Matt, on #12 under “what else,” you could add “gamma ray burst”

Btw I only check in periodically, when did loaded language like “clot shot” 
enter the thread? Not useful imho.

Dw

> On Sep 20, 2023, at 11:17 AM, Matt Mahoney <mattmahone...@gmail.com> wrote:
> 
> Truth is whatever makes the best predictions. The proper way to update our 
> beliefs is by Bayesian reasoning. If a theory, t, correctly predicts event, 
> e, then this evidence increases the probability that t is correct to p(t|e) = 
> p(t)p(e|t)/p(e). We all reason this way because the math is built into Hebb's 
> model of classical conditioning.
> 
> But there are two problems. First, science has no axioms. Probability is a 
> model of belief, not of the state of our deterministic universe. The universe 
> necessarily has greater Kolmogorov complexity than any intelligence contained 
> within it and is therefore unknowable. The problem is that different people 
> have different evidence. If I flip a coin and peek at the outcome, then my 
> p(heads) is different from your p(heads).
> 
> Second, some of our beliefs are hard coded in our DNA by evolution, which 
> makes objective reasoning impossible. For example, we all have senses of 
> consciousness, qualia, and free will, which we know must be illusions because 
> we know that all human behavior depends only on neurons firing according to 
> rules that are either deterministic or computationally indistinguishable from 
> deterministic. These illusions make life worth living, leading to more 
> offspring.
> 
> The nature of science is that you can always find evidence supporting both 
> sides of any issue. I find this to be true on all political issues. If you 
> follow both the left and right leaning media as I do, then you find that both 
> sides have legitimate arguments backed by studies on issues like abortion, 
> guns, immigration, climate change, children getting sex changes, etc.
> 
> On vaccines, there is a legitimate argument that DNA left over from the mRNA 
> manufacturing process remains stable for years rather than hours or days, and 
> we won't know for years if there are any long term effects. I weigh this 
> against evidence that the vaccinated had lower death rates. I recall the 
> protection was something like 95% against Alpha, 88% from Delta, and 12% from 
> Omicron. If you are afraid of needles, it is easy to only follow evidence 
> against the vaccine. I'm not, because when I was about 5 the nurse put 
> rubbing alcohol on my arm and told me it would numb the pain, and it did. I'm 
> not planning another booster shot because I already had 3 shots in 2021 and 
> caught Omicron anyway at it's peak in January 2022 and I barely noticed.
> 
> I'm not very hopeful that AGI can solve political division when it was 
> technology (social media message ranking algorithms) that caused it in the 
> first place.
> 
> 
> On Tue, Sep 19, 2023, 6:35 AM John Rose <johnr...@polyplexic.com 
> <mailto:johnr...@polyplexic.com>> wrote:
> On Friday, September 08, 2023, at 3:06 PM, John Rose wrote:
>> A big threat is for people’s minds to be programmed to believe that 
>> something that will slowly kill them is good for them. 
>> 
>> *hint* *hint*
> 
> But then, in order to maximize the seductive efficacy of an AI generated 
> Darwinian kill shot they’d have to not only asynchronously and lazily 
> exterminate existing “vermin” but target descendants by altering the tumor 
> suppressor gene via DNA modification… 
> 
> Hanlon’s Razor LOL
> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IEWHhrHiiTY 
> <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IEWHhrHiiTY>
> 
> In addition, by adding luciferase and graphene oxide then an agent 
> programming interface is firmly in place by exposing an “API” to 5G.
> 
> Translation - you’ve been chipped 😊
> 
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