RE: [Vo]:It will be ironic if 60 Minutes has a major effect

2009-04-18 Thread Mark Iverson
Jed wrote:
So many energy problems could have been solved by now, and so many lives 
saved, if only scientists
had done their job.

It sure seems that when we most needed science, it failed us, utterly.  Well, 
not the 'institution'
of science, but the scientists turned politicians.  And what do we expect when 
humans are
administering science?  Where is Lt.Cmdr. Data when you need him?  :-)  
Picard/Data in 2012!

-Mark


-Original Message-
From: Jed Rothwell [mailto:jedrothw...@gmail.com] 
Sent: Friday, April 17, 2009 1:38 PM
To: vortex-L@eskimo.com
Subject: [Vo]:It will be ironic if 60 Minutes has a major effect

If 60 Minutes has a major effect on public opinion, and helps free up funding 
for the field, that
will not surprise me. But it will be ironic. It will demonstrate that 
scientists and decision makers
in government tend to be more influenced by the mass media than by scientific 
publications.

The tide does seem to be turning. Press coverage is more friendly than it used 
to be. More facts and
fewer rumors are reported. But funding is still dreadfully restricted and I 
still fear that the
researchers will not live long enough to make significant progress.

Based on previous press reports favorable toward cold fusion, such as a report 
of the Arata
experiment last year, I predict this event it will increase Internet chatter 
and traffic to
LENR-CANR for a few weeks, and then fade away. But the effect may linger long 
enough to jog a few
decision-makers to allocate a few more dollars, or perhaps a few million more! 
And that is all we
need.

We require an end to the beginning, if not the beginning of the end. 
We do not need Nature and Scientific American to wave a white flag and admit 
they were wrong. I
predict that the present editors and writers at these journals will never do 
that, unless commercial
products are rolled out, which I regard as highly unlikely under the present 
circumstances. But I
could be wrong about them. I never imaged that Robert Park would give an inch. 
Of course he needs to
give a mile, which he will never do.

The other day I told Mizuno that Maddox died, and I related the famous quote 
about cold fusion will
remain dead for a long time 
which is surely an enigmatic thing to say. Did he mean that he hoped it would 
revive only after he
was gone? Mizuno responded: perhaps I should be angry at the man but honestly 
I pity him. Here was
the most important and interesting discovery in his lifetime and he never even 
looked at it. What a
wasted opportunity. That is how I feel about the whole history of cold fusion. 
So much talent
wasted; so many years. So many energy problems could have been solved by now, 
and so many lives
saved, if only scientists had done their job.

I do not blame the mass media for this sad history. I blame scientists and 
scientific administrators
at places like the DOE and the APS. The ones who never looked at the 
experiments. They never did
their jobs. Huizenga and the DoE review panels. Of course there is plenty of 
blame to go around.
Even the cold fusion researchers share a small tiny fraction of the blame for 
this fiasco, but they
are more sinned against than sinning.

- Jed


No virus found in this incoming message.
Checked by AVG. 
Version: 7.5.557 / Virus Database: 270.11.59/2064 - Release Date: 4/17/2009 
7:08 AM
 

No virus found in this outgoing message.
Checked by AVG. 
Version: 7.5.557 / Virus Database: 270.11.59/2064 - Release Date: 4/17/2009 
7:08 AM
 



[Vo]:It will be ironic if 60 Minutes has a major effect

2009-04-17 Thread Jed Rothwell
If 60 Minutes has a major effect on public opinion, and helps free 
up funding for the field, that will not surprise me. But it will be 
ironic. It will demonstrate that scientists and decision makers in 
government tend to be more influenced by the mass media than by 
scientific publications.


The tide does seem to be turning. Press coverage is more friendly 
than it used to be. More facts and fewer rumors are reported. But 
funding is still dreadfully restricted and I still fear that the 
researchers will not live long enough to make significant progress.


Based on previous press reports favorable toward cold fusion, such as 
a report of the Arata experiment last year, I predict this event it 
will increase Internet chatter and traffic to LENR-CANR for a few 
weeks, and then fade away. But the effect may linger long enough to 
jog a few decision-makers to allocate a few more dollars, or perhaps 
a few million more! And that is all we need.


We require an end to the beginning, if not the beginning of the end. 
We do not need Nature and Scientific American to wave a white flag 
and admit they were wrong. I predict that the present editors and 
writers at these journals will never do that, unless commercial 
products are rolled out, which I regard as highly unlikely under the 
present circumstances. But I could be wrong about them. I never 
imaged that Robert Park would give an inch. Of course he needs to 
give a mile, which he will never do.


The other day I told Mizuno that Maddox died, and I related the 
famous quote about cold fusion will remain dead for a long time 
which is surely an enigmatic thing to say. Did he mean that he hoped 
it would revive only after he was gone? Mizuno responded: perhaps I 
should be angry at the man but honestly I pity him. Here was the most 
important and interesting discovery in his lifetime and he never even 
looked at it. What a wasted opportunity. That is how I feel about 
the whole history of cold fusion. So much talent wasted; so many 
years. So many energy problems could have been solved by now, and so 
many lives saved, if only scientists had done their job.


I do not blame the mass media for this sad history. I blame 
scientists and scientific administrators at places like the DOE and 
the APS. The ones who never looked at the experiments. They never did 
their jobs. Huizenga and the DoE review panels. Of course there is 
plenty of blame to go around. Even the cold fusion researchers share 
a small tiny fraction of the blame for this fiasco, but they are more 
sinned against than sinning.


- Jed



Re: [Vo]:It will be ironic if 60 Minutes has a major effect

2009-04-17 Thread Terry Blanton
On Fri, Apr 17, 2009 at 3:37 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:

 So many energy problems could have been solved by
 now, and so many lives saved, if only scientists had done their job.

But the need was not as great as it is now.  We have always said, on
this list, that $5/gal oil would make a difference.  IMO, it has.

Terry



Re: [Vo]:It will be ironic if 60 Minutes has a major effect

2009-04-17 Thread Jed Rothwell

Note that Google Trends shows a gradual decline in interest in the subject:

http://www.google.com/trends?q=cold+fusion

This does not surprise me. If I were not increasing the number of 
papers at LENR-CANR, download traffic would probably decline there.


- Jed



Re: [Vo]:It will be ironic if 60 Minutes has a major effect

2009-04-17 Thread Jed Rothwell

Terry Blanton wrote:


But the need was not as great as it is now.  We have always said, on
this list, that $5/gal oil would make a difference.  IMO, it has.


In that sense it is unfortunate that the price is back to $2.

The Obama administration may be the best thing that has happened to 
energy policy in the last 40 years. We'll see. He may not follow 
through. Congress may derail him. He should tax gasoline to keep the 
price above $3 to $4 per gallon, but I doubt he has the guts or the 
support in Congress to do that.


It is possible that Obama or someone in the administration will watch 
60 Minutes and start asking questions, or even take action. It will 
not take much to help the researchers. A few million -- heck, a few 
hundred thousand -- would be manna from heaven. I wrote to the 
administration, and so did many other people, but the voice of CBS is 
probably 5 to 6 orders of magnitude louder than mine. That's the 
trouble with mass media in a high population nation. If this were 
Iceland I could probably get a message through to someone in government.


- Jed



Re: [Vo]:It will be ironic if 60 Minutes has a major effect

2009-04-17 Thread thomas malloy

Jed Rothwell wrote:


Terry Blanton wrote:


But the need was not as great as it is now.  We have always said, on
this list, that $5/gal oil would make a difference.  IMO, it has.



In that sense it is unfortunate that the price is back to $2.


Don't worry, $5 / gallon gas will be back.


--- Get FREE High Speed Internet from USFamily.Net! -- 
http://www.usfamily.net/mkt-freepromo.html ---



Re: [Vo]:It will be ironic if 60 Minutes has a major effect

2009-04-17 Thread mixent
In reply to  Jed Rothwell's message of Fri, 17 Apr 2009 16:37:43 -0400:
Hi,
[snip]
That is how I feel about 
the whole history of cold fusion. So much talent wasted; so many 
years. So many energy problems could have been solved by now, and so 
many lives saved, if only scientists had done their job.
[snip]
That's exactly how I feel when I try to communicate to people that my invention
is a hundred times better than CF. It's a quantum leap beyond current cold
fusion experiments. Sort of like comparing a modern fission reactor to Fermi's
first pile in Chicago.
...and no one will give me the time of day.

Regards,

Robin van Spaandonk

http://rvanspaa.freehostia.com/Project.html



Re: [Vo]:It will be ironic if 60 Minutes has a major effect

2009-04-17 Thread Jed Rothwell
thomas malloy wrote:


 Don't worry, $5 / gallon gas will be back.


What makes you think so? Do you expect the economy will recover soon, and
the price will rebound?

I think the price reached $4 before the recession.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:It will be ironic if 60 Minutes has a major effect

2009-04-17 Thread thomas malloy

Jed Rothwell wrote:


thomas malloy wrote:
 


Don't worry, $5 / gallon gas will be back.


What makes you think so? Do you expect the economy will recover soon, 
and the price will rebound?


The great inflation has just begun. However I think that the economy 
will rebound.




--- Get FREE High Speed Internet from USFamily.Net! -- 
http://www.usfamily.net/mkt-freepromo.html ---



Re: [Vo]:It will be ironic if 60 Minutes has a major effect

2009-04-17 Thread Harry Veeder

The decline in interest appears to have leveled off.
If the graph represented a stock price, would it be a good time to buy
in? ;-)

Harry

 
- Original Message -
From: Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com
Date: Friday, April 17, 2009 5:30 pm
Subject: Re: [Vo]:It will be ironic if 60 Minutes has a major effect

 Note that Google Trends shows a gradual decline in interest in the 
 subject:
 http://www.google.com/trends?q=cold+fusion
 
 This does not surprise me. If I were not increasing the number of 
 papers at LENR-CANR, download traffic would probably decline there.
 
 - Jed