Note that $1 quadrillion is only a few orders of magnitude more expensive than the war in Iraq. It could well be less than the price of bringing democracy to every podunk and backwater on the globe!
On 9/21/08, Matt Mahoney <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > -- Matt Mahoney, [EMAIL PROTECTED] > > --- On Sun, 9/21/08, Ben Goertzel <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: >>Here's the thing ... it might wind up costing trillions of dollars to >> ultimately replace all aspects of the human economy with AGI-based labor >> ... but this cost doesn't need to occur **before** the first human-level >> AGI is created ... > > "Human level AGI" isn't well defined. We aren't creating artificial humans. > We're creating machines that can do more, like Google can do more than a > calculator. Both are already more intelligent than humans at certain tasks. > > And you're right that we don't need to pay for it first. Given the cost, > it's not even possible. The cost is ongoing, like building the internet. > >>We'll create the human-level AGI first, without such a high cost --- and >> then, perhaps it will cost a lot of $$ to refit all the McDonalds and >> Walmarts and auto factories to to run on AGI power rather than human power >> ... but that is not part of the cost of creating the AGI. > > Let's not fall into the trap of imagining the future is like the present, > except with AGI. Fifty years ago we imagined a future with robot gas station > attendants and tourists on Mars, not the other way around. AGI will change > the way we do things in ways that are hard to imagine. > >> (And of course, the AGI may achieve Singularity before the McDonalds' are >> refit ... ;-) > > That is phase 2, when fear of death induces us to create agents with human > goals. > > > > ------------------------------------------- > agi > Archives: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now > RSS Feed: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/ > Modify Your Subscription: > https://www.listbox.com/member/?&; > Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com > ------------------------------------------- agi Archives: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now RSS Feed: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/ Modify Your Subscription: https://www.listbox.com/member/?member_id=8660244&id_secret=114414975-3c8e69 Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com
