[EM] Does MDDA really satisfy FBC?

2005-10-11 Thread Warren Smith
MDDA fails "add top". That is, if you add some identical honest votes ranking A top, that can harm A (e.g. by creating a Condorcet winner [who is not A] who then wins, whereas previously there was a Condorcet cycle and A was the winner on approval counts). Now this may not technically count as

[EM] more re Deluxe MDDA

2005-10-11 Thread Warren Smith
Incidentally, Deluxe MDDA is probably even worse than un-deluxe ranked-ballot methods with respect to add-top failure, no-show paradoxes, and the like, because you can use the approval counts quite easily to set up bad scenarios where the new voter creates (unfortunately for him) a Condorcet winn

[EM] MDDA: prefer deluxe, evaluate properties

2005-10-11 Thread Warren Smith
MDDA *if* all votes are full rank orderings, is just the "Smith set" and often yields a tied election. In fact often the Smith set is the entire set of candidates. (In most of Australia full rank orderings - i.e. none omitted - are demanded by law.) This seems a severe problem with MDDA and pr

[EM] which voting methods fail WMW?

2005-10-05 Thread Warren Smith
>> wds: >> Robla failed to mention that range voting *does* obey a weakened form of >>the majority-winner criterion (call it "WMW"). Specifically: >>"If a strict majority of the voters regard X as their unique favorite, >> then >> they, acting alone without regard to what the other voters d

[EM] majority winner and range & condorcet methods

2005-10-04 Thread Warren Smith
>robla: Incidentally, Range voting wouldn't have prevented slavery. Black suffrage was a pretty important prerequisite which didn't exist back then. Also, I don't think that a bunch of people who were willing to secede from the union and fight a war on their own soil would express a mild preferen

[EM] majority criterion

2005-10-04 Thread Warren Smith
>robla: I've seen a lot of different definitions of the "majority criterion", but for purposes of this email, I'll describe a minimal version: "If a strict majority of the voters rank a particular alternative as their unique first choice, then the voting method must select that alternative as a uni

[EM] sincerity in range votes / and fantasies

2005-10-04 Thread Warren Smith
>Yves in reply to wds's criticism of Robla's "range killing" example: 1- Sincerity doesn't exist in politic. As the vote itself, everything is always strategic. The concept of democracy is to give the same chances to all individuals to influence a collective decision. --wds response: first of al

[EM] range voting "passing constitutional muster" / Range's "glaring defect"

2005-10-04 Thread Warren Smith
An analysis of the constitutional question is already available within the CRV web site http://math.temple.edu/~wds/crv/ConstVt.html Also, re Robla's ludicrous "range killing example" illustrating range's "glaring defect", let me say this. You are perfectly free in the range system to cas

[EM] range "killing" example and those ignorably-rare burying voters... are you on drugs?

2005-10-03 Thread Warren Smith
>robla statement #1: Range is a political stillborn. This example kills it: 100 voters, two candidates, scale of 0-10: 90 voters: A=7, B=6 10 voters: A=0, B=10 A:630B:640 B wins, even though 90% of voters prefer A to B. There is no possible way Range will ever get serious suppor

[EM] where to email your HAVA comments

2005-09-18 Thread Warren Smith
sorry, last email the long email address was truncated by some piece of annoy-software. It was: [EMAIL PROTECTED] that again is votingsystemguidelines AT eac DOT gov wds Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

[EM] Action Request about Help America Vote ActTo Electorama

2005-09-18 Thread Warren Smith
To Electorama (This is a CC of a "special notice" email sent to RangeVoting.) I have decided to use rare "special notice" emails (which get delivered even to those on RV who do not normally get emails) for the purpose of very important ACTION ANNOUNCEMENTS. That is, situations when the time has

[EM] ICA

2005-09-07 Thread Warren Smith
is ICA the same thing as Smith//Approval? And if not, what is the matter with ICA? Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

[EM] favorite betrayal and 2-party domination in Condorcet(wv, =); and about DMC

2005-09-05 Thread Warren Smith
To recount some recent history. I at first had this idea that all Condorcet methods would lead to 2-party domination. I in fact produced a "proof" of that (well, a proof of a related statement, anyhow) and put it on the CRV web site. Then one of the attacks on my proof (by Adam Tarr) was that m

[EM] CIVS cycles data

2005-09-04 Thread Warren Smith
>On 9/2/05, Andrew Myers <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > I thought the folks on this list would find it interesting to see > some actual empirical data on how often cycles happen. I have data on > 99 CIVS elections that have been run in which more than 10 voters > participated (max was 1749) and in wh

[EM] utility agreement - I wish...

2005-09-01 Thread Warren Smith
>robla: Warren, we don't agree. I said there is NO systematic, fair way of measuring utility. I didn't say it's hard, I said it's impossible. Ergo, for purposes of studying electoral systems, it might as well not exist. Using Bayesian regret on numeric utilities is begging the question. By stat

[EM] utility - some agreement at last...

2005-09-01 Thread Warren Smith
>robla: The problem with placing paramount importance on "utility" in voting methods is not that it doesn't exist, it's that there's no systematic, fair way of measuring utility. --WDS: EXACTLY GOOD!!! However, Heitzig has repeatedly and clearly stated that it "does not exist." I have repeat

[EM] Re: Election-methods Digest, Vol 15, Issue 1

2005-09-01 Thread Warren Smith
n is that the rest of you simply accept this as settled and obviously true. It then will be possible to proceed from there to have a genuine debate about voting methods. I am not going to debate voting methods with people who refuse to accept probability theory, believe that the sun revolves aro

[EM] my previous post about FBC and condorcet

2005-08-31 Thread Warren Smith
seems to depend on having an exact tie. Therefore, this counterexample is not as impressive as I thought. wds Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

[EM] favorite betrayal in Condorcet(wv, =permitted, no partial votes)

2005-08-31 Thread Warren Smith
The original general-purpose 19-voter FBC example from the Center for Range Voting web page http://math.temple.edu/~wds/crv/IncentToExagg.html: 8:B>C>A 6:C>A>B 5:A>B>C B wins under Condorcet Voting [Ranked Pairs variant, winning votes, equality-ranking permitted] according to Eric Gorr's calculat

[EM] FBC for Condorcet

2005-08-31 Thread Warren Smith
do you have a counterexample showing favorite betrayal for Condorcet (winning vote, equality-rankings permitted, partial orders not permitted) ? (And if you do not, isn't that a good reason NOT to prefer DMC?) wds Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for l

[EM] range voting on plurality machines

2005-08-31 Thread Warren Smith
is actually quite pleasant. Try the demo at http://math.temple.edu/~wds/crv/quickdemo/PresRadio.html (and let me know if there are any browser problems. I have heard a rumor there is a bug in early versions of netscape which may cause this demo to be unattractive...) wds Election-methods

[EM] medians and Heitzig's approval-voting strategy

2005-08-31 Thread Warren Smith
>> Re your "Weinstein" idea that you would vote for candidates above the median >> with > approval voting, since you do not believe in utility, I ask you to consider > A. Josef Stalin > B. Adolf Hitler > C. Genghis Khan > D. Jacques Chirac > where (say) ADepends on the priors. When th

[EM] grab bag of replies

2005-08-31 Thread Warren Smith
To Suter: I agree we cannot *really* tell if Condorcet would lead to 2-party domination until we try it in several coutnries for 100 years. But short of that we have to try to reason, and I consider the case in http://math.temple.edu/~wds/crv/IncentToExagg.html http://math.temple.edu/~wds/

[EM] DMC the greatest Condorcet? I wish, but doubt it...

2005-08-30 Thread Warren Smith
It is nice to hear from F. Simmons that DMC is the greatest and resolves all those nasty Condorcet contentious issues, while unifying all the Condorcet methods. And also, I agree DMC is a simpler method than all or almost all of the methods it unifies. I am glad I recently joined EM just in time t

[EM] correction

2005-08-30 Thread Warren Smith
Actually now I think about it, Benham was talking more about noiseproof[strat2-revote] rather than cloneproof[strat2-revote] but the same remakrs should hold, basically. wds Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

[EM] cloneproof[strat2-revote]

2005-08-30 Thread Warren Smith
cloneproof[strat2-revote] A voting method hereby is "cloneproof[strat2-revote]" if W'=W when: 1. We hold an election with strategic voters, electing winner W. 2. we add clones (perhaps multiple clones) of some subset of the candidates. 3. The voters re-vote in the new election, again acting strate

[EM] 2-party domination = favorite betrayal?

2005-08-30 Thread Warren Smith
I do not agree these two things are equivalent, although they are related. If a method exhibits "favorite betrayal" but only rarely then third parties might be able to flourish. For example Coombs' IRV-like method exhibits favorite betrayal. Would it lead to 2-party domination? Really 2-part

[EM] 64 vs 65, post for purpose of annoying Jobst Heitzig

2005-08-30 Thread Warren Smith
Incidentlally, since you claim because you cannot explain the precise meaning of a range vote of 64 versus 65, therefore range voting is somehow horribel and inexplicable... and you like DMC... I ask "explain to me the precise meaning of `I approve of Bush.'" Pretty difficult, isn't it? And al

[EM] range voting, properties with strategic re-voting, and utilitarianism

2005-08-30 Thread Warren Smith
>> --Also, now that I understand DMC has two kinds of monotonicity property, I > must report my admiration. >Heitzig: Why? Many Approval/Condorcet-hybrids are monotonic in both senses. --fine. However, I had not seen any such methods previously, I am ignorant. You also mentioned your "favor

[EM] A?B versus A=B

2005-08-29 Thread Warren Smith
I regard A=B as a declaration of knowledge on the part of the voter. he is saying "I understand A and B and I think they have the same utility." I regard A?B as a declaration of ignorance from the voter. he is saying "I do not know whether A>B or B>A, I really am clueless on this matter." In som

Re: [EM] reply to Heitzig criticzing range voting

2005-08-29 Thread Warren Smith
>Do you suggest the election system should rather declare one of the candidates which are not approved by anyone the winner than to demand a new election because of lack of approved candidates. (I certainly don't agree to that.) --yes I do. The job of a single-winner election system is to produc

Re: [EM] question/comments re DMC

2005-08-29 Thread Warren Smith
>>6. Robustness against "noise" candidates.. cloneproof... > --also true of range. Could you say more precisely what you mean here? --Range voting is immune to clones in the sense that any number of cloned candidates, all of whom get the same rangevote scores, can be added to the scene, and the

Re: [EM] question/comments re DMC

2005-08-29 Thread Warren Smith
>>2. Immunity from second place complaints. Unlike in MinMax and >>Beatpath, the DMC winner always defeats the candidate which would win >> if the winner were not present. > --nice. Also true of range. I'm sorry you're wrong here: If ballots are voters A points B points 60 60

[EM] DMC and 2-party domination

2005-08-29 Thread Warren Smith
I suspect DMC will lead to 2-party domination. See http://math.temple.edu/~wds/crv/IncentToExagg.html and consider this same example under DMC. If the top-1, top-2, none, or all-3 of the candidates are approved by all (I do not care which, so long as you are consistent about it) then B wins. T

[EM] reply to Heitzig criticzing range voting

2005-08-28 Thread Warren Smith
You continued: > In the Hitler/Stalin/Harding example, the voter is satisfied with > nobody. It is clearly stupid for the voter to say that honestly. >No, it's not. First of all, whereever such an example as the above is possible, there are much more serious problems than the choice between thos

[EM] DMC / 2-party domination

2005-08-28 Thread Warren Smith
Here is another question - will DMC lead to 2-party domination, or not? To really answer this, it would help to understand optimal voting strategy in DMC, which is probably beyond reach. However, you may be able to just think about 3-candidate DMC elections and thereby answer the question with a

[EM] question/comments re DMC

2005-08-28 Thread Warren Smith
OK, Now that I finally understand the DMC voting system (which is quite interesting), I have a few comments and questions... >(15+3 reasons to love DMC from J.Heitzig & F.Simmons) > 1. Allows to distinguish important from minor preferences. --range does too, only better. > 2. Immunity from se

[EM] Re: [Condorcet] 15 reasons to support DMC

2005-08-27 Thread Warren Smith
so each vote consists of BOTH a rank-ordering, AND a set of "approved" candidates (is there any requirement that these two be compatible)? Is the rank-ordering permitted to include equalities or be a partial order? wds Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list inf

Re: [EM] solving the NP-hard problem? no. The CRV approach to gerrymandering.

2005-08-21 Thread Warren Smith
The "graph partitioning" problem is NP-complete: problem ND14 in Garey & Johnson: Comnputers and Intractibility, a guide to the theory of NP completeness, freeman 1978. Thus even if the country is to be divided into only 2 districts we have NP-hardness. It is conceivable this could be escaped b

[EM] solving the NP-hard problem? no. The CRV approach to gerrymandering.

2005-08-21 Thread Warren Smith
I believe the brute force approach of just solving the NP-hard redistricting problem perfectly, is not feasible. There are probably ten-thousands of census blocks and exponential runtimes with that much input just do not happen, even with all the computer power on the planet on your side. Occa

[EM] range with L levels chew up L slots? - other ideas by Lomax & me

2005-08-19 Thread Warren Smith
range with L levels chew up L slots? - other ideas by Lomax & me It is actually possible to do range with L levels on plurality voting machines with only chewing up log[base2](L) slots per candidate, not L. This is a huge improvement: L=512 becomes 9. Unfortunately, it requires the voters to t

[EM] range and borda really alike? not.

2005-08-19 Thread Warren Smith
range and borda really alike? not. >Scott Ritchie: >Range voting is just a Borda count with a bunch of throwaway candidates --WDS REPLY: Range voting and Borda indeed have a lot of similarities, but they also have some extremely crucial differences. In fact I would say that range voting keeps a

[EM] IRV vs Range on totalizing machines

2005-08-19 Thread Warren Smith
>Scott Ritchie: >Indicating a ranked ballot on a machine not designed for it is no more >difficult than indicating a ranged ballot. This follows naturally from >the fact that you can do a one-way transformation on a ranged ballot to >a ranked ballot. >There's a great picture of an old New York le

[EM] range ballots chew up slots; "unsupported" range voting claims

2005-08-18 Thread Warren Smith
As was recently pointed out, it is correct that with range ballots run on ordinary plurality voting machines, slots (e.g. "levers" on NY-style machines) get "chewed up" 10 times faster than with plain plurality voting. Assuming 10 levels. With L levels, L times faster. Consequently if enough el

[EM] WDS reply to Dave Ketchum elementary questions re range voting

2005-08-15 Thread Warren Smith
Dave K: > Range voting is very robustly the best among about 30 systems tried including > a couple condorcet systems according to my giant > comparative Bayesian regret study in 2000. OK, maybe you can attack that. > Maybe you can say I did not put in your favorite system or favorite > voting str

[EM] Unifying behind range is tactically necessary (including for AV & Condorcet advocates)

2005-08-15 Thread Warren Smith
> >Rob Lanphier re the Center for Range Voting: >If you had the kind of backing that CVD has, I might believe you. However, in terms of popular voting reforms, only CVD can make the claim that they've got the political organization and the momentum to follow through right now. CAV/AAV is making

Re: [EM] range versus condorcet & others; practical purposes

2005-08-14 Thread Warren Smith
>robla: Condorcet has zero chance in 2005. It has a small chance in 2010, and better than even odds in 2050. That's assuming we ignore your advice and actually continue our work. --what is your strategic plan? One can make statistical estimates of "chances" based on polls and one can estimate c

[EM] 2 parties is not democracy

2005-08-14 Thread Warren Smith
But if you do consider 2-party system to be democracy, then if you like 2-party domnation state, why bother to consider any voting system other than plurality at all? I mean, plurality (1) maximally leads to the situation (2 parties) you like, and (2) if there are only 2 candidates, then plurality

[EM] More on tactics of adoption/range V condorcet & approval/ why unify behind range

2005-08-14 Thread Warren Smith
In fact let me elaborate. Although my critics claim it is not clear I have really shown Condorcet methods must lead to 2-party domination (I think it is clear, except I admit that the winning-votes + equalities-permitted enhancements of condorcet seem to permit Condorcet to perhaps escape from su

[EM] 2-party systems are not democracies

2005-08-14 Thread Warren Smith
I disagree with the claim they are. Democracy is about choice by the voters. 2 choices is not enough choice. Furthermore in the contemporary USA, 98% of the time incumbents are re-elected if try. So really it is a 1-choice system. Congressmen are more likely to die in office than to lose an el

[EM] range versus condorcet & others; practical purposes

2005-08-14 Thread Warren Smith
In some sense the range versus Condorcet debate is a red herring since Condorcet methods have, I think, no chance of actual adoption by governments. And range does have a chance. So for practical purposes, forget Condorcet. Why do I say that? Well, in our real-world-voter study of range & appro

[EM] simplcity of range v condorcet

2005-08-13 Thread Warren Smith
It was recently claimed on EM that condorcet had "simpler rules" than range. I dispute that. I challenge people to write computer programs to perform condorcet and range elections. I have so far never encountered anybody who produced a shorter program for condorcet. Not even close. For any con

[EM] The "official" and "unofficial" defns of "Condorcet", range voting, & red herrings

2005-08-13 Thread Warren Smith
OK, I can see I'm hitting a wall of opposition here. This whole issue is a red herring (i.e. distraction from my main point) so let us not be too distracted by it. The central issue which we had started from is the question of which is better - range voting or Condorcet methods? So instead of

[EM] voter strategy & 2-party domination under IRV voting

2005-08-13 Thread Warren Smith
On the probability that insincerely ranking the two frontrunners max and min, is optimal voter-strategy in an IRV (Instant Runoff Votng) election. --Warren D. Smith Aug 2005-- MATHEMATICAL MODEL: 3-candidate V-voter IRV elections with random vo

[EM] voter strat & 2-party domination under Condorcet voting

2005-08-13 Thread Warren Smith
On the probability that insincerely ranking the two frontrunners max and min, is optimal voter-strategy in a Condorcet election. --Warren D. Smith Aug 2005-- MATHEMATICAL MODEL: 3-candidate V-voter Condorcet elections with random voters (all 3!=6

[EM] Re the "official" definition of "condorcet"

2005-08-12 Thread Warren Smith
1. condorcet.org definitions page: "Name: Condorcet Criterion Application: Ranked Ballots Definition: If an alternative pairwise beats every other alternative, this alternative must win the election. Pass: Black, Borda-Elimination, Dodgson, Kemeny-Young, Minmax, Nanson (original), Pairwise-E

[EM] WDS repsonse to Tarr re Condorcet v Range & strategy

2005-08-12 Thread Warren Smith
>Adam Tarr: I'll now respond to Warren's earlier message. >I don't debate that the "more-favored front runner first, less-favored >front runner last" strategy is useful (often optimal) in Borda, but I >can't easily imagine a scenario where it is useful in Condorcet. >WDS: I did not say it was th

[EM] education of voters

2005-08-12 Thread Warren Smith
>Robla: I think your studies show that instituting a Condorcet method means that the accompanying education effort should be vigorous. It means warning people, "hey, if you try any funny stuff, you're likely to get burnt". But part of what makes democracy is that people learn enough to govern them

[EM] condorcet definition dispute

2005-08-12 Thread Warren Smith
> WDS: ... > If [the Condorcet winner criterion] means (2a) "if we redid the same > election but using a DIFFERENT election system, namely majority vote, > and demanding votes `logically consistent' with the originally-cast > votes, then A would win" >Robla: This is what it means. I'm quite confi

[EM] range voting strat, reply to Gorr

2005-08-12 Thread Warren Smith
possible ranking. Everyone else, give them the lowest possible ranking. No information about what other voters are doing is needed. REPLY BY WARREN SMITH: I was right and you are wrong. Here is a counterexample. Let the other voters create a tie for first among A and B, *or* a tie among B and C

Re: [EM] encourage dishonesty / range / WDS reply to robla

2005-08-12 Thread Warren Smith
>Robla: As I recall from discussions on this list, there are plenty of simulations that show that IRV elections tend to resolve to two clusters away from the political center (i.e. two-party system) thus not bucking Duverger's Law any better than plurality. The fact that this happens in the real

Re: [EM] Center for Range Voting Formed

2005-08-12 Thread Warren Smith
> If [the Condorcet winner criterion] means (2a) "if we redid the same > election but using a DIFFERENT election system, namely majority vote, > and demanding votes `logically consistent' with the originally-cast > votes, then A would win" This is what it means. I'm quite confident that the lite

[EM] encourage dishonesty / range / WDS reply to robla

2005-08-11 Thread Warren Smith
>Robla: Rob Lanphier wrote: >> Hi Warren, >> I'm interested in Range Voting, since it appears to be popular among >> many electoral reform advocates here. >> > I too get the impression that it is generally considered among the > best voting method possible, BUT for one truly fatal flaw. It >

Re: [EM] Center for Range Voting Formed

2005-08-11 Thread Warren Smith
>Robla: However, the Condorcet winner criterion is quite easily and unambiguously applied to Range Voting ballots, since a ranked ballot can be easily derived from a Range Voting ballot. --that isn't fair because a range voting ballot cannot be derived from a ranked ballot. This is a one-way noni

Re: [EM] Center for Range Voting Formed

2005-08-11 Thread Warren Smith
>As someone who has a rather bad habit of calling simple and honest mistakes "lying", I can sympathize with your reaction. Either way, though, range voting isn't Condorcet compliant, as Condorcet is defined by the concept of pairwise victories, which do simplify to the mere greater than or less th

Re: [EM] Center for Range Voting Formed

2005-08-11 Thread Warren Smith
>Robla: >Breaking up the definition into two sections as though both are completely accurate and equal definitions of the Condorcet winner criterion makes it appear as though the Condorcet winner criterion is poorly defined. Do you believe that the Condorcet winner criterion is poorly defined? -

Re: [EM] Center for Range Voting Formed

2005-08-11 Thread Warren Smith
>> robla: >> My point was Condorcet only considered <,>,= relations WITHOUT numerical >> magnitudes, >> just yes of no, as votes, hence the distinction between my 1st + 2nd >> defintions of the Condorcet concept, dd not occur in his mind. > >That would be /the/ definition of the Condorcet winner.

Re: [EM] Center for Range Voting Formed

2005-08-11 Thread Warren Smith
> Well, according to that definition, Range Voting is a Condorcet > method, since if you erase all candidates and all numerical votes for > them in all range votes - except for two candidates A and B - then A > will beat B in the resulting 2-choice election if and only if he beat > B in the origina

[EM] Center for Range Voting Formed

2005-08-10 Thread Warren Smith
it (for the moment) is located at http://math.temple.edu/~wds/crv/RangeVoting.html please check it out. Any help in constructing and improving this web page will be appreciated. You can add new content by emailing me files. You can improve the presentation of old content by grabbing, editing

[EM] voting in the Bible?

2005-08-07 Thread Warren Smith
Can anybody tell me whther any interesting voting methods are mentioned in the Bible? Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

[EM] new "range voting" bulletin board - you invited

2005-08-05 Thread Warren Smith
Hello. This email is an invitation to join the "range voting" email group and save the world. Range voting is an improved voting method related to "approval voting". It will vastly improve those governments which adopt it. The improvement is huge and the cost is near zero. Many defects of the