[PEN-L:10379] Re: New creationism

1997-05-28 Thread Mark Weisbrot

I have to say I did not like that "New Creationism" article at all, and 
wonder why the Nation would even print it, let alone make it their cover 
article. In an age when Newsweek runs cover stories about how standards of 
beauty are genetically determined, books like the Bell Curve get a serious 
hearing from the press, and socio-biological explanations of every social 
problem from alcholism to suicide run practically unchallenged as truth on a 
weekly basis in the New York Times' Science Times, I find it hard to get to 
worried about the left "overreacting" to bio-determinism in general. I have 
never seen anyone on the Left trash Noam Chomsky for speculating that some 
of our notions of justice, for example, may be innate. 

The worst part of this article is that it lumps together those of us 
on the Left who have no patience for bio-determinism, with the pomo attack 
on science in general and  its epistemological underpinnings. This is a nice 
debating trick, but I am surprised that the editors of the Nation would fall 
for it. The pomos are certainly right to reject socio-biological 
explanations of social problems, and other forms of essentialism. But not 
everyone who agrees with these critiques is "anti-science," or even 
close-minded with regard to explorations of  "human nature."

Mark Weisbrot

--- On Wed, 28 May 1997 08:32:59 -0700 (PDT)  Wojtek Sokolowski 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 There is an excellent article in the last issue of The Nation by Barbara
 Ehrenreich on "new creationsim" -- radical social constructivism asserting
 unqueness of human nature, stemming from a certain brand of postmodernism,
 and characterised by its hostility toward "hard" sciences.
 
 However, Ehrenreich seems to miss the class dimension of the problem, a
 strange omission for a democratic socialist, indeed.  Enclosed is a copy 
my
 letter to The Nation's editor on that subject.  Any comments?
 
 ws
 
 encl.
 ---
 
 In her otherwise excellent article on the "new creationism" (June 9, 
1997), 
 Barbara Ehrenreich misses an important factor contributing to the spread 
of 
 this phenomenon - the class structure of the American society.  More 
 specifically, the over-growth of the "scribbling class."  The US has a 
much 
 larger university-educated class than any other industrialized nation: 24% 
of 
 the population 25 to 64 years of age, as compared to the mean 12% for the 
OECD 
 countries.
 
 The economist John Kenneth Galbraith once described his profession as 
 "suppliers of needed conclusions to those in a position to pay for them."  
 That apt characterization pertains to other scribbling professions as well.  
 Together with the product-oriented culture of the academe ("publish or 
 perish"), the large size of the university-educated class translates not only 
 into the oversupply of the producers of intellectual commodity, but also into 
 the substantial demand for such a commodity.
 
 Cultural identity politics and cultural relativism espoused by "new 
 creationists" are not just the matter of personal taste for scientific 
 nihilism.  The professed absence of human commonality and the relativism of 
 scientific standards to narrowly defined group interests are also instrumental 
 in developing market niches which, in turn, reduce direct competition among 
 producers of intellectual commodity, aka critical evaluation of research 
 results and claims to scientific validity.  
 
 In such an intellectual climate, anything that is printed passes for 
 "scientific truth."  The more bizarre an intellectual commodity, the greater 
 its chances of becoming a fetish for someone in search of unique cultural 
 identity.  This is yet another example of what Marx aptly described as the 
 powerful influence of the forces of material production on the production and 
 distribution of ideas of our age.
 wojtek sokolowski 
 institute for policy studies
 johns hopkins university
 baltimore, md 21218
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 voice: (410) 516-4056
 fax:   (410) 516-8233
 
 

---End of Original Message-

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Name: Mark Weisbrot
E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Preamble Center for Public Policy
1737 21st Street NW
Washington DC 20009
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(202) 333-6141 (home)
fax: (202)265-3647








[PEN-L:10237] that says it all

1997-05-19 Thread Mark Weisbrot



 "The point is that we and our friends control the keys to the clubs and the 
treasuries that Kabila will need to tap if he is going to rebuild the 
country -- the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund, our development 
funds, and those of the Europeans."
 
 -- Chester Crocker, former Assistant Secretary of State for Africa from 
1981 to 1989 and now a professor at Georgetown University, explaining why 
the US would still have "a tremendous amount of influence" over the new 
government in Zaire, despite having installed and helped to maintain one of 
the most corrupt dictatorships on earth in that country for the last 32 
years.  (NYT, Saturday, May 17,1997, p.A6)


---End of Original Message-

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Name: Mark Weisbrot
E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Preamble Center for Public Policy
1737 21st Street NW
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(202) 333-6141 (home)
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[PEN-L:9691] job announcement: please circulate

1997-04-28 Thread Mark Weisbrot


 
 
 JOB ANNOUNCEMENT (4/25/97)
 
 Project Coordinator: International Capital Mobility/MAI
 
 Preamble, a non-profit research and public education 
 organization in Washington, D.C., is seeking a Project 
 Coordinator for a one-year research and education project on 
 the proposed Multilateral Agreement on Investment (MAI). The 
 MAI is a new international economic agreement being negotiated 
 among the world's industrial countries. It is similar to NAFTA, 
 but broader in scope and jurisdiction. 
 
 Views about the MAI differ sharply: it is supported by many 
 business groups and the Clinton Administration, but is viewed 
 critically by many environmentalists, labor unions and elected 
 officials at the state and local level. Among the areas of 
 concern are the MAI's effects on jobs and wages, consumer 
 safety and the environment. Despite its possibly profound 
 implications, there has been almost no public debate about the 
 MAI.
 
 The project aims to raise public awareness of the proposed 
 treaty and promote a thorough, reasoned public discussion of 
 its terms and the broader issues it raises. The Project 
 Coordinator will conduct: outreach to potentially affected 
 constituencies; research on the MAI's potential effects on jobs 
 and wages, economic development, and the environment; the 
 publication and distribution of educational materials; media 
 work; and efforts to organize spirited, constructive debate.  
 The project coordinator will work in close cooperation with an 
 existing team of researchers and organizers.
 
 The project will also involve research on the broader issue of 
 capital mobility - the capacity of investors to move money and 
 production facilities around the world at will.
 
 The Project Coordinator position calls for someone with a multiplicity of 
skills.  Candidates must be able to: conduct public interest research and 
write for a popular audience, work with a wide variety of organizations - 
bridging gaps in workstyles and priorities to implement a common agenda, and 
advocate persuasively with journalists and community leaders.  Candidates 
must have at least three years' experience in one of the following areas: 
labor or community organizing; public interest research and advocacy; 
electoral or legislative campaigns. Some knowledge of international economic 
is
 sues is desirable, as are strong computer skills.  
 
 Salary and benefits are competitive with similar public interest 
positions. This is a one-year post beginning immediately, but may be 
extended. Women and people of color are strongly encouraged to apply. 
Preamble is an equal opportunity employer. 
 
 Send resume, cover letter, brief writing sample and salary requirements as 
soon as possible to Preamble, attention "Project Coordinator Search": 1737 
21st NW - Washington, DC 20009 - Fax: 202-265-3647 - Email: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 

-----
Name: Mark Weisbrot
E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Preamble Center for Public Policy
1737 21st Street NW
Washington DC 20009
(202) 265-3263 (offc)
(202) 333-6141 (home)
fax: (202)265-3647








[PEN-L:9559] Re: MAI

1997-04-18 Thread Mark Weisbrot

I am posting below the article from the Ecologist that the Guardian article 
posted by Sid refers to. It was from us, and we are about to begin a major 
public education campaign on the MAI, in conjunction with Public Citizen. A 
similar article appeared in the Nation. If anyone wants to be on a 
list-serve that we are currently putting together for the campaign, send 
your e-mail address to:

[EMAIL PROTECTED]


Peace,

Mark

-
Name: Mark Weisbrot
E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Preamble Center for Public Policy
1737 21st Street NW
Washington DC 20009
(202) 265-3263 (offc)
(202) 333-6141 (home)
fax: (202)265-3647



Worse Than NAFTA

In popular mythology, economic globalization is a natural 
phenomenon, like continental drift: impossible to resist or control.  In 
reality, globalization is being shaped and advanced by carefully planned 
legal and institutional changes embodied in a series of international 
agreements.  Pacts like the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) 
and the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) promote the unregulated 
flow of money and goods across borders and strip elected governments of 
their regulatory authority, shifting power to unaccountable institutions 
like the World Trade Organization (WTO).
Virtually unreported, the latest and potentially most dangerous of 
these agreements is now under negotiation at the Organization for Economic 
Cooperation and Development (OECD).  The purpose of the Multilateral 
Agreement on Investment (MAI), as the proposed pact is known, is to grant 
transnational investors the unrestricted "right" to buy, sell and move 
businesses, and other assets, wherever they want, whenever they want.  To 
achieve this goal, the MAI would ban a wide range of regulatory laws now in 
force around the globe and preempt future efforts to hold transnational 
corporations and investors accountable to the public.  The agreement's 
backers (the United States and the European Union) intend to seek assent 
from the 29 industrial countries that comprise the OECD and then push the 
new accord on the developing world.
Negotiations are already at an advanced stage. Yet few Americans 
have even heard of the agreement.  Trade officials are treating MAI 
information like nuclear secrets; the mainstream media is oblivious.  
Whether the MAI is adopted, and, if so, just how far its deregulatory 
tentacles will extend, depends on whether opponents can force the proposal 
from its present obscurity into the light of public debate.
As proposed, the MAI would force countries to treat foreign 
investors as favorably as domestic companies; laws violating this principle 
would be prohibited.  Under these conditions, transnational corporations 
would find it easier and more profitable to move investments, including 
production facilities, to low-wage countries.  At the same time, these 
countries would be denied the tools necessary to wrest benefits from such 
investment   like laws mandating the employment of local managers.  Efforts 
to promote local development by earmarking subsidies for home-grown 
businesses and limiting foreign ownership of local resources would also be 
barred.  If adopted, the MAI will mean foreclosure of Third World 
development strategies, increased job flight from industrial nations, and 
new pressures on countries, rich and poor, to compete for increasingly 
mobile investment capital by lowering environmental and labor standards.
A key MAI provision could also threaten corporate accountability 
laws championed by progressives in the U.S.  The MAI takes aim at statutes 
in any nation that link subsidies, tax breaks and other public benefits to 
corporate behavior.  This ban could be used to challenge a host of local, 
state and federal measures, including laws requiring subsidized firms to 
meet job-creation goals, community reinvestment rules that require banks to 
invest in underserved areas, and the "living wage" laws that are the focus 
of activist campaigns across the country. 
Perhaps most disturbing, the MAI would preempt strategies for 
restricting corporate flight to low-wage areas  a major cause of job loss 
and income stagnation in the industrialized world. On top of the damage done 
by plant closings and layoffs, corporations use the threat of flight to 
undermine the bargaining power of unions and scare policymakers away from 
the tough regulation and strong public investment necessary to raise living 
standards.  Though remote from today's policy agenda, rules limiting the 
capacity of corporations to flee are essential to restoring the ability of 
government and labor to deal with corporations on a level playing field.  
The MAI would bar such rules in any country that is a party to the 
agreement.
In its scope and enforcement mechanisms, the MAI represents a 
dangerous leap over past international agreem

[PEN-L:9509] Fw: Re: RE: geometric-mean CPI

1997-04-15 Thread Mark Weisbrot



 
 --- On Tue, 15 Apr 1997 11:19:57 -0700 (PDT)  Richardson_D 
 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  On Monday, April 14, 1997 6:34 PM, Mark Weisbrot wrote 
 
  
  Mark also wrote  the reporting on the BLS geometric mean 
  experimental index has been very misleading, creating the impression 
  that there is .25 percentage points just out there that are ripe for 
  the taking. This serves the interests of Clinton and those in Congress 
  who want to substitute a lower measure for the CPI.  Whereas the BLS 
  will not find anything near that (Dave you can correct me if I am 
  wrong) if and when they do actually try incorporate these changes into 
  the CPI.
  
  I am not sure that I understand this one.  When we compared the 
  results of a Geomean calculation to the CPI using current methodology 
  from 1991 through 1996, the Geomean was, on average, 0.29% lower per 
  year.  Now, if we implement the change, we will classify each of our 
  207 item strata as better represented by the Laspeyres framework (0.0 
  price elasticity at the outlet level) or the Geomean (1.0 price 
  elasticity).  The result would be that some of the strata would 
  continue to be calculated by Laspeyres, and hence the 0.29% would 
  serve as an upper bound.
 
 I think "upper bound" is the key phrase here. Dean Baker suggests that 
about 
 half of the index is better represented by the Laspeyres framework, which 
 would leave us with a 0.145% reduction as a result of the geomean. 
 
   Nevertheless there is some bias that could 
  be removed fairly easily.
  
  Mark writes further  But I still think that, whatever the motivation 
  of the BLS in trying to measure the substitution effects-- and I 
  haven't seen any evidence that it is a result of political pressure-- 
  the decision to do so is, in the sense described above, political. 
  That is, it is arbitrary from a logical/conceptual point of view, and 
  will result in a lower measured rate of inflation-- which will reduce 
  Federal benefits as well as future real wage gains. Fortunately, it 
  will probably end up being a pretty small cut, if it's left to the 
  BLS.
  
  What would have happened if the effect of making the change would have 
  made the deficit worse?  I really don't know the answer.
  
  More generally, Mark's point is that, with the CPI as a price index, 
  there is no real reason to modify it in the direction of a Konus cost 
  of living index.  The trouble with this is that it is used as if it 
  really were a cost of living index.  It computes inflation adjustments 
  in union contracts, social security, tax brackets, etc.  If the CPI is 
  to be interred as merely a price index, it will have to be 
  supplemented with a cost of living index.  Thus the problem does not 
  go away simply by noting the (numerous) BLS statements that the CPI is 
  really a price index.

 
 True enough, but the problem is that any attempts to modify it *will* lead 

 to a lower CPI, with the regressive effects I mentioned above; and it will 

 not necessarily make the CPI any more accurate as a measure of the cost of 

 living. There are two reasons that will assure this result. One is the 
fact 
 that neoclassical microeconomics makes this arbitrary distinction, as 
noted 
 above and in my last post, between substitution effects and the other 
 changes, many of which would raise the CPI. Perhaps more importantly, the 
 political pressures are all in one direction, which is to lower the CPI.
   This can be seen with embarassing clarity in the Boskin Commission 
 report, a complete piece of slop that literally made up a good chunk of 
its 
 estimates to come up with the conclusion that the CPI overstates 
inflation. 
 
 Here's a nice sample of their methodology for those who haven't had the 
 privilege of reading it:
 
 "How much would a consumer pay to have the privilege of choosing from the 
 variety of items available in today's supermarket instead of being 
 constrained to the much more limited variety available 30 years ago? A 
 conservative estimate of the extra variety and convenience might be 10 
 percent for food consumed at home other than produce, 20 percent for 
produce 
 where the increased variety in winter (as well as summer farmers' markets) 

 has been so notable, and 5 percent for alcoholic beverages where imported 
 beer, microbreweries, and a greatly improved distribution of imported 
wines 
 from all over the world have improved the standard of living." 
 ("Toward  a More Accurate Measure of the Cost of Living," Final Report to 
 the Senate Finance Committee for the Advisory Commission To Study the 
 Consumer Price Index. p.41-42 Washington, December 4, 1996)
 
 These numbers, which came straight out of the Commission members' heads-- 
no 
 survey research, nothing-- were then added to their estimate of the 
 overstatement.
 
 More importantly, what the Commission basically did was to look for 
 everything that could pos

[PEN-L:9493] RE: geometric-mean CPI

1997-04-14 Thread Mark Weisbrot


This is a point that most economists outside of pen-l  will not be 
able to understand (and perhaps this is why Dave Richardson recommends that 
those fighting the CPI revisions should focus on sources of downward bias), 
but there is no legitimate, logically consistent reason for attempting to 
measure substitution effects in the CPI. The CPI is a *price* index, not a 
cost of living index. Conceptually, there is no difference between trying to 

measure substitution effects, and trying to measure how every other economic 

change that occurs with growth, relative price changes, changing consumption 

patterns, changes in income distribution, etc. affects people's well-being. 

In other words, once you get away from simply trying to measure how 
the price of a fixed bundle of goods changes over time, and into estimating 
the subjective "utility" derived by consumers as their consumption patterns 
change in response to price changes, there is no logical or conceptual 
reason to measure a substitution effect but not look at how all these other 
changes affect the cost of living. I think Dave is saying the same thing 
when he mentions the automobile and telephone as goods that have become 
necessities for many people, when they were once luxuries. Neoclassical 
microeconomics does not generally recognize that the "utility" derived from 
an individual's consumption is dependent on other people's consumption 
patterns, so the neoclassical economists will not consider the changes that 
Dave suggests should be incorporated, in any attempt to make the CPI more of 

a "true" cost of living index (which is the alleged intent of the proposed 
changes).

There are a number of other logical and conceptual errors in these 
efforts to "fix" the Consumer Price Index-- especially the Boskin 
Commission's hack job; those who want more detail can see Dean Baker's 
latest book on the subject. Now for the practical implications, the 
reporting on the BLS geometric mean experimental index has been very 
misleading, creating the impression that there is .25 percentage points just 
out there that are ripe for the taking. This serves the interests of Clinton 
and those in Congress who want to substitute a lower measure for the CPI.  
Whereas the BLS will not find anything near that (Dave you can correct me if 
I am wrong) if and when they do actually try incorporate these changes into 
the CPI.

But I still think that, whatever the motivation of the BLS in trying 
to measure the substitution effects-- and I haven't seen any evidence that 
it is a result of political pressure-- the decision to do so is, in the 
sense described above, political. That is, it is arbitrary from a 
logical/conceptual point of view, and will result in a lower measured rate 
of inflation-- which will reduce Federal benefits as well as future real 
wage gains. Fortunately, it will probably end up being a pretty small cut, 
if it's left to the BLS.

Cheers,

Mark

-
Name: Mark Weisbrot
E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Preamble Center for Public Policy
1737 21st Street NW
Washington DC 20009
(202) 265-3263 (offc)
(202) 333-6141 (home)
fax: (202)265-3647

--- On Mon, 14 Apr 1997 10:37:47 -0700 (PDT)  Richardson_D 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Jim Devine is concerned that the move to the geomean may be largely 
 political (see below).
 
 The argument in favor of the geomean is based largely on the idea that 
 in the Laspeyres framework we are implicitly assuming a Leontieff 
 (rectangular) utility function and an elasticity of substitution (ES) 
 of 0.0.  This has the implication that commodities must be consumed in 
 exact proportions regardless of relative prices.
 
 The geometric mean implicitly assumes a Cobb-Douglas utility function 
 with ES=1.0.  In this case the share of income devoted to each 
 commodity is unchanged and the deleterious effect of a price increase 
 can be mitigated by substituting items whose prices have not risen.
 
 The idea of substitution as a possibility seems plausible to most 
 people.  A more promising tack in this debate is to concentrate on 
 possible sources of downward bias in the index.  For example, as 
 technology advances certain products may become necessities.  The most 
 common examples are the telephone and the automobile.  As 
 "technological progress" has the result of lower density development 
 and declining public transportation, more or less up to date modes of 
 transportation and communication tend to become necessities, thus 
 increasing the cost of living.  This effect may not be picked up in 
 the CPI.
 
 Dave Richardson
 
 --
 Sent: Monday, April 14, 1997 11:58 AM
 Subject:  [PEN-L:9478] geometric-mean CPI
 
 besides the obvious political advantages of using the geometric-mean 
 CPI
 (lowering the budget deficit), is there any _theoretical_ reason why 
 it is
 superior to 

[PEN-L:9312] Re: Noam Chomsky on p.1 of NY Times today...

1997-04-02 Thread Mark Weisbrot


--- On Tue, 1 Apr 1997 10:24:23 -0800 (PST)  [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Mark Weisbrot writes,
 
 I haven't seen anything like this on the front page of the NYT for at 
least
 20 years. I think the end of the cold war is finally opening some space 
in
 the media for some truth on these matters. It is very limited, of course,
 but it appears to be a qualitative change.
 
 I'm not convinced. The U.S. media have before been willing to air *past*
 errors and mistakes (sic) of U.S. foreign policy, but only long after the
 struggles in question had been resolved and the revelations could be
 quickly consigned to the dustbin of history. This seems to be more of the
 same. Look what happened when the SJ Mercury broke the story on Contra 
drug
 running. All the mainstream media rallied around the flag quicker than you
 could say "communist propaganda."

You're right about the pattern of admitting horrible crimes of the US 
government, in passing, after they are long past. But this article was a 
little different. First, the US intervention in Yeltsin's election is not 
exactly ancient history. Second, the *theme* of this article was that it is  
hypocritical for the US to make such a big deal about Chinese interference 
in the our election, given the history of US foreign policy. Third, it was 
placed on the front page, when normally such criticism would get only token 
representation on the op-ed pages, at best.

It is by these criteria that I cannot think of anything similar in the last 
20 years of NYT reporting.  Can anyone else think of anything? (I am 
thinking of Seymour Hersh's reporting, in 1975, on the CIA's role in Chile 
as perhaps comparable-- but even this was breaking news from the Church 
committee hearings, etc.).

The only reason I brought it up is that some of our friends on the left have 
a tendency to overlook the small but significant little clearings in the 
ideological fog that have begun since the end of the Cold War. While it is 
most important to emphasize, in light of the prevailing consensus, that the 
Cold War was first and foremost an excuse for everything evil that the US 
government wanted to do in the world, it is also true that intellectuals and 
other servants of the Cold War order actually *believed* to a large extent 
that they were helping to save the world from Communism. The loss of this 
element of the liberal intelligensia's belief system renders it vulnerable 
to change.

It is easy to overlook these openings in light of the fact that the present 
period is also in which not only capitalism itself reigns unchallenged as 
perhaps never before in its history, but even worse, the worship of markets 
and the weakening of social democratic reform efforts are also at historic 
record-breaking levels. It thus appears that we have merely gone from the 
frying pan into the fire.

But that's only half the story. The other half is that they have lost a huge 
part of the ideological glue that held it all together. The foreign 
"enemy-of-the-month" (Iraq, Iran, Libya, etc.), welfare recipients, 
immigrants, or other domestic scapegoats are very poor substitutes. The 
little changes in reporting by the corporate media are just one 
manifestation of this phenomenon.

How's that for "optimism of the will?"

Let the ruling class tremble,


Mark Weisbrot


-----
Name: Mark Weisbrot
E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Preamble Center for Public Policy
1737 21st Street NW
Washington DC 20009
(202) 265-3263 (offc)
(202) 333-6141 (home)
fax: (202)265-3647








[PEN-L:9286] Re: Noam Chomsky on p.1 of NY Times today...

1997-04-01 Thread Mark Weisbrot

I haven't seen anything like this on the front page of the NYT for at least 
20 years. I think the end of the cold war is finally opening some space in 
the media for some truth on these matters. It is very limited, of course, 
but it appears to be a qualitative change. 

In the same vein, the Washington Post (Sunday, March 30, pC2) ran a very 
honest and truthful op-ed piece which detailed the terrible role of the US 
in Zaire. The article is a nice political critique of "When We Were Kings," 
(which is still a very good documentary, IMHO), and a very appropriate 
critique, since the fight itself that the movie is centered around was 
apparently used successfully by Mobutu to gain legitimacy. It's by Steven R. 
Weissman, who is listed as a senior associate of the Carnegie Endowment for 
International Peace. I don't know much about this organzation, but I do 
remember they had some very bad people who lent ideological support to the 
war against Nicargua during the 80s. (If anyone wants to decribe them 
further, I am curious).

Peace,

Mark Weisbrot

--- On Mon, 31 Mar 1997 12:01:26 -0800 (PST)  Thad Williamson 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Well, not quite, but still quite a long article on front page of the Times
 today by John Broder called "Political Meddling of Outsiders: Not New for
 U.S." which plainly points out the hypocrisy of the current discussion re
 China's covert political campaigns in the U.S. Stops well short of 
fingering
 US complicity in genocides, of course, but still not bad; gives a big 
quote
 to Peter Kornbluh of the National Security Archives, a good radical. Does
 anyone know if Broder is a new or old reporter there? Can we expect more 
of
 this?
 
 Nice to have a small and surprising ideological triumph on monday morning.
 
 Thad
 
 p.s. Nice to see some attention given, finally, to agriculutral workers,
 also on p.1
 Thad Williamson
 National Center for Economic and Security Alternatives (Washington)/
 Union Theological Seminary (New York)
 212-531-1935
 http://www.northcarolina.com/thad
 

---End of Original Message-

-
Name: Mark Weisbrot
E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Preamble Center for Public Policy
1737 21st Street NW
Washington DC 20009
(202) 265-3263 (offc)
(202) 333-6141 (home)
fax: (202)265-3647








[PEN-L:9099] New book on Boskin Commission and CPI

1997-03-24 Thread Mark Weisbrot


--- On Mon, 24 Mar 1997 18:46:02 +  Dean Baker 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 Warning: The Following is an Unpaid Commerical Advertisement
 
 
 In December of 1996, the Boskin Commission released its report on
 the accuracy of the Consumer Price Index. The Commission concluded that 
the
 CPI overstates the true increase in the cost-of-living by 1.1 percentage
 points annually. Since its release, this report has been widely used as a
 justification for reducing the cost-of-living adjustment for Social 
Security
 and other indexed programs such as food stamps and the earned income tax
 credit. Income tax brackets are also indexed to the CPI. Therefore a lower
 measured rate of inflation would lower the bracket cut-offs, thereby 
raising
 taxes by pushing more income into higher brackets. The savings that would
 result from a recalculated CPI have made it an attractive political 
solution
 to the deficit.  
 
 A lower measured rate of inflation also changes the path of real
 wage growth. Many conservative economists are now arguing that the wage
 stagnation of the last two decades was simply a result of measurement 
error,
 that an accurately measured CPI would still show wages increasing at a
 substantial pace. In fact, accepting the Boskin Commission's conclusions
 would require re-writing virtually all of recent economic history. Clearly
 this debate has some serious consequences.
 
 I will be putting out a book this fall titled "Getting Prices 
Right:
 The Debate Over the Consumer Price Index". The book will consist of a 
short
 introduction framing the issues, the Boskin Commission's report
 (approximately 90 pages), my detailed response (approximately 100 pages),
 Senate testimony by Katherine Abraham, Barry Bosworth, and Martin 
Feldstein,
 and a comprehensive bibliography of work related to the issues raised in 
the
 CPI debate. The book should give a basic understanding of all the key
 issues. It is written at a level where it should be accessible to 
Washington
 policy wonk types, which means it should be usable in intermediate or 
upper
 level undergraduate classes. My essay includes more than twenty user
 friendly graphs, which should help stave off narcolepsy.
 
 The following is the index from my essay:
 
 
 Overview
 
 Section 1: The Implications of the Boskin Commission's Conclusions 
 
   1.1 The CPI in Economics
   1.2 The CPI in Economic Policy
 
 Section 2: The Evidence For an Overstated CPI
 
   2.1 Substitution Bias
   2.2 Retail Outlet Substitution Bias
   2.3 New Goods and Quality Bias
   2.31 The Boskin Commission Estimate 
   2.31a Introspection
   2.31b Misinterpreted Research Findings
   2.31c Questionable Extrapolations
   2.31d Ignoring Changes in BLS Procedures
   2.31e Misidentifying the Composition of the CPI
   2.32 Summing Up: Is There Evidence for Quality and New Goods 
Bias?   
 
 Section 3: Is Inflation the Same For Everyone?
 
 Section 4: The CPI Compared With a Cost of Living Index
 
 Section 5: Conclusion: Is the CPI the Best Measure of Inflation? 
 
 
 Appendix 1: The Record on Adjusting for CPI Bias in Research by Commission
 Members
 
 Appendix 2: Selected List of Quality Adjustments in New Cars Related to
 Durability Since 1992
 
  
 The book will be published by M.E. Sharpe and will be available in time 
for
 the fall semester. (I believe the price is $18.00). If anyone wants more
 info, they contact me at "[EMAIL PROTECTED]".
 
 

---End of Original Message-

-
Name: Mark Weisbrot
E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Preamble Center for Public Policy
1737 21st Street NW
Washington DC 20009
(202) 265-3263 (offc)
(202) 333-6141 (home)
fax: (202)265-3647








[PEN-L:9052] grad programs in international development

1997-03-20 Thread Mark Weisbrot

A friend of mine is looking for a master's program in International 
Development (perhaps International Relations is ok). She had been doing good 
anti-imperialist organizing in the US and would like to continue this kind 
of work, just wants a program that would further her education in a way that 
would be helpful at a practical level.

I really didn't know what to recommend. Anyone have any suggestions?
If you do, please send them to me at

[EMAIL PROTECTED]

Thanks in advance,

Mark
-
Name: Mark Weisbrot
E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Preamble Center for Public Policy
1737 21st Street NW
Washington DC 20009
(202) 265-3263 (offc)
(202) 333-6141 (home)
fax: (202)265-3647








[PEN-L:7948] free breakfast at ASSA mtgs

1996-12-23 Thread Mark Weisbrot

There may be no free lunch for economists, but there is a free breakfast at 
the ASSA meetings. Okay, so it's kinda early, but you get to hear Dean Baker 

blab about the CPI.
Actually it's a pretty interesting story, despite the hour and the  
technicalities of double counting, etc. Dean has been in the thick of the 
battle to beat back the Boskin Commission's attempt to force a revision of 
the CPI, and the tide is finally turning our way. 

Here's the announcement:


The AFL-CIO will be having a breakfast at the ASSA meetings:

Sunday, January 5

7 a.m.- 8 a.m.

Fairmont Hotel, Grand Ballroom, New Orleans.


Dean Baker of the Economic Policy Institute will speak on the topic of

"Does the CPI Really Overstate Inflation?"


Complimentary continental breakfast will be served.
-----
Name: Mark Weisbrot
E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Preamble Center for Public Policy
1737 21st Street NW
Washington DC 20009
(202) 265-3263 (offc)
(202) 333-6141 (home)
fax: (202)265-3647






[PEN-L:7485] more science still (just can't get enough)

1996-11-19 Thread Mark Weisbrot


--- On Mon, 18 Nov 1996 22:02:15 -0800 (PST)  Ajit Sinha 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

Mark Weisbrot said: 
I can't tell you how many times I have heard pomo 
scholars assert such things as, e.g., we don't know any more about the 
physical universe than we did 5000 years ago. Needless to say, this 
undermines their credibility, and the credibility of the academic left in 
general, on more directly relevant political issues.
__
But on what *ground* you could say *more*, Mark? That is the question. How
do you respond to Levi-Strauss' thesis in the 'Savage Mind'? 

Haven't read that thesis, please explain if you think it is important to 
this discussion.

But I will respond to your other question-- I will assume for now it is a 
serious question and not merely rhetorical. For me the *ground* is a whole 
body of knowledge about the physical universe that has been accumulated, a 
small part of which I have studied. One does not need to subscribe to a 
positivist methodolgy, or naive conceptions of science as idelogically 
neutral, or be imperialist, etc. to recognize that through a process of 
observation, constructing theories, and using logic, that we gain knowledge 
about the world. (I have deliberately left out experimentation, hypothesis 
testing, and prediction because I believe it also possible to gain 
knowledge-- more tentative and with more difficulty-- in the social 
sciences, without being able to manipulate the independent variable, 
predict, etc.). Of course this knowledge is colored by ideology, limited by 
the historical period, and so on, and many things we believe to be true 
today will later turn out to be false. It is also true that people have 
committed great crimes against humanity, based on beliefs they held to be 
true. But none of these are compelling reasons to throw out the concepts of 
truth or falsity, however much we may want to temper our beliefs with the 
appropriate degree of scepticism and modesty, as well as tolerance.
By now most people on pen-l have probably tuned out this whole 
discussion, since most of us have long ago made up our minds at least on the 
epistemological questions raised here. I don't blame them. Also I'd be 
willing to bet than no one following this discussion will change their minds 
very much.
So why am I wasting my time (and yours) on this? To me the main 
importance is that pomo (relativist) epistemology is indeed the dominant 
epistemology among the academic left (in at least the humanities) today. I 
share Doug's concern that this is how most young minds are being introduced 
to critical thinking at the universities. It is an unnecessary handicap for 
an intellectual left that is already marginalized. It is also very often 
part of the default world view that students assimilate from mass culture 
and journalism. That is, they are very comfortable dismissing left analyses 
of events as just "a matter of opinion," to be chosen, --according to one's 
tastes, without regard to logic or historical evidence-- from among the 
various offerings.
So I guess the best that could come of this discussion is that those 
who are teaching and otherwise participating in the academic world, and who 
have rejected this part of the pomo world view-- I would bet it is the 
overwhelming majority on this list-- might challenge it a little more often. 
I wouldn't make it a huge battle or anything, and I think it is best to keep 
some politeness here, because I think the pomo-academic left is still making 
a significant net positive contribution. I like to look at some of the 
jargon-filled discourse as a form of poetry, and its practitioners as 
progressive artists and poets who write primarily for each other, but still 
radicalize students who sometimes do good political work (as do some of the 
professors). Their poetry and subculture contains important elements of 
truth that are both political and radical.
As an aside to Doug, who described Chomsky as "more anti-pomo than I 
[Doug] am," the few remarks that I have heard him make about pomo were 
rather dismissive, but not hostile. As I remember it, he said something like 
there were a lot of smart people among the pomos who had some interesting 
things to say, but unfortunately they had to dress it up in impenetrable 
verbiage for professional reasons.  
-
Name: Mark Weisbrot
E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Preamble Center for Public Policy
1737 21st Street NW
Washington DC 20009
(202) 265-3263 (offc)
(202) 333-6141 (home)
fax: (202)265-3647






[PEN-L:7461] Re: more science!

1996-11-18 Thread Mark Weisbrot



A theoretical problem: if there is no truth, only provisional 
constructions
of truth, and if there is no master narrative, but only a polyphony of
local narratives and situated knowledges, than how can you criticize the
official (celebratory) version of history as "false"?

Doug

I have no trouble criticizing theories for their effects, without needing
to argue that they are false. Look at NC theory. I can argue compellingly
(my previously brainwashed students all or mostly think so) that NC theory
contributes to a stream of inequities and miseries of all sorts and is
generally a "bad," without any need to say that it is wrong or false or
inaccurate.

Blair



I think it's a huge mistake to give up making truth claims about the world. 
In the example you cite, the student (or NC economist) can simply respond by 
saying, ok, maybe the theory does justify various inequities, etc., but it 
is true. In which case you are stuck. Because if it is true, then the 
neoclassical policy prescriptions are the best we can do. Many arguments 
about social change in general, especially in the classroom, quickly boil 
down to differences about the validity of underlying assumptions or 
theories-- these days, more often than neoclassical economics it is  
sociobiology ("human nature") at the core of conservative arguments. It's 
not enough to say that you don't like the implications of their underlying 
theory-- if you can't challenge the veracity of it, you will find yourself 
in a very weak position against anyone who can carry out a logical argument. 
This is one of the big drawbacks of of pomo epistemology that I referred to 
earlier.

-----
Name: Mark Weisbrot
E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Preamble Center for Public Policy
1737 21st Street NW
Washington DC 20009
(202) 265-3263 (offc)
(202) 333-6141 (home)
fax: (202)265-3647






[PEN-L:7439] more science!

1996-11-17 Thread Mark Weisbrot

I would like to think that the traditional left has had as much of an 
influence on the academy as the pomos have, but it doesn't seem to be true.
Noam Chomsky, whose critique of pomo I agree with, has had a pretty small 
audience for his political writings. Until the recent pamphlets published by 
Odonian press, his largest-selling book was "The Manufacture of Consent," 
(co-authored with Ed Herman). This book sold about 25,000 copies. This is 
very sad but true, and I think if it weren't for his academic superstardom 
in linguistics, he wouldn't have gotten as far as he did. It is very 
difficult in this society to speak the unvarnished truth to power and get a 
hearing, either inside or outside of academia. So while it may be true that 
Chomsky as an individual has "done more to popularize such critical thinking 
in the U.S. than any professor of identity ever has," the same is not true 
for the intellectual current that Chomsky represents versus that represented 
by pomo-- at least in the last couple of decades. Hundreds of thousands of 
college students who will never hear of Chomsky will get their introduction 
to at least some aspects of critical thinking through pomo courses and 
pomo-trained instructors.
The comparison with Chomsky is a good one though, for illustrating a 
couple of points. One is that the pomos have been able to establish 
themselves in academia partly *because* they have developed an inpenetrable 
jargon that serves (as does most of the math in economics) to insulate them 
from criticism of the non-initiated. Chomsky, on the other hand, in order to 
write books on politics, has had to pursue a second career of scholarship 
(in addition to having become one of the most cited authors in history in 
the course of his first career), which most of us are not capable of 
managing.
Back when deconstruction was the rage, I used to ask my pomo friends 
why they needed all that jargon, when Chomsky was doing a fine job 
"deconstructing" all sorts of horrible institutions (and language), without 
any of it. I never got much of an answer.
The other comparison with Chomsky speaks to Doug's second point: the 
idea of "a polyphony of local narratives and situated knowledges" is much 
less threatening to academics then having to tell them they are flat out 
wrong about some really obvious phenomena in the real world. This is another 
reason for pomo success in the academic world, and I think from a 
sociology-of-knowledge standpoint, a big reason for the staying power of 
their relativist epistemology.  



  
--- On Sun, 17 Nov 1996 14:03:06 -0800 (PST)  Doug Henwood 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

At 7:06 PM 11/16/96, Mark Weisbrot wrote:

IMHO, the pomos have made a major positive contribution by
transforming a large part of the humanities' undergraduate curriculum, to
the point where it is now common for freshman comp. courses to question 
such
"myths" as American democracy, equality of opportunity, etc.

Did the pomos do this? Really? Old-fashioned lefties have been trying to do
this for decades without the benefit of having read Of Grammatology. Noam
Chomsky, who is probably more anti-pomo than I am even, has done more to
popularize such critical thinking in the U.S. than any professor of
identity ever has.

A theoretical problem: if there is no truth, only provisional constructions
of truth, and if there is no master narrative, but only a polyphony of
local narratives and situated knowledges, than how can you criticize the
official (celebratory) version of history as "false"?


Doug

--

Doug Henwood
Left Business Observer
250 W 85 St
New York NY 10024-3217
USA
+1-212-874-4020 voice
+1-212-874-3137 fax
email: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
web: http://www.panix.com/~dhenwood/LBO_home.html



-End of Original Message-----

-
Name: Mark Weisbrot
E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Preamble Center for Public Policy
1737 21st Street NW
Washington DC 20009
(202) 265-3263 (offc)
(202) 333-6141 (home)
fax: (202)265-3647






[PEN-L:7428] more science!

1996-11-16 Thread Mark Weisbrot

I have been hesitant to get involved in the pomo debate, for fear of causing 


offense, and also because I have more mixed feelings than Doug does about 
the contribution of the whole trend to the academy, and by extension,to 
politics. IMHO, the pomos have made a major positive contribution by 
transforming a large part of the humanities' undergraduate curriculum, to 
the point where it is now common for freshman comp. courses to question such 


"myths" as American democracy, equality of opportunity, etc. 
On the other hand they have appropriated a terrible weakness for 
themselves, which spills over some to the rest of the left. This is the 
relativist epistemology that now prevails among graduate students in the 
humanities, and pomo circles generally. Doug argues that pomos "deny there's 

a physical reality independent of human observation," but I think it would 
be more accurate to say they deny that we can ever know anything about it. 
It is of course impossible to be consistent with this position, so for some 
pomos this is just a core belief (like a very abstract belief in God, for 
example) that does not affect their politics very much. They continue to 
make arguments, use logic and evidence, and argue for the "truth"-- with a 
small "t" as they are fond of saying-- of their positions, just as an 
ordinary, non-pomo leftist would. But others, especially when they are 
trying to be more consistent with their relativist epistemology, will say 
things that anyone who is not trained in this tradition can see as absurd, 
and this is a liablility. I can't tell you how many times I have heard pomo 
scholars assert such things as, e.g., we don't know any more about the 
physical universe than we did 5000 years ago. Needless to say, this 
undermines their credibility, and the credibility of the academic left in 
general, on more directly relevant political issues.
To take a recent and less blatant example, there was an op-ed piece 
in the NYT not too long ago, attacking the national history standards from 
the right, for deviating from the official story. The argument the author 
chose to attack was the predominant, pomo-influenced argument-- i.e., 
American history looks different from 
the point of view of Native Americans, slaves, etc. I couldn't help feeling 
that the left was on more solid ground when we had revisionist historians 
like William Appleman Williams, or-- someone who continues in the non-pomo 
left tradition, Noam Chomsky-- making our case. These folks would (and do) 
argue that the traditional American history is false and distorted, and-- 
while fully appreciating the subtleties and difficulties in understanding 
any historical period or events-- put forward an alternative version which 
is not only more valid from the point of view of the oppressed, but is more 
consistent with  principles and values that are nearly universally held to 
be true, even by our adversaries. These arguments are more difficult to 
dismiss. (It also helps that people like Chomsky avoid needless jargon, but 
that is another issue).


Name: Mark Weisbrot
E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Preamble Center for Public Policy
1737 21st Street NW
Washington DC 20009
(202) 265-3263 (offc)
(202) 333-6141 (home)
fax: (202)265-3647







[PEN-L:7038] Krugman-- one more shot

1996-10-30 Thread Mark Weisbrot

Krugman wrote a terrible and uncritical review of Pete Peterson's
latest garbage on social security in the NYT book review on Sunday,
Oct. 20 (I missed some pen-l around then so I don't know if anyone
has already discussed this).  Anyway, among other stupidities he
blindly accepts Peterson's conflation of Social Security and Medicare,
which allows the granny-bashers to pretend as though the crisis of the
*private* health care system (which drives Medicare costs) is 
a demographic problem which somehow involves Social Security. This
was especially amusing in light of his recent response to Kuttner
in the American Prospect, where he declares his contempt for people
who make "factual assertions that can be flatly disproved by spending
a few minutes with the Statistical Abstract of the United States and
a hand calculator."
How about the report of the trustees of the Social Security
trust fund? Maybe he should have looked at that.
It's also ironic that in light of Krugman's recent credentialism
as to who is a serious economist and who isn't, he should be 
completely snookered by Pete Peterson, an investment banker and 
propagandist with no known economic credentials (but a big personal
stake in the outcome of social security "reform.")
I couldn't resist poking fun at Krugman for this in my latest
column on Social Security (it's scheduled to appear in the Christian
Science Monitor this week).

Mark Weisbrot



[PEN-L:4332] EPI op-ed network

1996-05-17 Thread Mark Weisbrot

To all interested Pen-l members:


The Economic Policy Institute is putting together a group of
progressive economists to write opinion pieces for daily newspapers and
appear on talk radio programs across the country.  We are seeking academics
from across the nation who are willing to be part of a network of
progressive economists who are interested in popularizing economic issues.
You have been suggested as someone who may be interested in participating
in this endeavor.

The goal of this project is to provide media assistance to those
academics who are interested in having a greater impact on the op-ed pages
and the air waves in their local community, state, or region.  We would
like to assist in helping you write and place op-eds, and then promoting
you and the issue to talk radio programs.

Our Op-Ed Network will operate along the following lines:

_   Each month, EPI will assemble an information packet (see enclosed
sample) on a topical economic issue.  The packet will include the
following:

_ Fact Sheet - suggesting points to include in an Op-Ed and
potential news hooks
_ EPI Issue Brief - a three-page brief on the topic
_ other EPI published materials on the topic
_ related materials

_   Members of the network will then draft an Op-Ed and forward it to
EPI for:

_ substantive editing
_ style editing
_ placement assistance

While we will send out information packets monthly, how frequently
you write an op-ed obviously depends on your schedule.  The network will
follow the structure above with an eye toward getting "ahead of the curve"
on issues and giving you some lead time.  However, some topical issues
cannot be predicted in advance; therefore, we may occasionally send out
additional materials on breaking news or time-sensitive information.  In
addition, we encourage members to write additional op-eds on topics other
than those we suggest, and we will be happy to assist in editing and
placement on these enterprising pieces.

When an op-ed is published, we would use that clip to book you on
talk radio programs.  Depending upon your availability, we would also want
to call on you periodically to do talk radio programs pertaining to your
area of expertise.




We currently have a growing, active network of regular op-ed
writers that includes Jeff Faux, Robert Kuttner, Julianne Malveaux, David
Kusnet, and Richard Rothstein. This month, EPI is launching an effort to
expand this network of active op-ed writers.

If you are interested in participating in this network, please call
me at 202-331-5546. Also, please call if you will not be able to
participate and you would like your name removed from the materials mailing
list.

I hope you will consider taking part.

Sincerely,


Nan Gibson
Communications Director
Economic Policy Institute
(202) 331-5546
e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Mark Weisbrot
2501 Q Street NW, #111
Washington DC 20007
(202) 333-6141
e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]




[PEN-L:4333] TIAA-CREF update

1996-05-17 Thread Mark Weisbrot

Pen-l members:

Some of you may recall a proposed shareholder resolution for TIAA-CREF (the
world's largest pension fund), which would require the
trustees to actively work to place limits on executive
compensation in corporations in which they hold a financial
interest.
It looks like it will appear on the ballot this fall, although we
are still a little nervous that they could scuttle it. So if anyone
who is a member of this fund is on the list and would like to call
and check up on the status of the resolution, this would be a very
good thing to do. The person to call (or fax) is:

Albert J. Wilson
Vice President and Chief Counsel, Corporate Secretary
TIAA-CREF
phone:  212  916-4259
fax:  212 916-6231

I have attached the latest version of the proposed resolution, which
apparently meets the legal requirements.

I think this has at least some chance of passing, and if it does,
many stomachs will be upset in high places.

Cheers,

Mark Weisbrot


Secretary, Board of Overseers
TIAA-CREF
730 3rd Ave.
New York, NY 10017-3206


To the Secretary:

I would like to propose the following resolution be put up for a
vote in the next proxy ballot sent out to members of TIAA-CREF:


TIAA-CREF shall work to have limits placed on individual executive
compensation packages in any corporation in which it holds an equity
interest. The target for these limits should be 150 times the median annual
wage in the economy (presently approxiamtely $3,000,000). This limit is to
include salaries, benefits, bonuses, and the value upon redemption of any
stock options included in a compensation package. The excess value of
redeemed stock options (averaged over the years for which they were earned)
can revert back to the corporation.


TIAA-CREF should attempt to have such limits imposed through
discussions with corporation officers and directors, and other
shareholders, and through proposing and supporting proxy resolutions to
this effect. It should report back to members each year on its progress in
its annual report.


There are several reasons why this proposal should be approved.
First, executive compensation comes directly out of revenue that otherwise
could provide an additional return to shareholders. Compensation for top
executive officers has grown far more rapidly than for other types of
workers over the last two decades. Since there is no reason to believe that
the demand for the skills of these executives has increased dramatically
relative to other occupations, or that the supply of these skills has
decreased, this relative increase is most likely attributable to a market
failure. Specifically, the shareholders of firms have failed thus far to
place sufficient downward pressure on the compensation of these officers.
Since the compensation of top executive officers vastly exceeds the
compensation for other occupations requiring comparable levels of skill, a
concerted effort by major shareholders can lead to lower compensation
levels without any reduction in the quality of the performance of these
officers.

Second, in the long-run compensation caps will probably lead firms
to be more productive, since workers will feel more committed to a firm if
they believe they are being treated fairly. The enormous degree of
inequality at present almost certainly undermines any sense of loyalty and
commitment among lower paid workers. It is worth noting in this respect,
that the degree of inequality between executive officers and other workers
is far lower in every other western nation.


Third, the high salaries available to corporate executive officers
are increasingly affecting salary structures in other institutions. The
institutions where this is most directly relevant is at colleges and
universities. Compensation packages for college and university presidents
have risen far more rapidly than the average compensation levels for the
faculty as a whole. These compensation packages are justified by reference
to the high compensation received by corporate executives. The same
situation has arisen in other institutions, including at TIAA-CREF itself.
If some discipline can be placed on compensation packages for top corporate
executives, it would place downward pressure on the pay of the top officers
in other institutions that directly affect the lives of TIAA-CREF members.







Sincerely,



Dean Baker




Mark Weisbrot
2501 Q Street NW, #111
Washington DC 20007
(202) 333-6141
e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]




[PEN-L:3961] CPI (from Dean Baker)

1996-04-25 Thread Mark Weisbrot
. This places the median family
income in 1960 and 1953 at 113% and 80% of the 1994 poverty level,
respectively. The high bias index implies that the median family income in
1960 and 1953 measured in 1994 dollars was $14,384 and $9,600,
respectively. By this measure, median family income in 1960 was less than
95% of the 1994 poverty level. Median family income in 1953 was just 63% of
the 1994 poverty level. Figure 1 shows the path of real family median
income deflated by these two indexes since 1953.

* The existence of a large bias in the CPI would have a significant impact
on current policy priorities. In particular, the current concern about
generational equity with reference to the well-being of future generations
would be turned on its head. Figure 2 shows the path of the average real
wage through the year 2070, adjusting the Social Security Administration's
projections in accordance with the Boskin Commission's estimates of the
bias in the CPI. The 1995 median income for a family over 65 is given as a
reference point.


Mark Weisbrot
2501 Q Street NW, #111
Washington DC 20007
(202) 333-6141
e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]




[PEN-L:3591] Support Striking Workers at Yale

1996-04-02 Thread Mark Weisbrot

Date: Sat, 30 Mar 1996 10:15:26 -0500 (EST)
From: Jennifer C Berkshire [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Support Striking Workers at Yale
MIME-Version: 1.0



-- Forwarded message --

Dear progressive faculty member:
Massachusetts Jobs with Justice is collecting as many signatures as
possible for the following letter which will be presented to the Yale
Administration. If you would like to sign on, please send a short message
to [EMAIL PROTECTED] indicating your name, title, and your institution.
If you would like more information about how you can become a part of
JWJ's Academic Committee for Workplace Justice (and build solidarity
between labor and academia without ever leaving your office,) let me know.

Just a reminder--the striking workers at Yale have no strike fund and are
depending upon our solidarity. If you would like to make a donation,
please send a check to the University Chaplain's Hardship Fund, P.O. Box
209078 New Haven, CT  06520-9078.

Thanks for your support!
In solidarity,
Jennifer Berkshire
[EMAIL PROTECTED]


AN OPEN LETTER TO THE ADMINISTRATION OF YALE UNIVERSITY

We, the undersigned, wish to express our deep concern regarding Yale
University's failure to bargain in good faith with its clerical,
technical, service, and graduate employees. We also wish to make clear
our opposition to the administration's proposals which provoked the union
to strike in the first place:  unlimited subcontracting of union jobs and
massive cuts in retirement benefits.

As faculty members at universities all over the country, we are keenly
aware that the outcome of the situation at Yale will set the stage for
the future of labor relations on other campuses. We do not share Yale's
vision of the future. All university employees, whether food service
workers or full professors, deserve to be treated with dignity and
respect, receiving adequate compensation and benefits for the work they
perform. We urge you to negotiate seriously with the members of Locals 34
and 35.


Mark Weisbrot
2501 Q Street NW, #111
Washington DC 20007
(202) 333-6141
(202) 965-0830 (day)
fax: (202) 965-0831
e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]




[PEN-L:3113] All TIAA-CREF members please read!

1996-02-22 Thread Mark Weisbrot

 Fellow TIAA-CREFERs, 
 
  I sent the proposal below and accompanying justification to
 the Board of TIAA-CREF, to be considered for their next proxy
 statement. The purpose is to have TIAA-CREF work towards placing
 serious restrictions on the compensation of top corporate
 executives. At present CEOs of major corporations often earn more
 than $10 million per year, and sometimes more than $100 million per year.
 There is no justification for such outrageous salaries.
 
  To have this proposal accepted as a ballot resolution the
 Board has to be convinced that this issue would be of interest to
 TIAA-CREF members. Some supporting letters would be very helpful in this
 respect. I would appreciate any letters that people could send to the Board
 at the following address:   
 
  Secretary, Board of Overseers
  TIAA-CREF
  730 3rd Ave.
  New York, NY 10017-3206
 
 Also any help in circulating this note via computer networks, fax, or more
 primitive means would also be greatly appreciated.
 
 
Thanks,
 
Dean Baker
Economic Policy Institute 
1660 L St., NW
Washington, DC 20036
   (e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]) 
 
 
 
  TIAA-CREF should actively work to have limits placed on
 individual executive compensation packages in any corporation in
 which it holds a financial interest. This limit should not exceed
 150 times the median annual wage in the U.S. economy (currently
 about $20,000 per year). This limit is to include salaries,
 benefits, bonuses, and the value upon redemption of any stock
 options included in a compensation package. The value of the latter can be
 averaged over the years for which it was earned (rather than just the year
 of redemption). The amount by which redeemed stock options push average
 compensation over this limit should revert back to the corporation. 
 
  TIAA-CREF should attempt to have such limits imposed through
 discussions with corporation officers and directors, and other
 shareholders, and through proposing and supporting proxy
 resolutions to this effect. It should report back to members each
 year on its progress in having such limits accepted in its annual
 report. 
 
  There are several reasons why this proposal should be in the
 interest of TIAA-CREF members. First, and most obviously, executive
 compensation comes directly out of revenue that otherwise could provide an
 additional return to shareholders. Compensation for top executive officers
 has grown far more rapidly than compensation for other types of work other
 last two decades. Since there is no reason to believe that the demand for
 the skills of these executives has increased dramatically relative to other
 occupations, or that the supply of these skills has decreased dramatically,
 this rise in compensation is most likely attributable to a market failure.
 Specifically, the shareholders of firms have failed thus far to place
 sufficient downward pressure on the compensation of these officers. Since
 the compensation of top executive officers vastly exceeds the compensation
 for other occupations requiring comparable levels of skill, there is good
 reason to believe that a concerted effort by major shareholders can lead to
 lower compensation levels without any reduction in the quality of the
 performance of these officers.  
   
  A second reason to support executive compensation caps is that in the
 long-run it will probably lead firms to be more productive, since workers
 are likely to feel more committed to a firm if they believe they are being
 treated fairly. At present, some packages have become so bloated that the
 per hour compensation of a chief executive can exceed the yearly
 compensation of a typical worker. It is hard to believe that this degree of
 inequality can be consistent with a sense of fairness for workers. In the
 long-run this inequality would almost certainly undermine any sense of
 loyalty and commitment among workers. It is worth noting in this respect,
 that the degree of inequality between executive officers and other workers
 is far lower in every other western nation. 
 
 
  A third reason why TIAA-CREF members should support this
 resolution is that the high salaries available to corporate
 executive officers are increasingly affecting salary structures in other
 institutions. The institutions where this is most directly relevant is at
 colleges and universities. Compensation packages for college and university
 presidents have risen far more rapidly than the average compensation levels
 for the faculty as a whole. These compensation packages are often justified
 by reference to the high compensation received by corporate executives. The
 same situation has arisen in other institutions, including at 

[PEN-L:2682] Mexican Congress Statement

1996-01-30 Thread Mark Weisbrot


I was told that a large number (almost all) of Mexico's 
Congress signed a letter to the President denouncing the
government's policies. If this is true, does anyone know
where I can get hold of the text (Spanish or English)?

Mark Weisbrot
[EMAIL PROTECTED]




[PEN-L:1363] urgent request for informations

1995-11-11 Thread Mark Weisbrot

Comrades,

Anyone out there have any sources on privatization experiences,
especially in poorer countries? I have Brendan Martin's "In
the Public Interest?," which is good, but haven't found much
else. Any references to articles or books would be most appreciated,
as soon as possible.

Thanks in advance,

Mark Weisbrot
500 1/2  6th, #12
Charleston  IL 61920
(217) 345 4983
fax: (217) 581-5997
e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]



[PEN-L:1316] Re: Fed tightness

1995-11-08 Thread Mark Weisbrot

In response to Doug Henwood's posting: 

"Central banks in Japan  Europe are also quite tight,
considering the weakness of their economies. I think capital smells an
imminent total victory over labor, and will not let up until the task is
accomplished."

Is the Japanese Central Bank really pursuing a tight monetary
policy? Last time I looked they had short-term rates around
one per cent. But I haven't followed it enough to know what's
tight and what's expansionary by historical standards in the 
Japanese economy.

Also, I'm not sure what you mean about capital trying to win
a total victory against labor. It seems to me that the Fed has
an extremist view of inflation-- Greenspan and others on the 
Board have stated that they would like to see inflation at zero,
and I think if they could get away with it without jeopardizing 
the Fed's "independent" status they would probably wring the 
US economy thru a severe recession to actually get there. Of 
course they don't care at all about unemployment. But it's a 
little hard for me to believe that their main goal is really to
further weaken organized labor in the US at this particular moment in
history. I know Doug likes to minimize the differences
between finance and industrial capital over monetary policy, and
he may be right to do so, but it still seems to me that the Fed's behavior
is better explained as extreme inflation-hawkishness (for both ideological
reasons and the direct interests of the bondholders) than as part of a
co-ordinated attack on labor. I realize the two are often difficult to
distinguish, since the Fed's "sado-monetarism" obviously weakens labor,
and the Fed's official
propaganda sees inflation as originating in "excessive" wage
growth which then leads to a "wage-price spiral." But the distinction is
probably still worth making, because if it were all just part of the
assault of capital on labor, we would have no way to explain the
opposition to Fed policy by e.g. Chrysler, or NAM (which is most hostile
to labor). And also we want to understand
the Fed as an institution as best we can.

Also I think there is a typo here:

 "Measures of total compensation, which include fringe benefits, tell a
very different story  -down 2.7%, the worst performance since the series
began in 1980"

should be "up 2.7%."

Cheers,

Mark Weisbrot
500 1/2  6th, #12
Charleston  IL 61920
(217) 345 4983
fax: (217) 581-5997
e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]



[PEN-L:1251] Haiti SAP Alert

1995-11-06 Thread Mark Weisbrot


Pen-l-ers:

I am forwarding this message because I think it actually might
do some good, anyone with an organization or just individuals
calling Brian Atwood at USAID. They have overstepped their
bounds a bit here and could be persuaded to back off. If
anyone wants more info, you can contact me.

Mark Weisbrot
500 1/2  6th, #12
Charleston  IL 61920
(217) 345 4983
fax: (217) 581-5997
e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]


Forwarded message:
 From [EMAIL PROTECTED] Thu Nov  2 11:28:12 1995
 X-Sender: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Message-Id: v02120d02acbe4cdb890f@[136.152.68.87]
 Mime-Version: 1.0
 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii"
 X-Mailer: Eudora 2.1.2
 Date: Thu, 2 Nov 1995 10:30:47 +
 To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 From: Oxfam Advocacy [EMAIL PROTECTED] (by way of
  [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Peter Rosset))
 Subject: Haiti SAP Alert
 
 ACTION ALERT!
 
 HAITIANS RESIST STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT US REACTS BY WITHHOLDING AID
 
 In response to public outcry over privatization, the Haitian government
 last week refused to sign a World Bank loan agreement which would
 require implementation of a structural adjustment program.  In turn,
 USAID reversed its commitment to the Haitian government and is
 withholding $4.5 million in balance-of-payments support in order to
 pressure the Haitians to agree to the adjustment plan.
 
 The following letter is being sent to USAID and the international
 financial institutions. To sign on, please contact Lydia Williams at
 Oxfam America (include name of signer and org.) via phone
 (617/728-2409), fax (617/728-2596, or e-mail ([EMAIL PROTECTED]).
 The deadline 5 pm (est), THURSDAY, NOV 2.
 
 Also, please contact USAID today to demand that desperately-needed funds
 Haiti not be linked to acceptance of the structural adjustment plan:
 Brian Atwood, USAID Administrator phone:  (202)647-9620 fax:
 (202)647-0148
 
 -
 --
   SIGN ON LETTER TO IDB, IMF, WORLD BANK, AND USAID
 
 Dear [donor agency]:
 
   We, the undersigned US, non-governmental organizations, write to
 express our serious concern that pending decisions by international
 donor institutions are stifling democratic debate in Haiti.
 
   One year ago, the international community demonstrated its
 commitment to democracy by helping to restore the government of
 President Jean-Bertrand Aristide.  Following President Aristide's
 return, international donors conducted a Joint Assessment Mission to
 Haiti to determine what role they would play in the nation's
 reconstruction.
 
   In the report from the Mission, the donors determined that, in the
 past "international cooperation to Haiti has had two basic shortcomings:
 no impact and no sustainability."  Sustainability, it concluded,
 required Haitian society to "further build consensus on basic societal
 values and goals..."  As a first step, the Mission called for
 "increasing the link between communities and their elected officials, in
 order to increase the legitimacy of authority..." and "fostering of a
 dialogue with the government and the social sector which could lead to
 active participation of social organizations in national development
 strategies and programmes."
 
   Barely one year later, donor attempts to push through significant
 economic reforms belie these earlier commitments.  For example, with the
 parliamentary and local elections just completed, and the new parliament
 seated mere days ago, public debate about the privatization of
 state-owned industries and other fundamental economic issues is just
 beginning.  And yet, donors have already determined that privatization
 is a priority and will proceed along a certain course and timetable.
 This has led to public outcry and major disagreement within the
 government, resulting in the resignation of the prime minister.
 
   The situation raises two related concerns:  First, the donors seem
 to have patently dismissed the legitimate concerns of Haitian citizens
 vis a vis sovereignty, due process, and equity.  Secondly, donor
 agencies continue to use Haiti's urgent budget needs to force hasty
 acceptance of policies which will have a long-term impact on the Haitian
 people.
 
   Such pressure from donors can hardly be said to be supportive of
 democracy.  Nor are donor agencies doing their job in ensuring that
 information about their programs and policies is getting to the people
 who are supposedly the beneficiaries and, in the case of assistance from
 the multilateral banks, will be expected to repay the loans.
 
   Earlier this month, some of our organizations hosted a 13-member
 delegation of leaders of Haitian non-governmental and grassroots
 organizations.  The purpose of their trip was to collect information and
 meet face-to-face with multilateral development bank officials to begin
 the process of analyzin

[PEN-L:365] Privatization

1995-09-06 Thread Mark Weisbrot

If anyone has any good sources on the recent experience of privatization
of publicly owned enterprises-- decsriptions, critiques, alternatives,
struggles against privatizing, the role of IMF/WB in forcing them, etc.-- I
could sure use them as soon as possible.

You can send them directly to me if you want (unless other pen-l-ers
request posting).

Thanks in advance to all who respond; I will track down any 
citation I get.

Mark Weisbrot
(217) 345 4983
fax: (217) 581-5997
e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]



[PEN-L:5055] TIAA-CREF

1995-05-12 Thread Mark Weisbrot

Here's the latest from Dean Baker on the plan to attack
exorbitant executive salries thru TIAA-CREF.  Comments,
suggestions, and volunteers to help organize the effort
are welcome and needed.
 
 
 
 
 Comrades,
 
 I've been investigating the possibility of getting a proxy vote on
 the TIAA-CREF ballot for a resolution which would restrict the fund
 from investing in companies that give excessive executive
 compensation. Apparently, the only procedure involved is sending a
 letter to the Board of Overseers. They are supposed to make a
 decision based on whether they believe the measure is likely to
 have significant support from members. I suspect a good letter
 writing and e-mail campaign from PEN-L types and fellow travelors
 should pass the test. (Whether they respond fairly and actually put
 the measure up for a vote is another question, but we can at least
 start by assuming good faith.)
 
  Anyhow, I would like to send in such a proposal which I hope
 will have support. The following is my proposed text. I would like
 to get input from PEN-lers (or others), before actually submitting
 it.
 
 
 TIAA-CREF should not purchase the stock, bonds, commericial paper
 or other financial instruments of any corporation that provides a
 compensation package to any executive employee that exceeds $
 3,000,000 per year. This limit is to include salaries, benefits,
 bonuses, and the value upon redemption of any stock options
 included in a compensation package. The value of the latter can be
 averaged over the years for which it was earned (rather than just
 the year of redemption). The amount by which redeemed stock options
 push average compensation over $3,000,000 million should revert
 back to the corporation.
 
 
 This can be supported as a means of imposing discipline on
 executive salaries that have grown way out of line with the overall
 pattern of wages and salaries in the economy, without any obvious
 rationale. It is entirely appropriate that TIAA-CREF approve a
 measure like this since lowering executive salaries will directly
 increase the return to its members as shareholders in these
 corporations. Also, it should be possible to lower the compensation
 paid to TIAA-CREF's management. (They argued against a salary cap
 that was up for a proxy vote last year by saying that it would be
 impossible to get good people if they couldn't pay multi-million
 dollar salaries. If these "good people" didn't have the option to
 earn to multi-million dollar salaries elsewhere, then TIAA-CREF
 would not have to pay them so much.) We can also argue directly
 about the moral issue here (just as with South African investment
 in Apartheid days). The enormous growth in inequality is bad for
 the nation, and we should be prepared to use our power insofar as
 we control to try to reverse it. 
 
  It is also likely that TIAA-CREF, acting in conjunction with
 other pension plans, could enforce some restriction like this on
 most corporations. Approximately 40% of publicly owned stock is
 held by pension funds. It would be very difficult for corporations
 to be cut off from such a large pool of capital.
 
  
 

 



[PEN-L:4823] a TIAA/CREF proposal

1995-04-25 Thread Mark Weisbrot

Consider this proposal from Pen-l alum Dean Baker:

How about trying to get a shareholder proposal within
TIAA/CREF, which would mandate that the pension fund
would not invest in any company whose compensation
for any single executive exceeded a certain amount,
say, $3,000,000?  We have a lot of TIAA/CREF members
on pen-l and could easily use the internet to 
scare up lots more.  Anyway I don't know the exact
procedure for getting these things to a vote, but if
we even succeeded in doing that, win or lose it would
have to have scare the hell out of a lot
of important people. (Some of you may have seen
the recent NYT article on TIAA/CFRE using its muscle
on W.R. Grace).

What say, any takers?

Mark Weisbrot



[PEN-L:4824] Re: intro econ history text

1995-04-25 Thread Mark Weisbrot

I have used Duboff's "Accumulation and Power"-- a bit hard to read
for freshmen unless they have more than the usual motivation.
But I like it. 

Mark Weisbrot


 
 A request to economic historians on the net:  I am part of the teaching team
 for an interdisciplinary course which includes a component on U.S. economic
 history.  Our students are first-semester freshmen with little economics
 background.  Last year we used Heilbroner and Singer, but there is an interest
 in looking at alternatives for next year.  I am not a historian myself and
 have not taught a course in economic history.  Are there any texts that you
 would recommend that cover this terrain reliably and readably?  Please reply
 to me privately. Thanks.
 
 Peter Dorman
 



[PEN-L:4208] URPE at EEA: It's getting kinda late. . .

1995-02-16 Thread Mark Weisbrot

 
 URPE Sessions at the Eastern Economic Association Meetings
 
 March 17-19,1995, Roosevelt Hotel, New York City
 
 
   There is still room for more participants in the URPE sessions at
 the Eastern Economic Association this March.  Below you will find listed
 the panels that will be included in the URPE sessions; some discussants
 and chairs are still needed, so please volunteer if you are interested.
 If you volunteered previously for a general topic, please pick a specific
 panel and let me know right away.
   
   I have listed the titles of papers that I have received titles
 for; I have also listed institutional affiliation if I have it. We need
 this information immediately in order to include it in the EEA program.
 If your name appears here, and you have information to add, please e-mail
 me immediately and send a copy of your message to:
 
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]   (Carla Scott)
 
 If you are listed and wish to participate you must also register as soon
 as possible for the conference; you can get a registration form via e-mail
 from Carla Scott at the above address. You must do this as soon as
 possible in order to be included in the program.
 
 You can respond to me at:
 
 Mark Weisbrot
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 fax: Department of Economics, (217) 581-6247
 Phone (217) 581-6968;  345-4983 (home)
 
 Panels:
 
 1.  The IMF, the World Bank, and Structural Adjustment
 
 Esmail Hosseinzadeh (Drake University),  Structural Adjustment Program and
 Inflation Controversy in Iran: Domestic Money Supply or Balance of
 Payments Problems?
 
 Asghar Adelzadeh,  On Structural Adjustment in South Africa
 
 Terisa Turner and Craig Benjamin:  Everything for Everybody: Structural
 Adjustment and Class Recomposition in Mexico and Ecuador
 
 Discussants:  Cheryl Payer
  Phillip LeBel
 
 Chair: Anthony Gabb (St. John's University)
 
 2. The Internationalization of Capital
 
 Cyrus Bina (Harvard),  A Prelude to Internationalization of the Post-War
 Economy
 
 Kamran Nayeri (SUNY-HSCB),  On Causes and Consequences of
 Internationalization of Capital and Economic Integration: Contributions of
 Steven Hymer
 
 Discussant:  Anthony D'Costa (University of Washington)
 
 3.  Recent Research in Competition, Growth, and Crisis:
 
 Mary C. Malloy (College of New Rochelle),  Long Wave Recoveries in
 Historical Perspective
 
 Katherine Kazanas (New School for Social Research),   Is This A Long Wave
 Recovery?
 
 Lefteris Tsoulfidis and Kostas Velentzas (University of Macedonia,
 Greece): Techical Change and the Rate of Profit in Greek Manufacturing
 
 Discussant:  Anwar Shaikh (New School for Social Research)
 
 Chair:  Chair: Charles Post (Borough of Manhattan Community College-- CUNY)
 
 4. The Mexican Economic Crisis: Implications for Mexico and the
 Future of the Neoliberal Experiment
 
 Papers:
 
 Robert A. Blecker (American University): NAFTA, the Peso, and the
 Contradictions of the Mexican Economic Growth Strategy
 
 David Barkin
 
 Colin Danby (University of Massachusetts at Amherst)
 
 Discussants:
 
 Mark Weisbrot (Eastern Illinois University)
 Susan Fleck (American University)
 
 5. Is Labor Power a Commodity?
 
 Sue Himmelweit,  A Critique of the Concept of the Value of Labor-Power
 
 Ajit Sinha (York University)
 
 Please respond as soon as possible.  Thanks,
 
 Mark Weisbrot
 
 



[PEN-L:4056] URPE at EEA: It's not too late!

1995-02-05 Thread Mark Weisbrot

Call for Papers and Participants

URPE Sessions at the Eastern Economic Association Meetings  

March 17-19,1995, Roosevelt Hotel, New York City


ItUs not too late to participate in the URPE sessions at the 
Eastern Economic Association this March. We still need papers 
and discussants, as well as chairs. Below you will find listed the 
partially completed panels for which we still need both papers 
and discussants. All of this must be wrapped up within a week 
or so if it is to be included in the EEA mailing, so please 
respond as soon as possible (preferably by e-mail; fax is second 
best).
I have listed only the general subject for each possible 
panel because it may be necessary to have some leeway in 
combining papers. I will post regular updates as the panels 
near completion.
In addition to the URPE panels, there are a number of 
other heterodox panels planned for these meetings, e.g., about 
10 panels from the International Conference on Value Theory, 
several panels on methodology, and since the theme of the 
conference is  Dialogues in Economics,  we can expect an 
interesting turnout. Despite this substantial overlap, I think it 
is still possible to have a significant URPE contribution if people 
respond quickly enough.
Please respond directly to me:

Mark Weisbrot
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

fax: Department of Economics, (217) 581-6247
Phone (217) 581-6968;  345-4983 (home)

Subjects for URPE panels:

1. The Internationalization of Capital 

2. The Mexican Economic Crisis: Implications for Mexico and the 
Future of the Neoliberal Experiment

3. Heterodox Economists in the Economics Profession

4. Appropriate Technology and Development

5. Issues in Marxian Value Theory

6. The Political Economy of Haiti: At the Crossroads?

7. The IMF and the World Bank

New panels can also be created and are welcomed.  All 
inquiries will get a response within 12 hours, and I will e-mail 
registration forms for the conference to all participants.

Please respond as soon as possible.

Mark Weisbrot
Department of Economics
Eastern Illinois University
Charleston, IL 61920



Re: social security query

1994-11-14 Thread Mark Weisbrot

 
 
 What's the pen-l line on social security reform? Cut benefits? Increase taxes?
 Increase retirement age to 70? Other?
 
 Or is there less to the standard argument about the "baby boom bulge busting
 the bank" than meets they eye?
 
 -bob naiman
 
 
There's a lot less than meets the eye. Last year I attended a seminar
given by C. Eugene Stuerle, author of a well-respected book on the so-called
crisis of the social security system. One of his graphs showed
soc. sec. revenues and outlays, with the former exceeding the latter
for the next ten years or so, then a ballooning deficit as baby
boomers retire. I asked him, at what interest rate are you assuming
the government will pay back the surplus it borrowed from the 
soc. sec. trust fund (last time I looked it was about $50 billion
a year).  He said he assumed that it wasn't going to paid back at
all! What if it was? Well then the deficit wouldn't appear for
another 20 years after the one shown on his graph. So, I suggested,
the crisis is not really a crisis of the social security system,
but a crisis of whatever the Federal government spent the trust
fund's money on.  His response:  "It doesn't matter, the government
is still going to have to raise taxes to pay social security
benefits."
The logic of this is incredible, even for a neoclassical
economist (Steurle's work has been for Brookings and the American
Enterprise Institute). It is often repeated in the media, which
for years has pointed to social security (usually lumped with other
"entitlements") as the biggest item in the budget, saying it is
impossible to reduce the deficit without cutting the latter, neglecting
to mention that social security itself has not contributed one dollar
to the deficits of the last decade and a half, since it has been
running a surplus. 
Steurle's seminar was a joke; I imagine the book is too, altho
if any pen-l-ers have read it I would like to hear their opinion.
The most these people can say is that sometime in the next 35 years
the government will have to raise taxes to maintain the current level
of benefits. So what? He has all kinds of wonderful suggestions to
avoid this calamity, e.g. people live longer so we should raise
the retirement age or limit the number of years after age 65
that people can collect. 
Sorry but I don't have much sympathy with those who are 
losing sleep over this far-off "crisis" which may force us to
return to pre-Reagan concepts of progressive taxation 
sometime in the unforeseeable future. 

Mark Weisbrot
[EMAIL PROTECTED] 



Re: election disaster

1994-11-10 Thread Mark Weisbrot

Just a postscript to my previous note on the elections: After reading
Bob Pollin's postings, I think he is correct about the damage that
Clinton and other Democrats have inflicted on 
themselves, and by association on the left, by abandoning any kind of 
program that would actually benefit working people. And California
has some special problems, in that most of the 4.5 million people
who voted for Proposition 187 probably knew what they were voting
for, and it is a racist initiative. Also the resounding defeat
(73-23) of the single payer initiative is bad news for future 
efforts. But I would still maintain that the national results 
reflect not so much a "conservative shift" among the voters as
among the politicians, whose continuous ranting about crime,
welfare, etc. dominated the sound bites that reached the voters.
With such one-sided political discourse, what do we expect?
This is a far cry from fascism, or even the conservatism that
Newt Gingrich would like to believe was demonstrated by the vote,
both of which presuppose a considerably stronger interest in
politics than actually exists here. I think the phenomenon
we have witnessed is for the most part very superficial, much
like Bush's 90% approval rating after the Gulf War, which faded
rather quickly and left no increase in the public's appetite for
foreign military adventures just a few months after the war was
over.

How's that for optimism of the will?

Cheers,

Mark Weisbrot
[EMAIL PROTECTED]



Re: Mandela

1994-10-08 Thread Mark Weisbrot

Does anyone have any of the specifics regarding what Mandela has
agreed to do, at the request of the IMF/WB or other representatives
of international capital?  What did they ask for, what were
these conditions attached to (e.g. an particular IMF agreement or
WB structural adjustment loan), and what specifically did Mandela
agree to do?

I'm having a hard time evaluating this discussion without at least
some of this relevant information.

Incidentally, from what I've seen of the recent documents surrounding
Aristide's "surrender," as some of the postings on this net have
described it, he hasn't agreed to much in the realm of specifics.
So far at least it's just a bunch of vague platitudes about 
opening up the economy, removing "distortions," etc. I would 
withold judgement on the nature of his government until they
actually do something.

Mark Weisbrot
[EMAIL PROTECTED] 



Re: PEN-L Media Watch

1994-09-08 Thread Mark Weisbrot

While we're on the media watch, yesterday's NYT at the end of
a front page article on Latin American growth and poverty
quoted an Argentine economist as saying that the U.S.
economy had created 41 million jobs in the last 22
years, with 5 out of 6 in the private sector; and Europe
had created 8 million jobs in the same period, with
6 out of 10 in the public sector. Does anyone know
where these figures come from? Is it really possible
that the European economy (I assume he means the EC)
created a fifth as many jobs as the U.S.? Maybe these
are gross figures, not subtracting jobs lost?  The 
point being made by the author was that, despite the
fact that the poor have been left behind in the
last 4 years of economic growth for the continent,
the "American" model was still a better choice than
the "European" welfare state.

Mark Weisbrot
[EMAIL PROTECTED] 



Re: Recommended articles

1994-04-25 Thread Mark Weisbrot

In response to Sid's recommendation of Paul Krugman's latest article, it
should be perhaps kept in mind that Krugman is on a rampage against
all those who depart from neoclassical orthodoxy in trade policy matters
(his own theoretical research notwithstanding, of course). That's
not to say that he doesn't have some valid critique of some of the
"competitiveness" arguments that emanate from what he calls
"pop internationalist" economists. But the overall thrust of his
argument is reactionary, I think, with an emphasis on denying that
"globalization"-- either in the form of capital mobility or increased
low-wage import competition-- has had *any* effect on e.g., wages
and living standards in the U.S.

Not to mention that he deserves the 1994 BIG BABY award for his 
incessant whining about not getting the CEA post for political
reasons-- tho I wouldn't want to imply that his rants against
"Clintonomics" which he compares to creationism in biology, has
anthing to do with this bitterness. (Latest whining may be found in
the Washington Post, Sunday Apr.3,p.H1.) The Clintonomics he 
targets is not the deficit-cutting, welfare-"reforming," 
Nafta-worshipping, don't-criticize-the-Fed-even-if-they're-crazy,etc.
Clinonomics, but the part that surrounds itself with the likes of
Robert Kuttner and Lester Thurow. He also considers these people
(Reich, too) to not be sufficiently educated in the realm of
economic theory to be advisers.

Cheers,

Mark Weisbrot
American University
[EMAIL PROTECTED]


for