How did you get these numbers? I would have thought that if your
V was 0.1, your delta would be 672. If my understanding is
correct, your've underestimated the effect by about 2, and
the crossover V is around .15. Do I misunderstand your model?
I actually have an opinion on the likelihood of
Surely some voters would choose to leave the ballot blank. If I
didn't like any of the presidential candidates, but I thought that
some more local election was worth voting in, I might do that. In
fact, in the local municipal election that we just had, I was allowed
to vote for as many as 4
Robert Dawson writes:
An important issue is that no one ran a pilot on this ballot.
once again ... failure to do a pilot jumps up and bites one on the backside
... a fundamental principle in research, ignored ...
Although I have not followed this election thread very carefully,
my
336=28000*(0.62*0.1+0.5*0.9)-14000
Robert Chung wrote:
How did you get these numbers? I would have thought that if your
V was 0.1, your delta would be 672. If my understanding is
correct, your've underestimated the effect by about 2, and
the crossover V is around .15. Do I misunderstand
As I said the model is very simple. It could be
complicated by allowing for no votes at all, thus
one has 28000(0.62V+0.5W), where V+W1. This would
make the resulting deltas smaller, but require the
input of an additional unknown parameter. The
point that I intended to suggest is that everyone
On Sat, 18 Nov 2000 22:49:41 -0500, Bob Wheeler [EMAIL PROTECTED]
wrote:
Undervotes are represented by vote cards which
have no punches for a presidential candidate -- at
least none that were detected by tabulating
machines. It is reported that there are some 28000
of these in the three
Ed ..wow..you have very close to Iam expecting in my mind...
let me give you more input to clean the stats further..
Data collection will look like this:
Answer Key:
Sample Good Scratches Stains Pits Chips
#1 10 0 0 0
#2 01 0 0 0
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In addition to being unable to spell "fallacy," I
can't do arithmetic. Chung is right. The formula
is 28000*0.24*V, which is 672 for V=0.1.
It might be better to add a multiplicative
parameter to remove from the 28000 the genuine "no
vote" totals. Thus one has 28000*H*0.24*V, from
which one can
Here are two other sources that may be relevant:
"Putting Data Minig in its Place" by D. Pyle
(used to be at http://www.vldb.com/articles/Pyle/pyle.html; can't access it
at the moment)
"Data Mining from a Statistical Perspective" by J. Maindonald
Does anyone have any input on job prospects in statistics, for example for
people who complete masters degrees in statistics, also any input on job
satisfaction or other related areas would be appreciated. Thanks.
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