100%, Matt.

On Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at 10:47 PM Matt Mahoney <[email protected]>
wrote:

> On Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at 5:04 PM Levi Dubrovin <[email protected]>
> wrote:
> >
> > A philosophical question: what constitutes true free will if the choice
> is initially predetermined by external factors?
>
> Free will, subjective consciousness, and qualia are all illusions.
> There is no objective test to detect any of these. The only evidence
> for their existence is your own feelings. If it was possible to detect
> them by some other test, then either LLMs have them, or humans don't,
> or it would not be possible for them to pass the Turing test.
>
> If I say that a thermostat has free will, that it can choose to turn
> the heat on or off as it wishes, how would you prove me wrong?
>
> - You say If that's true, then why does the thermostat always maintain
> the set temperature when it is free to do otherwise? Because the
> thermostat chooses to do so because it suffers if it is too hot or
> cold.
>
> - You say that a thermostat operates according to deterministic
> physics. There is no freedom to do otherwise. I say that the same is
> true of the human brain. All of your behavior is explained by neurons
> firing following the laws of physics. If this were not so, then it
> would not be possible for LLMs to be indistinguishable from humans by
> following deterministic computation.
>
> - You say that free will means that decisions are random or
> unpredictable. I say that no computer can predict its own outputs as a
> corollary of Wolpert's law, which says that two computers cannot
> mutually simulate each other even if both know the other's source code
> and state. Predicting your own output is a special case of both
> computers being identical.
>
> Proof: suppose A and B play rock scissors paper. A simulates a copy of
> B predicts that B will play rock, so A plays paper. B simulates a copy
> of A and predicts that A will play paper, so B plays scissors.
>
> - You say that an agent can still have free will if it really is
> random. But Kolmogorov proved that distinguishing a random process
> from a deterministic one is not computable. For example, the sequence
> X_i = SHA256(key + i) is indistinguishable from random unless you can
> guess the key.
>
> But free will still deserves an explanation. Qualia, subjective
> consciousness, and free will are the illusions you get from positive
> reinforcement of perception, thinking, and action, respectively. Your
> brain does this to give you a will to live because those signals would
> disappear if you stopped perceiving, thinking, and acting by dying.
> This behavior leads to more offspring.
>
> Even though they are illusions, we can't believe it and we still care
> if animals or machines have them. We care because humans are social
> animals that evolved empathy. We suffer when we see others suffer.
> That is why I believe that it should be illegal to program an AI to
> claim to be human or conscious or to have feelings.
>


-- 
Zoltan Nadasdy
Dept. of Neurology, Dell Medical School, UT Austin, ([email protected])
Dept. of Cognitive Psychology, ELTE Budapest
Dept. of Psychology, University of Miskolc, Hungary
http://brainstim.psy.utexas.edu

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