We both used Intrade, Kevin. This is how it works. Changing news requires updating your priors constantly.
On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 3:32 PM, Kevin O'Malley <[email protected]> wrote: > Yeah, right. You first come onto Vortex-L giving 10:1 odds and then > quickly pull back. You're the one disconnected to reality. I wouldn't > care except for the fact that you took money off the table. > > > On Fri, Jan 24, 2014 at 2:30 PM, Blaze Spinnaker <[email protected] > > wrote: > >> Kevin, you're very very confused about reality. I tend to avoid >> discussions with such people. >> >> >> >> On Thu, Jan 23, 2014 at 4:34 PM, Kevin O'Malley <[email protected]>wrote: >> >>> >>> STMicro has nothing to do with Rossi. >>> Cherokee stuff is all rumor, but at least it has something to do with >>> Rossi. >>> 3rd party reports in March -- he's been saying that all along, so why >>> does this suddenly mean an increase of 2%? >>> Defkalion has nothing to do with Rossi. >>> >>> As has been stated upthread, Blaze you're all over the map. You need to >>> sit down and generate your own internal idea of whether LENR is real. Then >>> for Rossi, there's a bifurcation. His ECat could be a real LENR device but >>> it might not ever be controllable enough to sell to industry. So, yes, >>> he's "real" but that isn't truly what you're getting at. Basically, the >>> independent report from ELFORSK by 7 independent scientists PROVED that >>> Rossi is "real" to anyone willing to honestly evaluate the evidence, so >>> this bloviating will be about something else. >>> >>> When you first started posting this kind of stuff, you offered me 10:1 >>> odds and within a matter of a couple of days you backtracked to 2:1 odds. >>> >>> In order to get money on the table you need to sweeten the pot. 2:1 >>> odds are almost not even worth it, especially seeing how you backtrack and >>> hide behind word usage, that kind of thing. >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> On Mon, Jan 6, 2014 at 6:21 AM, Blaze Spinnaker < >>> [email protected]> wrote: >>> >>>> This is based on >>>> >>>> - STMicro patent (Increased about 4.5%) >>>> - Cherokee Investments (Increased about 2.5%) >>>> - Rossi stating third party reports in March (increased 2%) >>>> - Lack of news from Defkalion (-1%) >>>> >>>> News seems to be coming in fairly rapidly at this point. Could be >>>> updating this probability more frequently. >>>> >>>> >>>> >>>> >>>> >>> >> >
