Whenever you see some idiot standing on a bully pulpit in media, government and/or academia and saying "Who could have foreseen?" You can bet someone did foresee it and not just because a broken clock is right twice a day.
On Tue, Jun 3, 2014 at 2:58 PM, Jed Rothwell <jedrothw...@gmail.com> wrote: > Alain Sepeda <alain.sep...@gmail.com> wrote: > > One basic of Taleb philosophy is that knowing what will be good or bad, >> innovation or crackpots, is often not possible. >> > > I was not impressed by Taleb's book "The Black Swan." I disagreed with > most of the examples of things that he claimed were not anticipated by > experts. I think these things were anticipated. In some cases, I myself > anticipated them. > > - Jed > >
