I support more or less your predictions. many (not all) Green will try to oppose LENR because it is agains their agenda. it is breaking their plot to make a better world by reducing comfort, energy, consumption, sins, and corruption of the nature. it is breaking their agenda to use climate fear to reduce energy use. It make the fight against Nuke use less, killing thus one of their marketing department.
it will also be opposed by all the rats that use those green ideas to make crony business with unjustified subsidies, manipulated markets, inefficients solutions, manipulated consumers. indirectly it will be opposed by all green lobby on false medicine, false fear , because this big success of science and failure of fearful consensus pseudo-science will move the mind of (the occidental rich) population to love science again, instead of fearing it today. (note that in non occidental countries, green are not that dangerous) the oil companies won't be the worst opponents because they have time to adapt (oil is a today's energy, unlike wind and sun, and even 3G+ nuke and clean coal). oil corrupted countries however will panic, but it will save their population from corruption, after a bloody revolution period. despite visible opposition, all business, including losers like oil and nuke, will embrace LENR, trying to establish a network of pattents and regulation to privatize it. anyway LENR is so simple to copy and build that it will spread in poor countries without regulation, like digital CD copy. it will be easy to use it to resolve real problems like desalinization, home energy, because units can be small unlike nuclear energy. by the way hydrogen technology will get much more common, cheap and simple. in europe/Canada and a little in US, LENR will be slowed temporarily by green if Defkalion and other serious competitors are not quick enough to sell their unit to individuals before the lobbies block them... however if the units are sold to individual it will be hard to over-regulate them, because the population won't believe (by interest and observation) the fear-monger. the government will anyway discretely, despite the lobbies, try to use LENR to reduce deficit and poverty. also cash flow for green will be reduced with the end of climate fear and globally technology fear... green fatigue that is happening today will accelerate that anticlerical transition movement. media green brainwashing will slow. slowly the politicians will follow the population, and break with the dying lobbies... slowly we will hear the truth about climate, whatever it is, with a dying IPCC, unlocking the freedom of speech, and a questioning becoming without any strategic importance nor motivated lobby... and by the way, as usual, media and science will never admit nor be accused of bad behavior on LENR. it will became normal science like aerodynamic... 2012/1/1 Akira Shirakawa <shirakawa.ak...@gmail.com> > On 2012-01-01 19:03, David Roberson wrote: > > The oil producers will make an all out attempt to stop the universal >> usage of cold fusion devices by claims of danger and radiation. >> > > I think it will more likely be the greens, climate activists, > anti-technology / anti-progress groups, and more in general those who are > politically motivated against "nuclear" energy who will attempt stopping > this technology, leveraging on hypothetical dangers for human health and > the environment. > > Oil producers will use it to their benefit (cheaper oil extraction) while > slowly phasing out from the fuel sector and at the same time focusing more > on other sectors (lubricants/chemical/etc.). Some might even start new > businesses in LENR (as they currently do on nuclear energy and > photovoltaics, for example). This will allow them to survive longer in the > post-peak oil era. > > Just my 2 cents, > S.A. > >
