U.S. officials
were pessimistic.

  "We don't have any illusions that they will turn around on a
dime and say, 'Oh, we were wrong. We see the light,' " said one member of
the delegation.

  "It may be in the end that we have to agree to disagree,"
added another member of the delegation.

   © Copyright 1999 The Washington Post Company






[PEN-L:8057] David McReynold's critique of DSA

1999-06-17 Thread Louis Proyect

Last Sunday I was in Philadelphia, speaking to the Brandywine Peace Center
-  a peace and social justice group that has been doing good work there for
many  years. Several old friends and members of Democratic Socialists of
America (DSA)  came to hear me, fresh from a meeting of their own. Carl
Dahlgren, at 75,  looked younger than I do - good Quaker living. 

After the meeting, during the question period, Ann Davidon, an old friend
from WRL, asked about the chance of DSA and the Socialist Party merging. I
said there were problems - including the pro-war position DSA had taken. (I
 didn't go into the other areas, where I tend at times to agree with DSA -
a  less rigid position on electoral action than the SP takes, and its sound
 position on class as a determining force). I was told at once by the DSA
folks present that "that is just Bogdan Denitch - he doesn't speak for DSA".

When I got back I sent out a note to some of the comrades in the Socialist
Party, saying the brief encounter helped remind me that, despite the
differences with the DSA leadership, there were strong and decent forces in
 DSA with which we would be in wide agreement in local work. (I still think
 this, and this letter is meant to explore a problem, not provoke one).

And then I brought home the DSA house organ - Democratic Left - which I
still  get, even though my nominal membership in DSA lapsed many months
ago. It had,  as always, some good material. Including a sharp review by
Jason Schulman of  a bio on Irving Howe, some useful notes on MAI
(Multilateral Agreement on  Investment) by Chris Riddiough. However it also
had on the cover three heads:  Bombs / Books / Buds. This suggested perhaps
something significant on the  NATO bombing. (And maybe on literature and
Budweiser beer).

Inside the front page was the April 21st Statement of the DSA Steering
Committee, and the shorter May 15th statement of the National Political
Committee.  Then in the back, Bogdan Denitch, DSA's Honorary Chair, had
three  pages for his own article. Sorting this all out was a little like
reading Pravda. The short, most recent  statement by what I assume is the
more representative committee of DSA, began  by strongly condemning the
NATO bombing. But the statement also said it  "reaffirmed" the April
statement of the Steering Committee, which was much  longer and only
opposed the bombing of Belgrade and other urban centers - not  the bombing
itself, and not the civilian targets which were being hit. The  NATO action
was not condemned, even though the statement said that "we have  never
believed that NATO has the moral authority to carry out such missions".
(No comment anywhere in either statement that the US, which calls the shots
 for NATO, was in violation of the UN Charter or that NATO was in violation
of  its own Charter, so that not only was there a lack of moral authority,
there  was also a clear problem of the NATO action being in violation of
established  international law). There was a call in the April statement
for the War  Crimes Tribunal to continue its work and specifically to
prosecute all those  responsible for directing ethnic cleansing campaigns -
but this call for  justice (which I support) did not suggest that perhaps
the United States and  NATO had taken actions which should fall under the
jurisdiction of the War  Crimes Tribunal. (Specifically the deliberate
hitting of civilian targets,  including media and communications, power,
bridges, hospitals, factories,  etc.). 

I don't want to parse the politics of the two statements, except to note it
 was obvious from reading them that they were a desperate effort to bridge
major disagreements.  (At the bottom of this first page there was a
paragraph  by the editors which noted there were serious problems, and many
issues,  including the dissolution of NATO, which ought to be up for
discussion in the  coming discussion bulletins).

Now we turn to the three pages from Bogdan Denitch. Denitch is not only the
 honorary Chair, he is also the DSA rep to the Socialist International, and
 Chair of the DSA International Committee, and has sold himself for years
to  DSA and others (I gather from the two paragraphs introducing his
article, the  "others" include various "European foreign ministries") as an
expert on  Yugoslavia. Something I'd never guess from this botched article.

He begins with a denunciation of ethnic cleansing (very good, who can
disagree), but then, unless you read it carefully, it seems as if the
ethnic  cleansing was in full swing BEFORE the NATO attack, when in fact it
was not.  The horror of the ethnic cleansing came after the bombing. Nor
does Dentich  discuss the role of the KLA in the past year or so until late
in the article,  thus detaching it from any kind of "cause and effect", and
he doesn't note  its role in shooting Serb police and troops - and Albanian
civilians. Here is  Denitch, an expert on Yugoslavia, and all he can say of
the KLA is that they  have no "visible 

[PEN-L:8058] We all shouted, 'Heil Hitler'

1999-06-17 Thread Louis Proyect

Los Angeles Times, June 17, 1999, Thursday, Home Edition 

The path to peace; 
German force savors 'moral' postwar debut; 
Balkans: many older ethnic Albanians recall Nazi troops in WWII as
liberators from Serbs. Today's soldiers are happy to hold their heads high. 

MARJORIE MILLER, TIMES STAFF WRITER  

PRIZREN, Yugoslavia 

For the German army, returning to Yugoslavia for the first time since World
War II as part of a NATO peacekeeping force marks a final break with a
terrible past. 

The deployment of German combat troops and Leopard-2 tanks into Kosovo
province means that the Bundeswehr at last has become a "full partner in
NATO with all of the rights and responsibilities" of the other members,
said Lt. Col. Dietmar Jeserich. 

It is a proud moment for the Germans. 

But many Kosovo Albanians sided with the Nazis during World War II, and
today, some of them do not distinguish between the past and present German
armies--both of which, to their way of thinking, accomplished the same
feat: freeing them from Serbian rule. 

"This is a second liberation," said Ali Majo, 68, a native of this city in
southwestern Kosovo. "I can't describe how it felt when we saw German
soldiers come to liberate us again." 

So much for moral victories in the Balkans. 

Majo was 10 years old when the German Wehrmacht rolled into Prizren in
April 1941. The Nazis arrived in the hills around town on motorcycles,
looked through their binoculars and opened fire on a partisan artillery
position, he recalled. 

"After that, they came in and circled the town," Majo said. "We all
shouted, 'Heil Hitler.' We were proud of the German soldiers because they
liberated us from the Serbs." 

Naim Poloshka, 72, remembers how one of the Wehrmacht soldiers gave him a
chocolate and a ride on his motorcycle. They drove him around town so he
could point out houses where partisans lived. 

Like much of Prizren, Poloshka was stunned when he woke one morning to find
that the Germans had hanged nine suspected partisans--five Serbs and four
ethnic Albanians--in the center of town overnight. 

But it did not dampen his enthusiasm for the Nazis. 

"The enemy of your enemy is your friend," Poloshka said. "We were occupied,
and they liberated us." 

This historical baggage is lost on most of the Kosovars who welcomed the
German NATO troops with flowers, kisses and tears of relief this week, as
it may have been on the young German soldiers tossed into the air by those
celebrating their arrival. 

"For me, the German troops are welcome," Gafur Musaj, 21, a member of the
ethnic Albanians' rebel Kosovo Liberation Army, said after posing for
snapshots with a group of Bundeswehr soldiers. "They mean peace for our
people." 

The German troops are happy to be appreciated and to be able to hold their
heads high on a foreign mission that finishes what the leaders of the
United States and Britain--their World War II enemies--described as a
"moral war." 

German planes flew alongside British fighters during the 11-week North
Atlantic Treaty Organization air war--the first time the Luftwaffe had
engaged in battle since 1945. A squadron of Tornado jets took off from
Piacenza, Italy, to fire missiles on key military targets. 

Earlier this decade, the German government, still burdened by the country's
history of aggression, forced its army to sit out the Persian Gulf War and
give only limited support to the peacekeepers in Bosnia-Herzegovina when
the war there ended in 1995. They moved into Bosnia only "after the dirty
work was done," said a German officer. 

This time, however, the Bundeswehr will contribute 8,500 troops to the
peacekeeping mission. And the troops were among the first to move into
Kosovo. 

The first German contingent arrived in Prizren just after midnight Sunday
morning, when the city was still under Serbian control and the situation
unstable. 

At the Morine border crossing with Albania that day, Gen. Helmut Harff
negotiated the withdrawal of about 60 Serbian soldiers in front of a crowd
of jeering refugees. 

When the Serbian commander said he needed six hours to withdraw, the
general replied: "You have 30 minutes. In fact, now you've got 29 minutes." 

The Serbs pulled back. 

© 1999, LEXIS®-NEXIS®, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All Rights Reserved. 

Louis Proyect

(http://www.panix.com/~lnp3/marxism.html)






[PEN-L:8059] Th Voice of Asian Economic Nationalism

1999-06-17 Thread Henry C.K. Liu

Mahathir Mohamad is a couragaeous leader of Asian economic nationalism.
His intereview is worth reading by all interest in Asia and globalization.

Examples:

I started, from the very beginning to find a way to deal with the problem
without resorting to the IMF [International Monetary Fund]. From the very
beginning, I thought that resorting to the IMF would not be good for the
economy in the first place and would weaken our position to the point
where we would lose control over our economy and also our politics. So we
had to find a way by ourselves to overcome this currency devaluation,
which has cost us billions of dollars. Between the currency devaluation
and the fall in the stockmarket, we lost almost $200 billion. That is
something that lots of people don't appreciate.

Yes, because the market capitalization of the KLSE [Kuala Lumpur Stock
Exchange] was very high. It was about 800 billion Malaysian ringgit at
2.50 [to the U.S. dollar]. At 2.50 that was about $300 billion U.S. When
the share prices went down, the market capitalization of course was
depreciated, causing terrible problems for the companies and the banks
because they were unable to pay their debts and the banks couldn't collect
their debts. So if it is allowed to go on, we would go bankrupt. You can't
do any business at all and the government in the end would not be able to
collect taxes, because nobody was making any profit. So the question is:
How do we overcome this problem without resorting to the IMF? And we came
up, I came up, with the idea that we'll adjust everything according to the
depreciation in the value of the currency. If the currency is devalued by
20%, okay, we will increase prices by 20%, increase all wages by 20%. That
way you will nullify the effect of the devaluation.
   But the devaluation was not something that is static, it keeps
on moving up and down. Obviously, we cannot do this. So we have to think
of some other way to overcome this problem. And we looked around, we
looked at Chile, we looked at China and at a number of other countries
which were poorer than us, but they were not attacked by the currency
traders. And we discovered that the difference between them and us is that
we allow our currency to be traded, whereas they keep a tight control over
their currency. Because of that, China, for example, was able to continue
growing during our recession. Obviously, if the currency traders could
attack them, they would have attacked them. Indeed, they tried to attack
China through Hong Kong and that was a failure. So by preventing currency
traders from getting hold of your currency, you can stabilize the economy.

   We had to look into how to do that. See, most our money was in
Singapore. What Singapore did was to offer very high interest rates,
siphoning off all the money. Banks had no money to lend. And people were,
of course, attracted by the high interest rates or they have a loss of
confidence in Malaysian banks and kept their money with branches of
foreign banks in Singapore. So then of course the interbank rates went up.
All these things created . . .

   We heard that at one stage there was 32 billion ringgit in
Singapore and 20 billion ringgit in Malaysia.

   Yes, that was about right. We estimated that there would be
about 32 billion ringgit in Singapore. And that money was obviously being
lent to the currency traders so that they can trade it down. And that was
damaging our economy more and more. So the question is how do we get this
money out of their control? How do we bring back the money? The answer to
that of course is to make the money absolutely valueless outside of
Malaysia. So we gave them one month. If within one month, they don't bring
back the money, we declare that money as no longer legal tender. It will
not be allowed to come in. And if they're not allowed to come in, in
whatever form it may be--it may be just bank transactions, figures in
books and all that, but they can't just transfer it back by computer or
whatever--that will force them to bring the money back into the country.
Otherwise they will lose and in fact a lot of people lost money. I believe
that a lot of currency traders lost money. Once it is back, the question
is how do we prevent the money from going out. And we had of course all
these regulations and they have been effective. Also the rate of exchange
that we had permitted to fall. The temptation of course is to strengthen
it to the old level of 2.5 [to the U.S. dollar]. But if we do that we will
not be competitive against our neighbours.

   We heard that at one stage there was 32 billion ringgit in
Singapore and 20 billion ringgit in Malaysia.

   Yes, that was about right. We estimated that there would be
about 32 billion ringgit in Singapore. And that money was obviously being
lent to the currency traders so that they can trade it down. And that was
damaging our economy more and more. So the question is how do we 

[PEN-L:8062] Stupid CPI and real wages question

1999-06-17 Thread William S. Lear

I have a stupid question regarding the CPI and real wages.  My
understanding is that real wages are today essentially where they were
in about 1972 or so.  I also am under the impression that "real wage"
is obtained by taking the wage and discounting by the CPI.

One: Is this correct?  If not, how are "real wages" calculated?

Two: Has the CPI been adjusted since 1972 to take into account quality
improvements in, e.g., automobiles?  I could swear that it has always
been regularly adjusted, but a co-worker thinks otherwise.


Bill






[PEN-L:8064] Re: Re: Th Voice of Asian Economic Nationalism

1999-06-17 Thread Henry C.K. Liu



Charles Brown wrote:


 Charles: Henry, what is meant by this "destroying" ? I thought we were in an era of 
unprecedented prosperity. Won't this Wall Street bull run forever ?

 CB

Yea, like run for your lives.

Henry






[PEN-L:8067] Re: Stupid CPI and real wages question

1999-06-17 Thread Jim Devine

Bill writes: I have a stupid question regarding the CPI and real wages.
My understanding is that real wages are today essentially where they were
in about 1972 or so.  I also am under the impression that "real wage" is
obtained by taking the wage and discounting by the CPI.

One: Is this correct?  If not, how are "real wages" calculated?

real wages are measured as you say: real wage = money wage (either before
or after taxes)/CPI.  

Two: Has the CPI been adjusted since 1972 to take into account quality
improvements in, e.g., automobiles?  I could swear that it has always been
regularly adjusted, but a co-worker thinks otherwise.

Yes, the CPI has been regularly adjusted for quality improvements.
Recently, these adjustments were intensified, following pressure from
Congress via the Boskin commission. This led to a fall in the CPI inflation
rate. According to Gene Koretz of BUSINESS WEEK, "a significant chunk of
the reported downturn in inflation since 1995 -- perhaps three-quarters of
a percentage point -- reflects changes in the behavior of statisticians
[recalculating the CPI] rather than changes in the underlying pace of price
hikes." This in turn has led to increases in the real wage, which were also
encouraged by low unemployment rate. 

According to the ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENT, the average hourly real
wage in the total private sector in 1998 equaled 7.75 1982 dollars, below
what it was in all years of the 1970s, 1969, and 1968. The manufacturing
average hourly real wage equaled 8.03 1982 dollars (using the same CPI),
again below the 1970s and late-1960s levels. There have been rises in
recent years, which as noted are partly a matter of recalculation of the CPI.

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
http://clawww.lmu.edu/Faculty/JDevine/jdevine.html






[PEN-L:8066] RE: Stupid CPI and real wages question

1999-06-17 Thread Max Sawicky

  I have a stupid question regarding the CPI and real wages.  My
understanding is that real wages are today essentially where they were
in about 1972 or so.  I also am under the impression that "real wage"
is obtained by taking the wage and discounting by the CPI. 

Not stupid, just a little unspecific.  Median wage, average wage,
urban, rural, CPI, CPI-UX, etc. etc.  For free answers, check
out epinet.org.

 One: Is this correct?  If not, how are "real wages" calculated?

Two: Has the CPI been adjusted since 1972 to take into account quality
improvements in, e.g., automobiles?  I could swear that it has always
been regularly adjusted, but a co-worker thinks otherwise.


The CPI is adjusted to a fare-thee-well for this and
numerous other things.  Reference:  Getting Prices Right,
by Dean Baker for EPI (book, costs $).

mbs


Bill






[PEN-L:8069] Fw: embargo of Serbia

1999-06-17 Thread J. Barkley Rosser, Jr.


-Original Message-
From: Doug Henwood [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: Thursday, June 17, 1999 12:46 PM
Subject: Re: embargo of Serbia


Still catching up, so I don't know if anyone answered Barkley's question
about the embargo, but a quick glance at the subject headings looks like a
no. Anyway, these two documents are from the White House web site.

Doug



http://www.pub.whitehouse.gov/uri-res/I2R?urn:pdi://oma.eop.gov.us/1999/5/
4/11.
text.1


THE WHITE HOUSE

 Office of the Press Secretary

For Immediate ReleaseMay 1, 1999


  FACT SHEET

   New Sanctions Against the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia


During the Washington Summit April 23-25, NATO allies agreed to
intensify economic sanctions against the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia
(FRY) and maximize the pressure on President Slobodan Milosevic to
accept NATO's conditions for securing a durable peace in Kosovo.  These
sanctions reinforce the military action NATO has undertaken to reverse
the ethnic cleansing campaign waged by Serbian security and paramilitary
forces against the Kosovar Albanians.

To implement this agreement, President Clinton signed an Executive Order
on April 30, 1999, which strengthens sanctions on the Federal Republic
of Yugoslavia (Serbia and Montenegro).  This Executive Order adds to the
measures already in place under Executive Order 13088, which entered
into effect on June 9, 1999.

The sanctions consist of:

-The blocking of all property and interests in property of the
 Governments of the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia (Serbia and
 Montenegro), Serbia, and Montenegro;

-A general ban on all U.S. exports and reexports to and imports from
 the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia (Serbia and Montenegro),
 including specifically the export of petroleum and strategic
 goods; and

-The elimination of loopholes by strengthened provisions on evasion.

The current exemption from Montenegro will remain in force, reflecting
the strong U.S. support for the democratically-elected, multi-ethnic
government of that republic. Special consideration will also be given
to the humanitarian needs of refugees from Kosovo and other civilians
within the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia.

Finally, the Executive Order provides appropriate licensing authority
for sales of food and medicine, consistent with the President's April 28
announcement.

The State Department continues to enforce an embargo against the
shipment of arms and related materiel to the Federal Republic of
Yugoslavia (Serbia and Montenegro) under the Arms Export Control Act.



###

-

http://www.pub.whitehouse.gov/uri-res/I2R?urn:pdi://oma.eop.gov.us/1995/1
2/8/4
.text.1


   THE WHITE HOUSE

Office of the Press Secretary

  ___

  For Immediate Release  December 8, 1995



  TO THE CONGRESS OF THE UNITED STATES:


   On May 30, 1992, in Executive Order No. 12808, the
  President declared a national emergency to deal with the threat
  to the national security, foreign policy, and economy of the
  United States arising from actions and policies of the
  Governments of Serbia and Montenegro, acting under the name of
  the Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia or the Federal
  Republic of Yugoslavia, in their involvement in and support for
  groups attempting to seize territory in Croatia and the Republic
  of Bosnia and Herzegovina by force and violence utilizing, in
  part, the forces of the so-called Yugoslav National Army (57 FR
  23299, June 2, 1992).  I expanded the national emergency in
  Executive Order No. 12934 of October 25, 1994, to address the
  actions and policies of the Bosnian Serb forces and the
  authorities in the territory of the Republic of Bosnia and
  Herzegovina that they control.

   The present report is submitted pursuant to 50 U.S.C.
  1641(c) and 1703(c) and covers the period from May 30, 1995,
  to November 29, 1995.  It discusses Administration actions
  and expenses directly related to the exercise of powers and
  authorities conferred by the declaration of a national emergency
  in Executive Order No. 12808 and Executive Order No. 12934 and
  to expanded sanctions against the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia
  (Serbia and Montenegro) (the "FRY (SM)") and the Bosnian Serbs
  contained in Executive Order No. 12810 of June 5, 1992 (57 FR
  24347, June 9, 1992), Executive Order No. 12831 of January 15,
  1993 (58 FR 5253, January 21, 1993), Executive Order No. 12846
  of April 25, 1993 (58 FR 25771, April 27, 1993), and Executive
  Order No. 12934 of October 25, 1994 (59 FR 54117, October 27,
  1994).

   1.   

[PEN-L:8071] Re: Minimum Wage, Taxes, Politics

1999-06-17 Thread Brad De Long

Apologies for interrupting the anti-imperialist struggle,
but I'd like to know if there are any thoughts here on
how to best index the minimum wage.  Possibilities
include the CPI, average wages, productivity, etc.

Another issue is progressive tax cuts, to contrast
with the proposed 15% across-the-board rate cuts
being pushed by the GOP.

(I'm writing economics resolutions for the ADA
convention this week.)

mbs

I would say productivity...

And I am seriously worried about marginal tax rates in the phase-out range
of the EITC...


Brad DeLong



-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
"Now 'in the long run' this [way of summarizing the quantity theory of
money] is probably true But this long run is a misleading guide to
current affairs. **In the long run** we are all dead.  Economists set
themselves too easy, too useless a task if in tempestuous seasons they can
only tell us that when the storm is long past the ocean is flat again."

--J.M. Keynes
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
J. Bradford De Long; Professor of Economics, U.C. Berkeley;
Co-Editor, Journal of Economic Perspectives.
Dept. of Economics, U.C. Berkeley, #3880
Berkeley, CA 94720-3880
(510) 643-4027; (925) 283-2709 phones
(510) 642-6615; (925) 283-3897 faxes
http://econ161.berkeley.edu/
[EMAIL PROTECTED]






[PEN-L:8073] RE: Re: Minimum Wage, Taxes, Politics

1999-06-17 Thread Max Sawicky

Apologies for interrupting the anti-imperialist struggle,
but I'd like to know if there are any thoughts here on
how to best index the minimum wage.  Possibilities
include the CPI, average wages, productivity, etc.

I would say productivity...


Which would subsume the inflationary component, I take it?
A question is whether there is some sufficiently simple,
'consensus' measure which could pass legislative muster.
Another problem is that if you give politicians a choice,
they will feel justified in commissioning a study and doing
nothing at all.


And I am seriously worried about marginal tax rates in the phase-out range
of the EITC...


We're working on that one too.  Should be out
at the end of the year, just in time for the
sweet loving embrace of Dem presidential
candidates.

One of your fellow DoT alumni (jks) doesn't think
the phase-out has much effect.  For those who
make the decision to pursue a life of work,
I would think that by and large they are
looking past the phase-out range.  Course,
it wouldn't hurt to cut the marginal 'rate'
by increasing the credit.

mbs






[PEN-L:8074] Peace Dividend

1999-06-17 Thread Charles Brown


 Max Sawicky [EMAIL PROTECTED] 06/17/99 03:14PM 
What about the new role for
the US armed forces, imposing the US standards of morality on tin-pot
dictatorships all around the world?

(

Charles: US standards of morality are those of dictatorship, tin-pot and bigtime.


CB






[PEN-L:8076] Re: Minimum Wages, Taxes, Politics

1999-06-17 Thread DOUG ORR

Max asked a very important question, which desrves more time and attention
than it can get in this forum, but tossing out some ideas may help get the
discussion going.


Peter Dorman wrote:

Max, I think there are arguments for both average wages and CPI as
indexing options, but I would offer this argument for average wages: it
has the potential to become an international standard.  In thinking
about labor standards that might be pushed internationally, minimum
wages are central.  It is difficult to write a standard that would be
applicable in all countries -- even the standard of "meets minimum
subsistence needs" is difficult to define and measure.  But pegging the
minimum at, say, half the average is perfectly feasible, and low-wage
countries can't complain that it has a differential impact on them. 
Putting our own minimum wage system on this type of automatic pilot
would be a small step towards attaining a global minimum.
---
I agree with Peter that setting the Min wage at one-half of the average has
the advantage of being used as a small step toward establishing a global 
minimum.  But it may not help US workers much.  As other posts have pointed
out, average real wages in the US have been dropping since 1979 (with very 
minor increases the past two years).  Thus, if the min wage was pegged to 
average wages, it would be going down as well.  Thus, I would propose a two
step adjustment (similar to the recently passed initiative in WA state.)

First, raise the min wage to one-half of the average wage (which is what
it was back in the 1930s and the 1960s), then index it.  But then we 
have to decide what to index it to.  If we index for inflation,
you then need to decide which inflation index to use - CPI, CPI-UX,
GDP deflator, etc.  It might be better to index it to productivitity.

In the current situation, firms are upping productivity thru downsizing and 
speed-ups.  They are not able to raise prices because of intnat'l competition.
So if the min wage were indexed to the CPI, no increase goes to workers for 
the increase in their productivity.  All of the productivity increases go to
shareholders as profit increases.  If the politicians really believed the
neo-classical dog shit (oops theory), they would note that wages are supposed
to reflrect productivity.  So if productivity goes up, wages should go up.
By indexing the min wage to productivity, the gov't would force wages to 
follow NC theory!


WRT tax policies, that is not my specialty but a general suggestion and three 
specific ones.  In general, the policies should aim to return the tax structure
more toward what existed prior to 1980.  The share of tax revenues from
corporate income taxes has plummetted, while corporate subsidies and
tax expenditures have gone up.  I am sure Max has a great list of tax breaks
to corps that could be eliminated.  Increasing marginal tax rates on the
ultra wealthy is a good idea, tho politically unlikely.  So is a tax on 
wealth.  All those CEOs,etc get the majority of their compenstation as stock
options, which shows up as wealth.

Four specific ideas.  

1)   Currently, payments made by firms to cover future pensions promises are
fully tax deductable.  The same tax break should be extendied to all workers.
Make worker "contributions" to social security tax deductable.   Currently,
the amount paid in payroll taxes for over 60% of workers exceeds their
income taxes.  Cutting payroll taxes would help the right wing gut social 
security, but deducting payroll taxes from income would not have this impact.
In fact, if these "contributions" were deductable, there would be much less
resistance to raising the payroll tax rates in the future if (which is
highly unlikely) there is a shortfall in covering social security payments.
(NOte: this tax changes starts us down the road of coviring social insurance
out of general tax revenues - which the way it is done in most "civilized"
countries.)


2)   Increase the tax deductable contributions to IRAs.  This
is not a radical idea - it benefits the upper middle class more than the poor.
But it is still worthwhile.  Workers covered by company pensions now get
tax preference for retirement.  Uncovered workers do not, except for the small 
amount they can put into IRAs.  The limit was set at $2000 and never changed.
This could be reaised to $5000, which would benefit the middle class, but not
the wealthy, and would not help the poor.  The only way to help the working 
poor in retirement is to INCREASE social security benefits (which is also a
good idea - but right now preventing a decrease in benefits is the battle)
and/or making private pension coverage MANDATORY (which is not really a tax
policy).

3)   Implement a tax on the "big casino."  This is the Pollin/Baker idea from
the 1994 Nation article.  Put a tax on every finanacial transaction.  If there
is a tax on buying milk, there should be a tax on buying stock!  

[PEN-L:8079] More on Monasteries

1999-06-17 Thread Max Sawicky

From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]
On Behalf Of Kosova Task Force, USA
Sent: Thursday, June 17, 1999 6:30 PM
To: Kosova Alert
Subject: KosovaTAskForce: War Criminals Must Be Pursued


Kosova Task Force, USA
Action Alert
6.17.1999


French members of KFOR reportedly suspect some members of the KLA of
defacing a Serb monastery in Srbica, Kosova.

The Kosova Task Force, USA strongly condemns all war crimes committed by
either side.  These accusations against the KLA must be investigated
properly and thoroughly, and those KLA members found to be guilty of war
crimes must be brought to justice.

Even though hundreds of Mosques in Kosova have been destroyed, and thousands
of Kosovar Albanian women have been raped, individually and in rape camps,
it still does not allow the victims of genocide to react in the same manner.

The Kosova Task Force, USA demands that withdrawing Serbian troops not be
allowed to destroy homes or other structures as they leave.  Unfortunately,
this has been happening even in presence of NATO forces.

ACTION REQUESTED:
Please participate in the media discussion and raise the following point:

€ This is the time to pursue war criminals.  If the war criminals from
Bosnia
were properly dealth with, they would not have been able to perpetrate the
same crimes in Kosova.

Call  your policy makers to tell them that there is no peace without justice
for the Kosovar Albanians.

Ambassador David Scheffer
Ambassador at Large for War Crimes Issues
ph: 202-647-5072

==
Kosova Task Force, USA
730 W. Lake St., Suite 156
Chicago, IL 60661, USA
Phone: 312-829-0087  Fax: 312-829-0089
Email: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Internet: http://www.justiceforall.org
==






[PEN-L:8081] Re: Re: Minimum Wages, Taxes, Politics

1999-06-17 Thread Jim Devine

Doug Orr wrote:
... setting the Min wage at one-half of the average...  may not help US
workers much.  As other posts have pointed out, average real wages in the
US have been dropping since 1979 (with very minor increases the past two
years).  Thus, if the min wage was pegged to average wages, it would be
going down as well. 

On the other hand, there has not only been a decrease in the median real
wage but also a rise in wage dispersion, the gap between the top and the
bottom and between the median and the bottom. Hooking the minimum wage to
the median would work against rising wage dispersion. 

 In the current situation, firms are upping productivity thru
downsizing and speed-ups.  

I don't think it's just downsizing and speedups any more (though these play
a role). There's been a lot of real investment in the 1990s, with
investment rising in producers' durable equipment from about 6 % of GDP in
1990 to 10 % in 1998, encouraged by the rising profit rate. It's also
possible that the computer revolution is also paying off, encouraging labor
productivity growth (though Microsoft is trying to undermine this by
introducing Office 2000 ;-) ). 

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
http://clawww.lmu.edu/Faculty/JDevine/jdevine.html






[PEN-L:8080] BLS Daily Report

1999-06-17 Thread Richardson_D

 BLS DAILY REPORT, THURSDAY, JUNE 17, 1999:
 
 Consumer prices held steady in May, the Labor Department reports, calming
 inflation fears fanned by a sharp April gain.  The price of most
 components that comprise the CPI-U calmed considerably -- and in some
 cases retreated -- in May, compared with April.  Analysts say the
 placidity of May's price data relieves some of the pressure on the Federal
 Reserve to raise short term interest rates. "May is essentially what we
 had in April, but in reverse, although in not as great a magnitude," BLS
 economist Patrick Jackman said.  While the overall CPI-U has accelerated a
 little in 1999, the core rate of increase has slowed.  Although the April
 CPI-U showed nearly across-the-board cost increases, a 6.1 percent jump in
 energy prices helped propel the gain.  Gasoline prices charged ahead a
 record 17 percent in the month.  "So far, based on Department of Energy
 figures, June gasoline prices are down, " BLS's Jackman says (Daily Labor
 Report, page D-5).
 __After a sharp jump in April, consumer prices were unchanged last month,
 allaying fears among investors and government policymakers alike that the
 national inflation outlook had taken a big turn for the worst. The Labor
 Department reported...that prices of the goods and services that
 contributed most to the 0.7 percent increase in the April consumer price
 index -- gasoline, apparel, lodging away from home, tobacco products and
 airline fares -- all declined last month (John M. Berry, writing in The
 Washington Post, page E1).
 __After haunting investors for weeks, the specter of inflation suddenly
 retreated -- at least for now.  The CPI did not rise at all in May.  And
 the closely watched "core" inflation rate edged up a mere 0.1 percent
 versus a 0.4 percent increase in April.  While the Federal Reserve is
 still expected to raise short-term interest rats later this month, the
 absence of any signs of inflation last month eased worries that the Fed
 was about to embark on a sustained series of rate increases. A wave of
 relief swept the stock and bond markets, which both rallied strongly
 yesterday (The New York Times, page 1).  
 __Amid a surging housing market, consumer prices remained flat last month,
 easing fears of accelerating inflation through some signs of rising price
 pressure remain.  The Labor Department reported that the consumer price
 index was unchanged in May, following an unexpected 0.7 percent rise in
 April.  Economists agree that April's increase was fueled by a spike in
 energy prices related to the slowing of oil production by the Organization
 of Petroleum Exporting Countries in the first quarter (The Wall Street
 Journal, page A2).
 
 A government report that consumer prices didn't rise at all in May would
 seem a dream come true for Alan Greenspan and his band of inflation-phobes
 at the Federal Reserve.  Instead, it was more like a nightmare.
 Yesterday's surprisingly benign consumer price report undercut the public
 case Fed officials have been making that incipient inflation demands an
 increase in interest rates.  But it did nothing to ease their concern that
 the U.S. economy is growing at such an unsafe speed that inflation is
 inevitable unless they act.  Now the Fed chief confronts an awkward
 choice.  He can raise rates when Fed officials convene at month's end.
 But that could end the best combination of low unemployment and low
 inflation the U.S. has seen in a generation, unsettle foreign financial
 markets and threaten Greenspan's reputation as one Fed chairman wisely
 immune to conventional economic wisdom. Or he can hold off on raising
 rates.  But that could destroy the price stability the Fed achieved and
 threaten the internal harmony that has marked his 12-year stint at the
 Fed.  The Fed chairman may reveal which way he is leaning when he
 testifies this morning before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress.
 Even saying nothing would be read on Wall Street as affirmation of the
 still widespread expectation that the Fed will raise rates on June 30 for
 the first time in 2 years (The Wall Street Journal, page 1).
 
 An upswing in average hourly earnings and hours worked boosted real,
 inflation-adjusted weekly earnings 0.7 percent in May, BLS reports. The
 gain in real weekly earnings reflected a 0.3 percent advance in average
 weekly hours and a 0.4 percent increase in average hourly earnings (Daily
 Labor Report, page D-24).
 
 The U.S. economy was still expanding from New York to California in May,
 with strength in retailing and construction and manufacturing on the mend,
 the Federal Reserve says.  The Fed's latest survey of conditions in its 12
 districts found the economy "remains strong, with gains in activity
 widespread." Labor markets are very tight "in almost all districts," the
 central bank found.  For example, in Cleveland, the Fourth District, "a
 large number of companies are hiring temporary workers with the hope of
 making the 

[PEN-L:8078] Re: Re: Re: Minimum Wage, Taxes, Politics

1999-06-17 Thread Henry C.K. Liu

BTW, there is no need to interrupt the anti-imperialist struggle, just make the
ADA Platform part of it.  It was at one point.

Henry C.K. Liu

"Henry C.K. Liu" wrote:

 NASDAQ  for the ADA Platform.
 Productivity is a GOP doctrine.
 As for tax cut, revive the distinction between earned and unearned income.
 Keep earned income low and unearned income high.

 Henry C.K. Liu

 Brad De Long wrote:

  Apologies for interrupting the anti-imperialist struggle,
  but I'd like to know if there are any thoughts here on
  how to best index the minimum wage.  Possibilities
  include the CPI, average wages, productivity, etc.
  
  Another issue is progressive tax cuts, to contrast
  with the proposed 15% across-the-board rate cuts
  being pushed by the GOP.
  
  (I'm writing economics resolutions for the ADA
  convention this week.)
  
  mbs
 
  I would say productivity...
 
  And I am seriously worried about marginal tax rates in the phase-out range
  of the EITC...
 
  Brad DeLong
 
  -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
  "Now 'in the long run' this [way of summarizing the quantity theory of
  money] is probably true But this long run is a misleading guide to
  current affairs. **In the long run** we are all dead.  Economists set
  themselves too easy, too useless a task if in tempestuous seasons they can
  only tell us that when the storm is long past the ocean is flat again."
 
  --J.M. Keynes
  -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
  J. Bradford De Long; Professor of Economics, U.C. Berkeley;
  Co-Editor, Journal of Economic Perspectives.
  Dept. of Economics, U.C. Berkeley, #3880
  Berkeley, CA 94720-3880
  (510) 643-4027; (925) 283-2709 phones
  (510) 642-6615; (925) 283-3897 faxes
  http://econ161.berkeley.edu/
  [EMAIL PROTECTED]






[PEN-L:8077] Re: Re: Minimum Wage, Taxes, Politics

1999-06-17 Thread Henry C.K. Liu

NASDAQ  for the ADA Platform.
Productivity is a GOP doctrine.
As for tax cut, revive the distinction between earned and unearned income.
Keep earned income low and unearned income high.

Henry C.K. Liu

Brad De Long wrote:

 Apologies for interrupting the anti-imperialist struggle,
 but I'd like to know if there are any thoughts here on
 how to best index the minimum wage.  Possibilities
 include the CPI, average wages, productivity, etc.
 
 Another issue is progressive tax cuts, to contrast
 with the proposed 15% across-the-board rate cuts
 being pushed by the GOP.
 
 (I'm writing economics resolutions for the ADA
 convention this week.)
 
 mbs

 I would say productivity...

 And I am seriously worried about marginal tax rates in the phase-out range
 of the EITC...

 Brad DeLong

 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
 "Now 'in the long run' this [way of summarizing the quantity theory of
 money] is probably true But this long run is a misleading guide to
 current affairs. **In the long run** we are all dead.  Economists set
 themselves too easy, too useless a task if in tempestuous seasons they can
 only tell us that when the storm is long past the ocean is flat again."

 --J.M. Keynes
 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
 J. Bradford De Long; Professor of Economics, U.C. Berkeley;
 Co-Editor, Journal of Economic Perspectives.
 Dept. of Economics, U.C. Berkeley, #3880
 Berkeley, CA 94720-3880
 (510) 643-4027; (925) 283-2709 phones
 (510) 642-6615; (925) 283-3897 faxes
 http://econ161.berkeley.edu/
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]






[PEN-L:8072] RE: Re: RE: Re: Peace Dividend

1999-06-17 Thread Max Sawicky


I'll take your word for it, except that I was only using tax cuts for the
rich as an _example_, not the _only_ form of "stuff we don't like." Also,
tax cuts in 1986 and 1997 have _cumulative_ results after they are enacted.


'86 was not a tax cut, but a big rearranging of the deck
chairs.  It was supposed to be distributionally neutral,
but it turns out to have benefited the very top of the
income distribution to some extent (nothing to compare
with '81 though).


You know, it's like Jesse Jackson used to say: if we were to go back to the
tax structure that we had in 1980, the government would have much larger
revenues. Repeat this over several years and you see accumuating government
debt and thus higher government interest payments every year. 


This is true in and of itself.  The problem is whether
this is a realistic counter-factual.  Federal revenues
relative to GDP have been extremely stable for 25 years,
even with the '81 tax cuts.  So the comparison to an
unreformed 1980 tax code, which could have pushed up
revenues to 24% of GDP (as well as putting a lot more
folks into high tax brackets) is at least debatable.


Wouldn't you say that the increases in Medicare and Medicaid spending are
not benefits to the patients as much as payment for the increases in
medical costs? 

More went to vendors than to patients; that's true.
Also state governments did well finagling the rules
for Medicaid reimbursement at the end of the 1980's.
It's easy to show this, just by comparing medical
inflation to the total change in spending.  I didn't
say the peace dividend was purely devoted to making
M/M beneficiaries better off.  It did go into those
programs, however.


It's better than cutting these types of spending (or keeping
them constant in the face of medical-cost inflation), but we shouldn't see
it as "stuff we like" but as a necessary evil":  it's a shift from the
military-industrial complex to the insurance company/HMO/medical complex.
It fits with my point that the US government (like almost all capitalist
governments) is dominated by competition among blocs of nasty folks rather
than simply marching to the military's beat. 


I think here we have a difference in emphasis,
not fundamentals.


Not even close.  If the war costs $20 billion that will be a lot. The
surplus is over $100b.

I'll take your word for it, but what about "reconstruction" costs, the
creation of a Kosovar showcase proving that the US/NATO was right all
along? (Remember all the $$$ that went to make showcases out of West
Berlin, West Germany, Taiwan, and South Korea.) What about the new role for
the US armed forces, imposing the US standards of morality on tin-pot
dictatorships all around the world?


My bet is the EU will pay more for reconstruction.
Congress can't even work itself up to reconstructing
public facilities in the U.S.  How it will pay for
doing that in Kosova is hard to imagine.  Unlike
merely blowing things up, in spending the Congress
has much more power relative to the President.
How much for that and all the rest, who knows.
The war itself was estimated to cost $15b for
a year, so as I said $20b would be a lot.


Of course, the surplus will disappear if there's a recession. On the other
hand, the establishment of a new permanent war economy would prevent a
recession. 


The surplus projections go out for 50 years.  They
factor in recessions as to magnitude, but not for
timing.  Hence if the basic projection is right,
recessionary effects in one or two years would be
offset in latter years.

With 4.2UE, the U.S. doesn't need military spending.
The real wonder is why the EU doesn't go in for it
in a big way.

mbs






[PEN-L:8070] Re: embargo of Serbia

1999-06-17 Thread J. Barkley Rosser, Jr.

 I want to thank both Doug Henwood and Michael
Hoover (on pen-l) for having provided some concrete
answers to my inquiry regarding the recent and current
status of the economic embargo against Yugoslavia
(not just Serbia), although presumably the Serbian
province of Kosmet (hi, Jim, :-)) will be exempt.
  I have already expressed my view that this is a
very important issue in terms of how things will evolve
in the region in the postwar period, if that ever arrives.
Barkley Rosser
-Original Message-
From: Doug Henwood [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: Thursday, June 17, 1999 12:46 PM
Subject: Re: embargo of Serbia


Still catching up, so I don't know if anyone answered Barkley's question
about the embargo, but a quick glance at the subject headings looks like a
no. Anyway, these two documents are from the White House web site.

Doug



http://www.pub.whitehouse.gov/uri-res/I2R?urn:pdi://oma.eop.gov.us/1999/5/
4/11.
text.1


THE WHITE HOUSE

 Office of the Press Secretary

For Immediate ReleaseMay 1, 1999


  FACT SHEET

   New Sanctions Against the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia


During the Washington Summit April 23-25, NATO allies agreed to
intensify economic sanctions against the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia
(FRY) and maximize the pressure on President Slobodan Milosevic to
accept NATO's conditions for securing a durable peace in Kosovo.  These
sanctions reinforce the military action NATO has undertaken to reverse
the ethnic cleansing campaign waged by Serbian security and paramilitary
forces against the Kosovar Albanians.

To implement this agreement, President Clinton signed an Executive Order
on April 30, 1999, which strengthens sanctions on the Federal Republic
of Yugoslavia (Serbia and Montenegro).  This Executive Order adds to the
measures already in place under Executive Order 13088, which entered
into effect on June 9, 1999.

The sanctions consist of:

-The blocking of all property and interests in property of the
 Governments of the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia (Serbia and
 Montenegro), Serbia, and Montenegro;

-A general ban on all U.S. exports and reexports to and imports from
 the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia (Serbia and Montenegro),
 including specifically the export of petroleum and strategic
 goods; and

-The elimination of loopholes by strengthened provisions on evasion.

The current exemption from Montenegro will remain in force, reflecting
the strong U.S. support for the democratically-elected, multi-ethnic
government of that republic. Special consideration will also be given
to the humanitarian needs of refugees from Kosovo and other civilians
within the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia.

Finally, the Executive Order provides appropriate licensing authority
for sales of food and medicine, consistent with the President's April 28
announcement.

The State Department continues to enforce an embargo against the
shipment of arms and related materiel to the Federal Republic of
Yugoslavia (Serbia and Montenegro) under the Arms Export Control Act.



###

-

http://www.pub.whitehouse.gov/uri-res/I2R?urn:pdi://oma.eop.gov.us/1995/1
2/8/4
.text.1


   THE WHITE HOUSE

Office of the Press Secretary

  ___

  For Immediate Release  December 8, 1995



  TO THE CONGRESS OF THE UNITED STATES:


   On May 30, 1992, in Executive Order No. 12808, the
  President declared a national emergency to deal with the threat
  to the national security, foreign policy, and economy of the
  United States arising from actions and policies of the
  Governments of Serbia and Montenegro, acting under the name of
  the Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia or the Federal
  Republic of Yugoslavia, in their involvement in and support for
  groups attempting to seize territory in Croatia and the Republic
  of Bosnia and Herzegovina by force and violence utilizing, in
  part, the forces of the so-called Yugoslav National Army (57 FR
  23299, June 2, 1992).  I expanded the national emergency in
  Executive Order No. 12934 of October 25, 1994, to address the
  actions and policies of the Bosnian Serb forces and the
  authorities in the territory of the Republic of Bosnia and
  Herzegovina that they control.

   The present report is submitted pursuant to 50 U.S.C.
  1641(c) and 1703(c) and covers the period from May 30, 1995,
  to November 29, 1995.  It discusses Administration actions
  and expenses directly related to the exercise of powers and
  authorities conferred by the declaration of a national emergency
  in Executive Order No. 12808 and Executive Order No. 

[PEN-L:8068] Re: RE: Re: Peace Dividend

1999-06-17 Thread Jim Devine

I wrote: I think that there is some truth to Makara's statements though.
There may have been a "peace dividend," but it was mostly spent on stuff we
don't like, like tax cuts for the rich. . . . 

Max writes: The only tax cut stacked towards the rich since 1986 was in
1997. The ones you refer to were in 1981, before the defense spending
slow-down.

I'll take your word for it, except that I was only using tax cuts for the
rich as an _example_, not the _only_ form of "stuff we don't like." Also,
tax cuts in 1986 and 1997 have _cumulative_ results after they are enacted.
You know, it's like Jesse Jackson used to say: if we were to go back to the
tax structure that we had in 1980, the government would have much larger
revenues. Repeat this over several years and you see accumuating government
debt and thus higher government interest payments every year. 

The cost of the '97 cut was noteworthy, but probably doesn't stack up to
the increases in Medicare and Medicaid spending since 1986.  I don't have
the number in front of me (though it's within eight feet of me).  That was
where the peace dividend went, for all practical purposes.

Wouldn't you say that the increases in Medicare and Medicaid spending are
not benefits to the patients as much as payment for the increases in
medical costs? It's better than cutting these types of spending (or keeping
them constant in the face of medical-cost inflation), but we shouldn't see
it as "stuff we like" but as a necessary evil":  it's a shift from the
military-industrial complex to the insurance company/HMO/medical complex.
It fits with my point that the US government (like almost all capitalist
governments) is dominated by competition among blocs of nasty folks rather
than simply marching to the military's beat. 

Now much of it would go to budget surpluses if the Clintonoids have their
way, which looks likely.

We shall see.

... Note the big Clinton fold on anti-ballistic missiles was in January,
well before the Balkans.  The conditions for more hardware purchases were
already in place.  Without doubt the Balkans affair has solidified them,
but they could have been safe in either event.

I was using the ballistic missiles as an example of the trend before the
Balkan war. The process of Clinton caving to the Pentagon has been pretty
steady since he entered office. 

 It is also true that the US/NATO war against the Serbs will probably end
the US government's current budget surplus 

Not even close.  If the war costs $20 billion that will be a lot. The
surplus is over $100b.

I'll take your word for it, but what about "reconstruction" costs, the
creation of a Kosovar showcase proving that the US/NATO was right all
along? (Remember all the $$$ that went to make showcases out of West
Berlin, West Germany, Taiwan, and South Korea.) What about the new role for
the US armed forces, imposing the US standards of morality on tin-pot
dictatorships all around the world?

Of course, the surplus will disappear if there's a recession. On the other
hand, the establishment of a new permanent war economy would prevent a
recession. 

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
http://clawww.lmu.edu/Faculty/JDevine/jdevine.html






[PEN-L:8065] RE: Re: Peace Dividend

1999-06-17 Thread Max Sawicky

 . . .
I think that there is some truth to Makara's statements though. There may
have been a "peace dividend," but it was mostly spent on stuff we don't
like, like tax cuts for the rich. . . . 

The only tax cut stacked towards the rich since 1986 was in 1997.
The ones you refer to were in 1981, before the defense spending
slow-down.

The cost of the '97 cut was noteworthy, but probably doesn't
stack up to the increases in Medicare and Medicaid spending
since 1986.  I don't have the number in front of me (though
it's within eight feet of me).  That was where the peace
dividend went, for all practical purposes.  Now much of it
would go to budget surpluses if the Clintonoids have their
way, which looks likely.

As for hiding stuff in the budget, it is the defense budget
that hides at least some of the secret stuff, not the reverse.
A possible exception is the Dept of Energy budget, which
includes nuke-related stuff.

Note the big Clinton fold on anti-ballistic missiles was
in January, well before the Balkans.  The conditions for
more hardware purchases were already in place.  Without
doubt the Balkans affair has solidified them, but they
could have been safe in either event.

 It is also true that the US/NATO war against the Serbs will probably end
the US government's current budget surplus 

Not even close.  If the war costs $20 billion that will be a lot.
The surplus is over $100b.

The squeeze on domestic rests specifically in the caps.
Right now Clinton is on the right side in proposing the
caps be raised, albeit modestly, with the Repubs advocating
the contrary.
There is much less squeeze on entitlements in general, since
they are not subject to the caps.  Clinton recently proposed
an increase in Medicare benefits.  The big exception is
the welfare deform, but in this case the squeeze stems from
policy views on welfare, not from fiscal imperatives.

Incidentally, I was impressed by a point in 'Wall Street'
(which I've finally gotten around to reading), where DH,
channeling Marx, points out that public debt is
a safe and often unproductive (socially speaking)
haven for capital. Which raises the question, why is
the executive committee of the bourgeoisie proposing
to eliminate the public debt?

mbs






[PEN-L:8063] Re: Th Voice of Asian Economic Nationalism

1999-06-17 Thread Charles Brown


 "Henry C.K. Liu" [EMAIL PROTECTED] 06/17/99 12:46PM 

   Which explains why they have modified their stand a little bit.
Indeed, Clinton said at one stage if the economy of East Asia is harmed,
then workers in the United States will be retrenched. I don't know if he
was influenced by what I told him or not. I don't want to ask for credit,
but the point is that they are coming around to realize that this is not
just destroying us. It's destroying them too. In the end, they will not be
able to survive. 

((

Charles: Henry, what is meant by this "destroying" ? I thought we were in an era of 
unprecedented prosperity. Won't this Wall Street bull run forever ?


CB









[PEN-L:8061] Re: We all shouted, 'Heil Hitler'

1999-06-17 Thread Henry C.K. Liu

This is like a scene out of a Fassbinder movie.  It Hitler had won WWII, Germany
would look very much like it is today.

Henry C.K. Liu

Louis Proyect wrote:

 Los Angeles Times, June 17, 1999, Thursday, Home Edition

 The path to peace;
 German force savors 'moral' postwar debut;
 Balkans: many older ethnic Albanians recall Nazi troops in WWII as
 liberators from Serbs. Today's soldiers are happy to hold their heads high.

 MARJORIE MILLER, TIMES STAFF WRITER

 PRIZREN, Yugoslavia

 For the German army, returning to Yugoslavia for the first time since World
 War II as part of a NATO peacekeeping force marks a final break with a
 terrible past.

 The deployment of German combat troops and Leopard-2 tanks into Kosovo
 province means that the Bundeswehr at last has become a "full partner in NATO
 with all of the rights and responsibilities" of the other members, said Lt.
 Col. Dietmar Jeserich.

 It is a proud moment for the Germans.

 But many Kosovo Albanians sided with the Nazis during World War II, and today,
 some of them do not distinguish between the past and present German
 armies--both of which, to their way of thinking, accomplished the same feat:
 freeing them from Serbian rule.

 "This is a second liberation," said Ali Majo, 68, a native of this city in
 southwestern Kosovo. "I can't describe how it felt when we saw German soldiers
 come to liberate us again."

 So much for moral victories in the Balkans.







[PEN-L:8060] Re: Peace Dividend

1999-06-17 Thread Jim Devine

Petar Makara writes: The cold war is over for a decade now - but there is
NO Peace Dividend. NATO has to survive so that hundreds of billions of
dollars can be sucked out of the American people. Any excuse to prolong
NATO's life - is a good excuse.

Glancing at the government's official statistics, there has been a "peace
dividend." Since 1989, US Federal "defence" spending has been growing more
slowly than the total Federal government spending on goods and services
(which does not include transfer payments), than total government spending
(including the state  local governments), and real GDP. On average between
1990 and 1998, real GDP grew 2.5 percent per year, while total government
grew 0.7 percent per year. Federal purchases fell on average by 1.7 percent
per year, while "defense" spending fell on average 3.1 percent per year.
While the numbers might be wrong (since military spending can be hidden in
the budget), I don't think that a sophisticated examination of the numbers
would produce vastly different results. Cutbacks in defense spending helped
create Clinton's vaunted budget surplus.

I think that there is some truth to Makara's statements though. There may
have been a "peace dividend," but it was mostly spent on stuff we don't
like, like tax cuts for the rich. 

Further, the military-industrial complex clearly doesn't like military
cutbacks. (I can hear them chant "they say cutback! we say fightback!")
They have been using their not-inconsiderable clout to promote ballistic
missile defense systems and the like, trying to avoid military cutbacks.
Clinton, cowed by his brush with the military over allowing openly gay
people in and by continued hostility from the Pentagon about his draft
dodging, has been going along with them more and more, finally endorsing
the ballistic missile defense. He's also found that bombing medicine
factories in the Sudan and other foreign policy initiatives can distract
people from his being caught committing adultery on the public dime. This
use of the military of course has raised their clout. Accordingly, the pace
of military cutbacks has slowed since 1993. (This is partly a result of the
ending of the fast pace of cutbacks after the Gulf War.)

But there are other forces that jockey to control the US government and its
budget, who counteract the military's lust for funds. Clinton has shown
amazing obedience to the Wall Street/banking crowd, toeing their
balance-the-budget line. 

I don't think that the US war against the Serbs was a matter of the
Pentagon and the rest of the military-industrial complex finally getting
their way. Though they have a lot of influence, the M-IC crowd likes big
spending more than shedding of US blood in wars. (They thus had a big
influence on the _form_ of the war against the Serbs.) I think instead that
the US power elite is united in the process of asserting the US as the
world hegemon, the embryonic world state, with its NATO allies as junior
partners, while opening up the "emerging markets" to capital flows and US
exports. Of course, this is dressed up with rhetoric about the commitment
to democracy and human rights (as defined by the US).

It is also true that the US/NATO war against the Serbs will probably end
the US government's current budget surplus and push the budget back into
deficit territory, squeezing civilian programs further. The effort to
assert the US as the new world government will likely bring back a
permanent war economy in the future. 

But I think that rhetoric about there being no "peace dividend" should be
dropped.

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
http://clawww.lmu.edu/Faculty/JDevine/jdevine.html






[PEN-L:8055] An analysis of Nato's war by Petar Makara

1999-06-17 Thread Louis Proyect

Terrible injustice was done to the Yugoslav peoples and the Serbs in
particular. The question remains...

WHY?

In the well known movie about American Mafia "Il Padrino", a Mafia boss
explains to his colleague why he had to murder his cousin:

"It is strictly business - nothing personal!"

The cold war is over for a decade now - but there is NO Peace Dividend.
NATO has to survive so that hundreds of billions of dollars can be sucked
out of the American people. Any excuse to prolong NATO's life - is a good
excuse.

January 1994: The crisis

For many decades the United Nations was a stage of the battle between the
two super powers. With the USSR gone it seemed at first that American newly
born Empire can use the U.N. as a vehicle to rule the world. Bosnia was the
laboratory where this model was to be tested. Most of the "neutral" UN
troops that defended Bosnian Muslims were actually NATO troops. But that
was clumsy, indirect way to rule the Earth.

And what to do with NATO anyhow?

Sun-Sentinel, Sunday, January 30, 1994  Editorial by Robert Fabricio (Quote:) 

The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), the very foundation of U.S.
Defense strategy, is on brink of a breakup. Manfred Woerner, NATO's
secretary general, has lost 30 pounds and developed chronic ulcers in the
past year from the strain of trying to keep the alliance together.  (End
quote)

Follow this link: http://www.srpska-mreza.com/library/facts/markale1.html
to see  how a Sarajevo market massacre was staged to provide an excuse  for
substitution of "U.N. troops" - with NATO ones. On the ground NOTHING have
changed with the "swap". The important change was  that NATO's role as the
World Policeman was LEGALIZED for the  first time.

The actual ceremony of substitution of the U.N. blue helmets with the
original NATO ones lasted only minutes.

NATO's "raison d'etre" problem was solved.

NATO expansion = Great Business!

New York Times, Sunday, June 29, 1997, Page A1 (front page):  "ARMS MAKERS
SEE BONANZA IN SELLING NATO EXPANSION" by Jeff Gerth and Tim Weiner 

(Excerpts from the article - quote):

Washington, June 28 - At night, Bruce L. Jackson is president of the U.S.
Committee to Expand NATO, giving intimate dinners for Senators and foreign
officials. By day, he is director of strategic planning for Lockheed Martin
Corporation, the world's biggest weapons maker.

Mr. Jackson says he keeps his two identities separate [Wow! Who can believe
that!?], but his company and his lobbying group are fighting the same
battle. Defense contractors are acting like globe hopping diplomats to
encourage the expansion of NATO, which will create huge market for their
wares.

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ARE AT STAKE in the next global arms bazaar: weapon
sales to the Central European nations invited to join the North Atlantic
Treaty Organization. Admission to the Western fraternity will bring
political prestige (sic!) but at a PRICE: playing by NATO rules, which
require Western weapons and equipment.

"THE STAKES ARE HIGH" for arms makers, said Joel L. Johnson, vice president
for international affairs at the Aerospace Industries Association, a trade
group...

The potential market for fighter jets alone is $10 billion, he said. Those
jets will require flight simulators, spare parts, electronics and engine
improvements. "Then there's transport aircraft, utility helicopters, attack
helicopters," Mr. Johnson said - not to mention military communications
systems, computers, radar, radios and the other tools of a modern fighting
force.

"Add them together, and WE'RE TALKING *REAL* MONEY," he said...

"To make sure the Senate knew this was an important aspect of U.S.
security," Mr. Jackson said, his U.S. Committee to Expand NATO recently
gave a dinner for a dozen Senators at the private Metropolitan Club, two
blocks from the White House.

Over lamb chops and red wine, the Senators heard Secretary of State
Madeleine K. Albright explain NATO expansion. The guest list included
Bernard L. Schwartz, chairman of Loral Space and Communications, a company
partly owned by Lockheed Martin. Mr. Schwartz personally donated $601,000
to Democratic politicians for the 1996 election. Lockeed Martin itself gave
$2.3 million to Congressional and Presidential candidates in the 1996
election, part of a five-fold increase in defense companies' donations to
Democrats from 1992 to 1996.

Lockeed Martin wants its F-16 fighters to replace the old Soviet made
MIG-21's in the hangars of Central Europe. Norman R. Augustine, Locheed
Martin's chief executive, toured Hungary, Poland, the Czech Republic,
Romania and Slovenia in April, drumming up business and supporting the
largest possible expansion of NATO...

"Norm has an emotional [sic!] commitment to NATO expansion," Mr. Jackson
said...

NATO was founded in 1949, at the dawn of cold war, TO ENLARGE THE UNITED
STATES' POWER IN WESTERN EUROPE... The end of the Soviet empire created the
chance to expand the alliance...

The Administration says the 

[PEN-L:8054] RE: gay pride month

1999-06-17 Thread Max Sawicky

He's the heir.  Why else would Clinton nominate him?



BTW, there was/is a flap about Clinton's appointment of James Hormel, an
open gay, as US ambassador to Luxemburg (or is it Liechetenstein?) I ask:
does he have any connection with the Hormel corporation? 

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
http://clawww.lmu.edu/Faculty/JDevine/jdevine.html






[PEN-L:8052] gay pride month

1999-06-17 Thread Jim Devine

From Scott Shuger's SLATE column (copyright Bill Gates): The WP reports
that the Southern Baptist Convention, the largest U.S. Protestant
denomination and President Clinton's church, has rebuked Clinton for
declaring June as National Gay and Lesbian Pride Month, which the SBC finds
"contrary to the word of God." (God wanted February.) 

BTW, there was/is a flap about Clinton's appointment of James Hormel, an
open gay, as US ambassador to Luxemburg (or is it Liechetenstein?) I ask:
does he have any connection with the Hormel corporation? 

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
http://clawww.lmu.edu/Faculty/JDevine/jdevine.html






[PEN-L:8050] China's Culture Of Falsified Accounting Intolerable

1999-06-17 Thread Henry C.K. Liu

The report below is an example of residual feudal culture in China despite
50 years of socialist construction.
Feudalism in China has aspects of what modern political science would
label as fascist, socialist and democratic.  As a socio-political
system, feudalism is inherently authoritarian and totalitarian.
However, since feudal cultural ideals have always been meticulously
nurtured by Confucianism to be congruent with the political regime,
social control, while pervasive, is seldom consciously felt as
oppressive by the public.  Or more accurately, social oppression, both
vertical, such as sovereign to subject, and horizontal, such as gender
prejudice, is considered natural for lack of an accepted alternative
vision.
Concepts such as equality, individuality, privacy, personal freedom and
democracy, are deemed anti-social, and only longed for by the
derange-of-mind, such as radical Daoists.  This would be true in large
measure up to modern time when radical Daoists would be replaced by other
radical political and cultural dissidents. (Here a distinction
needs to be made between genuine indigenous dissents from those merely
playing opportunistically for foreign cash).
The imperial system in China took the form of a centralized federalism of
autonomous local lords in which the authority of the sovereign is
symbiotically bound to, but clearly separated from, the authority of the
local lords.  Unless the local lords abused their local authority, the
Emperor's authority over them, while all inclusive in theory, would not
extend beyond federal matters in practice, particularly if the Emperor's
rule is to remain moral within its ritual bounds.  This tradition
continues to the modern time. This condition is easily understandable for
Americans whose Federal government is relatively progressive on certain
issues of national standard with regard to community standards in backward
sections of the union.
Confucianism (Ru Jia), through the code of rites (li), seeks to govern
the behavior and obligation of each person, each social class and each
socio-political unit in society.  Its purpose is to facilitate the smooth
functioning and the perpetuation of the feudal system.
Therefore, the power of the Emperor, though politically absolute, is not
free from the constraints of behavior deemed proper by Confucian values
for a moral sovereign, just as the authority of the local lords is
similarly constrained.  Issues of constitutionality in the U.S. political
milieu become issues of proper rites and befitting morality in Chinese
dynastic politics.  To a large extent, this continues to the modern
Chinese polity.
The ideal Confucian state rests on a stable society over which a virtuous
and benevolent emperor rules by moral persuasion based on a Code of Rites
rather than by law.
Justice would emerge from a timeless morality that governs social
behavior.  Man would be orderly out of self-respect for his own moral
character rather than from fear of punishment prescribed by law.  A
competent and loyal literati-bureaucracy faithful to a just political
order would run the government according to moral principles rather than
following rigid legalistic rules devoid of moral content.

Confucian values, because they have been designed to preserve the
existing feudal system, unavoidably would run into conflict with
contemporary ideas reflective of new emerging social conditions.
It is in the context of its inherent hostility toward progress and its
penchant for obsolete nostalgia that Confucian values, rather than
feudalism itself, become culturally oppressive and socially damaging.
When Chinese revolutionaries throughout history, and particularly in the
late 18th and early 19th century, rebelled against the cultural
oppression of reactionary Confucianism, they would simplistically and
conveniently link it synonymously with political feudalism.  These
revolutionaries would succeed in dismantling the formal governmental
structure of political feudalism because it was the more visible
target.  Their success had been due also to the terminal decadence of
the decrepit governmental machinery of dying dynasties, such as the
ruling house of the 3-century-old, dying Qing dynasty (1583-1911).
Unfortunately, these triumphant revolutionaries would remain largely
ineffective in re-molding Confucian dominance in feudal culture, even
among the progressive intelligentsia.
Almost a century after the fall of the feudal Qing dynasty house in
1911, after countless movements of reform and revolution, ranging from
moderate democratic liberalism to extremist Bolshevik radicalism, China
would have yet to find an workable alternative to the feudal political
culture that would be intrinsically sympathetic to its social traditions.
Chinese revolutions, including the modern revolution that would begin in
1911, through its various metamorphosis over the span of almost 4
millennia, in overthrowing successive political regimes of transplanted
feudalism, would 

[PEN-L:8047] Re: Minimum Wage, Taxes, Politics

1999-06-17 Thread Jim Devine

At 10:31 AM 6/17/99 -0400, you wrote:
Apologies for interrupting the anti-imperialist struggle,
but I'd like to know if there are any thoughts here on
how to best index the minimum wage.  Possibilities
include the CPI, average wages, productivity, etc.


how about linking the minimum wage to the salary and perks (including stock
options) of Michael Eisner?
;-)

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
http://clawww.lmu.edu/Faculty/JDevine/jdevine.html






[PEN-L:8045] Unflation

1999-06-17 Thread Max Sawicky

In the wake of yesterday's inflation report, I'd like to
acknowledge the piece by Dean Baker of the Preamble
Center that immediately followed the previous report,
available on their web site. (www.preamble.org)

It may be recalled that there was a hubub over last
month's report of an inflation spike, including some
cackling by locals on the "crisis-of-capitalism" watch.
Brother Baker reported at the time that the spike was
solely due to oil, was not likely to be repeated, would
not spread to other sectors, and could not in any case
be curbed by U.S. monetary policy (except at the cost
of job loss).

mbs






[PEN-L:8044] Minimum Wage, Taxes, Politics

1999-06-17 Thread Max Sawicky

Apologies for interrupting the anti-imperialist struggle,
but I'd like to know if there are any thoughts here on
how to best index the minimum wage.  Possibilities
include the CPI, average wages, productivity, etc.

Another issue is progressive tax cuts, to contrast
with the proposed 15% across-the-board rate cuts
being pushed by the GOP.

(I'm writing economics resolutions for the ADA
convention this week.)

mbs