Re: [EM] IRV's adequacy depends on a two-party system

2011-12-02 Thread Brian Olson
Just the subject line on this is the most amusing thing I've read on this list in a while. Well said, sir! On Dec 2, 2011, at 2:19 PM, MIKE OSSIPOFF wrote: > > David Wetzel said: > > s for center-squeezing, that's not really a problem in the US as a > whole... > Third parties are too small and

[EM] advocacy: Approval is premature compromise

2011-10-03 Thread Brian Olson
#x27;t that one thing that frustrates us so much with the IRV advocates? They recognize that election method reform is important, but then they go all-in on a mediocre reform. Anyway, that's my random afternoon strategy opinion, I could be wrong. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/

[EM] Election Method API Design

2011-09-13 Thread Brian Olson
There's been some talk lately of publishing good reference implementations of all the election methods we talk about in various forms of description. This inspired me to write up my thoughts on programming election methods. It's in the body of the message below, and also posted as a Google Doc h

Re: [EM] Election method simulator code

2011-05-06 Thread Brian Olson
I counter-recommend git. I don't like it. If you like the new 'distributed version control' system style, I recommend Mercurial. code.google.com also supports mercurial. My own election simulator is also up on google code, also with subversion. It's kinda hidden inside my project for multi-lang

[EM] WSJ article about AMPAS voting

2011-02-25 Thread Brian Olson
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123388752673155403.html Cites our own Warren Smith! Clearly we've been going about advocacy all wrong. Politics is boring, we should appeal to American's fascination with celebrities and sports. Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for

Re: [EM] Yee-Bolson Diagrams

2011-01-06 Thread Brian Olson
specifically, my results are here: http://bolson.org/voting/sim_one_seat/ http://bolson.org/voting/sim_one_seat/www/ Ka Ping Yee did them first. I think I did them second and bigger and more. I haven't done any in a while, but my source is out there and there are other implementations as well.

[EM] A turd by any other name

2010-03-23 Thread Brian Olson
A year later they repealed IRV. "Virtual Round Robin" elections, often known as Condorcet's Method, don't have that flaw and are just as easy or easier to implement than IRV. A few people have latched onto IRV and promoted it a lot, perhaps somewhat staking their reputations on it n

Re: [EM] Simulating multiwinner goodness

2010-03-11 Thread Brian Olson
On Mar 11, 2010, at 11:29 AM, Jonathan Lundell wrote: > As with any choice system based on cardinal utility, there end up being two > problems that are not, I think, amenable to solution. One is the > incomparability of individual utility measures from voter to voter (and here > we're talking a

Re: [EM] Simulating multiwinner goodness

2010-03-11 Thread Brian Olson
A couple years ago I moved from the California Democratic Party Machine to the Massachusetts Democratic Party Machine. I'm not sad when my party wins, I'm sad when they run boring stick-in-the-mud establishmentarian candidates. I'd love pressure from other parties to keep them honest, and that's

[EM] Simulating multiwinner goodness

2010-03-11 Thread Brian Olson
There was a question on the list a while ago, and skimming to catch up I didn't see a resolution, about what the right way to measure multiwinner result goodness is. Here's a simple way to do it in simulator: Each voter has a preference [0.0 ... 1.0] for each candidate. Measuring the desirabili

Re: [EM] Two simple alternative voting methods that are fairer than IRV/STV and lack most IRV/STV flaws

2010-01-13 Thread Brian Olson
On Jan 13, 2010, at 8:06 PM, Kathy Dopp wrote: > 1. A rank choice ballot method: > > Any number of candidates may be running for office and any number > allowed to be ranked on the ballot. > > Voter ranks one candidate vote =1 > > Voter ranks two candidates, denominator is 1+2 = 3 > votes are wo

Re: [EM] just to let you know ...

2010-01-07 Thread Brian Olson
te much I'd be curious to see just how these things play out amongst real Americans who aren election theory wonks. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] Block group map of Texas

2009-11-29 Thread Brian Olson
http://bolson.org/dist/TX/txmask.png http://bolson.org/dist/ME/memask.png (All of the states should be available by similar URLs by state postal code. Note the odd XX/xx capitalization.) On Nov 28, 2009, at 6:57 PM, Raph Frank wrote: > I generated some pdf maps of Texas. > > They are pretty bi

Re: [EM] Another auto districting proposal (Crystal districting?)

2009-11-20 Thread Brian Olson
I agree with Juho. Define what a good redistricting result is, preferably in terms that produce a single valued numeric score, and then produce maps by whatever means you like and let the best map win. I haven't seen a procedure defined that I was sure would always produce good districts. While

Re: [EM] Proportional Representation from Ratings Ballots

2009-11-18 Thread Brian Olson
t. 6. Strategy resistance. For any voter or bloc of voters, honest voting maximizes expected utility. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

[EM] Explaining PR

2009-09-20 Thread Brian Olson
Catching up from a couple weeks ago, I just wanted to add my short- short version of explaining Proportional Representation that usually gets a good response from people: "A 20% group should get 20% of the seats." It's pretty easy for people to be agreeable to that. I think in general it mi

Re: [EM] multiwinner election space plots

2009-08-13 Thread Brian Olson
On Aug 13, 2009, at 9:18 AM, Kristofer Munsterhjelm wrote: Brian Olson wrote: http://bolson.org/voting/sim_one_seat/20090810/ I think a few of these plots show Single Transferrable Vote behaving badly in the same ways IRV does, with discontinuities and irregular solution spaces. I also

[EM] multiwinner election space plots

2009-08-13 Thread Brian Olson
http://bolson.org/voting/sim_one_seat/20090810/ I think a few of these plots show Single Transferrable Vote behaving badly in the same ways IRV does, with discontinuities and irregular solution spaces. I also ran Condorcet and IRNR using combinatoric expansion. Combinatoric variants of si

Re: [EM] Redistricting, now with racial demographics

2009-07-18 Thread Brian Olson
Oh yes, I'm very much in favor of Proportional Representation methods. But for the foreseeable future we will have problems with drawing districts and drawing better districts, and it's a kinda interesting problem to tinker with too. And I have this notion that it would be good to have a bica

Re: [EM] Redistricting, now with racial demographics

2009-07-18 Thread Brian Olson
As this isn't something I really want it's going to be hard to get motivated to work it out. That said I think the way to go about it is to make unbiased districts by my current district, then pick one district with the highest proportion of the desired minority to elevate and adjust all the

[EM] Redistricting, now with racial demographics

2009-07-16 Thread Brian Olson
/dist/ XX where XX is any US state abbreviation. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] A range-voting poll you can vote in

2009-04-22 Thread Brian Olson
Interesting UI. I'd thought about doing something like that but got discouraged when I tried to make it work on Internet Exploder. Had it for Firefox and Safari briefly though. My apps are also still out there, doing simultaneous Condorcet counting, histograms and other methods. http://bet

Re: [EM] Burlington 2009 IRV election pathologies - updated web page

2009-03-30 Thread Brian Olson
I'm late to the party, but I downloaded their vote data and ran it through my software and wrote up a page on it here: http://bolson.org/~bolson/2009/20090303_burlington_vt_mayor.html I think the most important point is the fundamental failure of IRV as itself, not any quibbling over a bad ba

Re: [EM] IRV proponents figure out how to make IRV precinct-summable

2009-03-22 Thread Brian Olson
On Mar 22, 2009, at 4:24 PM, Kristofer Munsterhjelm wrote: Again, the election method better get decided on before the election, so that the voters can be told the rules and thus be able to express their thoughts to whatever extent they choose within what those rules support: Condorcet:

Re: [EM] Multiwinner Condorcet generalization on 1D politics

2009-02-12 Thread Brian Olson
On Feb 12, 2009, at 4:41 PM, Raph Frank wrote: (Found something that might be it: http://saweis.net/svd/ ) Ah, that's the smart math way to do it with SVD. Anyway, the basic point is that you can place each member of a legislature on a 2-d plane based solely on their voting records and then

Re: [EM] Report on the 2006 Burlington Mayoral election.

2009-01-05 Thread Brian Olson
I dumped the data through my implementations and got pretty similar results which can be seen here: http://bolson.org/voting/burlington_vt/ My implementations proceed with different rules which generally allow any ranking or ratings to be cast and counted, so will have different totals than

[EM] "majority" == "majority approval" ?

2009-01-03 Thread Brian Olson
ng candidates as having majority approval when they do not. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

[EM] Modeling Voters for Discussion and Simulation

2008-12-20 Thread Brian Olson
d voter error would affect each differently. Right now I'd guess there's no solution for systemic candidate error but different methods are more or less vulnerable to voter error. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

[EM] Voting space graphs, varying sigma

2008-12-03 Thread Brian Olson
http://bolson.org/voting/sim_one_seat/20081203/ Tight population grouping at the left moving to widely spread on the right. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ (Sent from my iPhone) Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] Yee/B.Olson Diagrams (YBD's): the next step

2008-12-02 Thread Brian Olson
I did some small multiples runs. They kinda look good http://bolson.org/voting/sim_one_seat/20081202/ Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ (Sent from my iPhone) On Dec 2, 2008, at 9:28 AM, "Raph Frank" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: Ultimately, there are more degrees of freedom than

Re: [EM] Yee/B.Olson Diagrams (YBD's): the next step

2008-12-02 Thread Brian Olson
Disorganized thoughts: Standard deviation could be considered to be interchangeable with the spacing between the choices. Wider spacing is equivalent to tighter standard deviation. I keep imagining a way to explain this as starting with a blank black space and colored dots representing the

Re: [EM] Why I think IRV isn't a serious alternative

2008-11-26 Thread Brian Olson
On Nov 26, 2008, at 5:53 AM, Greg wrote: Greg, you didn't actually say that IRV is good, you just said that it's unlikely to be bad. Huh? One reason I think it's good in part because it's very likely to elect elect the Condorcet candidate, if that's what you mean by "unlikely to be bad." Som

Re: [EM] Why I think IRV isn't a serious alternative

2008-11-25 Thread Brian Olson
Greg, you didn't actually say that IRV is good, you just said that it's unlikely to be bad. Why bother with something that's unlikely to be bad when we can just as easily get something without that badness? Oh, and actually it _is_ likely to be bad. See that first graph? See how over thousand

[EM] Why I think IRV isn't a serious alternative

2008-11-25 Thread Brian Olson
There's been a lot of discussion lately started by people who advocate IRV. I'm mystified. Really? You really think IRV is a good system? I've spent so long considering it to be pretty much junk that I really am confused by that position. Here's my summary of why I think IRV is junk. (fro

[EM] Paper Ballots, User Interface Failures

2008-11-21 Thread Brian Olson
Minnesota Public Radio has this excellent piece on their website showing 15 (so far, they may be adding more) controversial ballots. http://minnesota.publicradio.org/features/2008/11/19_challenged_ballots/ All are based on some form of optical scan paper ballot in which the voter is supposed

Re: [EM] Yee-Bolson Diagrams for Lotteries

2008-11-12 Thread Brian Olson
I actually already have a mode in my program to run multiple elections at each point and average the color of the winners over those rounds. It doesn't hurt anything to have more than three candidates as long as each one gets a color reasonably distinctive from the others. As long as each c

Re: [EM] IRNR question

2008-10-19 Thread Brian Olson
Hmm, only kick out the losingest loser. I kinda think there would still be discontinuities, but it might be better. Probably worth trying. Now I just need to code that up and run the diagram code. Dunno when I'll actually get around to that. Has anyone checked what happens to regular IRV un

Re: [EM] Populism and Voting Theory

2008-10-17 Thread Brian Olson
biggest change, and likely biggest bang-per-buck we can get out of changes to work on. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] Populism and Voting Theory

2008-10-17 Thread Brian Olson
On Oct 16, 2008, at 10:11 PM, Greg Nisbet wrote: Which system do you think would work best that is actually achievable? That's like asking the oft asked question, 'which candidate is electable?' and I HATE that question. It's like suggesting that we prematurely compromise and compress our

Re: [EM] Fixing Range Voting

2008-10-16 Thread Brian Olson
On Oct 15, 2008, at 1:59 PM, Peter Barath wrote: I'm not sure I would vote honestly in such circumstance. Let my "honest" rangings be: 100 percent for my favourite but almost chanceless Robin Hood 20 percent for the frontrunner Cinderella 0 percent for the other frontrunner Ugly Duckling I th

Re: [EM] Fixing Range Voting

2008-10-14 Thread Brian Olson
On Oct 14, 2008, at 12:11 PM, Raph Frank wrote: On Tue, Oct 14, 2008 at 2:04 PM, Brian Olson <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: Once upon a time, I designed an election method to fix the strategy problem with Range Voting. The method I call "Instant Runoff Normalized Ratings" (I

Re: [EM] Fixing Range Voting

2008-10-14 Thread Brian Olson
Hey, that's neat. I must have missed it the first time around. The N parallel images of black/winning area actually show pretty well how various candidates win in multi-winner elections. Maybe I'll extend my software to do similarly. On Oct 14, 2008, at 12:17 PM, Raph Frank wrote: Btw, if

[EM] Fixing Range Voting

2008-10-14 Thread Brian Olson
out the nasty jumps in the decision process. Needs to be experimentally (in simulator) checked, though. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] Why We Shouldn't Count Votes with Machines

2008-10-06 Thread Brian Olson
fense against electoral malfeasance is probably through the political and legal processes, and through the vigilance of the citizenry. We'll never make a system so mathematically perfect that we don't still need those other things. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ E

Re: [EM] Idea for a free web service for (relatively) secure online voting

2008-10-04 Thread Brian Olson
Hi Mike(s), I hadn't seen zelea.com before. It looks interesting but I'm not sure how to use it to actually run a vote on something. I run http://betterpolls.com/ which is generally designed to take votes from random people on the internet, but can also do registered-voters-only. I think it

Re: [EM] Geographical districts

2008-09-30 Thread Brian Olson
On Sep 4, 2008, at 7:21 PM, Jonathan Lundell wrote: On Sep 4, 2008, at 3:34 PM, James Gilmour wrote: Those who would devise new schemes of electoral districts, especially to go with new voting systems, ignore the reality of these various "geographically defined communities" at their peril.

Re: [EM] A computationally feasible method (algorithmic redistricting)

2008-09-03 Thread Brian Olson
On Sep 3, 2008, at 5:32 AM, Raph Frank wrote: On 9/3/08, Brian Olson <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: Anyway, what my pseudo-voronoi solver does is this: Initialization: • Assign district centers to random points (block coordinates). • Assign census blocks to nearest di

Re: [EM] A computationally feasible method (algorithmic redistricting)

2008-09-02 Thread Brian Olson
time, place, or audience for discussing NP Hard problems, I will wave my hands and say, "Hey, look over there! Good results, on my one puny computer! With more it'd only get better!" Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] A computationally feasible method (algorithmic redistricting)

2008-09-02 Thread Brian Olson
end, the human couldn't deviate too far from the ideal mapping. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] A computationally feasible method

2008-08-31 Thread Brian Olson
better sets. Maybe different parties or candidates try to find alternatives where they would do better. If nothing is found then the first found set is declared elected. Brian Olson suggests this approach for his anti-gerrymandering proposals. http://bolson.org/dist/USIRA.html an

[EM] language/framing quibble

2008-08-28 Thread Brian Olson
tation", that's just good Democracy! "previously underrepresented groups" is inconveniently long, but is the best mix of connotation and denotation that I can think of right now. Just some things to think about so that once we've figured out what the best possible

Re: [EM] Test implementation of FAWRB

2008-08-26 Thread Brian Olson
I'd like to see some things that would make the process more understandable. First, expand "FAWRB" somewhere on the site and explain it. Part of the explanation could be showing all of the stages of the form at once instead of making it a surprise as each stage shows up. Alternately, or ad

[Election-Methods] My Short Anti-IRV Screed

2008-08-05 Thread Brian Olson
lies On the other hand, maybe I've spent too much time in my own little world and this doesn't make sense to anyone else. Feedback, anyone? Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [Election-Methods] Selectricity

2008-07-31 Thread Brian Olson
I've talked to the guy who built it. He lives not too far from where I do in the Boston area. I'm jealous of his shiny UI. It makes my http://betterpolls.com/ and http://poll.appspot.com/ look clunky and primitive (which is accurate, since I didn't do anything beyond the 8 year old HTML 4.01

Re: [Election-Methods] USING Condorcet

2008-06-30 Thread Brian Olson
;Voting for only one choice is bad. If that one doesn't win, you don't get any say over which of the others might get elected. Vote on as many choices as you feel informed enough to vote on." Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

[Election-Methods] Election Software Update

2008-06-01 Thread Brian Olson
I made a new polling site: http://poll.appspot.com/ It allows rankings, ratings or approval ballots. It requires everyone to have a Google Id. This should cut down on ballot box stuffing, but may also be inconvenient for some users. LGPL implementations of election methods in C, C++, Java an

[Election-Methods] Election Software Update

2008-06-01 Thread Brian Olson
I made a new polling site: http://poll.appspot.com/ It allows rankings, ratings or approval ballots. It requires everyone to have a Google Id. This should cut down on ballot box stuffing, but may also be inconvenient for some users. LGPL implementations of election methods in C, C++, Java an

Re: [Election-Methods] RE : Re: Primary Elections using a "Top 2/Single Transferable Voting Method"

2007-12-18 Thread Brian Olson
On Dec 17, 2007, at 9:33 AM, Kevin Venzke wrote: > --- Abd ul-Rahman Lomax <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> a écrit : >> My own opinion is that state parties should directly elect delegates, >> not Presidential candidates. Then the delegates make the choice, at >> the convention. They can actually *delibe

[Election-Methods] Bullet Voting in the wider media

2007-10-07 Thread Brian Olson
In case anyone's interested in what the general public are hearing about voting strategy. http://www.boston.com/news/local/articles/2007/10/07/ ballot_query_to_bullet_or_not_to_bullet Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [Election-Methods] Challenge: Elect the compromise when there're only 2 factions

2007-08-24 Thread Brian Olson
On Aug 22, 2007, at 2:55 AM, Jobst Heitzig wrote: > A common situation: 2 factions & 1 good compromise. > > The goal: Make sure the compromise wins. > > The problem: One of the 2 factions has a majority. > > A concrete example: true ratings are >55 voters: A 100, C 80, B 0 >45 voters: B 10