http://www.jetpress.org/volume1/moravec.htm
*ABSTRACT* This paper describes how the performance of AI machines tends to improve at the same pace that AI researchers get access to faster hardware. The processing power and memory capacity necessary to match general intellectual performance of the human brain are estimated. Based on extrapolation of past trends and on examination of technologies under development, it is predicted that the required hardware will be available in cheap machines in the 2020s. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictions_made_by_Ray_Kurzweil *Between 1981 and 2002, the processing power, hard disk space and RAM in a typical desktop computer increased dramatically because of Moore's Law. Extrapolating out to the years 2021 and 2041 shows a startling increase in computer power. The point where small, inexpensive computers have power approaching that of the human brain is just a few decades away.* http://marshallbrain.com/robotic-nation.htm On Wed, Feb 17, 2016 at 8:22 PM, Jed Rothwell <jedrothw...@gmail.com> wrote: > Axil Axil <janap...@gmail.com> wrote: > > By 2030, the PC will be 1000 times faster then the human brain. >> > > In what sense? Computers have always been much faster than the human brain > for some operations. The first computer, ENIAC, was much faster than the > humans it replaced. > > Computers are now becoming faster at pattern recognition, which is > remarkable. A few years ago they were still much slower. The human brain > does that sort of thing with parallel processing, comparing an image to all > images in the brain simultaneously. In the 1980s, this was done on > computers with associative memory. Nowadays I assume it is done with > parallel processing. > > > >> A PC chip will be planted in the brain that will provide health >> monitoring, internet communications, added memory storage and computational >> power. >> > > I very much doubt that anyone will learn how to routinely and safely > implant a PC chip anytime soon! There are experiments with implanted > devices in paraplegic patients. They are promising but dangerous. The > equipment is barely capable of sorting out signals, and it can only do a > few signals, such as "raise arm." > > - Jed > >
