There is a presumption that the main obstacle to a negotiated settlement 
between the ULFA and the Govt. Of india is the question of absolute sovereignty 
for Assam. Indeed, it as been suggested by many that but for the demand for 
sovereignty, it would be easy to arrive at settlement where, for example, Assam 
could easily gain a high degree of autonomy - and the impression is that in 
fact, the government of India is actually quite willing to grant that. 

Nothing could be further from truth. 

Let me suggest that on its own, the government of India is absolutely not 
willing and has never - since 1950 - granted one additional iota of autonomy or 
transferred one iota of actual power to the states or carried out a single 
constitutional amendment that transfers functions to the states. The history of 
India in the last 50 years is one of moving towards greater centralization of 
powers. It is the centralization which provides the economic and political 
rents that the civil servants and politicians make in Delhi - and distribute to 
their lower fiefs in the states. Rivers of blood will have to flow before they 
give even one bit of it. 

By a negotiated settlement with insurgents, govt of India means two things: 
i) handing out more doles - as grants, as bridges, roads and universities
ii) handing over political power (along with slush funds) at the state level to 
former leaders of insurgencies. 

This is not a matter of opinion - its the construction of every agreement that 
the GOI has signed. From the point of the rulers in Delhi, the issue is very 
clear. Giving one additional degree of autonomy to one state is going to open 
the floodgates and unravel the nature of power structure of the Indian "union". 
As it is, economic liberalization has made many of the states more powerful 
than ever imaginable in a socialist economy. 

The GOI's strategy is to wait and hope that all militancy will eventually tire 
and get corrupted to a degree that doles and state level ministries can buy 
out. Then it can just do another Assam accord of 1985. 

For the people of Assam, short of a fundamental restucturing of constitutional 
power, every other accord will just as meaningless as the accord of 1985. 

Santanu. 






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