On 21/11/2014 23:20, Matt Mahoney via AGI wrote:
Yeah, software can be a problem. You are building something with the
same complexity as a human. We have some idea how many bits that is.
Using the best known compression algorithms, your DNA is about the
same size as 300 million lines of code.
I did a quick analysis of the OpenCog download from
https://github.com/opencog/opencog [snip analysis]
Typical software productivity is 10 lines per day or 2000 lines per
person per year. So this is about a 270 person-year effort. A typical
budget at $250K per person-year (Ph.D. level salary plus overhead)
would imply a cost of $67 million. Using my original estimate of 300M
lines for AGI, OpenCog is 0.2% complete.
If we add in some runtime unit tests involving the Wikipedia corpus,
we should be able to get there within a week or so. Maybe beyond
human level - unless you also think that Wikipedia is 90% junk.
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|im |yler http://timtyler.org/ [email protected] Remove lock to reply.
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