David, 

I'm not really sure where you're getting your information on the NBN,  but you 
seem to be missing a few facts. You are right that NBN is replacing the 
existing copper "last mile" network, but that's no longer a "telephone system" 
so calling it an upgrade to that is not appropriate. Telstra's copper phone 
line business is losing money year on year, as people have discarded their 
extra dial up lines, then moved to mobiles and disconnected their fixed line 
phones in favour of VOIP+Naked DSL products. I won't even begin to get into the 
rort that was ISDN broadband...

To address a few of your other points:

On 31/12/2010, at 8:13 AM, David Lyon wrote:

> Australia is the first to get Fibre Optic Phone and Internet..

This is not even remotely true. Off the top of my head I can think of Japan, 
South Korea, Finland, France and even the US (Verizon FiOS) who have 
commercially available FTTP services. Singapore is building their own FTTP NBN 
and no doubt others are in the works. The biggest barrier to widespread FTTP 
rollouts are incumbent, privately-owned telcos determined to wring every last 
cent out of their existing assets. 

Hitting the reset switch like Oz has done with the NBN is a brave move, no 
doubt, but ultimately it is in the best interests of consumers. Consider that 
Telstra, for literally 10 years crippled ADSL network performance to a maximum 
of 1.5Mbps, if they had been allowed to continue, we may very well have been 
looking at no real improvement in broadband speeds for another 10. Telstra's 
NBN solution, if you don't recall, was essentially to flood every suburb and 
street corner with a cabinet big enough for their gear only (FTTN), thus 
monopolising the entire DSL market in Australia - there would be no DSL 
broadband but through Telstra. 

Those in metro areas would have been worst affected, as these are the areas in 
which providers like TPG, iiNet, Optus, Internode, etc all operate their own 
ADSL gear and thus offer plans which, until very recently, have been at least 
$20-30/month cheaper than the equivalent Telstra broadband plan.

> 
> Is it not a reasonable expectation for us to ask to be included in
> something that might be a worldwide hit?

Ask whom to be included in what exactly?

> 
> or are we just being used as a test case by overseas manipulators
> who know we will buy something blindly, test it, and then let them
> go sell it once we have payed to debug the system...

There's not really anything to debug on the hardware side - the technology is 
mature and off the shelf in nature. Why waste time and money trying to reinvent 
the wheel? As a taxpayer, I'd rather the NBN utilise the most cost-effective 
gear available, rather than trying to brew up some solution of our own in the 
name of protectionism.

> 
> In 25 years time.. will Australia be selling Fibre Optic telephone
> and Broadband upgrade solutions around the Globe?

You seem to be under the impression that the NBN is something other than a 
massive (MASSIVE) civil works project. The bulk of the expense is going to be 
in the labour required to roll out the hardware. The fact that there is huge 
demand for people who can drive trucks and operate earthmoving equipment in the 
mines means that the longer we wait, the more danger there is of cost overruns 
due to a wages blowout. In terms of the actual end user connections, there are 
plenty of datacomms and electrical tradies out there who can learn to do this 
work, it's not rocket science.

In short, there's very little R&D to be done in this area, so very little IP 
that can be monetised. Expertise in managing large scale brownfield FTTP 
rollouts might be able to be capitalised on by consulting on network design, 
but again, this is more of a civil works than a technical problem area.

Outside of the NBN though, Australia is doing some great, dare I say 
world-beating, research in the optical switching and optical computing field, 
which is already well supported by the Aus Govt through the ARC. 
http://cudos.org.au/index.php

The best place I think to be looking for opportunity is conceiving and 
developing applications (either software or hybrid projects with plug and play 
hardware) that are only possible with 50Mbps++ connection speeds. Bonus points 
if it can be geographically contained within the AU network (preferable due to 
speed, latency and international transit costs)

Cheers,

Warren

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