Re: [Biofuel] Consumers can and will pay more for food

2008-02-29 Thread Chip Mefford
Kirk McLoren wrote:
 (cpm wrote)
-SNIP
 No. Food outside the corporate stranglehold isn't cheaper, it's
 more expensive, it's also higher quality, better tasting and
 considerably healthier.
   ---
   65 cents for Fuji apples and FRESH beats the heck out of corporate 
 distribution in my book
 --
-SNIP
 Heck, you could grow some of it yourself.
   ---
   Sure, plant corn in front of your condo. Most people have little or no land
   --
 
 Sheesh, if you are a meat eater, you can actually go source your
 meat from CSAs, see how the animals live, meet your butcher, see
 how it's prepared. you don't have to eat downer cows if you don't want
 to. It'll cost more. The folks providing that food have to live too.
   
   we have cows - and sheep and turkeys and chickens to name a few. Not my 
 first rodeo. 
   Used to live on 3000 acres. And I know what obstacles the corporations 
   placed in the little guys way. My uncle ran a small abator and freezer 
   plant. No ecoli in his meat thankyou.


Well said;

Given these salient points, then you know quite well how much work and 
effort goes into putting food on the table. You know, much better than 
most how hard 'everyday' folks would have to work in order to feed 
themselves and their own, and how much time they would have left over to 
pursue their 'normal' vocation.

If valuation were calculated accordingly, I think the argument that food 
should be a great deal more expensive than it is, is a pretty easy 
conclusion to reach, were this a given.

As to the snipe about growing corn in front of a condo, you know quite 
well that there are community gardens all over the US, that urban 
farming is quite real, and that most if not all condo complexes have 
common areas, and not just a few of them allow gardening. If folks 
wanted it, they could have it. I say that statement is a straw man.
You know better, and you know you know better.

The free market aspects of agricultural economics in the US started to 
sunset back in the 1930s as 'large scale corporate interests' began 
moving the laws around to favor their agendas. Sure, it's funny to see 
folks yelling about free market economics where there is no free market, 
sad really. On the other hand, there is a burgeoning free market 
agriculture (not new really, but certainly a new growing awareness) in
small farms engaged in pursuing sustainability at local economic scales.

Are corporate 'interests' doing stuff to counter this? Oh sure. Working 
hard at it. Starting up astroturf outfits like American Farmers for the 
Advancement and Conservation of Technology AFACT 
(http://www.itisafact.org) to promote rBST, getting their pals in 
government to cut funding to research sustainable agricutural approaches
while increasing funding to the more and more privatized government labs
where the gene and pharma work is being done to further their product 
lines and market agendas. Sure, this is happening, and many more things 
besides. No argument.

But I still flatly reject that food needs to be cheaper, as it implies 
those bringing it to market should be earning less (and you know very 
well how little they earn as it is) I also flatly reject that the work
that needs to be done, needs to be done 'breaking the stranglehold of
corporate food distribution (paraphrase)' I say opting out of corporate
food distribution as far as one is able achieves a lot of benefit for
not a lot of effort.

Keith said something a long time back, and to me it rang quite true;
that being -in a nutshell- that the future is communities sustained
by immediate local small scale agriculture. This can happen on the
scale of multiple billions, or a few million, but it is the future.

Are things bad? sure. It is also true that some things are good,
and I dare say, some things are even getting better.

You know all of this, I know you do. Why are we arguing?

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Re: [Biofuel] Consumers can and will pay more for food

2008-02-27 Thread Chip Mefford
Kirk McLoren wrote:

   If you want cheaper food you have to break the stranglehold the 
 corporations have on distribution.


I'm sorry, but this level of rhetoric is just getting to be too much for me.

Cheaper food? You want CHEAPER food?

The base food in the US is already so cheap, that folks go out
of businesses trying to produce it. Cheaper?

The most sensible discussion I've ever heard on the cost of food
revolved around keeping the price of food artificially low, so
that only large scale industrial approaches could be considered
viable, and low production high quality (read small farm) approaches
were doomed to economic failure.

This approach 'frees' up lots of 'consumer dollars' to go other more
important things, like HDTVs and iPhones, new SUVs, granite counter 
topped trophy kitchens (that never get used) rather than nutrition and 
health.

Please note that I am only speaking of the USA. My first hand knowledge 
outside there is really weak. I've not even set foot outside the USA
in over 20 years.

Stranglehold? You mean the stranglehold of desiring only the one 
criteria of cheap perhaps. That's the only stranglehold I see them
having.

To grow high quality food is time consuming, and labor intensive.

You want it to be cheaper too?

So, the folks who work their asses off 50 weeks out of the year, 7 days
a week should earn less for their efforts at bringing nutritious high
quality food to market?

last time I was at a farmers market (and I go about every week) I didn't
see any corporation there strangling people.

But then again, the food wasn't cheap.

It was fairly priced.

Sorry, but that line really pushed my buttons.




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Re: [Biofuel] Consumers can and will pay more for food

2008-02-27 Thread Chip Mefford
Chris Burck wrote:
 artificially low prices and control of distribution are two sides of
 the same coin.  from seed to shelf, the same entities are running the
 game.  i didn't hear anyone suggesting farmer's markets are corporate
 controlled.


No.

What was suggested was that 'corporations' have a stranglehold on
distribution, and you want cheap food you have to break that
stranglehold.

That's what was not just suggested, that was clearly stated.

So, Farmer's Markets are not distribution then?

If there is no corporate stranglehold on Farmer's Markets, then
the food there should be cheaper, yes?

No. Food outside the corporate stranglehold isn't cheaper, it's
more expensive, it's also higher quality, better tasting and
considerably healthier.

It's all well and good to sit back and yell about corporate 
strangleholds and all that. Sure, there is plenty there to
yell about. At the end of the day, guess what? It doesn't matter.
If you haven't learned yet that 'corporations' aren't acting
in your best interest, then you just aren't going to learn it.

In most places in the US, you can source your food from within
your own 'food shed'. Yeah, that means no grapes for 89 cents a
pound in February, and you'll pay a serious premium for indoor
grown tomatoes this time of year. But if you canned the ones you
got when they were in season, you won't care.

Heck, you could grow some of it yourself.

Sheesh, if you are a meat eater, you can actually go source your
meat from CSAs, see how the animals live, meet your butcher, see
how it's prepared. you don't have to eat downer cows if you don't want
to. It'll cost more. The folks providing that food have to live too.

Is that wrong?

If the corporations weren't airfreighting in grapes from south america
to sell at Wallmart for .89 a pound, (with some gawdawful fuel load) 
then somehow that would make the februrary grapes cheaper?

Please.

Know farms,
Know food.


 
 On 2/27/08, Chip Mefford [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Kirk McLoren wrote:

   If you want cheaper food you have to break the stranglehold the
 corporations have on distribution.


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Re: [Biofuel] Consumers can and will pay more for food

2008-02-27 Thread Chris Burck
artificially low prices and control of distribution are two sides of
the same coin.  from seed to shelf, the same entities are running the
game.  i didn't hear anyone suggesting farmer's markets are corporate
controlled.

On 2/27/08, Chip Mefford [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Kirk McLoren wrote:

If you want cheaper food you have to break the stranglehold the
 corporations have on distribution.


 I'm sorry, but this level of rhetoric is just getting to be too much for me.

 Cheaper food? You want CHEAPER food?

 The base food in the US is already so cheap, that folks go out
 of businesses trying to produce it. Cheaper?

 The most sensible discussion I've ever heard on the cost of food
 revolved around keeping the price of food artificially low, so
 that only large scale industrial approaches could be considered
 viable, and low production high quality (read small farm) approaches
 were doomed to economic failure.

 This approach 'frees' up lots of 'consumer dollars' to go other more
 important things, like HDTVs and iPhones, new SUVs, granite counter
 topped trophy kitchens (that never get used) rather than nutrition and
 health.

 Please note that I am only speaking of the USA. My first hand knowledge
 outside there is really weak. I've not even set foot outside the USA
 in over 20 years.

 Stranglehold? You mean the stranglehold of desiring only the one
 criteria of cheap perhaps. That's the only stranglehold I see them
 having.

 To grow high quality food is time consuming, and labor intensive.

 You want it to be cheaper too?

 So, the folks who work their asses off 50 weeks out of the year, 7 days
 a week should earn less for their efforts at bringing nutritious high
 quality food to market?

 last time I was at a farmers market (and I go about every week) I didn't
 see any corporation there strangling people.

 But then again, the food wasn't cheap.

 It was fairly priced.

 Sorry, but that line really pushed my buttons.




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 messages):
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Re: [Biofuel] Consumers can and will pay more for food

2008-02-27 Thread Keith Addison
Hello John

As many of us know, the earth's ability to supply resources for 6
billion people has reached it's limit.  Now it's which end use these
resources are assigned.  Food or fuel?  More of one means less of the
other.  We are in decline.

Then many of us know wrong. It's not true, and it doesn't take a lot 
of research to establish that.

What has been reached, long since, is the earth's ability to supply 
resources to feed the twin black holes of rich-country consumerism 
and the global corporate pillaging that depends on it (and created it 
and maintains it).

About 1.2 billion people go hungry, but that's not because of a 
shortage of food. There's more than enough food for everybody, more 
food per capita than there's ever been before. They're hungry because 
that's how the industrial food production and distribution system 
works - they simply get shoved aside, out of the picture.

The food vs fuel controversy also falls apart when you have a closer 
look. Sustainable food production and sustainable fuel production are 
compatible, even complementary, and can supply the needs of a much 
bigger population than 6 billion. But not if we leave it to the 
business-as-usual folks either to do it for us or to dictate the way 
we live.

See eg.:
http://www.mail-archive.com/biofuel@sustainablelists.org/msg69331.html
Myth 3: Too Many Mouths to Feed

Best

Keith


Keith Addison wrote:
  Brownfield:  Ag News of America

  Consumers can and will pay more for food
  Monday, February 25, 2008, 3:12 PM

  by Peter Shinn

  For the past 11 years, the American Farm Bureau Federation has
  celebrated the fact that Americans generally pay around 10% of their
  total income for food, the lowest total of any nation on earth, with
  an event called Food Checkout Day. It's typically held in the first
  week of February to symbolize the number of days the average American
  has to work in order to earn enough money to pay for their food bill.
  But due to a wide range of factors, it looks like that date may have
  to be pushed back next year.

  In fact, U.S. consumers have enjoyed steady to declining food prices,
  at least in real terms, for many years. That's according to Bill
  Lapp, President of Advanced Economic Solutions, who says those good
  times for American food consumers are over, most likely forever.

  Lapp, the former leading economist for ConAgra, told Brownfield bread
  prices rose over 10% in 2007 and are likely to do at least that again
  this year. He added other food prices will also head higher as food
  manufacturers increasingly pass on the costs of high commodities to
  consumers. The good news, Lapp said, is that most U.S. consumers can
  afford to pay up, even if they won't have much choice in the matter.

  I think consumers are more prepared than we realize to accept higher
  prices on food and I think that's part of our future, Lapp
  predicted. It's largely been set in stone for us already.

  Set in stone because the factors that have driven ag commodity
  prices sharply higher since August of 2006 haven't changed. And
  according to Lapp, who spoke Friday at USDA's Ag Outlook Forum, those
  factors are manifold.

  The risk of weather and a 5% increase in world coarse grain demand
  and still strong global economic growth and [biofuels] mandates from
  the government all suggest, Lapp said, that the bonfire that we've
  started is still going strong.

  All that, Lapp emphasized, makes robust U.S. crop production this
  year critically important. He called the consequences of a potential
  10% cut in this year's corn crop due to drought scary. And he said
  it may be a number of years before technological advances that
  improve yields boost crop production enough to generate surpluses in
  the face of the strong demand factors he listed.

  There's a lot of things in the pipeline - some of the new varieties
  and their resistance to drought have really benefited the industry,
   Lapp pointed out. But it's going to take a while and the first thing
   we have to do is attract more acreage into production and eventually
  we can have those yields, he added. And again, of course, we're
  always vulnerable on a year-to-year basis from weather-caused yield
  declines.




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Re: [Biofuel] Consumers can and will pay more for food

2008-02-27 Thread Chris Burck
farmer markets are cheaper or more expensivd, depending on the item
and time of year.  csa packets are actually quite competitive.  of
course, farmer markets are distribution, and outside of the corporate
network.  kirk's point was that there aren't enough of them (at least
that's how i read it), and that it's no accident that they are more or
less on the margin.

On 2/27/08, Keith Addison [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Hello John

 As many of us know, the earth's ability to supply resources for 6
 billion people has reached it's limit.  Now it's which end use these
 resources are assigned.  Food or fuel?  More of one means less of the
 other.  We are in decline.

 Then many of us know wrong. It's not true, and it doesn't take a lot
 of research to establish that.

 What has been reached, long since, is the earth's ability to supply
 resources to feed the twin black holes of rich-country consumerism
 and the global corporate pillaging that depends on it (and created it
 and maintains it).

 About 1.2 billion people go hungry, but that's not because of a
 shortage of food. There's more than enough food for everybody, more
 food per capita than there's ever been before. They're hungry because
 that's how the industrial food production and distribution system
 works - they simply get shoved aside, out of the picture.

 The food vs fuel controversy also falls apart when you have a closer
 look. Sustainable food production and sustainable fuel production are
 compatible, even complementary, and can supply the needs of a much
 bigger population than 6 billion. But not if we leave it to the
 business-as-usual folks either to do it for us or to dictate the way
 we live.

 See eg.:
 http://www.mail-archive.com/biofuel@sustainablelists.org/msg69331.html
 Myth 3: Too Many Mouths to Feed

 Best

 Keith


 Keith Addison wrote:
   Brownfield:  Ag News of America
 
   Consumers can and will pay more for food
   Monday, February 25, 2008, 3:12 PM
 
   by Peter Shinn
 
   For the past 11 years, the American Farm Bureau Federation has
   celebrated the fact that Americans generally pay around 10% of their
   total income for food, the lowest total of any nation on earth, with
   an event called Food Checkout Day. It's typically held in the first
   week of February to symbolize the number of days the average American
   has to work in order to earn enough money to pay for their food bill.
   But due to a wide range of factors, it looks like that date may have
   to be pushed back next year.
 
   In fact, U.S. consumers have enjoyed steady to declining food prices,
   at least in real terms, for many years. That's according to Bill
   Lapp, President of Advanced Economic Solutions, who says those good
   times for American food consumers are over, most likely forever.
 
   Lapp, the former leading economist for ConAgra, told Brownfield bread
   prices rose over 10% in 2007 and are likely to do at least that again
   this year. He added other food prices will also head higher as food
   manufacturers increasingly pass on the costs of high commodities to
   consumers. The good news, Lapp said, is that most U.S. consumers can
   afford to pay up, even if they won't have much choice in the matter.
 
   I think consumers are more prepared than we realize to accept higher
   prices on food and I think that's part of our future, Lapp
   predicted. It's largely been set in stone for us already.
 
   Set in stone because the factors that have driven ag commodity
   prices sharply higher since August of 2006 haven't changed. And
   according to Lapp, who spoke Friday at USDA's Ag Outlook Forum, those
   factors are manifold.
 
   The risk of weather and a 5% increase in world coarse grain demand
   and still strong global economic growth and [biofuels] mandates from
   the government all suggest, Lapp said, that the bonfire that we've
   started is still going strong.
 
   All that, Lapp emphasized, makes robust U.S. crop production this
   year critically important. He called the consequences of a potential
   10% cut in this year's corn crop due to drought scary. And he said
   it may be a number of years before technological advances that
   improve yields boost crop production enough to generate surpluses in
   the face of the strong demand factors he listed.
 
   There's a lot of things in the pipeline - some of the new varieties
   and their resistance to drought have really benefited the industry,
Lapp pointed out. But it's going to take a while and the first thing
we have to do is attract more acreage into production and eventually
   we can have those yields, he added. And again, of course, we're
   always vulnerable on a year-to-year basis from weather-caused yield
   declines.
 
 
 
 
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Re: [Biofuel] Consumers can and will pay more for food

2008-02-27 Thread Kirk McLoren


Chip Mefford [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:Chris Burck wrote:
 artificially low prices and control of distribution are two sides of
 the same coin. from seed to shelf, the same entities are running the
 game. i didn't hear anyone suggesting farmer's markets are corporate
 controlled.


No.

What was suggested was that 'corporations' have a stranglehold on
distribution, and you want cheap food you have to break that
stranglehold.

That's what was not just suggested, that was clearly stated.

So, Farmer's Markets are not distribution then?
  -
  If a half day on Saturday works for your community have at it.
  --
   
  If there is no corporate stranglehold on Farmer's Markets, then
the food there should be cheaper, yes?

No. Food outside the corporate stranglehold isn't cheaper, it's
more expensive, it's also higher quality, better tasting and
considerably healthier.
  ---
  65 cents for Fuji apples and FRESH beats the heck out of corporate 
distribution in my book
--
It's all well and good to sit back and yell about corporate 
strangleholds and all that. Sure, there is plenty there to
yell about. At the end of the day, guess what? It doesn't matter.
If you haven't learned yet that 'corporations' aren't acting
in your best interest, then you just aren't going to learn it.

In most places in the US, you can source your food from within
your own 'food shed'. Yeah, that means no grapes for 89 cents a
pound in February, and you'll pay a serious premium for indoor
grown tomatoes this time of year. But if you canned the ones you
got when they were in season, you won't care.

Heck, you could grow some of it yourself.
  ---
  Sure, plant corn in front of your condo. Most people have little or no land
  --

Sheesh, if you are a meat eater, you can actually go source your
meat from CSAs, see how the animals live, meet your butcher, see
how it's prepared. you don't have to eat downer cows if you don't want
to. It'll cost more. The folks providing that food have to live too.
  
  we have cows - and sheep and turkeys and chickens to name a few. Not my first 
rodeo. Used to live on 3000 acres. And I know what obstacles the corporations 
placed in the little guys way. My uncle ran a small abator and freezer plant. 
No ecoli in his meat thankyou.

Is that wrong?

If the corporations weren't airfreighting in grapes from south america
to sell at Wallmart for .89 a pound, (with some gawdawful fuel load) 
then somehow that would make the februrary grapes cheaper?

Please.

Know farms,
Know food.


 
 On 2/27/08, Chip Mefford wrote:
 Kirk McLoren wrote:

 If you want cheaper food you have to break the stranglehold the
 corporations have on distribution.


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Re: [Biofuel] Consumers can and will pay more for food

2008-02-26 Thread John Mullan

As many of us know, the earth's ability to supply resources for 6 
billion people has reached it's limit.  Now it's which end use these 
resources are assigned.  Food or fuel?  More of one means less of the 
other.  We are in decline.


Keith Addison wrote:
 Brownfield:  Ag News of America

 Consumers can and will pay more for food
 Monday, February 25, 2008, 3:12 PM

 by Peter Shinn

 For the past 11 years, the American Farm Bureau Federation has 
 celebrated the fact that Americans generally pay around 10% of their 
 total income for food, the lowest total of any nation on earth, with 
 an event called Food Checkout Day. It's typically held in the first 
 week of February to symbolize the number of days the average American 
 has to work in order to earn enough money to pay for their food bill. 
 But due to a wide range of factors, it looks like that date may have 
 to be pushed back next year.

 In fact, U.S. consumers have enjoyed steady to declining food prices, 
 at least in real terms, for many years. That's according to Bill 
 Lapp, President of Advanced Economic Solutions, who says those good 
 times for American food consumers are over, most likely forever.

 Lapp, the former leading economist for ConAgra, told Brownfield bread 
 prices rose over 10% in 2007 and are likely to do at least that again 
 this year. He added other food prices will also head higher as food 
 manufacturers increasingly pass on the costs of high commodities to 
 consumers. The good news, Lapp said, is that most U.S. consumers can 
 afford to pay up, even if they won't have much choice in the matter.

 I think consumers are more prepared than we realize to accept higher 
 prices on food and I think that's part of our future, Lapp 
 predicted. It's largely been set in stone for us already.

 Set in stone because the factors that have driven ag commodity 
 prices sharply higher since August of 2006 haven't changed. And 
 according to Lapp, who spoke Friday at USDA's Ag Outlook Forum, those 
 factors are manifold.

 The risk of weather and a 5% increase in world coarse grain demand 
 and still strong global economic growth and [biofuels] mandates from 
 the government all suggest, Lapp said, that the bonfire that we've 
 started is still going strong.

 All that, Lapp emphasized, makes robust U.S. crop production this 
 year critically important. He called the consequences of a potential 
 10% cut in this year's corn crop due to drought scary. And he said 
 it may be a number of years before technological advances that 
 improve yields boost crop production enough to generate surpluses in 
 the face of the strong demand factors he listed.

 There's a lot of things in the pipeline - some of the new varieties 
 and their resistance to drought have really benefited the industry, 
 Lapp pointed out. But it's going to take a while and the first thing 
 we have to do is attract more acreage into production and eventually 
 we can have those yields, he added. And again, of course, we're 
 always vulnerable on a year-to-year basis from weather-caused yield 
 declines.




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Re: [Biofuel] Consumers can and will pay more for food

2008-02-26 Thread Zeke Yewdall
You forgot the third option which is what most of land's productive
output is used for nowadays -- industrial feedstocks.  If we cut back
on that, we'd have alot more for both food and fuel.

Z

On Tue, Feb 26, 2008 at 3:54 PM, John Mullan [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

  As many of us know, the earth's ability to supply resources for 6
  billion people has reached it's limit.  Now it's which end use these
  resources are assigned.  Food or fuel?  More of one means less of the
  other.  We are in decline.




  Keith Addison wrote:
   Brownfield:  Ag News of America
  
   Consumers can and will pay more for food
   Monday, February 25, 2008, 3:12 PM
  
   by Peter Shinn
  
   For the past 11 years, the American Farm Bureau Federation has
   celebrated the fact that Americans generally pay around 10% of their
   total income for food, the lowest total of any nation on earth, with
   an event called Food Checkout Day. It's typically held in the first
   week of February to symbolize the number of days the average American
   has to work in order to earn enough money to pay for their food bill.
   But due to a wide range of factors, it looks like that date may have
   to be pushed back next year.
  
   In fact, U.S. consumers have enjoyed steady to declining food prices,
   at least in real terms, for many years. That's according to Bill
   Lapp, President of Advanced Economic Solutions, who says those good
   times for American food consumers are over, most likely forever.
  
   Lapp, the former leading economist for ConAgra, told Brownfield bread
   prices rose over 10% in 2007 and are likely to do at least that again
   this year. He added other food prices will also head higher as food
   manufacturers increasingly pass on the costs of high commodities to
   consumers. The good news, Lapp said, is that most U.S. consumers can
   afford to pay up, even if they won't have much choice in the matter.
  
   I think consumers are more prepared than we realize to accept higher
   prices on food and I think that's part of our future, Lapp
   predicted. It's largely been set in stone for us already.
  
   Set in stone because the factors that have driven ag commodity
   prices sharply higher since August of 2006 haven't changed. And
   according to Lapp, who spoke Friday at USDA's Ag Outlook Forum, those
   factors are manifold.
  
   The risk of weather and a 5% increase in world coarse grain demand
   and still strong global economic growth and [biofuels] mandates from
   the government all suggest, Lapp said, that the bonfire that we've
   started is still going strong.
  
   All that, Lapp emphasized, makes robust U.S. crop production this
   year critically important. He called the consequences of a potential
   10% cut in this year's corn crop due to drought scary. And he said
   it may be a number of years before technological advances that
   improve yields boost crop production enough to generate surpluses in
   the face of the strong demand factors he listed.
  
   There's a lot of things in the pipeline - some of the new varieties
   and their resistance to drought have really benefited the industry,
   Lapp pointed out. But it's going to take a while and the first thing
   we have to do is attract more acreage into production and eventually
   we can have those yields, he added. And again, of course, we're
   always vulnerable on a year-to-year basis from weather-caused yield
   declines.
  
  
  
  
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Re: [Biofuel] Consumers can and will pay more for food

2008-02-26 Thread Kirk McLoren
Far from it. The problem is distribution not production. The Fed gvt pays 
farmers not to plant so that the market isnt glutted. There is an enormous 
acreage in these programs.
  If you want cheaper food you have to break the stranglehold the corporations 
have on distribution. You have to go through them to reach your customer. Half 
day Saturday Farmers Markets doesnt hack it. I buy fresh Fuji apples for 65 
cents a pound and they crackle when you bite them and full of sweet juice. What 
do you pay for soft insipid pulpy last years crop in the supers? I wont eat 
them. If you had an alternative you wouldnt either. But the corporations have 
taken that from you.
   
  Kirk

John Mullan [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  
As many of us know, the earth's ability to supply resources for 6 
billion people has reached it's limit. Now it's which end use these 
resources are assigned. Food or fuel? More of one means less of the 
other. We are in decline.


Keith Addison wrote:
 Brownfield: Ag News of America

 Consumers can and will pay more for food
 Monday, February 25, 2008, 3:12 PM

 by Peter Shinn

 For the past 11 years, the American Farm Bureau Federation has 
 celebrated the fact that Americans generally pay around 10% of their 
 total income for food, the lowest total of any nation on earth, with 
 an event called Food Checkout Day. It's typically held in the first 
 week of February to symbolize the number of days the average American 
 has to work in order to earn enough money to pay for their food bill. 
 But due to a wide range of factors, it looks like that date may have 
 to be pushed back next year.

 In fact, U.S. consumers have enjoyed steady to declining food prices, 
 at least in real terms, for many years. That's according to Bill 
 Lapp, President of Advanced Economic Solutions, who says those good 
 times for American food consumers are over, most likely forever.

 Lapp, the former leading economist for ConAgra, told Brownfield bread 
 prices rose over 10% in 2007 and are likely to do at least that again 
 this year. He added other food prices will also head higher as food 
 manufacturers increasingly pass on the costs of high commodities to 
 consumers. The good news, Lapp said, is that most U.S. consumers can 
 afford to pay up, even if they won't have much choice in the matter.

 I think consumers are more prepared than we realize to accept higher 
 prices on food and I think that's part of our future, Lapp 
 predicted. It's largely been set in stone for us already.

 Set in stone because the factors that have driven ag commodity 
 prices sharply higher since August of 2006 haven't changed. And 
 according to Lapp, who spoke Friday at USDA's Ag Outlook Forum, those 
 factors are manifold.

 The risk of weather and a 5% increase in world coarse grain demand 
 and still strong global economic growth and [biofuels] mandates from 
 the government all suggest, Lapp said, that the bonfire that we've 
 started is still going strong.

 All that, Lapp emphasized, makes robust U.S. crop production this 
 year critically important. He called the consequences of a potential 
 10% cut in this year's corn crop due to drought scary. And he said 
 it may be a number of years before technological advances that 
 improve yields boost crop production enough to generate surpluses in 
 the face of the strong demand factors he listed.

 There's a lot of things in the pipeline - some of the new varieties 
 and their resistance to drought have really benefited the industry, 
 Lapp pointed out. But it's going to take a while and the first thing 
 we have to do is attract more acreage into production and eventually 
 we can have those yields, he added. And again, of course, we're 
 always vulnerable on a year-to-year basis from weather-caused yield 
 declines.




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 Search the combined Biofuel and Biofuels-biz list archives (70,000 messages):
 http://www.mail-archive.com/biofuel@sustainablelists.org/


 

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