Matt Mahoney via AGI wrote:
> On Sun, Nov 23, 2014 at 2:29 PM, Tim Tyler via AGI <[email protected]> wrote:
>> Knowledge gets into brains in three main ways: from genes,
>> from social learning (memes) and from individual learning.
> I estimate 10^9 bits of genetic knowledge, 10^9 bits of social
> knowledge (written down or known by someone else), and 10^7 bits of
> individual knowledge. It is the individual knowledge that will be the
> most expensive component of AGI once Moore's Law drops the cost of
> hardware. It takes about a year to collect. Collecting all of this
> knowledge (like how to do your job) from everyone in the world will
> cost about 1 year of global GDP. But right now it's the hardware:
> 10^26 OPS and 10^24 bits of memory to simulate 10^10 human brains.
> Global computing capacity is around 10^19 OPS and 10^22 bits of
> storage now. It will take 35 years of Moore's Law to reach 10^26 OPS
> assuming we don't run into any obstacles, like our inability to make
> transistors smaller than atoms or inability to achieve a 10^5 fold
> energy efficiency improvement to match human brains. Clock speeds have
> already stalled several years ago, and this was not predicted.

By any chance, does your hat have the word DUNCE on it?

An AGI is a **LEARNING SYSTEM**. Learning is it's sine qua non. If it
can't learn, then it isn't an AGI, once you are at that point, all you
need to do is connect a few network cables and walk away.


-- 
IQ is a measure of how stupid you feel.

Powers are not rights.



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