--- Jef Allbright <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

> On 3/2/07, Matt Mahoney <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> 
> > Second, I used the same reasoning to guess about the nature of the
> universe
> > (assuming it is simulated), and the only thing we know is that shorter
> > simulation programs are more likely than longer ones.  My conclusion was
> that
> > bizarre behavior or a sudden end is unlikely, because such events would
> not
> > occur in the simplest programs.  This ought to at least be reassuring.
> 
> Consider that while the trunk of the universal tree of the probable
> grows increasingly stable, the branches do often swing in the winds,
> and many of the thinner branches of the possible do not survive.
> 
> Do you assume that humanity is presently nestled in the crook of a
> highly probable branch? If our own branch were to break, would you
> take comfort in knowing that the tree itself stands strong?
> 
> - Jef

I am not sure how the tree analogy applies, but given a Solomonff
distribution, an enumeration of Turing machines (multiverse model) is vastly
more likely than any of the other scenarios I described.



-- Matt Mahoney, [EMAIL PROTECTED]

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