On 3/2/07, Matt Mahoney <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

Second, I used the same reasoning to guess about the nature of the universe
(assuming it is simulated), and the only thing we know is that shorter
simulation programs are more likely than longer ones.  My conclusion was that
bizarre behavior or a sudden end is unlikely, because such events would not
occur in the simplest programs.  This ought to at least be reassuring.

Consider that while the trunk of the universal tree of the probable
grows increasingly stable, the branches do often swing in the winds,
and many of the thinner branches of the possible do not survive.

Do you assume that humanity is presently nestled in the crook of a
highly probable branch? If our own branch were to break, would you
take comfort in knowing that the tree itself stands strong?

- Jef

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