more... http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-web-within-us-minds-and-machines-become-one
There are many new technologies waiting in the wings that will allow this to happen. Nanotube circuits, for example, are capable of forming extremely dense three-dimensional arrays of computing elements. A 1 inch cube of nanotube circuitry would be at least a million times more powerful than the human brain. Other experimental technologies include three-dimensional chips, optical computing, crystalline computing, DNA, and quantum computing. *By 2019, a $1,000 computer will match the processing power of the human brain–about 20 million billion calculations per second. By 2029, your average PC will be equivalent to 1,000 human brains.* On Wed, Feb 17, 2016 at 9:13 PM, Axil Axil <janap...@gmail.com> wrote: > http://www.jetpress.org/volume1/moravec.htm > > *ABSTRACT* > > This paper describes how the performance of AI machines tends to improve > at the same pace that AI researchers get access to faster hardware. The > processing power and memory capacity necessary to match general > intellectual performance of the human brain are estimated. Based on > extrapolation of past trends and on examination of technologies under > development, it is predicted that the required hardware will be available > in cheap machines in the 2020s. > > > https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictions_made_by_Ray_Kurzweil > > > > *Between 1981 and 2002, the processing power, hard disk space and RAM in a > typical desktop computer increased dramatically because of Moore's Law. > Extrapolating out to the years 2021 and 2041 shows a startling increase in > computer power. The point where small, inexpensive computers have power > approaching that of the human brain is just a few decades away.* > > > http://marshallbrain.com/robotic-nation.htm > > On Wed, Feb 17, 2016 at 8:22 PM, Jed Rothwell <jedrothw...@gmail.com> > wrote: > >> Axil Axil <janap...@gmail.com> wrote: >> >> By 2030, the PC will be 1000 times faster then the human brain. >>> >> >> In what sense? Computers have always been much faster than the human >> brain for some operations. The first computer, ENIAC, was much faster than >> the humans it replaced. >> >> Computers are now becoming faster at pattern recognition, which is >> remarkable. A few years ago they were still much slower. The human brain >> does that sort of thing with parallel processing, comparing an image to all >> images in the brain simultaneously. In the 1980s, this was done on >> computers with associative memory. Nowadays I assume it is done with >> parallel processing. >> >> >> >>> A PC chip will be planted in the brain that will provide health >>> monitoring, internet communications, added memory storage and computational >>> power. >>> >> >> I very much doubt that anyone will learn how to routinely and safely >> implant a PC chip anytime soon! There are experiments with implanted >> devices in paraplegic patients. They are promising but dangerous. The >> equipment is barely capable of sorting out signals, and it can only do a >> few signals, such as "raise arm." >> >> - Jed >> >> >
