On Wed, Jan 7, 2009 at 5:48 AM, Michael Poulin <[email protected]> wrote: > > Yes, technology matters (sometimes very much) but always "too" (which is pity to me too because I invested 25 years into technology). > Web, unfortunately, has taught us its business value in 1999-2002 and we have learnt that it has very special and scoped. Web is innovation intechnology - yes, Wen is a blood in the communication vessels - yet, in Community - yes, but not in many areas of business. Web is not a business model (proofed by Amazon and eBay) but interaction means, IMO.
The Web has only begun to teach us about new business models. BTW, the dot-com boom was a LOT more successful than most people realize: Another striking finding is the high percentage of dot-com businesses that survived the shakeout. Mr. Kirsch, along with Brent Goldfarb, a colleague at Maryland, and David Miller of the University of California, San Diego, have found that 48 percent of dot-com companies founded since 1996 were still around in late 2004, more than four years after the Nasdaq's peak in March 2000. Mr. Kirsch says that most people are stunned by this figure; they tend to guess that about 90 percent of companies failed. He adds that the dot-com survival rate is as good as or better than that for technologies like automobiles, tires and televisions in their formative years. [emphasis added] http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/23/business/23proto.html?_r=1 I think the Web culture (including OSS) will have at least as profound an impact on business models as television and automobiles. I think Amazon is actually proof of new business models. AWS was the catalyst for a whole new model of IT: cloud computing. Saying the Web hasn't impacted business models is kind of like saying computers haven't impacted business models. Try telling that to media companies. -- Nick
