That’s a great video by Joe Meyer. I agree 100% that an actual flow test is 
better than the computer modeling program unless they can develop a program as 
accurate as those used by NASA that can take into account any closed or 
partially closed valves, any tuberculation in the piping, and any other 
possible negative conditions…and maybe this already exists as noted by Steve 
Leyton and Travis Mack. It might need the blessing of NFPA-291 to gain wide 
acceptance. 

As an old retiree, none of this will severely affect me in my lifetime. 
I’m only thinking about what and how the next generation of sprinkler 
contractors, municipal water departments, and NFPA will deal with this possible 
future challenge. Maybe all drought conditions will end and this will be a 
non-issue…or maybe not. 
Like I said previously, just some food for thought, and I think I’ve achieved 
my goal of bringing this out for open discussion. 
Y’all have a nice day, be kind to each other, and stay safe. 
Rick Matsuda 

> On Aug 31, 2022, at 11:47 AM, [email protected] wrote:
> 
> 
> Maybe because I am in the SW with Steve, I agree 100% with his statements 
> here.  We can get situations modeled for basically anything we want regarding 
> the water supply.  As Steve mentioned, many water agencies have decades of 
> data to accurately model this stuff.  I have to ask why we will rely on 
> hydraulic calculation models for our fire sprinkler systems, if we won’t rely 
> on similar calculation models for the water supply?  The math doesn’t change 
> just because it is a sprinkler vs a hydrant.
>  
> Our experience has been more positive with models than with actual flow 
> testing.  We’ve had customers go “flow test shopping” where I found out later 
> that they did multiple flow tests and gave us the best one that they 
> obtained.  Well, that’s great if you can guarantee a fire will only occur 
> during that time frame.  The computer models will account for peak demand, 
> anticipated changes, and other things that a simple flow test can not account 
> for.
> 
> While I am old school and do like to have it confirmed by an actual flow test 
> if possible, I tend to feel the models are more reliable and accurate over 
> longer periods.  Now, all of this is to say that it is based on the model 
> database of information to be accurate.  If there are errors in the database 
> or user entering the information for the model it fails.  That is no 
> different than someone using an un-calibrated gauge, not applying pumper 
> coefficients or getting incorrect hydrant coefficients, let alone not 
> choosing the worst-case time of day for a flow test.
>  
> Please rate our customer service
>  
> Travis Mack, RME-G, COC, SET
> Senior Engineering Manager
> MFP Design
> 480-505-9271 ext. 700 C: 480-272-2471
> [email protected]
> [email protected]
> www.mfpdesign.com
>  
> Send large files to us via: https://www.hightail.com/u/MFPDesign
>  
> From: Steve Leyton <[email protected]> 
> Sent: Wednesday, August 31, 2022 9:35 AM
> To: Discussion list on issues relating to automatic fire sprinklers 
> <[email protected]>
> Subject: [Sprinklerforum] Re: [EXTERNAL] Hydrant flow tests
>  
> I respectfully, but stridently disagree.   To this comment and Rick’s 
> overarching question, I would offer that our experience over the past 10+ 
> years has been that these models are not only accurate, they are highly so 
> and can be programmed for eventualities and conditions that flow tests simply 
> cannot reflect, because they are a measurement of the “right now” only.  But 
> I would offer an bold asterisk on my comments because they are based on 
> regionality and I’m in the SWUSA, where water management has been a critical 
> thing for a full generation now.
>  
> Because of drought concerns going back 20+ years, many water agencies stopped 
> doing flow tests and began to meter their systems.  Today, nearly all water 
> agencies in California will only grant a permit to do a physical flow test if 
> there are compelling circumstances, and we rely on models.   Using San Diego 
> County as an example, water districts began installing sensors 25 years ago 
> and have been collect metadata on overall system performance for dozens of 
> years; these systems are in fact predictable if the database used to 
> calculate performance is well-populated and highly detailed.   I was going to 
> offer Rick the anecdote of how we designed a whole campus high school 15 
> years ago, in a subdivision that was brand new.  The only “flow data” we had 
> to work with was the master developer’s civil engineering water study, which 
> was based on the zone model from the water district.   And it said that the 
> static was going to be so high (182) that we needed to install pressure 
> reducing valves on the supply side of the backflows feeding the site loop.   
> We also used the model for sprinkler hydraulics, but corrected the pressures 
> downward for the PRV settings.   When the permanent system was commissioned 
> into service (two years later and with sprinkler systems 80-90% installed) 
> the static pressure was 181 and the residual was exactly the same as modeled. 
>  
>  
> Programmability of models enables simulation of worst-case scenarios, 
> particularly peak day demand, annual drought predictions and legacy drought 
> conditions.   This is extremely important in the West as our water levels are 
> literally dropping every year, so maybe that’s why our water agencies have 
> established such high standards of care for modeling.   City of San Diego 
> doesn’t require that you take 10% off of their models any longer – why?  
> Because they program peak day demand, legacy drought levels and an additional 
> safety factor.   When they first started this practice, the FP community was 
> going nuts – field conditions showed 10-20 PSI more pressure at the hydrants 
> in some cases.  Yes, pipe sizing was affected,  but if we’re talking about 
> safety and prudence (without consideration for the cost-impact, obviously), 
> this methodology yields solidly conservative data for basis of design.
>  
> Chains are only as strong as their weakest link and physical flow testing 
> only reflects current conditions.  Was the test done during a peak day demand 
> window?  Was the test measured with a $10-15 spring loaded gauge (up to 8-10% 
> error) or a calibrated liquid-filled one with a 1% error or less?   Was the 
> test even taken by skilled personnel?    My opinion on this has swung – I’m 
> now pro-model and we look at physical testing as an archaic practice, and I’m 
> a shamelessly analogue Boomer.  
>  
>  
> Yours in the name of fire safety and progress,
> Steve L.
>  
>  
>  
> From: Prahl, Craig <[email protected]> 
> Sent: Wednesday, August 31, 2022 8:10 AM
> To: Discussion list on issues relating to automatic fire sprinklers 
> <[email protected]>
> Subject: [Sprinklerforum] Re: [EXTERNAL] Hydrant flow tests
>  
> Having experienced bogus results from computer modeling on more than one 
> occasion, nothing matches the actual flow of the hydrant systems.
>  
> Most recently I got a water report from a local municipality who generated 
> the info via their water modeling software.  It said I could expect 6700 gpm 
> from the system……. via 8” lines at 10 fps!   Nope, don’t think that’s going 
> to be a real thing. 
>  
> Craig Prahl | Jacobs | Group Lead/SME – Fire Protection | 
> [email protected] | www.jacobs.com
> 1041 East Butler Road   Greenville, South Carolina  29606
> CONTACT BY: Phone 1-864-676-5252, Email or MS TEAMS
>  
>  
>  
> From: Rick Matsuda <[email protected]> 
> Sent: Wednesday, August 31, 2022 9:51 AM
> To: [email protected]
> Subject: [EXTERNAL] [Sprinklerforum] Hydrant flow tests
>  
> I know that an accurate flow test is critical for the sprinkler system 
> design, but I’ve heard several discussions recently about water conservation 
> during our drought conditions across the SW states.  
>  
> With all our technology, is it possible to develop an accurate computer 
> modeling program for water departments to use in lieu of flow tests? Even 
> with the program, I think there would still be a need for some flow tests to 
> verify the program results, but maybe not as many as now. 
>  
> I’m not taking any pro/con position regarding this issue. I’m just providing 
> food for thought for the future as our need for water increases and our 
> resources diminish. Adequate water is the key for our industry. 
>  
> It’s ironic cause we get more wild fires due to the drought, and then we have 
> to use more water to fight the fires. 
> Rick Matsuda 
>  
>  
> 
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