Ed Storms said it was ok for me to post the following analysis he made:

 

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A careful examination of the attached graph reveals an interesting
conclusion.  The Pout (power out) and the Eout (Energy out) appear to
describe the net excess, not the total as everyone seems to assume.

 

Power is applied to the internal heater, showed by the red dots, until extra
power starts to increase starting at 140 min.  The power to the heater is
turned off for a short time at 160 min because the excess power starts to
rise. This interruption of applied power and the resulting reduced
temperature of the Ni caused the excess to decrease and excess power
production is again brought under control. Applied power is interrupted
several more times to test the stability of the power-producing reaction.
Finally, applied power was turned off at 280 min whereupon the extra power
increased and reached a relatively stable value. The variations in excess
power production after 280 min are expected as the nuclear reaction responds
to variations in local temperature in the Ni.  The nuclear reaction slowly
decayed away and the test was terminated before it stopped all together.

 

I make two conclusions from this behavior.

1. The amount of energy produced was far in excess of any possible chemical
source.

2. The energy-producing reaction is unstable and difficult to control. It
also slowly becomes less productive unless the temperature is increased by
an external source of power that can increase the temperature of the Ni,
thereby causing a greater output of energy.  This means the energy-producing
reaction has a limited life-time, which is what Rossi has indicated.

 

If the Pout and E out are interpreted as net excess, the graph makes perfect
sense and is consistent with how such a device must behave.

 

Ed

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