[WestNileNet] WHAT IF IT WAS M7 ABRUPTLY DEAD?

2015-03-23 Thread Hussein Amin
What If It Was Museveni?

As young Ugandans mourn the untimely death of their beloved musician AK47
(RIP), someone asked: What if it was Museveni?

Normally that shouldn't be a problem.

State procedures are supposedly in place with the Vice President replacing
him temporarily until elections are held.

That's basically the organized way.

But the worrying issue in this country today is that historical backdoor
political alliances, with Museveni at the helm, are the ones that drive any
State activity rather than the professionals hired to do so in government.

These alliances are increasingly contending with a new generation eager to
take their place, still next to Museveni.

As a rule to them, the State is Museveni, and Museveni is the state.

The rest of the country is then increasingly towed along the same ideology.

But after Museveni, it is everyone for themselves, or with whoever can help
one move upwards on the success ladder.

So we better know already how to cope with unexpected behaviour if/when
Museveni dies.

I wouldn't be surprised If some so-called historical came out asking the
eager young new-comers: Where were you when we were fighting in the bush
in 1986?

What do poor Ugandans reply if the bush becomes the institution that
decides?
-

Did you check my Facebook page? Like it here:
https://m.facebook.com/profile.php?fc=photo_upload_successid=212665596843_rdr
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[WestNileNet] Hep B Charity walk

2015-03-23 Thread Christine Munduru
Dear West Nilers, this is to remind you that the Hepatitis B charity walk
aimed at creating awareness on Hepatitis B and raising funds to support a
hepatitis B clinic in Arua will take place on 29th March 2015 starting from
Kololo air strip. The president has delegated the minister of Health to
represent him.
A company has accepted to take a viral load machine to Arua regional
hospital if only we make the clinic functional. Dear members, how can we
leave this opportunity to pass when our people are suffering and being
referred to Kampala all the time for these tests?
The most unfortunate thing is that the director of Arua hospital has not
responded positively to this call and has not confirmed attendance in this
event where he is expected to give a report. I have suggested as a next
option The DHO of Arua, I hope that he takes it up, otherwise we miss this
opportunity.

For the charity walk, companies register at 300,000= and individuals at
20,000= all payable through pay way koisks. If you have the people of West
Nile at heart, this is the opportunity to contribute towards their health.

Out over 150 members of parliament so far conducted only Hon. Atiku of
Ayivu and Hon Wadri Kassiono of Terego are the only ones who have responded
from the regions of high prevalence. All the NRM MPs are silent and yet
their boss has delegated the cabinet Minister to walk on his behalf. We
need to mark these people properly as we approach 2016. They cannot be
silent on issues that affect their people and wake up when their need votes
from the same unhealthy population. We must put an end to such political
gimmicks.

Thanks
Christine
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[WestNileNet] The Economics Around The Current Shilling Debacle.

2015-03-23 Thread Hussein Amin
The Economics Around The Current Shilling Debacle.

Media commentators like the Andrew Mwenda's aren't telling Ugandans the
complete truth when they say that a devalued shilling is good for us
because it means cheaper exports and therefore more Ugandan exports. As if
it is even that automatic.

If a European buyer imports two flowers from Uganda because he has his two
buyers in Europe, no matter how low your price, he will still buy only two
flowers.

He would actually be wasting his money if he bought more flowers sply
necause the price is low yet.he doesn't have the clients to sell them to.

Some of our analysts in the media are discussing hand-picked theory without
carefully studying the broader macro-economics picture.

There are 3 elements that affect economies when currencies loose value:
- Our debts in US dollars,
- Our non-dollar exports,
- And inflation.

When the shilling falls, all borrowers in USD like the state and some
businesses, will immediately come under more pressure in repaying US dollar
debts.

We will need more local currency than before in order to pay our already
huge international debt. A significant extra economic burden.

Secondly, they say exporters will benefit from a weak shilling as our
products will be cheaper to international buyers.

Yes, many export companies trade in dollars, but not all.

A large percent of Ugandan exports goes to the Eurozone, whose currency is
also depreciating against the dollar.

Our exports to the EU might actually be more expensive for our European
clients than usual.

Thirdly, our economy is still import based at approximately 600 million US
Dollars monthly while the exports are at only 200 million US dollars. A big
deficit of 400 million US Dollars.

This means that we will now have an even bigger shilling cost for our
monthly imports.

Therefore businesses will increase prices of imported products since they
need more shillings to buy dollars for imports.
y
Inflation therefore ensues.

So any expected benefits to Uganda might not actually exist. Instead GDP
might stagnate or show negative overall.

In summary, a falling shilling adds to our economies’ debt burden and also
makes our non-US exports even more expensive.

But crucially, if our currency depreciates, and inflation rises as
explained above, it is our economy that is actually collapsing.

The problem if prices rise uncontrollably, is that the market will start
informally adopting the dollar since it is stable and available everywhere.

The worst case scenario when such situations happen, is that Ugandans will
find themselves paying their boda-boda fare, house rent, katogo, flat
screen TV, chicken and possibly airtime, in US dollars instead of a useless
depreciating shilling.

We are still fairly safe from that at the moment, but ask Congo how a
depreciating currency and a rampaging inflation led them to trade
everything in US dollars.

So we have to be ready to peg the Uganda shilling to the dollar or the Euro.

This gives our currency stability and provides the strongest guarantee for
predictable economic growth.
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Re: [WestNileNet] Hep B Charity walk

2015-03-23 Thread anguzu yumaa
Good initiative worth supporting by all. 
 Dr. Anguzu Yumaa PatrickP.O.Box 701 Arua, Uganda, East Africa.Telephone: 
+256476421367 - Home +256772696200 - Mobilee-mail: 
yang...@yahoo.com Yesterday is history. Tomorrow is a mystery. Today is a gift. 
That's why it's called the present. There's never a right time to wait for. 
So whenever you get the chance, take a risk.
 


 On Monday, March 23, 2015 5:15 PM, Christine Munduru cmund...@gmail.com 
wrote:
   

 Dear West Nilers, this is to remind you that the Hepatitis B charity walk 
aimed at creating awareness on Hepatitis B and raising funds to support a 
hepatitis B clinic in Arua will take place on 29th March 2015 starting from 
Kololo air strip. The president has delegated the minister of Health to 
represent him.
A company has accepted to take a viral load machine to Arua regional hospital 
if only we make the clinic functional. Dear members, how can we leave this 
opportunity to pass when our people are suffering and being referred to Kampala 
all the time for these tests?
The most unfortunate thing is that the director of Arua hospital has not 
responded positively to this call and has not confirmed attendance in this 
event where he is expected to give a report. I have suggested as a next option 
The DHO of Arua, I hope that he takes it up, otherwise we miss this opportunity.

For the charity walk, companies register at 300,000= and individuals at 20,000= 
all payable through pay way koisks. If you have the people of West Nile at 
heart, this is the opportunity to contribute towards their health.

Out over 150 members of parliament so far conducted only Hon. Atiku of Ayivu 
and Hon Wadri Kassiono of Terego are the only ones who have responded from the 
regions of high prevalence. All the NRM MPs are silent and yet their boss has 
delegated the cabinet Minister to walk on his behalf. We need to mark these 
people properly as we approach 2016. They cannot be silent on issues that 
affect their people and wake up when their need votes from the same unhealthy 
population. We must put an end to such political gimmicks.

Thanks
Christine

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