You may have missed noticing it...
I had provided the reference and the numbers in my eralier email --
http://www.ietf.org/mail-archive/web/sidr/current/msg03586.html

According to 
http://bgpupdates.potaroo.net/instability/bgpupd.html 
the current global BGP system produces
__ Average Prefixes per BGP Update:  2.24 __
Average BGP Update Messages per second:  1.13  
Average Prefix Updates per second:  2.53
>From this we can compute:
Average Prefix Updates per day =  218696

So yes, I did consider the _prefix _ updates as is the case in BGPSEC (not 
updates with packing in it).

Sriram

________________________________________
From: christopher.mor...@gmail.com [christopher.mor...@gmail.com] On Behalf Of 
Christopher Morrow [morrowc.li...@gmail.com]
Sent: Friday, November 11, 2011 11:45 AM
To: Danny McPherson
Cc: Jakob Heitz; Sriram, Kotikalapudi; sidr wg list
Subject: Re: [sidr] WGLC: draft-ietf-sidr-bgpsec-reqs

On Fri, Nov 11, 2011 at 8:49 AM, Danny McPherson <da...@tcb.net> wrote:
>
> On Nov 11, 2011, at 8:19 AM, Christopher Morrow wrote:
>
> There's actually some research on this, I recall the number 'globally'
> as 1.2 avg packing... but internally, that may be different, of
> course.
>
> I'd be interested in a pointer to that Chris, if you could pass it along.

I had thought randy referenced the thing I am remembering, I'll ask
once I get to the meeting venue.
I think he's also pointed to some study work on the effect of
ingesting 1x prefix vs packed prefixes...

> The only quantitative analysis I've seen of this is here:
> <http://www.tcb.net/stuff/danny-ucla-pack.pdf>
> It's 3 months of data from 6 monitors.  The basic observation is that
> around 30% to 40% updates are packed, and these packed updates
> carry up to 80% of prefixes -- a density that seems to be fairly consistent
> across both iBGP and eBGP monitors.

neat.

> -danny
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