Jeff,

In your below flame you spent much more energy conveying contempt than
knowledge.  Since I don’t have time to respond to all of your attacks, let
us, for example, just look at the last two:

MY PRIOR POST>>>> "...affect the event's probability..."

JEF’S PUT DOWN 1>>>>More coherently, you might restate this as "...reflect
the event's likelihood..."

MY COMMENT>>>> At Dragon System, then one of the world’s leading speech
recognition companies, I was repeatedly told by our in-house PhD in
statistics that “likelihood” is the measure of a hypothesis matching, or
being supported by, evidence.  Dragon selected speech recognition word
candidates based on the likelihood that the probability distribution of
their model matched the acoustic evidence provided by an event, i.e., a
spoken utterance.

Similarly, if one is drawing balls from a bag that has a distribution of
black and white balls, the color of a ball produced by a given random
drawing from the bag has a probability based on the distribution in the
bag.  But one uses the likelihood function to calculate the probability
distribution in the bag, from among multiple possible distribution
hypothesis, by how well that distribution matches data produced by events.


The creation of the “event” by external reality I was referring to is much
more like the utterance of a word (and its observation) or the drawing of
ball (and the observation of its color) from a bag than a determination of
what probability distribution most likely created it.  On the otherhand,
trying to understand the complexity that gives rise to such an event would
be more like using likelihoods.

When I wrote the post you have flamed I was not worrying about trying to
be exact in my memo, because I had no idea people on this list wasted
their energy correcting such common inexact usages as switching
“probability” and “likelihood.”  But as it turns out in this case my
selection of the word “probability” rather than “likelihood” seems to be
totally correct.


MY PRIOR POST>>>> "...the descriptive length of sensations we receive..."

JEF’S PUT DOWN 2>>>> Who is this "we" that "receives" sensations?  Holy
homunculus, Batman, seems we have a bit of qualia confusion thrown into
the mix!

MY COMMENT>>>> Again I did not know that I would be attacked for using
such a common English usage as “we” on this list.  Am I to assume that
you, Jef, never use the words “we” or “I” because you are surrounded by
“friends” so kind as to rudely say “Holy homunculus, Batman” every time
you do.

Or, just perhaps, are you a little more normal than that.

In addition, the use of the word “we” or even “I” does not necessary imply
a homunculus.  I think most modern understanding of the brain indicates
that human consciousness is most probably -- although richly
interconnected -- a distributed computation that does not require a
homunculus.  I like and often use Bernard Baars’ Theater of Consciousness
metaphor.

But none of this means it is improper to use the words “we” or “I” when
referring to ourselves or our consciousnesses.

And I think one should be allowed to use the word “sensation” without
being accused of “qualia confusion.”  Jeff, do you ever use the word
“sensation,” or would that be too “confusing” for you?


So, Jeff, if Solomonoff induction is really a concept that can help me get
a more coherent model of reality, I would really appreciate someone who
had the understanding, intelligence, and friendliness to at least try in
relatively simple words to give me pointers as to how and why it is so
important, rather someone who picks apart every word I say with minute or
often incorrect criticisms.

A good example of they type of friendly effort I appreciate is in Lukasz
Stafiniak 11/08/07 11:54 AM post to me, which I have not had time yet to
fully understand, but which I greatly appreciate for its focused and
helpful approach.

Ed Porter

-----Original Message-----
From: Jef Allbright [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Thursday, November 08, 2007 12:55 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: [agi] How valuable is Solmononoff Induction for real world
AGI?


On 11/8/07, Edward W. Porter <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> Jef,
>
> The paper cited below is more relevant to Kolmogorov complexity than
> Solomonoff induction.  I had thought about the use of subroutines
> before I wrote my questioning critique of Solomonoff Induction.
>
> Nothing in it seems to deal with the fact that the descriptive length
> of reality's computations that create an event (the descriptive length
> that is more likely to affect the event's probability), is not
> necessarily correlated with the descriptive length of sensations we
> receive from such events.

Edward -

I'm sorry I'm not going to be able to provide much illumination for you at
this time.  Just the few sentences of yours quoted above, while of a level
of comprehension equal or better than average on this list, demonstrate
epistemological incoherence to the extent I would hardly know where to
begin.

This discussion reminds me of hot rod enthusiasts arguing passionately
about how to build the best racing car, while denigrating any discussion
of entropy as outside the "practical."

Solomonoff induction says something fundamental about intelligence,
contributing a framework upon which more practical pieces must fit, while
saying almost nothing about the specific nature of those pieces.
Interesting how self-referential is that statement.

"I had thought about the use of subroutines..."

You might want to consider then the theoretical relationship between
"subroutines" and recursive structures.


"...descriptive length of reality's computations..."

More coherently, you can talk only of the descriptive length of a
particular model of 'reality.'


"...that create an event..."

"Events" are very much a property of the observer, having no separate
ontological status.


"...affect the event's probability..."

More coherently, you might restate this as "...reflect the event's
likelihood..."


"...the descriptive length of sensations we receive..."

Who is this "we" that "receives" sensations?  Holy homunculus, Batman,
seems we have a bit of qualia confusion thrown into the mix!


Sorry for my glaring lack of tact.  I mean no disrespect but am short of
time.  Along the lines of the Solomonoff induction of which we speak, it
doesn't much matter where you start; as along as you keep poking at it
you'll tend to get closer to a coherent model of 'reality'.

- Jef

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